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Dramatic Recovery in Global Sea Ice Confounds the Net Zero Catastrophists

by Chris Morrison
28 November 2022 4:59 PM

It’s a mystery. Why has Arctic sea ice cover roared back so quickly over the last few years? Nobody knows – not one scientist on the planet can tell you, writes Willis Eschenbach in a short essay on the climate site Watts Up With That? It might be noted, of course, that there was no shortage of explanations when there was a cyclical downturn, mostly to do with humans having something to do with it. Ice melting at the Poles is still one of the crucial supports for the entire command-and-control Net Zero political agenda.

The above graph shows changes in Arctic sea ice cover during the satellite era. Values are anomalies from the 1991-2020 average. Eschenbach notes that since around 1990, people have been talking about how human-emitted carbon dioxide is reducing the amount of Arctic sea ice. When it started dropping very fast, there was talk we’d passed a ‘tipping’ point from which the ice would never recover. Over this time, noted Eschenbach, predictions of an ice-free Arctic ocean abounded.

Old habits die hard. Despite the impressive recent ice recovery, talk of these tipping points – mostly an invention of so-called ‘attribution’ computer models – are ubiquitous. In his recent Frozen Planet II agitprop series for the BBC, Sir David Attenborough made a number of model-produced references to the Arctic being free of summer sea ice by 2035.

According to Eschenbach, there are more mysteries down in Antarctica.

Here Eschenbach poses the question – why did the Antarctic ice pack, unlike the Arctic pack, start increasing quite rapidly around 2008? Nobody knows, he says. Why did it differ from the Arctic by plateauing from 2010 to 2015, but then mirror the Arctic by dropping rapidly, and then turn around and start rebounding? You guessed it – nobody knows.

Finally the global situation.

Why has global sea ice followed this pattern, while CO2 continues to rise in the atmosphere, he asks. The politically-motivated alarmists constantly tell us the ice will soon all disappear. According to Eschenbach, not one climate scientist on the planet predicted these large changes in sea ice.

The author concludes:

Here’s the strangest part. Despite the failure of the many predictions of an ‘ice-free Arctic’, despite the falsified claims that we’ve passed a ‘tipping point’, despite the fact that the reasons for the curious and unexpected changes in the polar sea ice cannot be explained by anyone and the changes weren’t predicted by anyone – climate change scientists still insist that they can tell us what the global temperature will be like in the year 2100.

Of course, there are many sceptical scientists who seek answers to the cyclical nature of global ice outside the restrictive confines of ‘settled’ climate science. As the Daily Sceptic has often reported, short-term movements of ice are affected by often incalculable atmospheric heat exchanges, ocean currents and many other natural climatic variations.

The geologist Professor Ian Plimer recently noted in an essay published by Quadrant, there have been six major ice ages and each started when there was far more CO2 in the atmosphere than now. Taking the longer view, Plimer said that we are currently in an ice age initiated 34 million years ago, the current interglacial started 14,400 years ago in the Northern Hemisphere, and we were at the peak of this interglacial 4,000-7,000 years ago in the Holocene Optimum.

Two American geologists recently found that over half of the Arctic’s glaciers and ice caps that exist today did not exist or were smaller 3,400 to 10,000 years ago. At the time, atmospheric CO2 ranged between 260 to 270 parts per million, compared to the current 410 ppm. At the peak of this interglacial Arctic warming, temperatures were noted to be several degrees warmer than today. Change in the size of glaciers and ice caps over the last few centuries “is but a partial return to a former period of much greater warmth”, the geologists suggest.

Political tactics designed to scare entire populations into following an anti-growth Net Zero future pay little attention to such trends. Global warming ran out of steam a couple of decades ago, and the latest satellite data for November is almost certain to extend the current eight year, one month pause. Instead a ‘highway to hell’ message is broadcast, based almost solely on invented stories attributing bad or ‘extreme’ weather to the activities of humans. Despite the overwhelming evidence from the past that global temperatures can rise and fall rapidly, an entire climate industry, backed by almost unlimited transfers of wealth from often poor to rich people, has sprung up forecasting Armageddon if there is a rise of a few parts of a degree centigrade.

It’s definitely all a bit of a mystery.

Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.

Tags: AntarcticaArcticArctic iceClimate Alarmism

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21 Comments
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Victory Gin
Victory Gin
3 years ago

lol …

Screenshot 2022-01-21 at 16-34-04 Lee_Hurst on GETTR.png
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John Dee
John Dee
3 years ago
Reply to  Victory Gin

I’d have thought that Adele, now she’s no longer a super-sized singer, would have felt less vulnerable to the Wu-flu, especially in its new customer-friendly guise.

12
0
David Beaton
David Beaton
3 years ago
Reply to  John Dee

I thought being super-sized was her principal attraction? What were the others?

0
0
Anti_socialist
Anti_socialist
3 years ago
Reply to  Victory Gin

Has she never heard the term the show must go on.

ADELE You Reap What you Sow Hugo Talks #lockdown

8
0
David Beaton
David Beaton
3 years ago
Reply to  Victory Gin

$30k ! To see Adele……….words fail.

8
0
Jabby Mcstiff
Jabby Mcstiff
3 years ago

The whole discussion is pervaded by the implanted notion that there are those who somehow feel warm to vaccines and those who don’t and there are indeed deeper discussions.For example if you listen to interviews with Djokovic and you have some understanding of the secret doctrine then you will see that he represents the human spirit going into the future. For most people vaccines are a good thing. If a person got bitten by a rabid dog then I would wager a 95 percent chance that they would take the post infection rabies vaccine. The idea that there is a certain section of society that is irrationally opposed to all vaccination is absurd and needs to be talked about more.

31
-1
Bella Donna
Bella Donna
3 years ago
Reply to  Jabby Mcstiff

There is nothing irrational about not wanting to take an untested mRNA jab for which the manufacturers are exempt from prosecution and the results of their tests are being hidden away for over 50 years.

67
0
Jabby Mcstiff
Jabby Mcstiff
3 years ago
Reply to  Bella Donna

Obviously not but that is the beginning and the end of the discussion for them. You are irrational and illiterate. Not only that but tthey have the brass neck to claim that you are selfish when it is quite clear that they are the ones cowering in the corner.Don’t worry, in terms of the vaccine argument our side will win very shortly. But where we go from there is the real issue. There is a great desire in consumer societies to live a simple untrammelled life. This option will no longer be available.

18
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CovidiousAlbion
CovidiousAlbion
3 years ago
Reply to  Jabby Mcstiff

https://ourdecisiontoo.com//Issue/there-s-nothing-left-to-do-but-go-our-separate-ways/320/

0
0
Think Harder
Think Harder
3 years ago
Reply to  CovidiousAlbion

Nice dream but nothing more.

0
0
Think Harder
Think Harder
3 years ago
Reply to  Jabby Mcstiff

Unfortunately, the desperation for an untrammeled life will mean this is not the end. Sticking one’s head in the sand and hoping it will all go away is only a temporary respite and guarantees the wrong “Reset” will happen. Reset we need but one towards greater democracy not tyranny.

11
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David Beaton
David Beaton
3 years ago
Reply to  Bella Donna

The “irrational” are those who queued for it to go to Corfu!

8
0
miketa1957
miketa1957
3 years ago
Reply to  Jabby Mcstiff

The Rabies example is not a good one, because in that situation you have already been bitten, so you are in effect “ill”. In that case, the vaccine is basically a treatment for an existing condition (one the will almost certainly be fatal).

There was an example a few years ago about a “vaccine” against some specific form of skin cancer. Don’t know if anything came of it, but the same applies. You’d have a patient who had a problem, and the vaccine is a treatment.

In the case of Covid, most people receiving the vaccine are not ill and will not have any significant risk.

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Think Harder
Think Harder
3 years ago
Reply to  miketa1957

The point was understood.
If there was a tried and tested vaccine with good safety data I would’ve taken it. Now … I don’t ever want another vaccine because I have zero trust in my government who are supposed to protect us against dangerous corporations. For whatever reason our government has lied through it’s teeth and worse still used psychological manipulation to hypnotise the masses.
That is not the behaviour of a democratic government, it is the behaviour of a tyranny.

Last edited 3 years ago by Think Harder
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NeilParkin
NeilParkin
3 years ago
Reply to  Jabby Mcstiff

It reflects the current vogue for there being a complete absence of nuance in any debate. You are either 100% for, or 100% against. We have lost the ability to see arguments from different positions, even to acknowledge that there are other valid viewpoints. This is no basis for a grown up discussion.

Last edited 3 years ago by NeilParkin
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David Beaton
David Beaton
3 years ago
Reply to  NeilParkin

Is this is because the “New Generation” of ‘grown ups ” have been infantalised and are therefore stunted at the mental age of eight ( the average reading age)?

7
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cornubian
cornubian
3 years ago
Reply to  Jabby Mcstiff

He represents something going into the future – that’s for sure.

Djokovic all seeing eye.png
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BillRiceJr
BillRiceJr
3 years ago

Interesting. The unvaccinated are going to die at a higher rate from anything and everything than the vaccinated.

The key study is still “all cause” (or non-Covid) deaths among vaccinated and unvaccinated groups. Again, you would expect the unvaccinated to have more deaths, but what if the vaccinated actually now have more deaths (or even the same rate)?

7
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David Beaton
David Beaton
3 years ago
Reply to  BillRiceJr

What if” Why the doubt?

1
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Bella Donna
Bella Donna
3 years ago

I am aware that some hospitals are no more than death camps now. The unvaxxed are treated badly to the point where they are eventually killed off. The NHS has gone from saving lives to taking them. To think people were outside their houses clapping for them seems the height of irony now.

40
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miketa1957
miketa1957
3 years ago
Reply to  Bella Donna

Wife and I had Omicron over Christmas. Worse than a normal cold, and the cough has dragged out, but nothing major. We have both had worse. We both agreed that were it to get more serious, we would not be going to hospital. We’d take our chances at home with out supplies of various medications and supplements.

39
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thefoostybadger
thefoostybadger
3 years ago
Reply to  miketa1957

Exactly our approach also. It’s home doctoring for us now (unless absolutely unavoidable), we just don’t trust these fuckers.

28
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David Beaton
David Beaton
3 years ago
Reply to  thefoostybadger

A friend of mine’s father was totally let down by his GP – who refused even a telephone consultation after the mis-prescribing for an existing condition of a new product that made him ill – he was rescued from a hospital , trying to brand him a Covid patient, to recover at home.

He poured abuse down the phone on his reluctant GP, suggesting he practice as a Witch Doctor in Africa (with the phone stuffed uncomfortably in an orifice). he later received a call from the Hospital telling him he had been put on a “Virtual Covid Ward” (I jest not!) for monitoring.

His symptoms were consistent with with “adverse reactions” and contra -indications listed in the small print of the leaflet included with the ‘medicine ‘ he had previously been given……not Covid.

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Milo
Milo
3 years ago
Reply to  David Beaton

Did they put him on a Virtual Covid Ward [still racking brains to decide how exactly that might work] so that if he Virtually Died, they could add him to their Covid dead list [virtually of course] so desperate are they to keep their death dashboard figures nice and high?

1
0
Vxi7
Vxi7
3 years ago
Reply to  miketa1957

Have you ever read an article where they said antivaxxer found dead at home due to covid? No? Me neither so better to stay home and be the first article about it in case of.

13
0
cornubian
cornubian
3 years ago
Reply to  miketa1957

How in gods name do you know you had ‘omicron’?

8
0
John001
John001
3 years ago
Reply to  Bella Donna

Is that just John O’Looney, who seems to have had a very bad experience, or do we have other documented evidence?

I’m awaiting a longer statement from him after he recovers. However, he should have had the sense to take vitamin D and eat more healthily … so should all the unjabbed, at a time like this.

8
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cornubian
cornubian
3 years ago
Reply to  John001

Plenty of first hand accounts of people being subjected to hospital death protocols on Telegram. Give them medication to inflame their condition, put them on the ventilator to blow out their lungs – another ‘covid’ death.

10
0
David Beaton
David Beaton
3 years ago
Reply to  cornubian

I hate to think that it might just be true…but after Midazolam anything is possible.

There is certainly no effective ‘early treatment’ protocol – for example the use of effective, cheap and safe Ivermectin , which is still banned in the UK by the NHS and the Government.

The true scandal of all this is yet to break.

9
0
David Beaton
David Beaton
3 years ago
Reply to  Bella Donna

Yes …the stories are out there!

The advice: “Keep Away”!

4
0
crisisgarden
crisisgarden
3 years ago

Let’s revisit the question 10 years from now and see how healthy the vaxxed cohort is.

39
0
Rowan
Rowan
3 years ago
Reply to  crisisgarden

Exactly so. The figures can be twisted in many ways and they can prove anything they want to, at least in the short term.

11
0
cornubian
cornubian
3 years ago
Reply to  Rowan

Every statistical trend and data point eminating from government sources is a lie based on numerous other lies.

Prove me wrong.

4
0
Jabby Mcstiff
Jabby Mcstiff
3 years ago
Reply to  crisisgarden

It is a system of death. Teenage suicide increased dramatically in 2014 when social media became all pervasive. Chemical or biological or digital these things operate like ticks on the back of humanity. That is the only perspective that can bring things back into balance. You can’t be addicted to your phone and talk about freedom. Fragile and magnificent as Hardy said of the English consciousness. It will be up to us to make up for the fragility in others.

9
-1
CynicalRealist
CynicalRealist
3 years ago
Reply to  crisisgarden

Or possibly a lot less time than that – we just don’t know (and neither do all those parroting the ‘safe and effective’ line).

6
0
Jabby Mcstiff
Jabby Mcstiff
3 years ago

It is difficult to come to terms with but you have to allow the choice of the soul. For those that took it they took a certain spiritual path. Perhaps you could liken it to the difference between orthodoxy and gnostism. The biggest revelation to me in all of this was just how much some people are scared of death even though they are so neurotic that they are incapable of perceiving the eternal present. All of this was entirely necessary to show us the true lay of the land. Obviously our country is a bit fucked up but we should be happy for what we have left.This is a major victory of the genius of the English language and English spirit. The famous violinist Hiafetz was asked why he continued to play at a concert when one of his strings broke and he said that it is our duty to make something beautiful of what we have left.

14
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twinkytwonk
twinkytwonk
3 years ago

bloody hell those numbers are all over the shop and i don’t know how you can conclude anything but there has been a terrible mistake on the excel spreadsheet haha

8
0
Doom Slayer
Doom Slayer
3 years ago

Noah, see previous article.

1
0
BS665
BS665
3 years ago

Vaccines are bollox. Take or don’t take. End of story.

7
0
A passerby
A passerby
3 years ago

Earlier than I expected. Nothing like repurposing a drug that everyone’s losing faith in. ‘Roll-up, roll-up, what we have here is a wonder drug, yes it will do just about anything’………Do they really believe that we were born yesterday? I assume GP’s everywhere have already been appraised of its many other efficacious properties. May be I’m reading too much into this?

8
0
Milo
Milo
3 years ago
Reply to  A passerby

No I think you have it totally spot on – no doubt they think that putting out utter tripe of this sort might just capture the last few remaining refuseniks – the ones who want to be “healthy” as a way to ‘persuade’ them that it will do nothing but turn them into an even healthier version of themselves.

Thank God for a functioning brain to see through all this BS.

1
0
John Dee
John Dee
3 years ago

The bit that struck me from that table (per 100,000 person years?) was that the overall total deaths for the vaxxed (3350) was more than the unvaxxed (2440).
At least these data weren’t trying to hide those recently vaccinated as one vaccination status lower than reality, as previous data sets have done.

4
0
Think Harder
Think Harder
3 years ago

There are a lot of arguments about variables and bias for and against vaccines. The fact that efficacy in either direction is unclear tells me they don’t have a big effect (short term) on covid. If they did it would be obvious.

What does seem clear is adverse events are high short term. I would also add there “should” be great concern over the long term as we have vaccinated over half the Western world with an experimental vaccine for which we have no idea of long term. Well, except prior animal experiments which weren’t good – what changed to make them safe?

10
0
HelenaHancart
HelenaHancart
3 years ago

“Some people claim that getting vaccinated reduces your risk of death by as much as 90%” I’m crap at crunching figures and correct me if I’m wrong but doesn’t Covid, whatever make it is, have a 99.98% survival rate without the injectables, for the majority of people?

18
-1
Ron Smith
Ron Smith
3 years ago
Reply to  HelenaHancart

Exactly….I pointed that out on GB News, they didn’t read it out though!

4
-1
Anti_socialist
Anti_socialist
3 years ago

Do I trust any of the data statistics, constantly being analysed? NO

Does any of it justify taking away my freedom anyway? NO

Does the author of this article think they are interested in his opinion?

They aren’t interested in science, they’re only interested in their narrative, they’ve been ignoring facts from day one. And the loosening of restrictions is by no means an admission of anything. They made threats they knew they couldn’t full fill eg. mandatory vaxxing.

They haven’t recalled the dangerous experimental gene therapy, despite the fact they’ve gone ultra precautious about covid, yet for the first time in history they’ve implemented mass production & mass deployment for an untested new technology & discredit anyone or anything that question its efficacy or safety.

Note the other crisis they are manufacturing to distract our attention, why what are they distracting us from? The bozo BS is just theatre, just more of the same directing their desired narrative.

This is an orchestrated agenda to grab power by the ruling elite being facilitated by schizophrenic liberal leftists. They have declared war on freedom.

17
-1
BS665
BS665
3 years ago
Reply to  Anti_socialist

Science IS tyranny.

5
-1
Nitrambo
Nitrambo
3 years ago
Reply to  BS665

Didn’t used to be.

7
-1
Ron Smith
Ron Smith
3 years ago
Reply to  Anti_socialist

“ facilitated by schizophrenic liberal leftists”…..Also they’re stooges for the WEF and the Reset crowd.

3
0
GlassHalfFull
GlassHalfFull
3 years ago

It’s probably the opposite of a ‘healthy vaccinee’ effect.

Those who are unjabbed that end up in hospital and die could quite easily be the “unhealthy unjabbed” effect.

Someone who is too ill or frail to have the jab is more likely to end up in hospital and the data shows that they were “unvaccinated” without any enquiry on their health status.

A rough sleeper who is not on any health records who ends up in hospital is regarded as “unjabbed”

All these unhealthy unjabbed are skewing the figures making the jabs look a lot more effective than they really are.

We all know that the ONS has grossly underestimated the unjabbed population by the many articles on this website.

The people who gather the data conveniently say that they are not allowed to show the unjabbed health status as it would contravene data protection laws.

I still haven’t seen any hard evidence that the jab is actually working.

10
-1
Roger A
Roger A
3 years ago

Typical bias, deaths in the un vaxxed group would be larger because, for most of 2021, the majority of people in England were unvaxxed (according to the prevailing definition of “unvaccinated” that is)

10
-1
twinkytwonk
twinkytwonk
3 years ago
Reply to  Roger A

Well spotted!

2
0
Roger A
Roger A
3 years ago
Reply to  twinkytwonk

Thanks twinky

Last edited 3 years ago by Roger A
0
0
CovidiousAlbion
CovidiousAlbion
3 years ago

Source: https://publichealthscotland.scot/media/11089/22-01-12-covid19-winter_publication_report.pdf

20220112-mortality-hospitalisations-scotland-subtitled.png
1
0
JayBee
JayBee
3 years ago

https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/alberta-gets-caught-palming-cards
Probably disappears already when this manipulation was adjusted for.

1
0
Think Harder
Think Harder
3 years ago

I don’t want to support the vaccines or not but my reason for not vaccinating was that I believed I am healthy enough that the balance of risk favoured not vaccinating. I realised it was poorly tested. I have met others that made a similar assessment.

If you are vulnerable and / or very old such that you have few years ahead anyway then taking a chance on vaccinating makes more sense.

The coercion makes me think that very few should take the vaccine and that it is not pushed for the recipient’s benefit.

Last edited 3 years ago by Think Harder
11
0
LonePatriot
LonePatriot
3 years ago

I am so sick of this covid aka great reset nonsense. But I undertake as a duty to inform people about facts about cheaply, effectively and qucikly curing this so called virus symptoms. Search for c19ivermectin on your search engine. On that website you will find as of right now there are 142 studies. 93 of them are peer reviewed about curing covid19 with ivermectin. These are undeniable evidences. Get your ivermectin before it is too late https://ivmpharmacy.com

1
0
David Beaton
David Beaton
3 years ago

Try telling us about what is actually in the Gene Therapy mRNA injections ( all the ingredients) what they actually do to the body and all our cells and how, what effect they have on our immune systems, how long their synthetic viral spike proteins last in the body, what side-effects have been officially reported word-wide, how many acknowledged deaths are directly caused by them, how many people have suffered life-changing severe adverse reactions ,how many people have died in all the experimental vaccine trials over the last 20 years compared to the many thousands who have died word wide as a result of being injected with these products….and how many children- at no risk from the virus – have died after being injected with these ’emergency use only’ products .

Then tell us about the “Healthy Vaccine Effects”

Last edited 3 years ago by David Beaton
7
0
wjm
wjm
3 years ago

This discussion doesn’t consider the possibly much greater impact of classifying people vaccinated within 14 days post-vaccination – when there is known immunosuppression – in the unvaccinated group. The arithmetical and statistical tricks Big Pharma play to enhance the apparent effectivity of their potions are ingenious and seemingly limitless. Now public health authorities have become their willing servants, applying those same sleights of hand to bamboozle us all – government and the public.

2
0
Milo
Milo
3 years ago
Reply to  wjm

If there was nothing to hide the sleights of hand wouldn’t be needed

The fact that they resort to doctored data tells you everything you need to know.

1
0
W1984
W1984
3 years ago

Is this not simply because pre 14 days the vaccinated are counted as unvaccinated. Within those days there is a much higher chance of illness or death. El gato sets it out rather well from statistician Joel Smalley https://metatron.substack.com/p/alberta-just-inadvertently-confessed

2
0
another armstrong
another armstrong
3 years ago

According to the table there were 1,280 covid deaths per 100,000 people. An Infection Fatality Rate of almost 1.3% it would seem, despite it being around 0.2% globally.
With a population of 68 million, this death rate would account for 89,000 deaths across the reference period, the covid dashboard tells us there were 67,000. Assuming the number only includes the 55 million expected to be jabbed, this still gives a death rate of 71,000, despite the fact that the younger generation don’t die with it.
There were apparently 5,800 deaths per 100,000 people in the first 10 months of last year. 5.8% or 3.74 million of us passed away. A reasonable estimate would then be that 4.5 million died over the whole of 2021 against a typical year where perhaps 0.75 million of us die. Yet none of us noticed this massacre.
I don’t claim to understand what a “person year” is, and perhaps that is why my extrapolated calculations seem so strange, but there does seem to be something fishy here.

2
0
marebobowl
marebobowl
3 years ago

Look if you want to take an experimental biological with minimal safety or efficacy data and NO long term safety or efficacy data be my guest. However, with adverse events and deaths post vaxx stacking up, there is a massive concern among top scientists, researchers and doctors that this may not be a very smart thing to do.

7
0

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13 August 2025
by Richard Eldred

News Round-Up

14 August 2025
by Richard Eldred

The Lucy Letby Case and the Scourge of Experts

13 August 2025
by Guy de la Bédoyère

Sadiq Khan’s Road Charges Will See Thousands Pay £4,410 Extra as Motorists Brace for Tougher Driving Rules

13 August 2025
by Richard Eldred

The Folly of Climate Leadership: Britain’s Net Zero Masochism and the China Mirage

14 August 2025
by Tilak Doshi

Sadiq Khan’s Road Charges Will See Thousands Pay £4,410 Extra as Motorists Brace for Tougher Driving Rules

21

Keir Starmer Humiliated as US Slams Britain’s “Worsening Human Rights” in Bombshell Report

20

The Folly of Climate Leadership: Britain’s Net Zero Masochism and the China Mirage

15

News Round-Up

14

Don’t Put Expensive Items at Front of Stores, Labour Tells Shopkeepers

19

The Folly of Climate Leadership: Britain’s Net Zero Masochism and the China Mirage

14 August 2025
by Tilak Doshi

The Lucy Letby Case and the Scourge of Experts

13 August 2025
by Guy de la Bédoyère

Meet Obki the Alien: Sky TV’s Little Yellow Man Who Aims to Turn Your Children Green

13 August 2025
by Steven Tucker

If Rupert Lowe’s Anti-Halal Campaign Succeeds it Could Lead to a Ban on Country Sports

12 August 2025
by Damien McCrystal

Net Zero Nutters Suggest a Plague of Ticks Whose Bite Leads to a Potentially Fatal Red Meat Allergy

12 August 2025
by Chris Morrison

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