Day: 26 November 2020

The problem Across Europe, including in the UK, we see the following: Daily ‘cases’ sky-rocketed in Europe as Autumn arrived.Daily deaths labelled as ‘Covid deaths’ rose in line with ‘cases’ – to levels apparently higher than at the Spring peak.BUT: Total all-cause mortality does not reflect the above. What is behind this conundrum? The central thesis of this paper is that we have a major problem with PCR-testing. This is distorting policy and creating the illusion that we are in a serious pandemic when in fact we are not. This is causing: Excess deaths due to restricted access to the NHS.An NHS staffing crisis which is exacerbating matters.Unprecedented assaults on civil liberties and the economy. What we need to do about this: Stop mass-testing using PCR in the UK and replace with Lateral Flow Tests where required.Other recommendations as detailed later in this document. It should be noted that legal cases and technical challenges to PCR mass-testing are growing across Europe, including in the UK. NB: The info contained in this paper is merely illustrative of some of the key issues and does not represent the totality of the evidence available.   The current problem is that both Covid cases and Covid deaths are being overstated massively due to confused definitions and poor measurements. Claims of Covid deaths should be ...

Lockdown 3.0 Set to Continue to Summer 2021 Despite all the vaccine optimism and the promise of a relaxation of the rules over Christmas, the dreadful financial forecasts by the OBR yesterday came with some underlying assumptions that appear to foresee restrictions continuing until summer 2021. Guido Fawkes has done the digging. The Chancellor, in his statement today, used the forecasts from the OBR’s “central scenario” when it comes to Covid complications. So Guido took a look at those underlying assumptions. The OBR assumes, presumably with good reason given how closely it works with the Treasury, widespread deployment of a vaccine by the middle of 2021, not by the Spring, with a high to medium level of restrictions until then. The differences in implied borrowing, growth, and scarring are stark.The “upside” scenario the Government is clearly not confident of taking place, involves restrictions “broadly equivalent” to October 2020’s tiers 1 and 2. The Government’s modelled upside is the previous tiered system. Meanwhile the "central scenario" expects the whole country to be between tiers 2 and 3 right through until “mid 2021“. No household mixing until June…As Boris stated earlier this week, his post-lockdown plan is for a “new, stronger and more sustainable tiers framework on December 2nd", styled as “tougher than in October” – reinforcing the Government’s view that we will find ourselves in the OBR’s “central scenario” where ...