More people who voted Conservative in 2019 plan to back Reform U.K. at the next general election than Labour, a poll has found. The Telegraph has more.
Just over half (55%) of those who backed the Tories under Boris Johnson in 2019 plan to do so again under Rishi Sunak, according to research from Redfield & Wilton Strategies.
Fifteen per cent of 2019 Conservative voters plan to back Reform, which is to the Right of the Tories on issues including Net Zero and legal and illegal immigration.
Despite Labour having a national poll lead of around 20 points, only 13% of those surveyed said they planned to support Sir Keir Starmer’s party.
The figures suggest many voters in Red Wall constituencies – traditional Labour seats that backed the Tories for the first time in 2019 – could continue to reject the official opposition.
Nationally, Reform is polling at around 10%, and was the third largest party – outperforming the Liberal Democrats – in data published by BMG on Monday.
Richard Tice, the Reform leader, has pledged to stand candidates in every seat at the next election and argued the Conservatives must be “punished” at the ballot box.
The amount of votes picked up by Mr. Tice’s party was bigger than the Labour majorities at the Mid Bedfordshire and Tamworth by-elections in October, effectively costing the Conservatives both seats.
A separate poll by JL Partners on Monday found that 15% of 2019 Tory voters intend to switch to Reform.
The party’s policies include adopting “net zero immigration”, which would mean the number of people entering the United Kingdom could not exceed the amount who leave, cutting corporation tax and income tax and nationalising half of major utility companies to “stop consumers being ripped off”.
Worth reading in full.
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Yes
What a dumb 55% It is called the Uni-party for a reason.
”You took the words right out of my mouth…”
If you’re still going to vote, or if you’re still paying your TV licence, then at this point you might as well stay bent over with your pants down.
And for how much longer can Labour rely so heavily on the Muslim vote?
”The rise of the Muslim political voice in the UK could create deep uncertainty at the next election. But except for it being radicalised by the war in Gaza, there are wildly different interpretations of what exactly is happening.
There have been two recent polls focussing on the interests and political direction of the 4 million Muslims that live in the UK, of which about 2 million are eligible to vote.
The two polls by Savanta and the Muslim Census paint completely different pictures, but they both point to problems for Labour with an increasingly angry and fractious voter base that is getting uncomfortable with being treated as ballot fodder.
The Savanta poll was far smaller with only a 1,000 strong polling panel. It revealed that 64 per cent of that vote would stick with Labour.
The Muslim Census poll had a self selecting panel of over 30,000. In the latter, responses showed a drop of 66 per cent in potential Labour votes, from 71 per cent to just 5 per cent.
As Chris Hopkins, political research director at Savanta, said: “This poll of UK Muslims tends to indicate that the Israel-Palestine conflict is very important as an issue, and the response from the Labour Party has not been viewed especially positively…”
https://brusselssignal.eu/2023/12/can-the-left-keep-taking-the-muslim-vote-for-granted-there-are-early-signs-that-keir-starmers-labour-is-losing-its-grip/
Reform’s election messaging/PR needs to emphasise a vote for Lib/Lab/Con/SNP/WelshNats/Greens is Unaparty, make clear the common policies on globalism, greenism, covidism, wokism etc.
The ‘wasted vote’ myth must be destroyed. Take a lesson from Geert Wilders, le Pen etc.
Reclaim and Reform should merge.
And Heritage, UKIP & SDP.
Voting patterns are increasingly going to split along racial and perceived class lines and particularly so if the new muslim party becomes organised. The big losers from this will of course be Labour.
Sadly, our salvation will not arrive via the ballot box.
Interesting video from Geoff Buys Cars:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LwEg7BvQXsg
I know voting may not save us but just to reject the uni party and vote for reform if available will give me a short lived sort of voice .
but I wish they would merge! like has already been said with reclaim heritage and others .
https://youtu.be/LwEg7BvQXsg?si=jpT_U-CJ5KIMKhFR
How our cars will be taken. Information from a car insurance insider.
Thanks HP a very bleak account. My only hope is pinned on the criminal gangs who will need to hack into these systems in order to survive and the sheer incompetence of the present systems which crash when put under pressure.
Profoundly depressing that 55% of 2019 Tory voters intend to vote for the charlatans again. They must enjoy punishment beatings.
Stockholm Syndrome!
“… and nationalising half of major utility companies to “stop consumers being ripped off”.”
That’s Socialism.
I won’t be voting for any of them, none of them have any redeeming qualities.
Spot on.
Nationalise utility companies what a stupid thing to do the only people that at will get “ripped off” is the taxpayers. Certainly won’t be voting for Tice on those grounds.