Social Scientists Can’t Predict Better Than Simple Models, Study Finds
14 October 2022
by Noah Carl
A Look Back at the Demonisation of the Unvaccinated
14 October 2022
New Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has a woeful record on lockdowns: a Zero Covid proponent, he has praised China's response, voted for vaccine passports and opposed ending lockdowns until infections drop below 1,000 a day.
As global warming goes off the boil and the climate resolutely fails to break down on cue, an entire industry of pseudoscience has sprung up to catastrophise every unusual natural weather event or disaster.
A study finally looks at all-cause deaths by vaccination status. The results are incredible, that is to say, not credible: a 71% cut in total deaths from a fourth dose, even though Covid deaths are just 8% of the total.
Social scientists were asked to predict how effective different interventions would be at changing people's behaviour. They did worse than a simple model that said none of the interventions would work.
That some healthy young people were surely coerced into receiving an injection that led to their death or serious injury, when the data showed that the benefits did not outweigh the risks, is an unconscionable tragedy.
A summary of the most interesting stories in the past 24 hours that challenge the prevailing orthodoxy about the virus and the vaccines, the ‘climate emergency’ and the supposed moral defects of Western civilisation.
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