Waning Immunity

Vaccine Passports are Unnecessary, Unsupportable and Totalitarian

I’ve written a comment piece for Mail+ today about why the PM should shelve his plans for vaccine passports. I think that’s unlikely, given that Nicola Sturgeon has just announced Scotland will be introducing them for large indoor and outdoor venues later this month, but let’s hope Boris grows a pair. Here is an extract:

We now have strong evidence that the Covid vaccines don’t hugely prevent you getting infected or infecting others. If they did, Israel and Iceland would not currently be in the midst of their biggest waves so far. After all, both countries have been world leaders when it comes to vaccinating their populations against COVID-19, with 72.9% of Iceland’s population being double jabbed and 60.6% of Israel’s.

The number of daily Covid deaths in both countries is lower than it was in earlier waves, suggesting the vaccines reduce the risk of dying from the disease. But the early trial data suggesting they cut the risk of infection by more than 90% seems inaccurate.

Vaccine passports do not stop people in nightclubs from infecting each other, but they might lull customers into a false sense of security, persuading them to throw caution to the wind.

Another problem with Boris’s proposal is that the protection the vaccines give you starts to wear off after about six months, hence the Government’s recent order for 35 million booster shots from Pfizer. It’s one thing asking people to get double-jabbed in return for a vaccine passport, quite another to insist they’ll have to renew those passports by getting a booster every six months.

I doubt the NHS’s computer system would be able to cope. Earlier this week, more than 700,000 people were affected by technical glitches, meaning they weren’t able to download an NHS ‘Covid Pass’ in spite of being double-jabbed.

Worth reading in full.

Government Presses on With Vaccine Passport Plans

Depressingly, the Government has decided to press ahead with its plans to introduce vaccine passports for nightclubs and other crowded indoor venues in England from the end of next month in spite of the now overwhelming evidence that being double jabbed doesn’t prevent you catching COVID-19 or passing it on. The Guardian has more.

Downing Street has said the Government will press ahead with plans to introduce vaccine passports for nightclubs and other crowded indoor venues in England from the end of next month.

Boris Johnson’s official spokesperson was asked on Tuesday about reports suggesting ministers could back away from the proposal in the face of objections from Conservative MPs, but said there was no change to the policy.

“We set out broadly our intention to require vaccination for nightclubs and some other settings. We will be coming forward in the coming weeks with detail for that,” he said.

The requirement is meant to come into effect at the end of September and will be based on use of the existing NHS app, which allows users to generate proof of vaccination.

Asked whether the prime minister remained 100% committed to the plan, the spokesperson said: “Yes, there is no change in our position.”

Johnson first put forward the idea in July, days after clubs and other venues were allowed to reopen.

He said: “We are planning to make full vaccination the condition of entry to nightclubs and other venues where large crowds gather. Proof of a negative test will no longer be sufficient.”

At the time, keen to encourage young people to get the jab, the government even refused to deny that pubs and other venues could be included; but Johnson’s spokesperson said there were no plans to expand it to other venues.

Ministers hoped barring vaccine-sceptics from busy nightspots would help to increase vaccine uptake among young people, but the plan prompted a backlash from Conservative backbenchers concerned about the impact on civil liberties.

Labour has also expressed concerns, suggesting a system that included Covid testing alongside vaccination would be a better approach, since fully vaccinated individuals can still catch and pass on the virus.

If Keir Starmer’s party declined to support the vaccine passports plan, the government could face defeat in the House of Commons, with some Conservative rebels suggesting up to 40 colleagues would be willing to vote against it.

Some backbenchers have also suggested they could boycott the Tory party conference in October if vaccination is made a condition of entry.

Worth reading in full.

It beggars belief that the Government wouldn’t, at the very least, allow entry to large indoor venues based on a negative lateral flow test – or an antibody certificate, given how much more effective natural immunity is at preventing infection than vaccine-induced immunity. In addition, the Government hasn’t disclosed how it will address the problem of waning vaccine-induced immunity. Will vaccine passports expire if a double-jabbed person hasn’t had a booster jab?

No doubt Boris and his Health Secretary will claim this incomprehensible, brain-dead decision is based on “the Science”.

Stop Press: Bernie Spofforth has compiled a twitter thread listing all those MPs opposed to vaccine passports.