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A Few Hot Days in June is Not Evidence of Catastrophic Global Warming

by Chris Morrison
19 June 2022 7:00 AM

A few warm days in June and the BBC slips seamlessly into full weather catastrophisation mode. “Is the U.K. getting hotter?” it asks. “Experts have said it’s rare to see temperatures this high at this point in June.” Back on terra firma, at 50°N, it is debatable whether the U.K. is currently getting hotter, and while 30°C in June might not be an every-year occurrence, it is hardly rare.

Surface temperature measurements plotted by the Met Office confirm my often stated observation that recent warming seen in the U.K. and the northern hemisphere has run out of steam. BBC science reporter Georgina Rannard writes that over the last three decades “the U.K. has become 0.9°C warmer”. Looking at the graph above, it can be seen that most of this warming occurred in the 1990s. She might have more informatively noted that in the last 22 years, the U.K. temperature has risen by 0.2°C. Clinging to 1990s data to boost suggestions of current warming is widespread across the BBC. In Scotland, the recent temperature record is even flatter than the U.K. as a whole, but last March Professor Dame Julia King, a member of the Government-sponsored Climate Change Committee, told the BBC that temperatures had risen by 0.5°C over the last 30 years.

The Met Office publishes mean U.K. temperature readings regularly. I have been looking at them for a few years and they do not appear to have been adjusted or changed. They show that the 2010s were colder at 9.17°C than the preceding 2000s, when the overall average was higher at 9.31°C. This is in marked contrast to the Met Office global temperature dataset HadCRUT, where we have seen two major human-adjusted uplifts during the last decade, producing around 30% of extra heating. In addition, some historical records have been lowered. All the major global temperature datasets have made similar adjustments. As a result, their upward trend lines do not align with many measurements made by satellites and meteorological balloons. These records are out of line with local recordings showing obvious temperature slowing, as we can see in the U.K.

Rennard goes on to note that the summer of 2018 was the UK’s second warmest, shared with 1995. Not according to the Met Office figures it wasn’t. 2018 was 15.76°C, whereas 1995 only came in at 15.62°C. However, it is a fairly meaningless difference. If one takes the tiny change between the two as within the margin of error, we find that two further summers since then were just as hot. It might be more accurate to just say that the U.K. has the occasional nice summer. In fact, the Met Office U.K. database itself may be overstating actual warming, since the explosion in urban development since the second world war has boosted urban heat generation. The Met Office often quotes the temperature at Heathrow airport – sometimes, even, with a straight face.

No BBC weather story is complete without constant reference to other material asking, ”Are soaring temperatures linked to climate change?”, and stating the “U.K. is already undergoing disruptive climate change.” Rennard notes a report on “climate extremes” in the U.K. that found recent years “have seen both higher maximum temperatures and longer warm spells”.

It all depends how you define recent years. There is hardly what one could call a significant recent trend towards “higher maximum temperatures”. Over the last 20 years, all the average highs were below the record set in 1976. But according to the BBC, the trend towards higher maximums is predicted to continue. “It is possible that by 2100, the U.K. could see 40°C days every three to four years.”

The last few days were hot in Britain. It was a brief warm spell driven by natural forces, namely hot air being driven up from the south. The BBC says experts note that it is rare to see temperatures this high in June. But a couple of hot days hardly proves that human-caused climate change is responsible. Let’s look at the record for June and try to observe a trend towards hotter days.

If you are trying to promote climate Armageddon, it might not be a good idea to publish a graph showing that the average June maximum temperature recordings in the U.K. were similar to those observed 150 years ago. The world has warmed by around 1°C since the start of the industrial revolution and the emergence from the preceding so-called little ice age. This would appear to explain the small 0.2°C increase in the June trend line from about 1890.

Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor

Tags: Climate AlarmismClimate changeClimate JournalismGlobal WarmingPropaganda

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19 Comments
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David Beaton
David Beaton
3 years ago

Best news from Scotland for two nightmare years.

“Cancel Culture” and the all out assault on our basic values and freedoms simply must must be stopped if what is still left of our civilisation is to survive.

Last edited 3 years ago by David Beaton
50
0
fla56
fla56
3 years ago
Reply to  David Beaton

True but welcoming in esp current SNP members is surely inviting the fox into the henhouse -I remain to be convinced that any SNP member has anything other than selfish desires for the FSU

12
-1
Hugh
Hugh
3 years ago
Reply to  fla56

I remember a story about an SNP MSP who went to work on Ash Wednesday with ashes on her forehead. In the days of I Like Salmon, they were quite conciliatory towards churchgoers. With things as they are now, I can certainly believe that some members would feel they have reason supporting the FSU. As almost all separatist activists in Scotland seem to coalesce around the SNP, presumably they are quite a “broad church”, and don’t all agree with some of the first fish’s nonsense. I assume that there are separatists who see her as an embarrassment to the independence movement and to Scotland.

Last edited 3 years ago by Hugh
3
0
Rogerborg
Rogerborg
3 years ago
Reply to  fla56

That leapt out at me too, but Sillars is an old (old) school Nat who actually worked in the real world before getting into politics, in stark contrast to the carefully groomed career creatures infesting the party now.

He needs to be treated with caution, but repentant sinners can make the most zealous converts.

3
0
James Macpherson
James Macpherson
3 years ago
Reply to  fla56

Yes, I was perplexed, to say the least, by something so utterly out of character for anyone associated with the SNP, however peripherally, never mind someone so close to the centre. I’d treat with caution . . .

(I speak as a Scot)

0
0
RedhotScot
RedhotScot
3 years ago
Reply to  David Beaton

Nickerless will be scheming already.

7
0
ComeTheRevolution
ComeTheRevolution
3 years ago

Its very disheartening to see so many on here have swallowed the big lie about a novel virus based on unvalidated fraudulent tests and not a lot else. Here is another piece of the puzzle showing how the whole thing really is just a massive scam – rebranding old illnesses, plus not mentioned in this article, killing people and calling it covid – ventilators and remdesevir and midazolam for example – plus outright death certificate forgery to bump up the numbers. All very well known in these parts, but still most believe there is a novel virus among all this crime and deceit. Its unreal.

Was Covid19 a re-branded flu?
https://off-guardian.org/2022/04/12/was-covid19-a-re-branded-flu/

20
-5
RW
RW
3 years ago
Reply to  ComeTheRevolution

No in the sense that it was/ is similar but not identical. Yes in the sense that it was of similar importance (or lack thereof).

8
0
fla56
fla56
3 years ago
Reply to  ComeTheRevolution

’CTR’ please take COVID-denial pseudo-science drivel like this somewhere else, this is a facts-driven site for the scientifically-minded

Or you might just be a COVID-fanatic trying to spread false conspiracy ideas to tarnish the site? Who knows…

3
-14
Nessimmersion
Nessimmersion
3 years ago
Reply to  fla56

Why are you denying the massive overuse of Midazolam?

Remember so far the tinfoil hat conspiracy theorists are up 52 – nil

8
0
RedhotScot
RedhotScot
3 years ago
Reply to  Nessimmersion

More being added by the day.

6
0
Hugh
Hugh
3 years ago
Reply to  Nessimmersion

Goodness, you’ve managed to keep count – well done!

3
0
CovidiotAntiMasker
CovidiotAntiMasker
3 years ago
Reply to  ComeTheRevolution

Interesting article, certainly a very plausible theory, the flu did seem to do a disappearing act, an off duty GP assured me this anomaly was due to social distancing, masks and lockdowns etc.

3
0
Rogerborg
Rogerborg
3 years ago
Reply to  ComeTheRevolution

tl;dr summary: “Ignore the many labs who have independently sequenced SARS-COV-2 and determined that it is indeed a novel coronavirus. Based solely on under-reporting of influenza, I assume and therefore assert as a fact that SARS-COV-2 does not exist.”

It’s fine to be sceptical, but that’s not worth reading in full.

0
0
TheRightToArmBears
TheRightToArmBears
3 years ago
Reply to  ComeTheRevolution

You really have swallowed the scam, because those of us who really know call it the common cold.

0
0
thinkcriticall
thinkcriticall
3 years ago

URGENT!!! Comment on the WHO treaty **NOW**
Comments CLOSE in less than 21 hours from now! It will take you <2 minutes to do. Here’s exactly how to comment.

https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/urgent-comment-on-the-who-treaty?r=o7iqo&s=w&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

4
0
Hugh
Hugh
3 years ago
Reply to  thinkcriticall

Done (again, for what it’s worth. I suspect that big pharma and their collaborators will find ways of punishing rebel states).
Is this what the New World Order looks like?

Last edited 3 years ago by Hugh
3
0
Rogerborg
Rogerborg
3 years ago
Reply to  thinkcriticall

Why do you keep calling this a “treaty”?

0
0
John Dee
John Dee
3 years ago
Reply to  Rogerborg

If memory serves (and it usually doesn’t) that’s the term used by the WHO.

0
0
Lockdown Sceptic
Lockdown Sceptic
3 years ago

Tuesday Horse & Groom roundabout) Bracknell (Downshire Way Broad Lane & Bagshot Road) a great response and 2 new recruits for Bracknell Stand in the Park on Sunday.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FKFjjWDA0-8
The video is from Brian who joined us from Woking!

Stand for freedom with our Yellow Boards By The Road next events 

Thursday 14th April 3pm to 4pm
Yellow Boards
Junction A329 Reading Rd 
& Station Approach
Wokingham RG41 1EH 

Monday 18th April 2pm to 3pm
Yellow Boards
Junction A3095 Warfield Rd/
A329 Millennium Way
Bracknell RG12 2XT

Stand in the Park Sundays from 10am – make friends & keep sane 

Wokingham Howard Palmer Gardens 
(Cockpit Path car park free on Sunday) 
Sturges Rd RG40 2HD   

Bracknell  
South Hill Park, Rear Lawn, RG12 7PA

Telegram http://t.me/astandintheparkbracknell

9
-2
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
3 years ago

I wish all involved in FSU Scotland the very best.

At least this will wind up Krankie.

12
0
CynicalRealist
CynicalRealist
3 years ago

On the subject of Scotland, there’s an article in the Guardian today from one of Scotland’s chief Covid-mongers: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/apr/12/herd-immunity-covid-reinfection-virus-world

Got to keep that hysteria level whipped up!

6
0
Hugh
Hugh
3 years ago
Reply to  CynicalRealist

Devi Sridhar – how did I guess. Wants locking up with Fauci and Schwab.

9
0
TheRightToArmBears
TheRightToArmBears
3 years ago
Reply to  Hugh

Along with all the other dirty crooks in Westminster.

0
0
watersider
watersider
3 years ago
Reply to  CynicalRealist

Please give us a clue, as I would not commit the sin of linking to that rag , especially during Holy Week.

0
0
Rogerborg
Rogerborg
3 years ago
Reply to  watersider

“Testing, testing, testing. Keep those numbers up, keep the panic going, a deadly new variant could arrive at any second.”

2
0
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
3 years ago
Reply to  Rogerborg

I assume from the above comment that Sridhar has had the nod from Billy that his new brew is about to be released.

Hiding in plain sight.

4
0
RW
RW
3 years ago
Reply to  watersider

$generic_corona_bs should be sufficient.

0
0
RW
RW
3 years ago
Reply to  CynicalRealist

Strangely, I’ve been getting occasional colds for as long as I can remember. From what planet does The Devi[tm] come from if she thinks this must be news?

0
0
nicknorman
nicknorman
3 years ago

Toby deserves our thanks.

9
0
watersider
watersider
3 years ago
Reply to  nicknorman

Yes thanks Toby, we enjoyed your Bafta appearance with Mark Steyn.

3
0
Backlash
Backlash
3 years ago

Free speech with Ayatollah Krankie at the helm? No chance

0
0

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