In an article last week I highlighted the Government’s missed opportunity in focusing on vaccines rather than weight loss and healthy living in the fight against Covid. A research paper published in the Lancet implied that a two-point BMI reduction (that’s about 6kgs, 14lb or 1 stone) delivers the same level of risk reduction against serious disease as is claimed for a Covid booster shot four months after vaccination. However, while the vaccine’s protection wanes to virtually zero after six months, losing weight and keeping it off delivers consistent equivalent Covid protection and, additionally, reduces the risk of type 2 diabetes, heart attack and some cancers and improves general well-being. Good news both for you and the NHS.
Information like this seems to me to be the kind of thing people are looking for, particularly now as they become increasingly hesitant about getting ever more shots of vaccine.
From my own interactions I sense a significant turning of the tide in people’s perception of the vaccines and the pandemic in general. A number of people have commented to me that last year in the first few months of the football season – and while the booster campaign was going strong – virtually no top-flight game was complete without a player collapsing on the field (Christian Eriksen and John Fleck come to mind), an ‘incident in the crowd’ or a pundit (Trevor Sinclair) potentially facing the sack for daring to muse ‘whether the vaccine had anything to do with it’. This year, and in the absence of a booster campaign targeting the age profile of the typical football spectator, I haven’t heard of any such incidents, have you? I’ve no specific evidence that vaccines caused the problems but, along with millions of others, it made we wonder.
It’s not only football fans who’ve had a double take. You won’t be surprised to know that sometimes I’ve been accused of ‘preaching to the choir’. There’s some truth in this. However, recently, a friend of mine, who is both metaphorically and literally in the choir asked me for some simple facts that were easily verifiable that she could use with her fellow choristers without them thinking she was a tin-foil hat wearer. She went on to explain that several of them had become increasingly sceptical about all aspects of the Covid hysteria and weren’t at all sure about having any more doses of vaccine. She wanted an easy-to-find and easy-to-verify argument from an irrefutable source that wouldn’t scare them. This is what I’ve come up with. I thought some of you may find these kinds of points useful in your own interactions with waverers.
The rationale for vaccines has always rested on three legs.
- Reduction in infection. Does anyone assert this anymore? I don’t think so. However, if you’d like to see an excellent explanation of how the data can be manipulated to make you think they’re effective, can I recommend this short Norman Fenton film.
- Reduction in deaths. I wrote an article published July 27th 2022 showing from official UKHSA data that deaths of the unvaccinated were proportionately no greater than the vaccinated.
- Reduction in hospital admissions. Let’s test this one out!
The UKHSA claims about 85% vaccine efficacy against hospitalisation in the first few months, falling to about 60% after six months (see figure 5 below). If this was really the case, wouldn’t you expect fewer Covid hospital admissions since the vaccines were rolled out? Well, that’s the odd thing, hospital admissions have increased.
Figure 1 tells us that to date in 2022 there have been 44% more Covid hospital admissions than in the same period in 2021. What’s more, already in 2022 we have had 12% more hospital admissions than in the entirety of 2021.
There have been 39% more Covid hospital admissions in the first 289 days of 2022 than there were in the 289 days from March 19th 2020 to the end of December 2020.
Whenever I mention Covid hospital admissions, I’m required to mention that not all the people admitted with Covid are in hospital because of Covid – for many it’s an incidental infection. But, of course this was always the case. The definition of a Covid hospital admission hasn’t changed, we’re comparing apples with apples.
Where does this unlikely sounding data come from? Well, I’m delighted to tell you it’s hidden in plain sight in the Government’s Coronavirus Dashboard. Figure 2 reproduces the familiar graph that you see if you visit the website and click on the Healthcare tab.
I know some readers like to verify the data themselves. To do so, go to the Coronavirus Dashboard, click on the Healthcare tab. Then click on the ‘Download’ button in the bottom left hand corner and extract the data as a csv file, which will open in an Excel spreadsheet. You can then reproduce any of the charts printed here. In figure 3 I’ve circled in red the ‘download’ button and I’ve highlighted the time periods I’ve shown separately back in Figure 1.
We can also simply present the data cumulatively (see Figure 4). If you draw a line from the bottom left-hand side to the top right hand corner you’ll notice that the trajectory of the line is a very close fit to the actual wavy line of hospital admissions. The straight line is indicative that hospital admissions are accumulating over time at a constant rate (albeit with waves on the way).
If vaccines really delivered 85% or even 60% efficacy against hospital admission you would expect to see the line kink down as the vaccines were rolled out, but you don’t. The peaks and troughs in the line have flattened but the trajectory has stayed amazingly consistent.
Figure 5 shows the claimed efficacy for the various vaccines following various doses taken from the UKHSA’s week 40 (the latest) vaccine surveillance report (page 14). I’ve put a red box around the hospital admission rates.
In the same report, though admittedly 35 pages further on, the actual number of hospital admissions by vaccine dosage is shown in table 12a. The figures are for about a five month period from March to August 2022. Only 6.2% of the people hospitalised were unvaccinated. As we know, there’s an ongoing dispute about the actual level of vaccination. For the over 40s the rate is probably somewhere between 80% and 90%, so whichever way you look at it the vaccinated are proportionately more likely to be hospitalised with a positive Covid test than the unvaccinated are. At most, 90% of the over-40s are vaccinated yet they account for 93% of those admitted to hospital (though admittedly there is a degree of age confounding here, as older people are more likely to be vaccinated and also more likely to be hospitalised).
Going back to my friend, the chorister, I think she can show this Government data to her choral friends with confidence. It’s from a reputable source. It doesn’t make any claims about vaccine dangers. It simply suggests that if you decide not to be vaccinated you’re at no more risk than if you were vaccinated.
Personally, I think frightening people with stories of vaccine harms isn’t terribly productive. Much better to focus on solutions than problems. If you have friends who are wavering in their enthusiasm for yet another vaccine, point them in the direction of the benefits of losing weight and general health. Point out that in not getting a further jab they’re inviting little or no greater risk, as can be seen from the hospital admission data. Maybe gently point out that the Scandinavians and Floridians have throttled back their vaccine campaigns and that in the U.K. we don’t appear to be offering a further booster to the under-50s.
Maybe by taking a gentle approach rather than blurting out “I told you so!” it will mean that some of your fractured friendships can be healed as people realise you weren’t a swivelled eyed loon after all. No one likes being told they were wrong.
As Charles Mackay said: “Men go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.”
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I’m sure they’ve nothing to hide and nothing to fear, and every word that was hidden would be a real threat to national security and the greater good if it were released. Or it would create “embarrassment” for an “ally” and thereby jeopardise future
conspiring with said “ally” against the interests of the nationcooperation.Nothing to see here.
How can a *global* pandemic be a *state* secret?? It strikes me of either/both (1) protecting Fauci (and therefore the whole cabal), and (2) not wanting to offend China. Neither are valid reasons.
The US FOI system being more robust, and maybe leakier, there is already enough information on this e-mail conferencing in the public domain to create a scandal on the funding of the gain-of-function studies. We already knew the involvement of Patrick Vallance with this conversation, and this confirms it.
What the redactions here, and in the US, show, is that the State in both nations is also in on the secrecy. It is not, therefore, merely a question of scientists covering their backs because they loused up. Funnily enough, the censorship reveals more than the e-mails would have done.
The censorship confirms that the emails are damning.
If it is all for the “public good”, it would not be redacted – simplistic maybe, but inevitably will be found to be true.
Will the Charity Commission investigate the Wellcome Trust…….?
Jesus Christ. Will the complacent sheep just get their heads out of their asses already, wake up and take stock of this hellscape they have shuffled into?
Wake up wake up wake up.
Not ‘shuffled into‘ – ‘strode arrogantly towards‘
You’re right, of course. Poor choice of words.
How’s the shoulder and arm now after Sunday?
They are too busy spraying the handles of their shopping trolleys at the entrance to Tesco’s. They are braving a Deadly Pandemic to get to a large packet of crisps and a 1.5 litre bottle of CocaCola for their nutritious lunch.
And getting in everyone’s way while they do the spraying!
Yesterday I went by taxi to Tesco Metro, a large Co Op, a chain newsagent and Gregg’s bakery.
The 35-50% of customers wearing masks did not seem to notice that not a single member of staff in those four shops were doing so.
Didn’t notice anyone spraying their trollies while sanitizer stations were ignored by all.
The 35-50% of customers wearing masks did not seem to notice that not a single member of staff in those four shops were doing so.
Not noticing the bl***ding obvious seems to be part of their mental disturbance.
😂 😂 😂 😂 😂
it is well known that Fauci, Vallance et al are in pockets and brown nosing with big Pharma, technocrats etc. Conflict of interest is an understatement.
Essentially, yet more circumstantial evidence of co-ordinated dodgy-dealing and the veracity of the lab leak theory.
This sort of censorship is actually quite confirmatory in its own right.
Instinctively I agree.
As we used to say back in the Watergate era, *expletive deleted*.
I remember during the Watergate era, as the explanations of the wrongdoing changed on an almost daily basis, the perpetrators explained that some of the statements made previously were now “inoperative” and should be replaced by new, “operative” statements.
I used to think the ending of the “All The President’s Men” was ill judged and a sign they ran out of money until I read the book and Daniel Ellsberg’s book – then it dawned on me it was the perfect juxtaposition for all the Newsreel footage of the guilty – Kalmbach in particular – spouting their lies and then the Telex reporting their convictions and sentences…so powerful and is it not a shame the legacy of Bradlee in this era is being torn to shreds by the incumbent management of the Post.
The world needs a new “Daniel Ellsberg”…right now.
Or ‘mis-spoke’ by Hilary Clinton when caught out for a blatant and obvious lie.
A good day for the BBC and legacy media to pivot to the Pandora Papers then…
Just that this was published by the DM on the 2nd October.
The story on the same newspaper, about anti vaxxer football players gathers more hits.
Says a lot about society.
…or what’s left of society.
Nothing to do with the Tory conference, naturally.
Not fooled by the BBC article on Blair – they very obviously will use this as “evidence” of their impartiality except for one crucial factlet – they knew all about this for weeks, prepared their piece but “embargoed” it during the Starmerfest last week.
Kabooooom BBC – no toes left, have we?
What are they hiding? Erm a lot, it seems. That is a lot of black marker pen
they are redacted because they are hiding something. the something they are hiding would be bad for them so its redacted.
nothing to fear nothing to hide.
they are most definitely guilt of something
Why have we allowed our time to be wasted in this way – what it implies is what any sensible person should have suspected from day one (ignoring all the standard conspiracy theory rhetoric). As a result Fauci goes on pulling all the strings and it is obvious that we operating to a criminal agenda known to all senior politicians. When the first tranche of Fauci emails were published in June Naomi Wolf tweeted the question why if she could not believe Fauci about Wuhan she could believe him about vaccines and her account was promptly closed: perhaps it is the question of our time. Meanwhile, the Mail goes on harassing anyone who does not want to be vaccinated.
Next protest round at The Daily Mail’s offices? Round at Vallance’s house?
Mail on Sunday has done well here though.
SB, sad to say I disagree – they could have reported this weeks ago by interviewing Del Bigtree and Jefferey Jaxen – they have had this stuff for many weeks.
Mind you , OFCOM would not have been happy but so what?
“devastating pandemic”??
What we need to guard against in the future is the catastrophically disproportionate response to a new, manufactured virus.
Quite. What’s been ‘devastating’ is the response of many governments worldwide – without all the hysteria most people (if aware of it at all) would have thought ‘seems a moderately bad flu season this year’, and that would have been it.
Again so true
Spot on 100%
Pandemic of government corruption.
So true
Does FOI stand for Freedom of Ink?
If you want to encourage the spread of so called “conspiracy theories” this is one way of going about it.
’Tis only a theory when it’s not true. Otherwise it’s a conspiracy.
What did we/they expect?
Those people have a God complex, firmly believe that they are above the law and they act as such non-stop.
Since quite a while, they are also at a stage where they are just taking the p*ss out of anyone, especially out of those who dare bother them.
I’m reading this (like everything else we’re witnessing) more as a divide and conquer strategy – in other words designed to create maximum insecurity and confusion. Smoke and mirrors. There might have been a lab leak, there might not .. oooooh! What were they talking about? oooooh! It’s all playing into the fear and uncertainty, and lends weight to the notion that there was something unique and existential about SARS-Cov2. I think we only see the things they want us to see – there’s no reason why exchanges between such figures should ever see the light of day, redacted or not, FOI or not. I could send an encrypted messages to the other side of the world that no one could ever access; they can too.
I agree, I get nervous every time I see an article about the “lab leak” theory, I think these discussions merely help to amplify the fear. I am left wondering so what if it was a bio-weapon? If it was then it was spectacularly ineffective, the UK age adjusted death rate was lower in 2020 than every year before 2008, and most of the excess deaths were deaths of people near the end of their lives in any case. Of course it may turn out that there are longer term consequences of the illness (assuming it exists) that we don’t know about, but the known damage so far has all been done by our own governments.
I agree but I am coming round to thinking it would be helpful to know. People want explanations and absent those they tend to think all this was necessary. If it was a leak, that goes a long way to explaining the panic.
That’s the question : was it deliberation or opportunism?
Deliberately opportunistic morphing into an out of control Trojan Horse – agree with Julian below…a Remora effect imho.
“If it was then it was spectacularly ineffective” (as a ‘bio’weapon’)
Wrong. Have a look around : it’s been amazingly effective, with Europeans, in general, offering up their basic rights with barely a murmur.
Much more effective and calibrated (and controllable) than the Hollywood bullshit mega-doom.
The weapon was the Chinese fake lockdown, misinformation, and the lie that this was exceptional.
I think it’s quite plausible that all of this started as an accident, followed by panic, a cover-up and then opportunist power grabs.
As per Julian’s reply, you’re describing the government response not the effects of “COVID-19”, which nobody would have noticed without the Western media hype and wildly inaccurate academic predictions.
You miss the point entirely. The two are inextricably linked as part of the same weapon.
A deadly ‘Hollywood’ version was always bullshit – posing too many uncontrollable problems. It would be a very stupid initiative.
This can be considered as a two-part political weaponisation of biological fears.
I understand the theory well enough and I have heard it before, I just think half of the theory, the bit based on the assumption that COVID-19 is really dangerous for a significant number of people, and killed people, is debatable.
The people who died even according to the ONS were in their 80s on average, there could be other explanations e.g. the Midazolam theory, and/or the moving of old patients into care homes, for the spike in deaths in 2020. Even at the height of the supposed pandemic only around 1 in 5000 people more than usual were dying per week, and these were very old people on average. Even according to SAGE the first lockdown killed 16,000 compared with 43,000 who had supposedly died of COVID-19 at that point in time – i.e. the lockdown can explain a significant number of deaths in 2020. It could have been an influenza outbreak for all we really know, the deaths simply re-categorized based on dubious testing methods. Some doctors have even suspected that the use of ventilators was wrong, and may have contributed to some patients dying unnecessarily. In short we simply cannot trust the official death toll on COVID-19.
In summary I’m remaining sceptical that COVID-19 is really novel, or dangerous for normally healthy people, or was really what killed the people it is supposed to have killed.
Justs to be clear I should have stated that 1 in 5000 people was the figure for England and Wales only.
Please read Omar Khan “It Was Always a Con: The COVID Debacle”.
Use of the word “novel” has been significantly misunderstood, not least by me, and among other sagacities he explains “novel” refers to a variant not in any other context.
SARS COV2 is a GoF, genetically modified, computer designed, chimera and has been admitted as such by Baric/Zhengli – and they should know!!
Thanks I’ve bookmarked it, looks interesting. Whether it’s novel, GoF etc or not though makes no difference to the main point I’m making here.
I think the Chinese fuelled the media hype, didn’t they? If it was an unexpected crisis, they certainly didn’t let it go to waste.
In the beginning for sure, but without our Western media amplifying the whole thing people would have soon forgotten about it I think. The Daily Mail being a key offender:
“How The Media Made 2020 Look Exceptional For Mortality”
http://participator.online/articles/2021/09/how_the_media_made_2020_look_exceptional_for_mortality_20210925.php
Where are the hackers when you need them?
I’ve been wondering for a while where Anonymous have been these past 18 months.
Please find, read and spread the word regarding the brilliant “I Spartacus” letter if you have not done so already.
If you can’t find it, worry not, the BBC will serialise its contents in the near future – I have this on good authority from Whitty, Vallance and SAGE.
“Highly contemptuous”about sums it up.
FOI must stand for “Free of Information”, unless you have a barcode scanner.
The lab leak yarn was censored until the fear associated with a natural cause began to fade, then someone flicked a switch and a whole new level of bio terror was stoked up and allowed to circulate. Funny how the PCR test cannot tell the difference between a common cold, flu or anything else; ‘covid’ has yet to be isolated and purified and the sequence being used for comparison purposes had to be computer generated.
They are scum, all of them.
Just a coincidence. Or incompetence. Not a conspiracy. Oh no.
The Mail reports?
I too would choose the toilet paper rag if I had propaganda to push.
What good are all these “freedom of information” laws when all information belatedly and begrudgingly produced is redacted?
This trend of NOT releasing information they allegedly do release is not new or deals only with COVID memos. You can see it with every freedom of information request.
Before I became interested in researching COVID topics, I was doing what research I could into the “investigation” of Epstein’s “sex trafficking” operation. A few documents have been “released” on prior investigations, but like these they were largely pages of black ink.
Even when officials are ordered to release relevant information, they don’t release relevant information. And they get away with this.
BRjnr, that is why I have pleaded and do so again to TY/MC/Noah to put a section for FoI results on the DS webpage – people like yourself ( me in a small way) and a load of others have FoI responses that in total will amount to a very valid testimony.
The Pysops operators know that in a guerrilla war, safety is in a cellular approach to security – you only need to know the “next in line” – so in a similar way the disintegrated nature of all the combined knowledge of DS and others experiences is a massive help to Johnson/SAGE etc because it is very difficult to have a coordinated overview of this subject – if TY agreed to have the FoI responses in subject order then it would be possible to see the Government’s own statements about RT-PCR testing, eg, and that they state the CT rate is uniformly circa 40; they also state that it is impossible to compare results form different labs and assays due to the disparity in methodologies but STILL insist in the ONS pushing out “combined” alleged positive testing results as “cases”.
This information, in”coagulated ” form, would be far far more powerful, more coherent, incapable of being refuted because it comes from official sources via FoI, and a darn sight more persuasive of an argument with which all DS folks are very familiar – and it could be a point of reference to waverers yet to be “enlightened” – what better way than to provide information from HMG that can be used …against …..HMG?
“SO TY I ASK AGAIN PLEASE SET UP A FoI TAB FOR ALL TO UPLOAD THEIR FoI RESPONSES”
I’ve actually requested documents from public entities that didn’t want this information released. It takes weeks, months or years to get the information, which is never comprehensive and never includes everything you asked for. And then you have to pay for “information” they do release. With big and important data like this, those seeking it must have to pay thousands of dollars plus hire lawyers to try to get it.
You go to all this trouble and expense … and this is what you get for your efforts – a document where the only non-redacted word is “thank you.”
These people are so brazen. By now, they KNOW they don’t have to reveal what they don’t want to reveal.
And there are no real “investigative journalists” anymore – at least at the mainstream media news organizations. That is, they won’t even investigate the topics that need to be investigated. These “freedom of information” request come from lawyers or some obscure public interest groups. They don’t come from the NY Times or CNN.
When the documents that are released are heavily redacted, the news organizations don’t file any protests or write editorials condemning this effort to conceal the real truth. Anyway, “watchdog” journalism does not exist.
It would be interesting to count the number of well-known news organizations that run major stories on this.
You’re essentially right. But even heavy redaction like this means you have got something:
An admission that these bastards have something to hide, and the strong possibility that they are liars is reinforced
Can at least begin some network analysis and see who’s talking to whom and how often.
If you look through the bits that haven’t been redacted there is one email from an unknown sender to Farrar, Vallance and others (sent 01 February 2020 19:37) that says “We need to talk about the backbone too, not just the insert?”. Surely that is a give away admission that the virus was engineered? Otherwise why would you talk about an insert??
Don’t worry all, I have special sex-ray eyes that can decipher redacted emails, and they basically read as follows:
————————
From: Farrar
To: Vallance; Whitty; Fauci
Date: Sometime in July, 2019
————————
Hi all,
We fucked up. You remember when Fauci and me gave Daszak and the Batwoman all that money to do the gain of function work at Wuhan and we promised it was to help us prepare for rogue states weaponising coronaviruses? Well, ummmm, it leaked and quite a few people got sick. The Chinese are gonna take care of it from their end… get some new security at the lab, delete all the databases… should be all ok by the time the Military Games are in town come October. Bill, Melinda and the John Hopkins guys are setting up a workshop for later this year just in case there’s a vaccine angle that can make us some money. Thankfully Daszak is an arse and they didn’t make anything too deadly, although it could be useful as a bit of fear porn if Johnson, Macron and co want to introduce some eco-social-credit systems down the line. Just tell them it came from a Pangolin and prepare some dodgy graphs; Ferguson knows what to do.
Cowabunga, dudes.
Sir Jeremy
PS I spoke to Klaus and he says we’re still on for drinks at his house on Friday.
More!
What is the point of releasing redacted documents? Why not just refuse to release them on some spurious grounds. If you don’t release the documents everyone will think you have something to hide but there’s no proof. If you release them but with large parts blacked out it is plainly evident that you do have something to hide and have hidden it.
Obviously I’m missing some cunning psychological technique here but I don’t know what it is.
Poor old Richard Nixon! If only the redaction on the Watergate tapes had been like this, he could have stayed on as President! It would have sounded like a John Cage score!
Worth reading the Mail on Sunday? Hmm…
Just read all comments up to 08.56am, 05/10/2021
No one has pointed out that these emails have been already obtained by ICAN in the US – I recommend folks get onto The HIghwire and review Del Bigtree’s episodes dealing with the Fauci emails, if not already done so; they are not as redacted and I believe they have made a further submission of any redactions to be removed – please do not rely on the UK FoI – the Government etc are very conflicted.
From what I have seen, these emails are, in part, the smoking guns and when “read” in conjunction with Dr David MArtin’s Fauci Dossier remove all doubt this is a US tax payer funded/Daszak/Baric/UniNCal/Big Pharma/Welcome/GAVI/CCP etc etc stitch up that appears to have gone very horribly wrong.
The obsessive secrecy is manna for the “Conspiracy Theorists” who seem to so often be bang on the money.
Unfortunately, the medical/virology (non)experts at Twatter have suspended (redacted?) me, so I cannot see the document images.
The whole govt response needs to be robustly challenged in the courts, including lockdowns, muzzling, vaccines, tests, etc., as the complete illogicality of it is stark, e.g. yesterday I visited my elderly mother in her care home (a rare event now as it’s a 2 hours drive each way), I was reprimanded for sitting with her in the main lounge where she was enjoying some entertainment, as I have declined being vaccinated, yet they had tested me on entry and I was NEGATIVE!! She has recovered from covid AND has had the vaccine, so who’s the one at risk? If the govt and our so-called scientific ‘experts’ can’t even put 2 and 2 logically together, heaven help us.
The UK and US governments obviously have much to hide! A pandemic such as Covid 19 is a matter for public knowledge, no matter if it should damage the reputation of any nation or government.
Only the dead in a coffin with a mask over their brains still think it is all about a virus!