According to the Environment Agency, eight million homes in England will be at risk of flooding from rivers and the sea or surface water by mid-century due to climate change.
The claim was made in its recent National assessment of flood and coastal erosion risk in England 2024.
It expects us to believe that one in four properties, 46% of the road network and 54% of the rail network will be affected by floods.
The claims are based on the Met Office’s UKCP18 climate projections, now known to be worthless junk as they are based on the “implausible” emission scenario, RCP8.5.
But even ignoring RCP8.5, the Environment Agency’s claims still have zero credibility. They assume, for instance, that sea levels will rise by more than one metre before the end of the century, and maybe as much as two metres. Based on historical tide gauge data, the figure is unlikely to exceed 100mm.
The Environment Agency’s own annual flood reports give the lie to its absurd claims. In the year to March 2026, for example, only 540 properties were reported as flooded in England:
Overall, this year, around 540 properties were reported as flooded across the country. Nearly 60,000 properties were protected by our flood defence assets.
This is a particularly low number, but most years see fewer than 10,000 properties flooded. Even in 2007, when the summer floods were classed as a national disaster, the Environment Agency estimated that 55,000 properties had been
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Interestingly, Aviva, while cashing in big time on climate scares, called for the UK to become “climate ready”. I interpret that as meaning that Aviva realise there’s no way to stop climate change (ergo all the BS about CO2 is just that, BS) and we have to mitigate the harms while enjoying the benefits. Of course, talking up the harms helps their balance sheet
I scanned the report and my impression was that the definition of levels of risk were far from obvious. Vague data was presented in colourful graphics alongside cherry picked photographs of ‘flooding’.
And, of course, as reported, the projections used the Met Office’s UKCP18 climate projections, now regarded as ‘implausible’.
So don’t build on a flood plain, don’t build on crumbly cliffs. Job done.
Meanwhile, all those lovely little islands the world over are doing just fine, with beachfront villas regularly being bought and sold by the superyacht class politicians and their mates.
Yes, there are still poor people (some ostensibly “intelligent”) who still believe all this specious “rising sea-levels” guff.
Environment Agency = uneducated and mind-numbingly dense snivelling servants, for whom there is ZERO jeopardy for screwing up in their work. None of them can be fired for either gross incompetence or for (intellectual) laziness and no-one will be disciplined for the fact that the EA endlessly churns out utter garbage.