Does admitting patients suspected of having COVID-19 to hospital increase the spread of the virus? That’s one explanation for why the number of deaths in the Italian region of Veneto is so much lower than in Lombardy. As of Saturday, April 4th, Lombardy had a case fatality rate (CFR) of 17.6%, while Veneto’s CFR was just 5.6%. The population of Lombardy is 10 million and Veneto 4.9 million, but Lombardy had recorded 8,656 Covid deaths by April 4th, while Veneto had recorded 607.
Part of the reason for this discrepancy is that the authorities have done much more testing and contact tracing in Veneto. But another reason may be that far fewer people suspected of having the virus have been admitted to hospital in Veneto. In Lombardy, 65% of patients diagnosed with COVID-19 were admitted to hospital at the start of the outbreak, while in Veneto only 20% of people were. The theory isn’t that people diagnosed with the virus are more likely to die if admitted to hospital, but that the higher percentage of admissions in Lombardy meant non-COVID-19 patients and hospital staff were more likely to be infected and then infect others.
A group of doctors from the Papa Giovanni XXIII hospital in Bergamo wrote a paper for the New England Journal of Medicine setting out this theory last month. “We are learning that hospitals might be the main COVID-19 carriers,” they wrote. “They are rapidly populated by infected patients, facilitating transmission to uninfected patients.”
If this theory is correct, it suggests that the policy of ramping up the NHS’s capacity to treat patients with COVID-19, and admitting more and more of them, may be spreading the infection. If the NHS’s admission criteria for Covid patients changes, and more patients are told to remain in their homes, as the Papa Giovanni XXIII hospital staff are recommending, that could mean relaxing the social distancing measures won’t result in the NHS becoming overwhelmed.
Further Reading
‘At the Epicenter of the Covid-19 Pandemic and Humanitarian Crises in Italy: Changing Perspectives on Preparation and Mitigation‘, Mirco Nacoti, MD, et al, New England Journal of Medicine, March 21st 2020
‘Fewer deaths in Veneto offer clues for fight against virus‘ by Miles Johnson, Financial Times, April 5th 2020
‘Hospitalising coronavirus patients can cause more deaths, Italy data suggests‘ by Nick Squares, The Telegraph, April 6th 2020
‘Ground Zero: When the Cure is Worse than the Disease‘ by Jonathan Tepper, Medium, April 13th 2020
‘When Our Hospitals Are The Pandemic Superspreaders‘ by Jonathan Tepper, April 20th 2020
‘The Ongoing Problem of UK Hospital Acquired Infections‘ by Carl Heneghan, et al, CEBM, October 30th 2020
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“Kamala looks exhausted”. I think the polite term is “tired and emotional”.
As tired as a newt?
Brilliant— that really made me laugh!
She looked pi$$ed to me!
The speech she just gave to the camera, swop the camera for a mirror and it will make perfect sense
Can Ukraine’s army survive its deserter crisis?
It would be very surprising if desertions were not a huge problem on both sides.
Certainly, on the Russian side, the leadership is dire:
‘The Russian military channels are in disarray following claims of a new “order” to confiscate civilian vehicles, including those privately purchased by soldiers. The controversy began with a voice message warning that such vehicles would be seized and destroyed on the spot, while the drivers and their commanders would be sent on “meat grinder” assault missions. Allegedly, this directive applies across the entire front line.’
Probably not many will realise how stupid this order is.
For perspective:
‘Modern soldiers might wonder what we are all on about, however I am sure certain Range Complexes in the UK still see an enterprising burger van turn up and you then see the resulting large black bin bag of quickly disposed of, half frozen pack lunches!
However, never mind how good those burger vans are, they will not compare with the legendary Wolfgang! His Blue Schnellie Van (Schnellie, British Army slang from the German word for quick food shop – Schnell Imbiss) would roam the large Soltau Training area, in North east (West) Germany.
It did not matter how good your camouflage was, he would find you and then any semblance of tactics would go out the window as soldiers rushed to him for Chips mit mayo, Bratwurst mit senf’
Schnellies were also known as Bratty wagons. These alternatives to repetitive rations are important to morale in any army.
To the Russian Army, they are a lifeline. Russian resupply is, essentially, large numbers of Bratty wagons, one reason why their progress is so slow; but progress it is.
If the Russian Generals get rid of their ‘Bratty Wagen’ resupply system, they should beware the consequences
Meanwhile, let me explain what is going on:
‘What the Ukrainian army is doing, particularly on the southern flank near Pokrovsk and in the Kurakhove direction, is classic manoeuvre defence. The goal here isn’t to hold the territory but to inflict maximum losses on the enemy and buy time to set up stronger defensive positions where it makes sense.
Ukrainian troops maintain positional defence where they can, and where that’s not possible, they adopt manoeuvre defence. And they’re doing it successfully.’
Putin has major problems:
‘Hidden inflation in Russia indicates that Western financial sanctions are far more effective than many observers believe. Russia cannot borrow money abroad and is forced to live solely on taxes and reserves, which are also dwindling. In 2021, the National Wealth Fund was at its peak, with $183 billion in its accounts. By March 2024, the fund’s reserves had decreased to $55 billion, with most of these funds already invested and not liquid.’
Putin is exceptionally vulnerable to a reduction in the price of oil.
President Trump understands this and is a consummate negotiator. He knows his versatile exhortation: ‘Drill, baby, drill!’ will reverberate within the damp and chilly walls of the Kremlin.
So, on balance:
‘Hard pounding this, gentlemen; let’s see who will pound longest’
Let us not forget that part of the Duke of Wellington’s army fled the field at Waterloo and that victory was ‘the nearest-run thing you ever saw in your life’.
Both Russia and Ukraine will lose this war, as far as I can see.
Great point.
The difference being that Europe/America will rebuild Ukraine in order to create a prosperous and democratic member of the EU.
The U.S. is the winner.
Its strategy of weakening Russia so that it can no longer invade its neighbours has succeeded beyond all expectations.
Hopefully not in the way they’re “rebuilt” the likes of Bulgaria and Romania. Basically sold everything industrial off to foreign asset strippers while selling the land to foreign agro-corporations, leaving the indigenous population with no choice but to seek their luck abroad.
As the Heroic Jew Henry Makow pointed out, the Russia-Ukraine Meatgrinder War is more about KILLING SLAVS than winning the war.
Precisely, its a means to ethnically clense Ukraine as it is to become a second Jewish state.
Zelensky and Putin are in cahoots….
Yes, Zelensky & Putin really are in cahoots, and you are one of the very few people wide awake enough to see it.
Evidence free assertions.
Or the usual complete and utter nonsense.
Thursday Morning Eastern by Pass Rd,
Heyford Hill Roundabout Oxford
Our hugest beeping fest ever.
The SAS have been betrayed in the name of human rights
‘The SAS veterans say they don’t necessarily want Britain to leave the ECHR, but they would like the government of the day to use powers in the convention to suspend Article 2 – the right to life – during war or national emergency.’
Simm repeats a saying variously attributed to Orwell, Churchill or Kipling: ‘We sleep soundly in our beds because rough men stand ready in the night to visit violence on those who would do us harm.’
One day, those men may not be there when we turn to them for help.
And guess what?:
‘The SAS see what happened to the Met’s armed police unit, SO19, which used to get thousands of applications to join. There were apparently just six after a police sergeant was prosecuted for shooting the London gangster Chris Kaba.’
Britain, Europe, is about to witness what decent national leadership, ‘warts and all’, looks like in America.
Then, in five long years time, it will be our turn.
The hope must be: that can be soon enough for the SAS, SO19 and our struggling, diminutive Armed Services.
“Reeves faces fresh embarrassment over unearthed winter fuel pledge”
Erm.
10m x £300 = £3bn
Treasury saving £1.4bn
Where did the other £1.6bn go, and did Rachel ask Louise to do the arithmetic for her?
“worth up to £300” does not mean “worth £300”, therefore multiplying “10m x £300” is not the correct sum.
If the winter fuel allowance had not been removed from most pensioners, most of these pensioners would have received either £200 or £100, only a minority would have received £300.
So it was already means tested in some way? Interesting.
My only experience of winter fuel allowance was dealing with my mother’s accounts. She got £300. I’ve deferred my state pension so I don’t know what I would have got – I guess whatever the lower limit was.
Talking of which… maybe it’s time to activate my state pension.
Pension deferment is rarely in anybody’s best interest. Do the sums and you will soon understand why.
Not my own best interest – that of my inheritors. However, the arithmetic has changed – gifts from excess income seem to be in their best interest now.
No, it was never means tested. It depends on age, those over 80 get £300, those under 80 get £200, and also two pensioners living together don’t each get the full amount.
Big Pharma SILENCED Scientists on COVID | Dr Mike Yeadon | Neil Oliver
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HUTA6t6dae0&list=WL&index=5 13 minutes – with a little clip of JB in it.
“Britain cannot sustain these immigration levels”
And in The Independent on MSN…
UK immigration figures breakdown: Where migrants are from and why they are arriving
“Since June 2021, at least 3.6 MILLION IMMIGRANTS have entered the UK.”
“The country with the HIGHEST NUMBER OF PEOPLE entering the UK is
INDIA, followed by NIGERIA.”
“The SAS have been betrayed in the name of human rights”
Yes, they have been utterly betrayed, along with the entire Armed Forces of the West, by our own Globalist politicians and the Globalist “Kritocracy”= “Rule By Judges”.
All part of the plan to drive Ethnic Europeans (= “White People”) out of the Armed Forces of the West, to replace them with Third World Criminals eager and willing to attack the Ethnic European population.
Just like the Fake Russia-Ukraine War started by the Globalist Puppets Putin & his secret friend Zelensky, which has no other purpose than to kill Ethnic European Slavs in both countries.
“The Great Replacement”, otherwise known as “White Genocide”.
“Britain has a blasphemy law in all but name”
Here’s a great photo and quote from a great man:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GW-hsURXgAAz7q5?format=png&name=small