The real-world effectiveness of Covid vaccines has not matched the hype of the 95% efficacy claimed in manufacturer trials on the basis of which they were granted emergency-use authorisation. They’ve proven disappointingly leaky with a surprisingly swift waning of effectiveness, necessitating boosters every few months.
In many cases vaccine rollouts coincided with an upsurge in infections, substantiating the concerns expressed by many experts that a mass vaccination campaign in the middle of a pandemic will drive the evolution of vaccine-escape variants and generate self-perpetuating waves of infections from the mutating variants.
A study from Oxford University in June showed the infection risk increased by 44% in the double-vaccinated in England. An analysis in July by El Gato Malo showed that U.S. states with higher vaccination rates were experiencing higher Covid hospital admissions. By the end of 2022 the vast majority of Covid deaths in many countries were among the vaccinated and boosted.
This has discredited officials and health experts from President Joe Biden on down who claimed that the vaccines would prevent infection, onward transmission, severe illness and (initially) or (as a fallback justification) death. Hence their early but by now abandoned claims about the pandemic of the unvaccinated.
By contrast, by the end of 2022 stories like the video documentary Anecdotals, which simply give voice to the vaccine injured, and studies alleging a wide range of serious side-effects and injuries from the vaccines were challenging the official narrative of the vaccines being safe and effective.
Neither safe nor effective was the growing chorus instead. On November 25th 2022 the physician-scientist Dr. Masanori Fukushima from Kyoto University warned that “the harm caused by vaccines is now a worldwide problem” and that “given the wide range of adverse events, billions of lives could ultimately be in danger”.
There is nothing objectionable in principle to harnessing revolutionary new mRNA technology to improve public health. Major medical advances in the past have been made possible by technological breakthroughs. But a revolutionary technology increases the testing burden for ensuring safety, even while a raging pandemic heightens the urgency of accelerated vaccine development and manufacture. If granted emergency use authorisation to cater to the second demand, prudence strengthens the imperative to rigorous monitoring of short, medium and long-term side effects in numbers and severity.
This is where authorities have fallen short and caused significant long-term damage to public confidence in the major institutions. Attempting to force-vaccinate the whole world with a new and untested technology was the height of irresponsibility and ignoring the mounting evidence of serious adverse events amounts to criminal negligence.
The best, if not the only true measure of the whole of society impact of an epidemic or pandemic is excess mortality. Norman Fenton and Martin Neil subjected worldwide excess mortality data to linear regression models and found no significant link between excess deaths in 2022 and (a) Covid cases in 2020, (b) long Covid, (c) lockdown stringency, or (d) healthcare quality. But they did find “a statistically significant linear relationship between countries that are highly vaccinated and excess deaths”. Elliot Middleton calculates that in 2020, Covid deaths (meaning not all were from Covid) accounted for 42% of all excess deaths in the U.S.
Remember, this is before the announcement of a vaccine breakthrough and therefore the excess mortality toll is not affected by the count of vaccine injured. Thus, although Covid deaths comprised a substantial portion of the total toll, the lockdown component was still higher – and policymakers should have known this at the time in 2020 itself but chose to ignore it despite multiple warnings from credible sources.
Ziva Kunda’s influential 1990 article “The Case for Motivated Reasoning” has nearly 10,000 citations. Her thesis was that motivation shapes reasoning. Reliance on a biased set of cognitive processes means that people are more likely to arrive at conclusions they want to arrive at, by using the strategies for accessing, constructing and evaluating tools and data that are the most likely to yield the conclusions they desire. Very hot/cold/dry/wet this year? Climate science tells us it’s because of climate change and therefore the current weather conditions validate the science. Infected by Covid after the sixth jab? Be grateful for the six doses as otherwise you would most likely have died.
As the saying goes, you cannot reason people out of beliefs that they arrived at without the use of reason.
In December, a new ‘hindcasting’ paper from the Commonwealth Fund made claims for vaccine success that were simply too inflated even to be plausible: 3.3 million lives, 18.6 million hospitalisations and 120 million infections averted just in the U.S. alone in 2021-22! It was picked up and reported by the mainstream media. Unsurprisingly, the conclusions are derived from “a model pretending to be data” that cannot be replicated. It’s an internal self-referential circular argument in which the conclusions are contained in the assumptions whose details are not made public.
The authors hold that “The reported ‘mild’ nature of Omicron is in large part because of vaccine protection.” Without vaccines, they estimate that Omicron’s infection fatality rate (IFR) would have been 2.7 times higher than for the original variant.
Alex Berenson writes this is “the dumbest, most dishonest argument for Covid jabs” thus far, long after pretty much universal agreement that vaccines stop neither infection nor transmission but are, at best, modestly effective for a short transient period. According to Our World in Data, Omicron has killed around 450,000 people worldwide (including the U.S.) in the eight-month April-November 2022 period inclusive. Collating the empirical outcomes from Our World in Data and Worldometers, at the end of the year, Africa’s double-vaccinated were 27.5% of the population, compared to 69% in the U.S. and 66.9% in Europe. Their respective cumulative Covid deaths per million people (DPM) were <0.01, 1.00 and 0.71. Only four of 47 European countries have DPM below 1,000. By contrast, only six of 58 countries in Africa have DPM above 1,000, and of these six, five have higher vaccination rates than the African average.
Yet, we are expected to believe that somehow, the vaccines miraculously saved 1 million Americans in that six-month timeframe.
Away from the tautological conclusions of models, there is little reliable data to show clinical benefits of Covid vaccines in preventing hospitalisation and death and much evidence to the contrary.
Japan is among the latest countries to offer evidence of the ‘immunity debt’ phenomenon (Figure 2). Japan is a country where owing to congested conditions, and perhaps out of concern for the elderly in one of the world’s oldest societies (over-65s make up almost a third of the population), mask-wearing has long been a common cultural feature in the November-February winter months.
This was done whenever someone had the sniffles, or else feared catching the cold. It was a sign of consideration for others. Compliance therefore is not an issue for the Government and by all accounts since the pandemic facemasks have become a ubiquitous feature of public life in Japan.
Vaccine requirements were slower to be introduced there but they seem to be making up for lost time. I am due to travel to Japan later this month and one of the entry requirements is three doses of the vaccine or else a PCR test within 72 hours of departure. In 2020, Japan was heavily criticised for tardiness in not taking the novel virus seriously enough to impose restrictions. In an article for the Japan Times in January 2021, I pointed out that given their relative performances, instead of attacking Japan, the most locked down countries should envy its results. Ironically, with heavier restrictions and vaccine mandates, Japan’s Covid metrics have deteriorated substantially. Figure 3 compares it to Denmark where, it will be recalled, authorities dropped vaccine recommendations for under-18s from July 1st 2022 and for under-50s from November 1st. Sweden and Norway swiftly followed suit.
Will the penny drop in Japan, where their own data show they did hugely better before going down the route of heavier restrictions and higher vaccine coverage? That perhaps, just possibly, pharmaceutical and nonpharmaceutical interventions might be driving sustained waves of the virus? Don’t hold your breath. Japan’s ability to look reality firmly in the eye, turn around, and walk resolutely in the opposite direction is no less impressive than in the Western democracies.
Japan isn’t alone. The graphic illustration of the ineffectiveness of Covid vaccines in preventing the infection and mortality tolls can be shown with several countries. All these charts (Figures 2-9) prove the pointlessness of vaccine certificates:
- In Japan, the total number of Covid deaths until 80% of the population was vaccinated on December 9th 2021 was 18,370. In little over one year since then, the death toll was 37,858. That is, more than twice as many have died with Covid in the 12 months since 80% of people were fully vaccinated than in the 19 months until then.
- Israel’s vaccination drive hit 50% of the population on March 28th 2021, on which date its Covid death toll was 6,185. Another 5,838 Israelis had died with Covid by December 28th 2022, meaning nearly half the total Covid dead came after half the population was fully vaccinated. Israel and Palestine are one example of different vaccination rates among adjacent communities (Israelis high, Palestinians low) having little impact on their death rates.
- In the U.S. too the 516,000 Covid deaths after reaching 50% double-vaccination coverage on July 9th 2021 represents 46% of all Covid deaths until December 28th 2022.
- Australia hit the 50% vaccination threshold on October 11th 2011, with the Covid death total being 1,461 on that date. The mortality toll was 16,964 on December 28th 2022. Thus 10.6 times as many Australians died with Covid in the 14 months since 50% were double-vaccinated as in 19 months until then.
- For what it’s worth, New Zealand’s experience has been even worse. Its Covid death toll as at December 28th was 2,331, 78 times higher than 30 at 50% vaccination mark, and 57 times higher than 41 at 70% vaccination.
How anyone can look at the Covid vaccination and mortality metrics of New Zealand, Australia, and Japan and still hold fast to the ‘safe and effective’ vaccine narrative is beyond comprehension. Instead, one more initially plausible hypothesis is that the behaviour of the virus is Covid vaccine invariant i.e., the vaccines make no difference to the virus, and a second hypothesis is that the vaccine may actually be driving infections, serious illness and deaths by some mysterious mechanism not yet identified by scientists – although some studies are starting to point the way.
Earlier, Gibraltar, Cambodia, (Figure 5) and the Seychelles were examples of countries where Covid infections spiked in 2021 despite substantial vaccination in their populations.
The weekly surveillance report from New South Wales (NSW) Health for the week of December 11th-17th, published on December 22nd, is the last one for the year. The next one will be published on January 5th but the reports will no longer include the vaccination status of people hospitalised, admitted to ICU or dead with Covid.
Until the week ending May 21st 2022, the reports lumped together the unvaccinated with those whose vaccination status was not known. Figures 8-9 therefore represent the entire data set for NSW Covid-related hospital and ICU admissions and deaths, from May 22nd to December 17th 2022 inclusive, for which these statistics are available by vaccination status. It’s worth noting that 83% of the state’s total population was at least double-vaccinated, which accounted for 75.3% of Covid-related hospital admissions (slightly underrepresented) and 83.1% of deaths (almost exactly the same as population share).
According to the federal Department of Health, by year’s end 96% of Australian adults (16+) were double-vaccinated, 72.4% had received at least three doses and 44.2% four doses. For NSW the corresponding figures were 95.8%, 70.5% and 45.6%. With all due respect (or not) to the Australian health bureaucrats, it is impossible to spin Figures 8 and 9 as graphic evidence for the vaccines being effective.
A study out in December 2022 in preprint of employees of the Cleveland Clinic in Ohio from September 12th to December 12th 2022 found that effectiveness of the new bivalent Covid vaccine – authorised by the FDA on the basis of trial results from eight mice – was only 30%. The real shock was discovering that infection rates increase incrementally with each successive dose of a Covid vaccine.
The infection rates among those vaccinated with three or more doses was three times higher than among the unvaccinated. The authors said: “The association of increased risk of COVID-19 with higher numbers of prior vaccine doses in our study, was unexpected.” Prior infection is relatively more effective against reinfection, they found.
Ramesh Thakur is Emeritus Professor at the Australian National University’s Crawford School of Public Policy and a former UN Assistant Secretary-General. This article was first published by the Brownstone Institute.
To join in with the discussion please make a donation to The Daily Sceptic.
Profanity and abuse will be removed and may lead to a permanent ban.
The stabbinations caused the illness, the deaths and the injuries as given in this article. Every post stab cycle saw deaths spiked, and using fake tests and hand waving, attributed to Rona as were the Midazolam murders (some 30.000). The Stab carnage was obvious to many of us before they rolled out this poisoned junk in Dec 2020 (which meant the stabs were prepared before the scamdemic, given they take years to make); with the promise, 1 stab for the wrinklies and done (many of us predicted a never ending stab-fest).
And this by the author is utter BS:
There is nothing objectionable in principle to harnessing revolutionary new mRNA technology to improve public health. Major medical advances in the past have been made possible by technological breakthroughs
Oh sod off. mRNA is gene therapy. And what breakthroughs? Pray tell? Jenner murdering his son? 1920s Chemotherapy still in use? Machines like x-rays cannot be conflated with drugs like aspirin which existed in the middle ages from willow bark.
Billions for cancer ‘research’ and what? Nothing. Billions in charity for various neurological problems and what? Nothing. It all disappears. But it is even worse. All these drugs peddled to the peasants have caused autism, cancers, encephaly, neurological issues, and destroyed various organs.
And now to ‘cure’ cancer, they will introduce their mRNA death shot etc etc. and scream ‘science’. And the author will claim his bona fides and smile saying nothing wrong with mRNA boys and girls.
Enough already with the mantra about ‘science’ and ‘health’. Most of it is utter horse manure, follow the money.
The man behind mRNA intended it to be used to correct faulty genes, not for vaccination. I think there is promise in the former but unfortunately the entire technology is now so tainted by association that it will be a great shame if the possibilities are not realised due to corporate greed and regulatory blindness.
Reflecting on the evidence and for the sake of decency, logic, basic common sense and humanity the whole mRNA industry needs chucking in the bin.
Correcting faulty genes sounds suspiciously like eugenics.
“Billions for cancer ‘research’ and what? Nothing.”
https://www.cancerresearchuk.org/our-accounts-
Income in 2017 / 18 £634 million.
And this level of funding has been going on for years yet still we are to believe a cure has not been found.
Absolute bollox.
Charity funding? Taxation with a feel good element.
Don’t do it.
I’ve slowly come around to the scam of modern medicine.
Older kids got Gardasil, younger two did not after I read about adverse effects.
Decided against chemo ever, after seeing mother enduring, extending life by only weeks.
Decided against colonoscopy after doing a risk/benefit analysis.
Taking an experimental drug for a sickness I’m at a low risk for dying, hell no.
The moral vacuum at the heart of our elected self-important minions is staggering. Sadly it pervades our society as well.
Gibraltar was a very good (and early) indicator that all was not well with these jabs. As of spring 2021 they had about 15 deaths attributed to the virus (with + from) but then in the months following their vaccination drive this shot up to something like 70+. I don’t have the exact figures but I remember how startling they where at the time and should have triggered an immediate pause and investigation. The authorities cannot claim they where not warned.
..yes, I’m not sure I’ve ever seen anyone explaining clearly why many countries, like Gibraltar….as well as Australia, New Zealand, Japan and South Korea, and others, for instance all of whom managed to go through the ‘original Covid’ (with the higher IFR)……yet post deaths in very low numbers…at a time when no one was vaccinated…but who now, in 2023 have deaths in the thousands….?
I think NZ particularly was only something like 25 deaths by spring 2021….now after vaccination they have over 2000? Still low overall I know, but a lot higher than 25..
Australia is similar, at the end of 2020 just over 900 deaths, now it’s over 17.000…..and Japan is having its worst figures ever!
I could have missed something, but is it because it just plainly speaks to the ineffectiveness of the vaccines, or their toxicity? Or both?
Am I not involving enough ‘confounders’ and making it too simple?
Great work as always Ramesh.
In my practice I am now seeing frequent Covid cases, all quite unwell for long periods, and all multiple jabbed.
I am yet to see an unjabbed patient with severe disease (though there is no doubt it occurs) and the only hospitalized patients I have seen are multiple jabbed.
I have not seen an unjabbed patient with Covid for the last year
Empirical data I know, though reflected by good statistical data.
That’s interesting, data straight from the horse’s mouth as it were. Of course, if horses really were involved you could be prescribing ivermectin
Do you keep track of this yourself in some way? I mean, just noting how many people show up in a week/month with cov symptoms, their age, jab status?
Are these people who are primarily of a particular age group, do they have co-morbidities? Are you seeing people who are (or were) otherwise fit and healthy showing up with these problems?
Have you discussed with other doctors the number of people you see with cov, do they see the same? I think you said you were in Aus (not certain about that), if so, are you seeing a lot of people now, in what is your summer time?
Lots of questions, I know, but I find your type of data more worthwhile than pure statistics, as those can be twisted any which way. I would much rather hear what people like yourself are seeing.
Unfortunately I haven’t kept a tally on the demographics of those patients.
I can say that the severity of Covid disease in my patients seems unrelated to age/ comorbidities, and seems more related to number of jabs.
I recall 2 obese but unjabbed patients having a particularly mild illness, and 2 highly jabbed but otherwise young and healthy patients being admitted to hospital.
Regarding season, I am seeing more cases now than I have ever seen, though no one admitted to hospital recently.
Prof Thakur’s statistics on hospital admissions (no unjabbed being admitted) tell the story very effectively.
If there is a reason for this, other than multiple jabs cause immunodeficiency, I’d like to hear it.
Thanks for taking the time to answer.
Your observations are very interesting, particularly with regard to highly jabbed but young and healthy – and the fact that you’re seeing lots of cases in the middle of summer (you don’t know how jealous I am as I type that, it is so grey and miserable here at the moment).
It’s a pleasure Jane.
And yes, it’s God’s own country here in rural NSW at present.
Plenty of rain to keep everything green and warm but not too hot!
And yes, I’m in Australia.
Negligence suggests it was an accident.
An accident it certainly was not.
There is so much evidence of things being wrong, I think it will be impossible to get the anticipated justice as the guilt is so distributed. Hard to accept but it hasn’t happened so far and not sure what will tip it over the edge.
Criminal? Almost certainly.
Negligent? Nope – deliberate.
Absolutely tof. Negligence has F A to do with this exercise.
Brewed to a recipe with the aim of maiming and killing.
The biggest government/corporate experiment since the final solution??
Indeed.
Excellent, comprehensive article that lays out the evidence in no uncertain terms. Kudos to the author for producing this very shareworthy piece of work.
Japanese researchers have been tasked with investigating their government’s democide. Our Prof Fukushima is not backwards in coming forwards about his feelings on the situation;
“People are already doing research all over the world,” Fukushima told health ministers during a conference earlier this month. “Japan’s prestige is at stake. You have vaccinated so many people. And yet, only 10% of the members of the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare, who are leading members of the vaccine campaign have been vaccinated. Is this a fucking joke?”
https://newspunch.com/japan-launches-official-investigation-into-millions-of-covid-vaccine-deaths/
Wow! Professor Fukushima doesn’t half let rip. Good man.
Did you see the videos too yet? All very interesting. There’s not a rug big enough to sweep all of this evidence under anymore.
Yes, I saw the videos Mogs. Wonderful stuff.
When a senior medical specialist hilights that virtually none of those pushing the injections have actually taken them and then puts the question – “Is this a fucking joke?” you just note that cat’s out of the bag and it ain’t going back in.
Great post. Thank you.
Ordinary people are slowly come around to the evidence, but we’ll have to see how much power ordinary people have. It’s been hard to have conversations with friends and family when they’ve all been jabbed–we just don’t even mention it, Yet, a friend–whose pregnant daughter insisted on her getting the jab to access the baby–texted that the collapse of the American football player is being blamed on the jab. My sister–bullied into the jab by her unwell husband and lefty daughters–was horrified to find out that her pregnant daughter got a second or third booster recently.
“and a second hypothesis is that the vaccine may actually be driving infections, serious illness and deaths by some mysterious mechanism not yet identified by scientists”
PLEASE SEE
Kurt Van den Bosch.
Mike Yeadon
Ryan Cole. https://rumble.com/vkopys-a-pathologist-summary-of-what-these-jabs-do-to-the-brain-and-other-organs.html
Sherry Tenpenny https://rense.com/general96/20-mechanisms-of-injury.php
There are countless more.
Exactly. Little doubt really is there? And I agree with Berensen on the idiotic remarks of the authors. Pure desperation and insulting to people’s intelligence. The whole reason we’re experiencing non-stop versions of this virus all throughout the year is because of the bloody jabs! They know this full well of course but are trying to save their skins and defend these death shots. It’s nauseatingly transparent. Meanwhile it seems the jabbed population’s risk of dying or getting sick from anything is way higher than the never-jabbed unofficial control group. This is the massive elephant that’s outgrown the room.
Just a reminder of what happens in countries with low vaccination rates. In SA about 35% population vaccinated, 5% boosted. Covid deaths fell off the cliff beginning of March, slight blip in May. Continued to drop during winter and into summer, although many patients had colds (nobody bothers to get tested now). 95% of the population, including 90% of the vaccinated, had been infected by March/April, after Omicron had worked it’s magic.A few sad people are still wearing masks, often tourists. Chinese visitors still welcome. Hopefully someone with influence will take note of good news from SA. Good luck to you all.
Good luck to you as well. I would be interested in your views regarding the ‘catastrophic contagion’ that appears to be scheduled for 2025 originating in Africa.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d_41PQ9_Y9Q
Yep. Billy has had his table top for ‘catastrophic contagion,’ so I expect he is good to go. That means we have less than two years to stop the evil bastard.
We await with interest. Officialdom is held in such low regard here that I hope nothing will get off the ground. Even my initially pro vaccine acquaintances have become very cynical, regarding covid as a sham. Plus the general attitude of the population has always been sceptical of anything emanating from the west.
Thank you. Some grounds for optimism.
If the judicial system wasn’t nobbled like the “government” and the MSM there is no doubt whatsoever that there is sufficient evidence available (and it’s been there for a long time) for arrests to be made with a view to prosecuting individuals in the MHRA, the JCVI and the NHS with Involuntary Manslaughter and assault.
The rationale is that the individuals in those bodies knew (includes wilful negligence) or should have known (given their apparent level of expertise) the dangers of the vaccines balanced against the perceived threat of the “disease” and the absence, lol, of therapeutics.
The bar becomes much lower as regards the recommendations for children – and, this is important, as the clock ticks ie the dangers become more and more and apparent.
So, if I were a senior member of any of those bodies, shudder, maybe I’d be getting a little bit worried.
The dam wall is beginning to crack.
Spot on Sforzesca.
Nail. Hat.
”Elliot Middleton calculates that in 2020, Covid deaths (meaning not all were from Covid) accounted for 42% of all excess deaths in the U.S.” should read: Lockdowns Deaths in 2020 Were 42% of Excess Deaths
Are people finally waking up?
If today’s Australian government statistics are to be believed…
19,786,871 of the population aged 16+ are eligible for a third Covid jab.
But only 14,322,324 of the eligible number have had three jabs.
This means 5,464,547 have rejected the third dose so far.
This is significant in a population of people aged 16+ in which 96.0% had two jabs.
Now only 72.4% of people aged 16+ have had three jabs.
The decline is likely to continue going forwards, re fourth, fifth jabs etc.
The main issue now is to get rid of all mandates…and to demand an investigation into how jab mandates were set in the first place.