The ONS announced on Friday that there were 44,474 deaths registered in England in September, which is about 4,000 more than in August, and 19.4% more than the five-year average.
19.4% is a non-trivial number, which makes this report slightly concerning. Last September, for example, the number of deaths registered in England was only 7% more than the five-year average.
If we look at the breakdown in the chart below, we see that Covid was the third leading cause of death. Interestingly, however, several other causes of death were above their five-year averages. This is in contrast to the situation in August, where eight out of nine other causes were below their five-year averages.
Notably, the age-standardised rates of death from dementia and Alzheimer’s, and from ischemic heart disease, were both above their five-year averages. Given that these are not respiratory conditions, the disparities are unlikely to be due to misattribution of deaths that were really caused by Covid.
The age-standardised rates of death from chronic lower respiratory diseases, from ill-defined conditions, and from colon and rectal cancers, were also above their five-year averages; although in the latter case, the disparity was negligible.
September’s overall age-standardised mortality rate was 11.2% higher than the five-year average, and was approximately equal to the value for March, which coincided with the final part of the second wave. This chart from the ONS shows the age-standardised mortality rate for the first nine months of the year, each year, going back to 2001:
Although the picture is basically the same as last month, cumulative mortality to date was slightly higher, as compared to previous years. However, the first nine months of this year were still less deadly than the corresponding period in 2015.
September witnessed the highest level of mortality since the end of the second wave. More interestingly, it was the first month of the year in which several causes of death other than Covid were above their five-year averages. After months of disruption to healthcare access and provision, are we now seeing the impact of lockdown on mortality?
To join in with the discussion please make a donation to The Daily Sceptic.
Profanity and abuse will be removed and may lead to a permanent ban.
When fantasy and reality meet, there is only one winner.
Absolutely marvellous news. What a grand way to start the weekend.
Oh dear, never mind. Next WEF toss pot please.
Couldn’t agree more 👍
One does have to worry about the 72k who are left…
1/3 are Muslim.
1/3 LGBTQZ+++.
1/3 Retarded.
Any Scottish at all?🤣
Not known as the Special Needs Party for nothing..
😀 😀 😀
Muslim number far too high. Glasgow neds and Dundee tossers increase the retarded by 100% and the number of Queers is about right
There have been so many final nails in the SNP coffin, like their idea to criminalise what people say in their own living rooms under absurd Hate Speech Laws, or the Named Person Scheme, whereby a government appointed person like a teacher or other professional would observe and report back to government on the “welfare” of each child up to the age of 16 (or maybe 18). Yet Scots still backed this anti English, Anti Tory bunch of eco socialists that wanted to pour concrete in oil and gas wells, in a kind of scorched earth pact with the commy Greens. But I am so glad to see that Scots have finally been aroused from their sleepwalking, and it took this insidious gender garbage to awaken them.
“But I am so glad to see that Scots have finally been aroused from their sleepwalking”
I hope you are right but the jury is still out on this as far as I am concerned.
“aroused from their sleepwalking” does not imply that the party is over for the SNP. I don’t for one second take that for granted. But I speak to a lot of SNP supporters, and what I see is that they mainly vote SNP because they HATE tories.. They think somehow that if they get away from Westminster and run off with the Germans that they will be in control of their own affairs. —-They could not be more wrong. All they would be in the EU is Local Administrators putting in place diktats from Brussels. They have blinkers on when it comes to all the Gender, Hate Speech absurd eco policies that wants rid of oil and gas. All they see is “I hate tories”. These same people used to vote Labour, till they fell out of love with Blair, so they started to vote for the only other bunch of socialists available. The SNP ——I am hoping that these parasites are now on the way out, but I never assume.
As a person living in Scotland for the last 30 years and was in politics – you are spot on and you most probably live in Scotland to know that. Peopl ‘Down South’ have no real concept of the anti English feeling that permeates throughout Scotland. The support for SNPs has no logic whatsoever, and particularly when one looks at the policy debacle in education, health and commerce – it is almost entirely driven by being anti English and anti Tory.
Good points.
“absurd Hate Speech Laws, or the Named Person Scheme, whereby a government appointed person like a teacher or other professional would observe and report back to government”
Or witch finder general, as he/they/them used to be known! 🧙♀️
Best news since stepping down!
I would argue that the parties have all become ‘uniformly left-wing organisations’ instead of right-wing ones. Otherwise, he is correct: https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2022/10/the-party-is-over/
“… Those who lead political parties – and here comes my promised perception – believe they don’t actually need members any more. Almost nobody attends hustings meetings, nobody reads leaflets and nobody engages with canvassers. Elections are now fought almost entirely through the mainstream media, and online.
For the modern campaign, parties need paid PR practitioners and they need paid troll farms. They don’t need little old men and women going door to door, other than once or twice for a candidate photocall.
The members, bluntly, are redundant old nuisances in the eyes of the political class. Nobodies who presume a right to have a say in party policy which should be dictated by the professionals.
Nor do they need the members’ subscription money. Starmer is delighted to have shed hundreds of thousands of Corbyn supporting members, to pursue instead corporate and billionaire money. The SNP Conference in Aberdeen was simply a festival of corporate lobbying. The Tories have always run on dark money in huge tranches.
Then there is the ever increasing largesse of Short money – taxpayer funds which the political class have awarded themselves to fund their party administrations. This state funding of political parties is one of the very worst innovations of my lifetime and fundamental to the development of our careerist and unprincipled political class.
The UK’s political parties are becoming uniformly right-wing organisations which represent a very narrow spectrum of views – those of the corporate sector and billionaire donors; who also of course own the mainstream media, which thus has precisely the same narrow spectrum of view.
This is a fundamental change in what a political party is – it no longer is a free association of citizens holding a common political outlook and working to elect representatives to support that philosophy. This great change in society – which renders western “democracy” entirely meaningless – is being consolidated before our eyes.
The destruction of Corbyn and his member-supported left-wing programme is mirrored in the destruction of Truss and her member-supported right-wing programme.
Nobody is allowed any longer to put forward any programme that is not within the narrow and entirely unimaginative confines of the professional political class.
An election that pitched Corbyn against Truss would offer voters a real choice between two radically different visions of society, with the Lib Dems as an option for those who liked neither. That would be a real democracy. But it is not to be permitted to voters.
Irrespective of what Labour and Conservative Party members would like to offer, the electorate is likely to be presented with Sunak or Starmer, two people so close in political outlook and policy there really is little point in turning up to vote. In Scotland you can choose the SNP, with the same basic economic policies and no genuine desire to change much on the constitution.
This of course links to the ease with which the “markets” were able to destroy the Truss/Kwarteng mildly radical economic policy. Be in no doubt the “markets” would have done precisely the same to Corbyn/McDonnell. Again, no actual political choice that deviates from our unseen masters is to be permitted.
That is a much larger subject, for another day.”
“…. becoming uniformly right wing organisations…. ” Really, is that how you see it? I hope I don’t come across you when out driving on the ‘right’ side of the road!!
“Ms. Sturgeon insisted her 89-year-old party was experiencing “growing pains” during the contest.”
Sounds more like dying pains to me!
Everything comes to she / he / they who wait…or not, in some instances 😂 🤣
I bet she’s feeling cranky and rankled.
Meanwhile these members will get to vote for the next leader of the party who are still in charge. The Scottish people still have to put up with whatever nonsense the SNP + Greens come up with until the next election. The ill effects of that partnership will linger for sometime.