A few warm days in June and the BBC slips seamlessly into full weather catastrophisation mode. “Is the U.K. getting hotter?” it asks. “Experts have said it’s rare to see temperatures this high at this point in June.” Back on terra firma, at 50°N, it is debatable whether the U.K. is currently getting hotter, and while 30°C in June might not be an every-year occurrence, it is hardly rare.
Surface temperature measurements plotted by the Met Office confirm my often stated observation that recent warming seen in the U.K. and the northern hemisphere has run out of steam. BBC science reporter Georgina Rannard writes that over the last three decades “the U.K. has become 0.9°C warmer”. Looking at the graph above, it can be seen that most of this warming occurred in the 1990s. She might have more informatively noted that in the last 22 years, the U.K. temperature has risen by 0.2°C. Clinging to 1990s data to boost suggestions of current warming is widespread across the BBC. In Scotland, the recent temperature record is even flatter than the U.K. as a whole, but last March Professor Dame Julia King, a member of the Government-sponsored Climate Change Committee, told the BBC that temperatures had risen by 0.5°C over the last 30 years.
The Met Office publishes mean U.K. temperature readings regularly. I have been looking at them for a few years and they do not appear to have been adjusted or changed. They show that the 2010s were colder at 9.17°C than the preceding 2000s, when the overall average was higher at 9.31°C. This is in marked contrast to the Met Office global temperature dataset HadCRUT, where we have seen two major human-adjusted uplifts during the last decade, producing around 30% of extra heating. In addition, some historical records have been lowered. All the major global temperature datasets have made similar adjustments. As a result, their upward trend lines do not align with many measurements made by satellites and meteorological balloons. These records are out of line with local recordings showing obvious temperature slowing, as we can see in the U.K.
Rennard goes on to note that the summer of 2018 was the UK’s second warmest, shared with 1995. Not according to the Met Office figures it wasn’t. 2018 was 15.76°C, whereas 1995 only came in at 15.62°C. However, it is a fairly meaningless difference. If one takes the tiny change between the two as within the margin of error, we find that two further summers since then were just as hot. It might be more accurate to just say that the U.K. has the occasional nice summer. In fact, the Met Office U.K. database itself may be overstating actual warming, since the explosion in urban development since the second world war has boosted urban heat generation. The Met Office often quotes the temperature at Heathrow airport – sometimes, even, with a straight face.
No BBC weather story is complete without constant reference to other material asking, ”Are soaring temperatures linked to climate change?”, and stating the “U.K. is already undergoing disruptive climate change.” Rennard notes a report on “climate extremes” in the U.K. that found recent years “have seen both higher maximum temperatures and longer warm spells”.
It all depends how you define recent years. There is hardly what one could call a significant recent trend towards “higher maximum temperatures”. Over the last 20 years, all the average highs were below the record set in 1976. But according to the BBC, the trend towards higher maximums is predicted to continue. “It is possible that by 2100, the U.K. could see 40°C days every three to four years.”
The last few days were hot in Britain. It was a brief warm spell driven by natural forces, namely hot air being driven up from the south. The BBC says experts note that it is rare to see temperatures this high in June. But a couple of hot days hardly proves that human-caused climate change is responsible. Let’s look at the record for June and try to observe a trend towards hotter days.
If you are trying to promote climate Armageddon, it might not be a good idea to publish a graph showing that the average June maximum temperature recordings in the U.K. were similar to those observed 150 years ago. The world has warmed by around 1°C since the start of the industrial revolution and the emergence from the preceding so-called little ice age. This would appear to explain the small 0.2°C increase in the June trend line from about 1890.
Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor
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As a fairly simple fellow it amazes me how much discussion there seems to be about measuring the temperature. For years we have put a thermometer behind a Stevenson screen and measured the temperature. As this article indicates viewing these sort of temperatures indicates that nothing too alarming is going on.
On Friday in North Devon we had a maximum temperature of 28.6 degs
Yesterday in North Devon we had 13.21 mm of rain and a maximum temperature of 19.1 degs.
I rather suspect that if you could go back in time and talk to a North Devon farmer 100 years ago he would not have found that sort of weather pattern unduly unusual.
Similarly when you talk to people who live near the coast in Devon they struggle to notice any change in sea level between the 1950s and today.
‘Farmers’ and ‘people who live near the coast’ are not experts, Steve. What do they know? They aren’t The Scientists and, as such, can’t be trusted with anything. You should ignore such people. They are conspiracy theorists.
🤣🤣
Its quite noticable that ‘extreme weather’ never seems to happen where I am. Yet here we are with #ukheatwave trending on Thursday and by Saturday its #timeforafleece. Why does everyone seem to limit themselves to a 48 hour horizon of experience.?
Great discussion about so-called Climate Change on Neil Oliver, GB News yesterday. Well worth looking out.
I’m old enough (just) to remember the severe winter of ’63 when deep snow covered the country from Boxing Day to April. I also remember the very long, hot summers of ’76 when we had searing temperatures (by British standards) and no rain in southern England for a couple of months.
I remember being told by “the scientists” in the ’70s that we were heading for another ice age. I remember when we were told by “the scientists” starting in the ’90s that we were suffering from global warming. Now we’re told by “the scientists” that we are suffering from man-made climate change ….. despite there being no real evidence whatsoever that the climate is changing significantly or that man is responsible.
My observations of the past 60 years and the conclusion I have reached is that “the Scientists” are in the pay of the Globalists who have an Agenda to advance which, if they were democrats, they knew they could not get democratic consent to implement. So they are imposing it through the time-honoured tactics of fear; facilitating mob-rule and force.
The BBC is the mouthpiece of these Globalists in the UK.
Thanks for that. Just how long can they keep the ball in the air if the global temperatures don’t comply?
Just keep shifting the axis so you can get a nice upward trend on your graph. If that fails, make it up…
Have a look at the Heatwave Plan for England. You’ll note that this doesn’t only come from the exact some people who brought us The Corona Pandemic
but also uses largely the same language. These people have a predetermined political agenda they’re trying to get implemented by constantly warning that some terminal catastrophe will otherwise certainly happen. Nobody can tell what they going to lie about twenty years from now. But they’ll certainly be lying about something.
Where I live I would say the weather has been exceptionally benign for at least 18 months, and this year alone so far has neither been too cold or too hot, not particularly stormy, a mild winter just gone – a little on the dry side, but apart from that, very pleasant indeed (West country). This is why I almost gasp at the audacity of the likes of the BBC crying wolf all the time – I mean, I look out of the window and see nothing unusual, yet I am continually being told it IS unusual. Have people become so removed from nature (with their heads stuck into phones and laptops) that they can’t actually sit up, look around them, and realise what they are being told doesn’t tally with what they see, and then make further investigations as to why this is so?
It was 21 degrees here on Thursday, 32 on Friday (a temperature only reached slowly by late pm, which then dropped back quickly) and a decidedly chilly 14 degrees and very wet yesterday. And for this, the media, mostly the BBC goes into panic mode about heatwaves etc. For just one bloomin’ hot day! It’s just barking, isn’t it?
Currently heavy cloud and 16 degrees – can we have our ‘heatwave’ back please?
In Reading, that was a warm day, which was warm and not hot. Since yesterday, it’s again overcast with sunny spells and rather cool. This year also came with an extreme weathe record, being the first year ever were I had to turn the heating on in June.
For the usual broken-record statement: Averaging a load of different temperature measurements taken by an ever-changing set of different temperature measurement stations in different locations whose output has additionally been politically corrected as it’s just not what it ought to be, still makes absolutely no sense.
From time to time, they make political adjustments to the definition of heatwave. See this met office page: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/learn-about/weather/types-of-weather/temperature/heatwave
This definition is a political adjustment of the weather in itself: A heatwave is said to be occurring when daily maximum temperature is at least the regional heatwave threshold for three days in a row. Daily maximum temperature is not a well-defined term, as it’s not said where this is measured. The maximum also communicates very little about the temperature throughout the day. Eg, for the so-called South-West three days of incessant thunderstorms with an average temperature below 20 degrees C but each with an 30 minute sunny spell during some time of the day where the temperature reaches 30 degrees C in the sun would qualify as heatwave.
You’re right. Incidentally, apart from the met office publications, I use this place: https://www.westweather.co.uk/ No affiliations with it – I just like the way it works. I think they use the American GFS as a source of forecasts; often differs from the met office.
I was brought up in the era of banning CFC’s to close the hole in the ozone layer. (It would be interesting to know if human activity plays any role in it’s fluctuation in size – Chris can you enlighten me?! I use to wince every time I sprayed lynx deodorant as I was told it would definitely give Australians skin Cancer.) I never for a second questioned the science on this. Equally with climate catastrophe taught in school it seemed obvious that we had to ‘solve’ global warming by any means possible. The lies about covid have done one good thing in that they have opened my eyes to the lies government and media tell to the populace and how compliant and ignorant they are. So much so that they swap in their perfectly good 500mile range petrol car for a 100 mile electric car that takes hours to charge and costs a fortune in electricity. Funny old World.
I’m of the opinion it won’t make a lot of difference whatever we do. What will be will be.
What I do wonder is what is the overall objective for preservationists. Do they want to turn the Earth into a climate controlled environment whereby we try to maintain the same ambient climate forever?
What happens if a natural cycle of heat or cold takes us out of what is judged to be acceptable? Do we turn the temperature up or find ways to block the sun?
The fact is that our very existence necessarily has an effect on our environment, how much of an effect is debateable. We can try to reduce our impact in some way but there will always be natural influences that are simply beyond our control. If we decide that we must combat all fluctuations caused by nature then we’ll become just like Sisyphus forever rolling the ball up the hill.
The nut jobs pushing the farce of global warming fall neatly in to two camps:
1. The eco loons who believe that human activities are heating up the planet but are too stupid to do any research and simply soak up MSM propoganda.
2. The Globocrap mob / Davos Deviants who push the global warming nonsense because it provides perfect cover for Agenda 2030, depopulation and a gateway to slavery for the rest.
I cannot count the number of so-called formally educated graduates that I know who fall into the first camp. Numpties.
“Formally educated” = “indoctrinated”.
Indeed but at least 50% of them are, shall we say, mature – post 55.