The Strange Story of Week 48
by Guy de la Bédoyère Dr Mike Yeadon’s fascinating ariticle on the Pseudo Epidemic got me thinking. The Government likes to highlight how bad this year has been by citing only the five-year average of deaths by comparing one week with its counterpart over previous years. So, I decided to play the same game but by looking back over eleven years. What the Government also doesn’t appear to do is consider the fact that the population is rising annually in the UK. I therefore divided the population for each year 2010–2019 into 67 million (which is approximately what it will be at the end of this year) to provide me with a factor I could use to multiply the death figures for a given week in England and Wales (Week 48, this year ending November 27th for which the ONS has supplied a figure for registered deaths of 12,456) to get a truer picture of the impact of Covid. The death figures on the left and the annual amount of the England and Wales population are taken from the ONS. YearDeaths for Week 48 (England and Wales)Population of England and Wales (millions)Weighted deaths for Week 48 (based on a continuous 2020 England and Wales population of 59.7 million)20109,22055.69,89920119,20356.19,79320129,39456.69,90820139,63657.010,09220149,92857.410,32520159,82257.910,127201610,43958.410,671201710,53858.710,717201810,03359.110,134201910,95859.411,0132020 (theoretical non-Covid)*11,13159.7 (estimated)11,1452020 (actual)12,45659.7 (estimated)12,456 (3,040 CV, 9,416 remainder) *Had there been ...