Revved up by the orgy of climate alarmism opportunities supplied by the recent heatwave, the Met Office has taken to making apocalyptic forecasts for the year 2070. In the Telegraph, Matt Ridley takes the national forecaster to task for basing these doomy predictions on modelling even the IPCC rejects. Here’s an excerpt.
The Met Office exists to forecast the weather. But increasingly it seems bored by the day job so it likes to lecture us about climate change. And here it seems to have been embarrassingly duped by activists. Go on its climate pages and you find a forecast for the year 2070, that summers will be between one and six degrees warmer and “up to” 60% drier, depending on the region. A lot of wriggle room in those caveats, note.
Then it admits: “We base these changes on the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario.” Aha! Unbelievably, shockingly, this national forecasting body has chosen as its base case for the future of weather a debunked, highly implausible set of assumptions about the world economy that was never intended to be used this way.
RCP8.5 is one of five projected futures for the world economy this century, dreamt up by economists. Here is what it assumes. First, the world becomes addicted to coal, burning 10 times – yes, 10 times! – as much coal in 2100 as we did in 2000 and even using coal to make fuel for aircraft and cars. Yes: that is really what it says. It projects that fully half of all the world’s energy will be supplied by coal in 2100.
Second, it assumes that the world population will have swelled to 12 billion people by 2100, way more than any demographer thinks is likely. Third, it assumes that innovation will somehow dry up so there’s hardly any new technology to make our lives more fuel-efficient – and we won’t even try to cut emissions. In short, this scenario is barking mad.
Don’t take my word for it. Here’s what Carbon Brief, an activist website, has to say: “The creators of RCP8.5 had not intended it to represent the most likely ‘business as usual’ outcome. … Its subsequent use as such represents something of a breakdown in communication between energy systems modellers and the climate modelling community.”
Even the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change warned that RCP8.5 should not be used as a forecast. And here’s its chief creator, Keywan Riahi: “I wished I would have been clearer with what I meant by ‘business as usual’.”
Worth reading in full.
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Good morning fellow Sceptics.
Top of the morning.
I was looking at the Mail article on “ghost children”. It focuses on children who end up involved with gangs and features the case of a boy who ended up owing £9,000 drug to dealers and had to emigrate to Uganda (a country with far better family values than us from what I’ve heard). Sadly the last two years have been something of an inversion of the “Birkenhead drill” (women and children first). However, one good thing that could come of it is if home schooling has a boost. I was worried that those who would indoctrinate children with state ideology would try and close off this avenue but hopefully that will be harder now. With so much of state education today resembling grim indoctrination camps of the Experiment House type (cf. Prince Caspian by C. S. Lewis) I would certainly recommend homeschooling for anyone who can do it. Our anti-lockdown church has stepped up its support for homeschoolers in recent times.
That’s super. Our parish is home to a large group of large families homeschooling. It’s a good thing when there are so many who can participate.
I can’t imagine the totalitarians, if they continue to hold or increase their power, will allow these homeschooling groups to thrive.
The education establishment’s success at neutering and brainwashing students partly explains the supine acceptance of the government’s COVID rules.
As C. S. Lewis said, “Why don’t they teach logic in these schools?”.
All that homeschooling and prepping stuff that was looking quite fringe a few decades ago when people were just waking up to the New World Order is starting to look quite sensible (and I think of the Canadian freezing of bank accounts). Someone from our church advised that we should have skills that we can barter so we can still trade something if the worst happens. There are websites I understand about trading vegetables etc. that people produce – that could be the future at this rate (though carrier pigeons might be a better bet than the internet if we continue down the CCP route).
Top oh da morn’ ta ya …
When dose march on da castle?
I’ll go and join me comrades and talk a little treason…
Ta ba ta ta goo thyng! 🙂
l
The Silver Chair, not Prince Caspian.
D’oh!
Good morning!
“My ‘debate’ with Extinction Rebellion confirmed all my worst fears about this eco doom cult”
Witnessed some classic Extinction Rebellion numbskullery first hand at one of the London protests last summer. One of them stole my mate’s small homemade anti covid banner, ran off with it, theatrically stamped on it and flipped us the bird. Absolutely hilarious; she looked to be about 16 and she really hated us.
The degree of social engineering and propaganda that’s created them lot is quite incredible!
Cheers CG.
Have a look at the Laura Dodsworth link. There is a short vid clip with Lord Bill of the Gates of Hell “sadly” lamenting the success of “Omicron,” but admitting that “next time….” which indicates as I have long suspected that a new brew is in production.
Oh and his body language is an absolute gift.
I dare not say much more or I will be banned.
I was sent the clip earlier today by the very chap who featured in that London anecdote and I too was stuck by the word “sadly”. In plain sight!
I dare not say much more or I will be banned.
No need to say more, I’m sure we all think and feel the same 😉
About “mass murderer” son of a whatsit Bill Gates who should probably be on trial for crimes against humanity, possibly with the possibility of some “historic” (though not in PRC) punishments if found guilty?
Not that I’d abuse him or anything…
Does anyone see how silly this is? Bill Gates is not going to be ‘on trial’ ever. Neither is Tony Blair.
The sad reality is, is that you allow a 16-year-old girl to steal your placard at a protest, and do nothing apart from report here that it was “absolutely hilarious”.
Who is going to take Bill Gates to trial? The 16-year-old?
Are you into real back-in-the day music?
Check out: The Band’s 1976 final concert in San Francisco: https://rumble.com/vvcz7g-the-bands-1976-final-concert-in-san-francisco..html
?@???//
Now there’s a proper back in the day beard. And hair. And jacket (about 4 minutes in). We used to have a carpet a bit like that. Back in the day of course – i suspect it just wouldn’t happen now.
No computerized synthetic music, and people really singing?
People these days just would not understand it, nor get it. Nor have the brain cells to respect it.
Do you want to be a “pop” star?
Please ring this number, Oh sorry, please access this website.
Can’t sing or play an instrument; No problem.
Transgenderism predicted by The Last Poets in the 70s:
The Last Poets: Mean Machine
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDJCqdXzGAA
And when it came time for the end…
And when it came time for the end…
And when it came time for the end…
The men will look like the women
And the women like the men
And some will dance in a hypnotic trance
Like as if they have no care
But these will be signs of the changing times
That the end is drawing near
For it was prophesized many centuries past
That the end will come in a fiery holocaust
And only the righteous people will survive the blast
And the Devil’s machine will bring about his own end
And peace, love and joy will reign once again
And man will understand man
And man will understand man
And man will understand man
And man will understand man
And man will understand man
And man will understand man
And live in harmony and peace
And the sun will once again
Rise up in the East
My taste in music is extremely eclectic. I have even been known to play classical music. Occasionally.
Thank you very much for the link. I’ll have a watch.
Canada’s darkest day
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/canadas-darkest-day/
TCW
Don’t get complacent. Let’s keep getting the message out with our friendly resistance. British MPs have no problem with Trudeau’s tyranny
Monday 21st February 2.30pm to 3.30pm
Yellow Boards By the Road
High St,
(near Marlow Suspension Bridge & All Saints Church)
Marlow SL7 2AA
Stand in the Park Sundays 10am make friends, ignore the madness & keep sane
Wokingham Howard Palmer Gardens Cockpit Path car park Sturges Rd RG40 2HD
Telegram
http://t.me/astandintheparkbracknell
“Nasty Nats lose bid to redfine ‘women’ in public health boards”.
Would it have ended up like with women’s prisons where people have been gaming the system? And will women still be able to break sporting records in future? Or will an asterisk in the records indicate what has actually happened (there was something on GB News about a swimmer (I think) who wasn’t top hundred in the world but after being allowed into women’s swimming found himself winning competitions)?
Birkenhead drill. Women and children must come first.
The Tragedy of COVID’s ‘Ghost Children.’
This refers to school dropouts, not to the poor young souls who have been seduced to take the poison.
One interesting indication emerges,. The drug culture was unaffected by covid hysteria and went right on wrecking young lives.
Interesting, but not in the least surprising.
Oh, and the fact that some teachers didn’t lift a finger to help their pupils.
Not interesting, not surprising, only disgusting.
Just come rolling home from a night on the town in Birmingham City Centre. Couple of maskerbaters aside, normality appears to have resumed, as far as the nightlife goes anyway. Busy and vibrant with packed pubs and clubs. No covid-related bollocks. The cab driver was also normal and mask-free. There is still hope and sanity to be found.
In Birmingham.
I remember the elation I felt in May 2021 when after all those months I went to a church for Sunday service where not one person was wearing a mask. Hopefully the rest of the country will catch up one day…
Did ya meet many Whites in that Jungle?
Thanks for those cheering words, Nymeria!
Fun is the opposite of covvifascism, just as a smile is the opposite of muzzled zombyism.
Glad to hear it.
Yes, Nymeria, I’m pleased to report that Liverpool yesterday was exactly the same, including the train journey there and back. The handful that wore face nappies stuck out like sore thumbs!
I feel that the government have been waiting for the public to lead them out of Covimania rather than the other way round.
I love Liverpool.
“No covid-related bollocks.”
You don’t know how many people in those pubs and clubs have been ‘Covid vaccinated’. And you still can’t get in/out of the country without ‘Covid paperwork’.
We all know that as soon as Boris snaps his fingers and says “Masks back on!” people will put them back on – as they did last time I said this would happen.
“You don’t know how many people in those pubs and clubs have been ‘Covid vaccinated’.”
A lot of them, no doubt. But that’s a pretty high bar – they can’t unvaxx themselves. What’s your criteria? Do a poll of everyone in the pub and you only go in or allow yourself to enjoy it if the majority are unvaxxed, or have not been boosted, or are triple vaxxed but swear on the Bible they recant and repent their covidianism? I’m not keen on sheeple any more than you are, but why spend the rest of your life in misery? We’re certainly socialising closely with sceptics mainly, but unless you want to be a complete hermit we have to find a way to live in the world in which we find ourselves, while not approving of every aspect.
What has getting in and out of the country got to do with going to the pub.
As for the masks, we shall see. You’re probably right, but should we spend the rest of our lives in permanent mourning for the life we had, just in case the masks come back?
You seem to be under the impression we’re all stupid here and naively think that covidianism and the mass of “go along to get along” types who have not spotted the Big Lie have been completely defeated and gone away. I think we realise that’s not the case, and pointing it out on every thread seems pointless to me.
But each to their own, I suppose.
“You seem to be under the impression we’re all stupid here”
Not at all – but it is ‘rather fanciful’ to think that Fauci, Bill Gates and Tony Blair are going to be put on trial and spend the rest of their days in prison repenting.
It still should happen though, especially the crook Fauci, who I will continue to suggest, as a point of principal, should be in prison, regardless of the likelihood of it.
There was no covid-related bollocks in respect of people wearing masks, asked to sign in, etc. I know for a fact that people will put their muzzles back on, but for one night at least, I enjoyed a night out where all that nonsense was missing. How was your night out in Finland?
Yes, it has been like this since the third week of January. We just need office workers to return on Mondays and Fridays and it’ll feel close to normal.
“Weasel Trudeau’s Peterloo” (Mark Dolan Tonight, GB News).
If it turns out that peaceful protesters did in fact die at the hands of police in Ottawa, this should absolutely be remembered as Tyrant Trudeau’s Peterloo (an infamous massacre of peaceful protesters in 1819 in the Lancashire town of Manchester during a time of industrial depression and high food prices with the object of parliamentary reform, during the time of the corn laws that fixed prices benefitting landowners but impoverishing others, and at a time when land owners could vote but many others could not).
Like the Peterloo protesters, they are victims of tyranny and state violence, simply protesting for life and liberty, victims of government rules that have stopped them being able to make a living. Like the landowners of those times, the pharmaceutical industry is able to influence the law in ways that benefit themselves whilst others lose out. Like the Peterloo protesters in Manchester, the truckers in Ottawa deserve to be remembered in buildings and monuments (though perhaps a rather better newspaper than the Guardian).
You’d like to think that their protest will have shone a light on Trudeau’s regime, but sadly, unless you watch GB News or visit sites such as this one you would have no idea what is going on in Canada or the extent to which it is being suppressed and the violence with which it is being done.
The BBC reports the clampdown as if it is a positively “good” thing, to be welcomed.
When the trans-gender articles come up they are much more about men becoming women rather than the other way round, why is this? What is it that men cannot do as men that they can do if they identify as a woman? Clearly whatever happens, they can never produce eggs, give birth or suckle babies. In the natural world this trans-gender issue does not arise, the need for new birth is so paramount to the survival of the species that the biology of reproduction trumps all. With Sparrowhawks the females are 25% bigger than the male and so pretend as it might nobody is going to mistake a male Sparrowhawk for a female but even so once, nesting is done, whether male or female, there is just one thing for a Sparrowhawk to do; hunting.
So it does strike me that in human society some of this trans business is about stereotyping, some men are rejecting the strict stereotyping around being a man but rather than ignoring society’s norms and doing their own thing they are accepting society’s norms and jumping from the male stereotype to the female stereotype. Perhaps as a sceptic web-site we should also be sceptical about the stereotypes that society imposes?
The situation seems slightly different for women there seem fewer vocal people being trans from woman to man perhaps it is because the idea of the tom-boy has been much more tolerated in society? Some women give themselves shortened ‘male’ versions of their names Charlotte/Charlie, Jo-Ann/Jo, Samantha/Sam and this is socially acceptable but if I was to say my name is Stephen but call me Steph for short I would get strange, looks and people would be uncomfortable with that. I am sitting here typing this wearing my night-shirt which is a garment I like and it gets me free from the tyranny of trousers! indeed I would sometimes wear a skirt if I could get away with it, I like the feel of that type of garment, I have tried this in the past but a man wearing skirt is a taboo too far for society to accept. I have no wish to change from being a man, I am happy as I am but I intensely dislike some of the male stereotypes that society forces on me.
Just an off-beat thought for me for a Sunday morning but it does strike me that if society could be a bit more sceptical about male stereotypes, if we could be happy with men dressing, and behaving in a wider range of styles it might just diffuse some of this trans politics and enable a more realistic debate on the subject?
What can they do? Win competitions that require more muscle than women can acquire. Bully women because men are stronger. Rape women. Intrude into all aspects of women’s lives.
Trans ‘men’ could try to use male urinals, but I doubt if even the weirdest perverts find that an attractive prospect.
I am executor for someone who was a Beaumont Society member … I’ve not understood why they got so firmly into the ‘trans’ bandwagon. Also members would adopt a female name – in my mind this supported the view that men shouldn’t wear dresses.
Transgender issues are a misdirection, a squirrel if you will. It currently has nothing to do with the people who medically change gender, it is purely for people to scream blue murder on the behalf of imaginary victims.
Personally, I am totally supportive if someone wants to change gender and fully understands the consequences. It’s their choice. They pay an incredible price to do this with the medical procedures taking a decade off their lifespans. But these people have been sidelined by the political screeches. What the morons seem to want to promote is for someone to be able to just decide that they have changed gender on a whim – and that provokes evolutionary instincts to ward off sexual predators. Genuine transgender people are actually victims of this screeching, as it trivialises their own sacrifices. They are no threat to anyone. As with many things this woke nonsense is designed to build hatred in people.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Golden-Miraculous-Rise-Stephen-Curry/dp/1780781822/ref=mp_s_a_1_12?crid=2ZDPXAQBKXR2E&keywords=steph+curry+golden&qid=1645354387&sprefix=steph+curry+golden%2Caps%2C230&sr=8-12
Prince Charles regularly wears a kilt and gets away with it. That’s a skirt. On a male person.
As I say, it’s about norms. In some cultures at some times, this has been common place. The same with hair, makeup etc. .
Certainly some of it is about norm, and I think of the irony of a man having to live “as a woman” (whatever that means) as part of a “process”. Some of it, I understand, is psychological, and apparently one aspect of post abortion survivor syndrome (PASS) is sibling seeking – trying to live the life of an aborted sibling, sometimes of the opposite agenda (as you would probably not be allowed to report in the medical journals);
Despite all of the Trudeau and his cabal’s violence against the peace convoy rebellion, the people are not afraid to stand their ground. Here is a first hand of account of the situation a few hours ago in Ottawa.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=OAKU9MO59Ww
I’m not quite sure what the idea of the truckers’ protest is now – it just seems to be people standing in the streets draped in ‘cloaks’ playing music and just sort of hanging around listening to music. Is there an aim, and how is this aim to be achieved? A sort of a continuous street party, whilst the Police pick off the ‘ringleaders’.
I mean, what is to be hoped for here? That Trudeau and pals will change their minds? Why would they? Will it end in some dreary ‘negotiations’ and ‘compromise’? Do Canadians still need the ‘Vaxx Pass’ to travel from one province to another, to travel by train, to be allowed out of/into Canada?
“Passengers over 12 years and 4 months are required to be fully vaccinated to travel on VIA Rail trains”
https://www.viarail.ca/en/plan/preventives-mesures-covid-19
Do tell us how your resistance strategy is coming along in Finland. Your strategy with regard to everyone and everything in the sceptic movement seems to be to snipe, pour scorn and generally try to make everyone feel miserable. Perhaps it will work, but I am not confident.
He’s too modest to reveal that he has assassinated 4 people high up in the Finnish health bureaucracy.
(Their deaths have been covered up, of course.)
“ I’m not quite sure what the idea of the ..”
Well, let’s see, they have forced the country to look at who is actually controlling Canada, they have inspired people around the world to fight for their freedom and God given rights plus four States in Canada have dropped the totalitarian/ despotic mandates.
“ That Trudeau and pals will change his minds..”
They are merely puppets of Schwab and co.
But the people will put pressure on the politicians to taken some affirmative actions against Schwab and co’s puppets.
https://wokeguru.org/canada-conservatives-motion-remove-federal-covid-19-mandates-feb-2022/
Thanks for this. They’re still there – magnificent!
Masky delivers a cute sidestep on the border opening, and university students tell him where to stick his vaccine mandate.
Plus memes! One of them is mine.
https://gregoryno6.wordpress.com/2022/02/20/lockdownunder-update-freedom-terms-conditions-apply/
Mr McGowan said he expected the overall third dose vaccination rate would be 70 per cent by March 3, with the first dose vaccination rate among children 5-11 at 65 per cent.
He boasted of this?!? Do you know the current percentage of 5-11 year-olds who have been injected?
That’s the quote from this article. And I imagine there’s going to be an awful lot of needle pumping around the schoolyards to meet that goal.
Latest announcement from Tom Marazzo, Freedom Convoy organizer. As I’ve stated elsewhere, anybody can go to YT and see hundreds of pieces of video footage which shows first hand the level of disproportionate force and brutality used by the police. You do not have hundreds of police turn up to a peaceful protest with guns and full tactical gear, batons, mace spray etc if you have no intention of using force to achieve your objectives. You do not *accidentally* steer your horses into the crowd and then trample on the people you knocked over. It was always the polices’ intention to bring the violence and any bilge you read from the MSM to the contrary just looks laughably pathetic as an attempt to twist all of this as to be somehow “justified” or “proportionate”. The only thing the protesters were armed with was their phones, and thank god so many were. There’s now an abundance of evidence online so the world can see these disgusting, traitorous excuses for Canadian law enforcement! Absolute scumbags. May they get in life exactly what they deserve!https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTtLNz48m04
Share as widely as you can – he totally calls it – the infringement on their rights is not about public health or safety.
He looks incredibly stressed now, compared to how he was the last press conference I saw of his.
God help them. God help us all.
I’ve still seen no explanation of what the legal basis for this is. The Covid laws were all Summary-only, meaning that prosecutions have to commence within six months of the alleged offence occurring, unless the specific law gives a longer time period (which isn’t the case here). Give that the six month time limit had long since elapsed by the time they started looking into this, why are they even investigating it and wasting a no doubt large amount of moneby in the process?
I did email my MP and ask this. He didn’t bother to reply.
Why isn’t Canada’s descent into absolute tyranny under the ‘leadership’ of Trudeau the main news today? The events in Ottawa and the over-reaction by Trudeau’s paramilitary forces is disgraceful. How the Canadian people have managed to remain calm and non-violent is testimony to their terrific character and sense of humanity – unlike the cowardly Trudeau and his Pavlov dogs.
I’m in Ottawa. I visited the downtown area Saturday afternoon. I expected that my car would be turned back at a police roadblock, but I was able to park in a residential area nearby. I walked towards the downtown “exclusion” area on a street that last week was filled with trucks. This day, almost all the trucks were gone. There were quite a few pedestrians carrying flags and signs, many still in a good mood, if somewhat subdued. The police presence was very heavy. I neared an RCMP roadblock where the officer was loudly warning people they would be arrested if they attempted to go past. There were relatively large groups of people standing at some major intersections, with police watching. I did not attempt to get any closer to the exclusion zone. On my way back to my car, I saw one Asian gentleman heckling an officer in a police car, telling him nobody wants them here, etc., but that was the extent of the “anger” on display this day. Now that the trucks are gone, it’s the government roadblocks that have shut the downtown core down. The Ottawa Police Twitter feed is an unending source of astonishing, barely literate propaganda.