It has been quite warm. And on some people’s views, this is a sign of things to come – slightly warmer weather means that Britain is going to be torn from her foundations by the elements that made her. Yet the heatwave, which, after all, as far as most people are concerned, is merely holiday weather, makes for a poor harbinger for that reason. It’s like calling a windfall of cash a sign of looming poverty. So the Green Blob requires a ritual, and therefore that the bodies be found and paraded in front of the press such that fingers can be pointed and Gaia’s wrath invoked against those who dare utter otherwise. Nobody should be allowed to remember the warm days of June and July 2026 fondly.
Accordingly, then, the bodies were found by the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), Imperial College London and the Met Office, who claimed to have found more than 2,700 corpses, each with the signature of anthropogenic climate change on them. “Using historical mortality records and established peer-reviewed methods,” which “build on previously published research”, these ‘researchers’ found that “550 heat-related deaths occurred in England and Wales during the May heatwave” and “2,200 during the June heatwave”.
According to the press release:
Dr Clair Barnes, Research Associate in Extreme Weather and Climate Change, Imperial College London, said: “It’s time we woke up to the fact that we now live in a country with dangerously hot summers. To protect people during future extremes, we must urgently adapt to the reality of the climate we now have, and double down on global efforts to reach Net Zero emissions to stop this from getting worse.”
And this, my friends, is how we can know for absolute sure that climate change is bullshit, even if it’s real, and even if Britain’s hat-trick of heatwaves in 2026 was caused by it. Because, even if climate change and the heatwaves were real, the deaths were not. As one might expect from the trinity of the LSHTM/Imperial/Met Office, all is not as it seems.
The deaths were made up.
As Carl Heneghan and Tom Jefferson explain over at their Trust the Evidence Substack, “models are hypotheses, not observations”:
The 2,700 figure is not derived from counting deaths; it comes from statistical attribution models. Researchers combined temperature records with historical relationships between heat and mortality, adjusting for age, geography and long-term trends. The model estimates how many deaths would not have occurred had temperatures remained lower. These are ‘heat-attributable’ deaths rather than directly observed excess deaths.
The Oxford University epidemiologist pair provide us a view of the available data. The May heatwave occurred in weeks 21-22 and the June heatwave in 25-26.

We have been here before. Last year, I reported on how ‘Imperial Predicted Hundreds of Heatwave Deaths – But Deaths Actually Went Down This Summer’. 2025 was also a ‘hot year’, and the news cycle, despite all the real problems the country and world are experiencing, was full of doom-laden climate prognostication from heatwave propaganda. So I had a few discussions with statistician William Briggs about what the data showed. And they showed… practically nothing. “Not only did people not die at greater rates during the horrible heat,” observed Briggs, “they were so bad at science that they declined to die less and less, all through August!”
In fact we’ve been here many times before. Most years bring heatwaves. And these heatwaves bring in their wake bullshit from climate attribution studies along with fake academics peddling stories about thousands of non-existent corpses.
The fake-academic, pseudoscientific enterprise generates endless headlines on its annual cycle. “More than 2,700 people may have died in exceptional May and June heatwaves in England and Wales,” declared the BBC.
All the elements are there for anyone to understand that this phenomenon is propaganda. At the very least, someone with merely the vaguest remnants of self-respect, if not journalistic curiosity, would ask where the 2,700 bodies were and what the actual mode of death was. And despite the lack of an obvious stench from so many corpses, there is the fake academic, remember, urging that “we must urgently adapt to the reality of the climate we now have, and double down on global efforts to reach Net Zero emissions to stop this from getting worse”.
Fortunately, the solution to the scourge of thousands of fake deaths is extremely simple: stop lying. We could close down these manifestly harmful fake academic research organisations, which have been colonised by political ideologies, and the fake deaths would stop instantly. Dr Clair Barns is, as one might expect, housed at the Grantham Institute at Imperial College, which is the beneficiary of more than £30 million in grants from its namesake founder, the Anglo-American hedge fund billionaire Jeremy. Her profile boasts – though the news reports that quote her do not admit – that she is part of “the World Weather Attribution (WWA) initiative, attributing changes in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events to climate change”.
Such people are not scientists or statisticians. They are weirdo cultists belonging to a weirdo religious cult, which has somehow manage to colonise Britain’s institutions. From 2,700 imaginary corpses caused by nice weather, these weirdos conjure an argument that requires the dismantling of democratic control of politics and the radical reorganisation of the global economy.
Over in the Guardian, Fiona Harvey weeps, however, that news media coverage of the heatwaves wasn’t alarmist enough, and that some journalists and outlets had failed to properly bow and scrape to the green movement. “Analysis of nearly 2,500 articles finds almost three-quarters made no reference to global heating,” claims the paper’s boringly repetitive “Environment Editor”. The “analysis” was that of the Green Blob-funded and misnamed Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU), which, like some kind of Stalinist secret police department, checks each publication’s output for ideological conformity.
It should be noted that Grantham is a European Climate Foundation (ECF) grantor, and that the Guardian, WWA and ECIU are all ECF grantees. In other words, a Green Blob-funded ‘journalist’ in a Green Blob-funded fake newspaper uncritically reproduces a Green Blob-funded front organisation’s claims that real news organisations aren’t sufficiently linking nice weather to ‘climate change’ by ignoring claims about fake deaths detected by Green Blob-funded fake scientists. It is money that keeps the bullshit flowing. It doesn’t matter how many times it is debunked, the bullshitters have vastly more cash and resources available to them than the debunkers.


Discussion
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We need more government support for people who think they may have died due to global modelling
How soon we forget!
Does anyone else remember the research that highlighted, post the 911 grounding of most flights, global temperatures rose by several degrees. Turns out that we, until the banning of flights, putting enough ‘pollutants’ up to reduce insolation and hence lower temperatures measurably.
Fast forward to the implementation of restrictions on the use of ‘bunker’ oil power the huge number of merchant vessels that ply the seven seas and pump out huge amounts of sun reflecting aerosols and particulates. And, lo and behold, global temperatures started to rise. Hopefully someone will research the changes in global temperature that result from Trump’s wars the Gulf.
The other truly annoying thing for me when watching the weather forecasts is the desperation for heat waves. In the week running up to a nice bit of warmth, we are told daily to prepare, during the week we have daily doom and comparisons to previous years. We are now also told about tropical nights which are apparently too warm for us to sleep. We’re also told how exceptional it is to have two, three or four heatwaves one after the other. But looking back at the regular heat waves that have happened for centuries, historical records only report that a certain year saw hot weather, as though there was just one period. Now a few days drop in temperature creates a separate heat wave a few days later rather than it being treated aswell one event
A Question for Clair Barnes: How do we “double down” on global efforts to reach Net Zero emissions?
It should be up to the other nations what they do and, given our experience of placing shackles on our economy to achieve absolutely nothing in this regard, I personally wouldn’t blame them for spending the money instead on strategies for dealing with hot weather when it comes along.
The covid experience revealed how cause of death isn’t the simple, straight forward thing many of us might have assumed.
They took advantage of it to misattirbute deaths to “covid” .
They’re doing the exact same thing with deaths from “heat”.
The tell will be no change in the pattern of overall mortality.
“Overall mortality”. Exactly! My favourite analogy is the greenhouse. With the passage of time the putty crumbles making the glass panes vulnerable to wind, but they remain in place. With the first gale of winter the vulnerable panes blow out and are replaced. However, the second gale has fewer or no vulnerable panes. Crucially, overall pane mortality is set by the rate of putty decay, not by frequency or intensity of gales. After a partucularly long gale-free period, the first gale may well dislodge an above-average number of panes, but thereafter the damage will be average or below. This analogy, or model, works for flu epidemics, covid, wildfires, heatwaves, flooding, and, I guess, many other situations. All that is needed to create a spike in cases is progressive accumulation of some vulnerability, such as putty drying, forest undergrowth not being maintained, railway cuttings left to become overgrown, or numbers of patients with impaired thermal homeostasis, and a suitably long period without the trigger.
I suggest that the common factor of Imperial might not be funding but simply that the same “greenhouse” model fits several superficially distinct situations.
Dr Claire Barnes is well aware that CO2 is not a driver of temperature increase but she chooses to ignore it because her income and future pension depends upon it.
“Dr” Clair Barnes is the real-life incarnation of the Daily Mash’s favourite “scientist”, Dr Henry Brubaker of the Institute for Studies. (Yes, the Mash was funny for a while, years ago).
World Weather Attribution = Institute for Pouring Petrol On Media Fires, and Sod The Emissions!
As Ben notes, the data for the chart in the article are dates of death registrations not the actual date of deaths.
Even though it is a usual requirement to complete registration within 5 days, the typical gap between date of death and date of registration is around 5 days. Register offices are typically open 5 days per week and so death registrations usually occur in the week subsequent to the death.
Register offices to not accept death registration appointments on public holidays. In the week including a public holiday there are fewer opportunities to register a death. In the following week there is often a ‘catching up’ spike in registrations.
Week 22 of most years (including 2016-2026) includes the Spring bank holiday. Register offices only work four days of that week and a spike in registrations in week 23 is normal. We can see that in the chart in the article.
Most of the July heatwave occurred in week 26. We would expect evidence of any excess deaths to appear in week 27 registrations – but the data for week 27 has not been released yet even though it was due on 15 July. Why?
There are… Read more »
I know my previous comment was already too long. However, there’s more: Throughout the earlier part of 2026, the number of death registrations among the elderly were lower than normal. If there is a spike in death registrations in week 27 following the July heatwave this might well be displacement – what I and others have previously rudely described as dry kindling.
Interesting analysis – thank you.
Yes. But as I commented over on TTE, people getting into trouble by tombstoning into water, or jumping into freezing water, or over-estimating their ability to stay afloat (possibly when drunk), are not deaths “caused by the heat”. They’re caused by people doing foolish things, which people do, whatever the ambient temperature.
You can bet that the frauds at Imperial and elsewhere will include them as “heat deaths”, though.
Yes. They’re just as much heat deaths as slipping on ice and falling under the bus are cold deaths.
However, I think we could probably expect the over 85s not to be tombstoning. 🙂
Anything, absolutely anything, originating from the Imperial College Modelling Fantasy Department should be immediately ignored
I’m glad you picked up on this utter horse shit.
Quoting from the BBC version:
”More than 2,700 people may have died from heat-related causes in England and Wales during the exceptionally hot weather in May and June, experts’ estimates suggest.”
“May have died… experts estimates suggest”
“The study estimates that around 550 people died”
”estimates”
“This has warmed the planet by around 1.4C since pre-industrial times and scientists believe it added between 3 and 4C”
”believe it added”.
Garbage tier reporting at its worst.
Odd that the powers that be do not promulgate the fact that there are 4 times more deaths from the cold in Winter? Perhaps the Winter Fuel Allowance ought to rise instead of taxing alleged heat increases?
Via AI: Via AI: Based on the Office for National Statistics (ONS) analysis of climate-related mortality in England and Wales.
The key figures were:
Period
Estimated deaths associated with temperature
Cold weather
~215,800
Hot weather
~53,900
These estimates cover 1988–2022.
Dividing the two:
So the ONS estimate is that cold-associated deaths were about four times as numerous as heat-associated deaths over that 35-year period.
I think when you expand this to a global level, the accepted ratio is closer to10:1.
I’ve spent the past two years designing and building a climate model or my own. It’s output suggests removing GW of energy from the wind causes sunnier days due to lack of cloud cover when the jet stream is in the north.
Sunnier weather causes temperature to increase. My analysis of human health suggests many more cases of sunburn during these sunny days and warns that not using sun cream can lead to painful skin conditions.
On the upside, modelling suggests there is 9.8% less need to fly thousands of miles to experience this weather, saving the average household in the region of £42 a year.
It’s nice to see that Imperial College doesn’t have a monopoly on academic rigour…
I live near one of Imperial’s newer campuses, the rigour seems to be human-transmissible.
What a surprise that Imperial College was involved in producing the statistical guesstimates. Weren’t they involved in the 2020 panic, after all?
They were up to their neck in it.
This is now their business model, jump on any ‘scare bandwagon’ and milk it for all it’s worth. They provide the veneer of academic ‘credibility’. They are a part of the snake oil industry.
Indeed. Imperial also did Khan’s bidding on how many lives had been saved by ULEZ. A veneer of science over a tax on motoring. Imperial is becoming the university to do the opposite to
It’s always Imperial College putting its name to nonsense.
Has this anything to do with that?
Via AI: Based on Imperial’s historic funding profile and its status as one of the UK’s largest recipients of UKRI funding, I estimated that:
That is an informed estimate rather than a published figure because the accounts do not separate UK Government research income from other research income.
After experiencing nearly eighty summers in England I can confirm that this year we are enjoying one of those nice warm and sunny ones. Reminds me of the seventies. It will soon be over, so we should try and enjoy it while we can.
Well said 👏
Indeed. I remember scorching Summers on the South coast 1960-75. The Summer of 76 and a torrential storm in South London mid to late 50’s which raised the manhole covers – and we lived on a hill !