Climate catastrophism is infamous for resembling a religious cult in its commitment to an extreme narrative and lack of rationality. Now social science has proven that this is exactly what it is, says Andy A. West.
Social scientists were asked to predict how effective different interventions would be at changing people's behaviour. They did worse than a simple model that said none of the interventions would work.
A study has found that social scientists are no better than laymen at forecasting social change in the US. This highlights a problem with "expertise": in many domains, it doesn't line up with credentials.
