Like buses, you wait over six months for Office for National Statistics (ONS) data and then two publications come along within weeks. On February 21st 2023 it released its deaths by vaccination status data set and on Wednesday it looked at ‘COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness estimated using Census 2021 variables, England: March 31st 2021 to March 20th 2022’.
There has been lots of analysis of the February publication so today I will look at the latest ‘vaccine effectiveness’ data.
But to give you a heads-up, it’s good news – take as many jabs as you can and your life will be extended! We are witnessing the results of a miracle cure. Squirt some in the eyes of a blind man and I wouldn’t be surprised if he could see again.
According to the latest data, vaccine effectiveness against hospitalisation for Covid was 52.2% for one dose, 55.7% for a second dose and 77.6% after your booster.
Vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 mortality was 58.7% for a first dose, 88.6% for a second dose and 93.2% for a third dose.
One question that isn’t addressed properly in the ONS’s publication is why are you 100% more likely to be hospitalised with Covid three months after your first dose? An obvious answer to this is that someone who didn’t go on to get his or her second dose was probably too ill to do so and so perhaps was in and out of hospital anyway. He or she may have caught Covid in hospital or the test produced a false positive. Either way, the ONS just says that this may be due to not all confounding from differences in health being taken into account. I think it should have looked at this further.
But now on to the interesting part that shows that any of its vaccine effectiveness statistics are nonsense – non-Covid mortality.
As you can see, apart from the “First dose: after three months” category, if you had a Covid vaccine you are less likely to die than those pesky unvaccinated individuals. Each group is adjusted three times. firstly by age (light green), then by age and socio-demographics (light blue) and then fully (dark blue).
The fully adjusted data show that if you have had three or more shots you are 50% less likely to die of anything than an unvaccinated person! It really is a miracle.
To be fair to the ONS, it admits as much itself. It says:
As coronavirus vaccination should not provide protection against non-COVID-19 mortality, we can use non-COVID-19 mortality as a control outcome to assess the amount of confounding left in our model. The risk of death would not be expected to differ between vaccination status groups if all confounding factors were accounted for, the vaccine has no effect on non-Covid mortality and all deaths caused by COVID-19 were accurately classified as deaths involving COVID-19… This indicated the presence of residual confounding, despite taking into account recent socio-demographic factors and different sources of health data.
The confounding factors the ONS used to adjust the data were:
- age on Census Day (March 21st 2021)
- sex
- self-reported ethnic group
- religious affiliation
- region of residence
- index of multiple deprivation
- level of highest qualification
- English language proficiency
- National Statistics Socio-economic classification (NS-SEC)
- key worker status, derived from Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) 2020
- classification
- care home residency
- long-term health problem or disability
- self-reported general health
- body mass index (BMI)
- number of comorbidities as defined in the QCOVID model
- frailty
- hospitalisation within the last 21 days
But still, even after all those adjustments, the data show the boosted are 50% less likely to die of anything, which is clearly wrong. This shows how inaccurate its data on vaccine effectiveness against Covid must be.
In the publication, the ONS also says that “given instances of adverse events are rare, we can assume that the non-COVID-19 risk of death should be similar to, or close to, zero if there is no residual confounding”.
I wouldn’t assume anything, ONS, that’s not good sciencing. You should be open to the possibility that perhaps adverse events aren’t rare and the non-Covid risk of death isn’t similar.
And finally, a little trick which we’ve all come to know and love that completely muddies the water.
The unvaccinated group includes anyone who had a first dose less than 21 days ago. So for three weeks you count as unvaccinated even though you clearly are not. And the ONS are scratching their heads as to why the figures don’t add up!
Again, to be fair to the ONS, it has been clear that the unvaccinated group includes the under-21 days first dosers and, according to the ONS, this doesn’t apply to its February mortality statistics.
And finally, why do the data stop in March 2022 – a whole year ago? The ONS has the data up to December 2022 because it used it in its February publication. As a sceptic I would look at the excess deaths rising from April 2022 last year and wonder whether there is any connection. I have asked the Head of Mortality Analysis at the ONS, Sarah Caul, as to the reason why, so will update with the answer if she responds.
So to conclude, either we have witnessed the invention of a wonder drug that reduces your risk of dying by 50% or the stats are wrong. And if these stats are wrong, how many of the other stats are wrong? And if these stats, a year later, are wrong, how many of the stats from a year ago were wrong? You know, the ones that were used to sack people from their jobs, stop them from participating in society or travelling to other countries.
This post first appeared on the Naked Emperor’s Substack page. Subscribe here.
To join in with the discussion please make a donation to The Daily Sceptic.
Profanity and abuse will be removed and may lead to a permanent ban.
Does the author know something I don’t. I’m aware the animal that slaughtered three girls was a child of Rwandan parents who were supposedly Christian, but that doesn’t necessarily make the animal a Christian. I’ve been waiting for the inevitable ‘fact’ that the animal was actually a Christian member of the EDL (or something as ludicrous). Have I missed anything?
Robinson, Musk, Douglas Murray…they’re targeting more and more outspoken people and they’re going to keep going. They’re comical in their desperation. It’s also interesting to see how Americans perceive what’s happening in the UK. Mainly condemning the government, Leftards and thanking God for their guns, pitying the British for not having the same rights as them, criticizing those who let it get to this point, but I’ve seen support from other countries, people out with their pro-England banners. The UK has gone viral, basically, and the world is watching;
”Holy moly, what has happened to the home of the Magna Carta? Did MI5 rip that document to smithereens? Years ago, the wayward nitwit Prince Harry got into some hot water by dressing up as a Nazi for a costume ball. The public was aghast that a member of the Royal Family could be so daft as to minimize the atrocities of the fascist thugs who nearly conquered Europe. Little did they know that Harebrained Harry was way ahead of the game. The threat of fascism isn’t buried in Britain’s past; it’s choking Britain’s future. Maybe Meghan Markle’s leashed poodle should find his old German uniform now that Keir Starmer’s stormtroopers have taken Westminster.
At this moment, government authorities are blocking foreign I.P. addresses from accessing the United Kingdom’s police website. Apparently, the Brits have gotten their knickers in an Oliver Twist over outsiders using words that are now banned in the U.K. One freedom-curious bloke observed, “I see our police is a tad upset with Americans making fun of them.” Over there, the language enforcers are locking up Grandma and Grandpa for saying that foreigners shouldn’t be raping and murdering children, but over here, plenty of First Amendment–loving Americans are sending pictures of General George Washington kicking some serious Redcoat butt.
One transatlantic tweeter jeered, “I’ve never been more grateful that our forefathers crossed the Delaware on Christmas to kill British law enforcers.” If that sentiment doesn’t make you want to shoot off fireworks while grilling a couple ribeye steaks and revving the engine of a monster truck outside a WrestleMania grudge match, you might just be Canadian. Yucky U.K. can’t do squat when Joe America gives his two cents. So the powers that be scream at their I.T. boffins to shut down the internet, and the tech slaves do their best to comply. Surely some North Korean with a secret window to the outside world is shaking his head in disgust. As Amy Curtis over at Twitchy smartly concludes, “From ‘Keep Calm and Carry On’ to ‘your Facebook posts hurt my feels’ in 75 years.” So true. RIP, U.K.”
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/08/yucky_uk.html
Yet the international condemnation will make no more impression on our captured institutions than the astonishment at Trudeau’s overreach in Canada, over the truckers, did.
It has become an ethical priority for the progressives to lie factually about what their opponents have done or said in order to do them harm. That does not appear to count as misinformation requiring to be scoured by the team of police officers seconded from investigating actual crimes.
As regards the riots, though, has anyone arrested the Hope not Hate guy who spread the malicious rumour that a Muslim woman had been attacked with acid, thus sparking Muslim violence? I thought not.
It is very frustrating that those including Starmer who liberally spice their speech with ‘Far Right’ are not called out and held to account.
We are witnessing the usual Left and Far Left fake news misinformation and propaganda.
Specifically, what is the evidence they rely on?
Whom specifically do they identify as ‘Far Right’?
Whom specifically do they allege were the organisers of the fake 100 ‘Far Right’ demonstrations which never happened – because of course if there is anyone who is ‘Far Right’ there are so few it might be difficult for them to be in 100 different places at the same time either at all or in any numbers.
What are the names of the ‘Far Right’ groups they allege were involved – only the EDL has been named and that ceased to exist a decade ago.
What is their evidence for defaming 4 million Reform voters as ‘Far Right’?
Starmer is going to have to tread carefully on revising the Online Safety Act because unless he exempts government from its provisions he personally might find himself the subject of legal proceedings for spreading fake news and disinformation along with a lot of other politicians and government departments.
The Sunday Times was in full regime message mode yesterday, complete with “10 Years in Prison – if we see you on the street trying to make us listen (you dumb, inarticulate pleb)” headline.
Dr. Watson is right: David Clews did not “fan the flames” of the riots. Here is one fact that came to light in the DM public comments:
“Did he also say that immigrants were exposing themselves in the hotel windows, which is what started the rioters throwing things at the hotel? The real story has not been told.”
I suppose he might have done but, I guarantee, based on my own quick survey of 30, if you asked 1000 people in the street you’re unlikely to find anyone who even knows who he is…
Its the first time I’d heard of UNN tbh…..
Contrast the verbal litter of this broadcasting outfit with the state’s blasphemous use of the funeral of a murdered child to make a public service announcement by a uniformed person.
Whether this person was invited or invited themselves, their presence starkly illustrates the fact that the Service they represent only arrives after someone has been injured or killed as a result of violent crime.
The uniformed person making the address at the funeral expressed sorrow at the fact that the grieving family had to suffer the affront of the looting and arson that followed the murder of their child. As a visible representative of the state, this person made no apology for the fact that the institutions of the state have been long absent from effectively dealing with and, indeed, uninterested in, the everyday crime the ‘communities’ must endure.
Like the Roman Empire which had no police force but only a Praetorian Guard, Britain’s police service is deployed to shore up the authority of the state when it is insolently challenged by the tattooed barbarians.
All I can saw is the only people to have died in all of this are the 3 murdered girls. They are now just a footnote in history as far as the media and politicians are concerned.
Bonfire of Teenagers by Morrisey
And the silly people sing: “Don’t Look Back in Anger”
And the morons sing and sway: “Don’t Look Back in Anger”
I can assure you I will look back in anger ’till the day I die:
Government Policy on issues of concern.
If he’s a free speech absolutist, then I already like him.
“...give(s) airtime to some cringeworthy characters such as the arch conspiracy theorist David Ike and the prominent anti-vaxxer Andrew Wakefield.”
A staggering assertion by a clearly ill informed Roger Watson. The jury might be out on David Icke – he hasn’t even spelt his name correctly – although on the globalists One World Government issue he is correct but since when did “prominent anti-vaxxer” Andrew Wakefield equal “cringeworthy?”
Unbelievable.
Yes he has let himself down there and anyway they may be cringeworthy to Dr Watson but that’s just his opinion – if nobody publishes what these people say, how can we assess what we think?
https://words.mattiasdesmet.org/p/the-riots-in-great-britain-a-dream?r=ylgqf&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
I really liked Mattias Desmet’s article, highlighting the role government is playing in creating division.
Just out of interest,and as an aside does anyone know if ‘Prominent Antivaxxer’ Andrew Wakefield has an opinion on the covid jabs and if so what it is?