A former senior figure at the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has criticised his old employer for breaching the Code of Practice for Statistics over its biased presentation of data relating to the vaccines.
James Wells, a statistician who served as head of the ONS UK trade team until 2019, has written to the UK Statistics Authority objecting to a new report, published November 1st, which leads with the statistic that “the age-adjusted risk of deaths involving coronavirus (COVID-19) was 32 times greater in unvaccinated people than in fully vaccinated individuals”.
However, as James points out, this statistic uses data from January 2nd to September 24th 2021, which includes the bulk of the winter deaths at a time when almost no one was vaccinated. This massively skews the implied vaccine effectiveness, as a fair comparison would only include periods when a significant proportion of the country was vaccinated.
An earlier version of the same report was released in September using data from January 2nd to July 2nd, which I criticised at the time. It made a similarly sensational claim about the high number of deaths in the unvaccinated compared to the vaccinated, garnering headlines that just 1% of deaths in the first six months of 2021 (640 out of over 50,000) were in fully vaccinated people. This was technically true, but completely misleading in terms of what it appeared to tell us about the effectiveness of the vaccines. Neither the ONS nor the journalists reporting on the data took care to make this clear.
In fact, according to PHE data, around 70% of deaths in August were in the double-vaccinated, not 1% – though that by itself is also misleading as an indication of vaccine effectiveness as it takes no account of how many were vaccinated. An estimate of unadjusted vaccine effectiveness (VE) against death from the raw data suggests VE was around 70% in the over-80s in August (dropping to 58% in the most recent report), and around 90% in 30-39 year-olds. This corresponds to more like a two to 10 times higher risk of death in the unvaccinated, not 32 times (though the estimates may need adjusting for biases in the raw data; on the other hand, studies from Israel and Sweden have found similar drops in vaccine effectiveness against death within six months).
The new ONS report stresses that “age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs) can be affected by differing characteristics of the population in the vaccination status groups and the changing COVID-19 infection rate”. It therefore warns that “the ASMRs do not show causal links between vaccines and risk of mortality”. However, that note appears halfway through and is unlikely to prevent the misunderstanding of the top-line figure, which is presented as though (and most people will assume) it is telling us something about vaccine effectiveness. After all, why else present mortality risk split by vaccination status? The implication the ONS wants us to draw about the vaccines from its headline statistic is clear, whatever its notes halfway down the page might say.
James Wells is right to object to this misleading presentation of statistics, apparently to serve a Government narrative. Let us hope the criticisms brought by him and others will bring about positive change in how the ONS and other official bodies present Covid statistics.
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“Let’s make Climate Change the central organising principle of civilisation” —John Kerry.
There is nothing that the One World Government people won’t do to do stuff climate change panic down everyone’s throats. They will say anything, do anything, lie, cheat, steal and brainwash———But all for the “greater good”. ——Assuming that the “greater good” is a world run by technocrats at the UN/ WEF who no one ever heard of or voted for.
Exactomondo ( again ), and I think Ivor Cummins does a great job at explaining where all of this crazy BS originates in this 20min vid. This’ll be teaching you how to suck eggs but for others less well read I think he provides a fantastic explainer here.
Sorry not sorry to the resident misogynists and obsessives but Ivor doesn’t mention feminism as being the cause of the downfall of civilization once. Perhaps try following the money for a change. In fact, ”Gender equality and the empowerment of women” is yet another agenda being pushed by these *largely male-dominated* elites and globalist entities, along with climate, Digi I.D, mass immigration and Scamdemics. As ever, I apportion blame for the decimation of society where it rightly belongs, which this vid covers very clearly;
”Fascism, Communism or something else – which is it running the world today?”
https://x.com/FatEmperor/status/1765361884641845527
These guys seem to be mad keen on all things gender identity and DEI-related. I think the ‘Alphabet Mafia’ must be happy to receive support from such big players. From 2020;
”As the world continues to grapple with the unprecedented global health crisis of COVID-19, the scale of the related global economic crisis is becoming increasingly clear. We are facing the sharpest economic contraction since the Great Depression in the 1930s, according to the United Nations – threatening to roll back decades of progress in the fight against poverty.
At the same time as taking emergency measures to minimize the immediate economic impacts of the pandemic, governments around the world are looking to position themselves for recovery. A new analysis of economic resilience offers a potential clue to which economies may be able to recover faster: LGBT+ inclusion is correlated to the resilience of a country’s economy.
The analysis by Open For Business, a coalition of companies advancing LGBT+ equality, shows a strong positive correlation (0.67) between how resilient an economy is and how accepting it is of LGBT+ people (see the chart below). This is a significant finding: a one-point increase in social acceptance suggests a three-point increase in that economy’s economic resilience index, even when controlling for GDP per capita. Could LGBT+ inclusion be a secret ingredient for economic resilience?
The connection between resilience and inclusion is widely accepted by policy-makers. The World Bank describes “inclusive communities” as a key dimension of sustainable, resilient cities. The OECD identifies “inclusive society” as a driver of resilience in a city. The IMF contends that an economy is “more fragile and less resilient when it is not inclusive”. A report by UN Habitat finds that inclusion is required for a “successful urban resilience agenda”.
Now is the time to be embracing LGBT+ communities, not stigmatizing them. Creating inclusive societies isn’t just the right thing to do; as the evidence shows, it’s an important part of an economic strategy focused on resilience and recovery.”
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/06/lgbt-inclusion-cities-post-covid-reset-recovery/
Useful summary, but I did find myself trying to predict the next “Yadda, yadda, yadda.”
Cheers——–I am in the Climate Change Department when it comes to attacking the Progressive left and their One World Government aspirations all based on a pack of lies. You know they are lying when they want to lock you up for being a “denier”. ——-So that is where my focus is and has been since 2007. I won’t therefore be as knowledgeable on Gender, pandemics and vaccine stuff as others like yourself. But I can see that if anything comes out of the UN where 70% of the Nations are run by Kings, Colonels, Tyrants and Dictators, then I want NOTHING TO DO WITH IT, and neither should anyone who appreciates freedom and prosperity, because these people have a goal. That goal is to remove all of that.
Yes, but that’s because they want population reduction and “gender, equality and the empowerment of women” is part of the process to achieve it.
Yes but you can’t have it both ways. We constantly hear about how many countries have a birth rate below replacement level, on the surface the ‘solution’ to this is to just keep shipping in migrants from far away lands. That’s their excuse anyway. And yet we scratch the surface and see who is behind the orchestration of this, from way back when, and all other agendas being pushed. It’s the usual suspects; Rockefeller, Club of Rome, UN, WEF, ‘Big Finance’, the WHO obviously play a big role with the scamdemic element. But all of the agendas our governments are pushing are coming from the same shady organizations. They create the ‘problem’ then supply the ‘solution’, thereby deconstructing and reconfiguring our societies to their liking. How many cabinets do you suppose Schwab has penetrated by now in order to make this all possible? We refer to them as ‘puppet politicians’ for a reason, after all.
Agreed. Feminism, gender equality, and empowerment of women are not the problem per se at all. Rather, it has been co-opted, appropriated, neutered, watered down, and twisted and perverted by the oligarchy for their own nefarious ends.
Yes, quite. It reminds me of the whole ‘Pride’/LGB movement, whereby once the T+ people got onboard and hijacked it we now have something unrecognizable from what its original objective was, not to mention extremely toxic and sinister for kids and vulnerable young people to be exposed to. Operating like a cult, essentially. No wonder at all that gays, lesbians and bis wish to distance themselves from the ‘Transtifa’ banshee mob.
Similarly, I’d hazard a guess that most women who identify themselves as feminists don’t go around hating men, looking to score ‘microaggression’ points wherever they can and advocating that a woman should have the right to abort a baby at full term. These people are both deranged and heinous.
You don’t need to wear the label of ‘feminist’ to fight the trans agenda and speak out about protecting female sports and single-sex spaces because obviously men should be onboard with doing this anyway. Fathers do have daughters and they should be stepping up to the plate just as much as women, who are impacted the most. Huge respect too for the self-identified feminists who are doing great work in third world countries and tackling gender apartheid and all the horrific abuses/stories we’re all well aware of which come out of certain countries by now. I think we all know that Islam plays a major part here. But again, I would argue that the whole ‘feminism’ angle is now unnecessary and obsolete because what we have here is a human rights issue, therefore is it not better to refer to oneself as a ”human rights activist” as opposed to ”feminist”? Also this way it involves men and non-feminist women.
I personally just feel feminism as a movement has had its time, everything nowadays, whether in the Western world or developing ( including Muslim/Arab ) world falls under ‘human rights abuses’. The ‘F’ word has now become quite a divisive and out dated concept.
Anyhoo True, don’t be a stranger.
Well-said.
Do you think this lady’s a raging militant feminist or just an assertive woman sticking up for her human rights? I do hope she’s okay though as I’ve seen how the evil f***ers operate over there;
”In Iran, the ‘morality police’ gets shouted at by woman who refuses to cover up:
“Shut the f*ck up. I sh*t on your law.”
https://x.com/NiohBerg/status/1825101102682939897
I personally consider her a hero.
My recent debunking of the climate change hoax: can anyone rebut it?https://metatron.substack.com/p/debunking-the-climate-change-hoax
You posted that link a month or so ago. ——I read it back then ad I have been saying pretty much the same as that since I first started to investigate this issue back in 2007. –cheers
Child bride marriages found are exclusively in the cults of Muhammad and the Hindu cult.
These travesties of abuse and slavery have nothing to do with the weather.
There, fixed the article for everyone.
Hopefully I won’t be imprisoned for stating the truth.
Ah yes “The Truth”——What is that again? —-Or as Mark Twain joked “A lie spreads half way around the world while the truth is still tying it’s laces”——The Progressive left’s lies have spread all over the western world and the only way they can avoid being exposed is to silence all debate, and call your truth a hate crime.
A couple of years ago it was Covid that was causing an increase in child marriages.
I wish the propagandists would make their mind up.
Personally, I think it’s because Pakistan is a backward, Islamic State where females are treated like property and like any “commodity” they can be bought and sold for a price.
The article suggests that economic insecurity drives child
abusemarriage. I’m not convinced that a reasonable response to economic insecurity is to rape a child.However, the biggest recent cause of economic insecurity was the lockdowns. People in the developing world lost their livelihoods when the West stopped buying tat for a while.
And the same can be said for most of the BBC’s output.
Drought de signeur!
Copied from elsewhere.
Classic Horseshoe Theory in action.
Where does this sit relative to Mrs Balls’ proposal for extreme mysogeny = terrorism? Has she thought it through, or do cultural norms get a pass?
Cultural Norm? Yeeha! Squeal piggy, squeal!