It is becoming increasingly obvious to serious climate scientists that sudden changes in temperature and weather cannot be directly attributed to any long-term effect of warming caused by human-produced ‘greenhouse’ gases. Suggestions to the contrary are best left to climate comedy-turn Jim ‘jail the deniers’ Dale and the guided hands writing most mainstream media copy. Last year saw a large spike upwards in global ‘hottest year ever’ temperatures and alarmism went into overdrive. But a recent paper published by the EU weather service Copernicus shows that the warming spike was driven by a strong, naturally occurring El Niño oscillation. Furthermore, the 0.29°C spike is not unprecedented in the observation record since a slightly larger rise occurred in 1976-77.
The Copernicus paper published in the journal Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics is of particular interest because it makes a connection between a strong El Niño developing across the southern hemisphere after a prolonged La Niña. El Niño is the positive phase of the ENSO natural climate variation, while La Niña, which tends to lower temperatures, is the corresponding negative episode. In the years around 2023 and 1976, a strong El Niño occurred after a prolonged La Niña phase. In 1976 the spike was even higher at a reported 0.31°C.
The work published through Copernicus is firmly in the mainstream, so the seemingly obligatory reference is made to the unproven suggestion that global temperatures since 1950 have been rising “principally due to human activities”. This may well be the considered opinion of the scientists involved, conveniently so since such work is unlikely to be published with a different take on the politicised ‘settled’ climate science behind the Net Zero project. However the authors point out that the recent temperature spike has been a societal cause for concern, not least because its causes “are not obvious”. Thankfully such doubts do not unduly cloud the judgements of those engaged in important Net Zero work, including Jim Dale, Justin Rowlatt of the BBC and George Monbiot of the Guardian.
There has been a recent scrabble in climate circles to explain the temperature spike, given the lack of scientific proof linking it to rises in just one trace atmospheric gas, namely carbon dioxide. The authors note the recent reduction in atmospheric particulates or aerosols caused by cleaner marine fuels, increased solar activity and the Hunga Tonga submarine volcano eruption and the associated boost to upper atmosphere water vapour. But they come down on the side of the argument that “ENSO is the primary reason for the global warming spikes”.
Their conclusion is based on two significant recent observations, but they attempt to back up their work by citing the findings of climate models. Such computer models have a poor track record since they are frequently used to provide cover for pre-prepared narratives and conclusions. Whether they can provide useful or conclusive information on the chaotic, non-linear atmosphere is a subject for endless argument, but they are the best we have for attempting to measure climate mechanisms. In their paper, the scientists show that climate models that are subject only to internal variability can generate temperature spikes, although they are an uncommon occurrence. But when a prolonged La Niña immediately precedes an El Niño in the simulations, as occurred in 1976 and 2023, “such spikes become much more common”.
“Thus, our results underscore the importance of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation driving the occurrence of global warming spikes such as the one in 2023, without needing to invoke anthropogenic forcing, such as changes in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases or aerosols, as an explanation,” they conclude.
There have been a number of scientific papers trying to understand the recent temperature spike, although some are inconvenient in failing to support the ‘boiling’ trope and are therefore ignored in the mainstream. As the Daily Sceptic recently reported, a detailed paper from a group of mathematicians and scientists published in Nature found “limited evidence” for a global warming surge over the last the last 50 years. “No change in the warming rate beyond the 1970s is detected despite the breaking record temperatures observed in 2023,” they wrote. It is important to consider random noise caused by natural variation when investigating the recent pauses in temperature, and the more recent “alleged warming acceleration,” they argued.
All of which, of course, helps knock on the head the fast-emerging pseudoscience of weather attribution. These whackadoodle weather findings of computer models attributing individual events to long-term changes in the climate caused by humans feature heavily in mainstream media. In the absence of scientific backing, notably from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change despite its usually alarmist outlook, their political job is to help catastrophise natural events such as hurricanes, flooding and droughts. They are pseudoscience since their claims cannot be disproved or falsified. They are outside the scientific process and are simply opinions. The distinguished climate writer Roger Pielke Jr. calls them “weather attribution alchemy”. It says it all that they are now the main instrument used to alarm and scare populations into believing in a non-existent climate crisis.
Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environmental Editor.
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Maybe ,while they are at it , they can start surveillance on kids affected after their mothers or they themselves were Jabbed !
This is another example of the general woke pattern: Given a problem X, say, racism, the less harmful the actual effects of the problem become, the more hysterical the people making a living from manageing X act in order to distract from the fact that their well-paid positions have really become useless encumberances.
I was unaware until recently that there is a Chicken Pox vaccine. In the past children would be taken to Chicken Pox parties by their parents to be deliberately exposed to another child with Chicken Pox. The wisdom in this was that a child would be exposed to this virus early and develop immunity, which by and large is what happened, without much fuss. The reason I was given that children need the CP vaccine is that CP can be bad for some children.
That and society’s predisposition to believe that governments and experts must solve our problems.
And they’re not entirely wrong. Modern man has slowly degenerated into a soft, office bound creature that has few of the survival skills and sense of self sufficiency that our ancestors only a few generations ago had in abundance.
The most-recent example of surival skills I’m aware of involved a guy who was stationed close the ruins of Fleury in summer 1916 with his (German) army unit. During various earlier opportunities, he had grabbed a lot of gas cartridges and coffee powder. The men were all badly suffering from thirst and the only availble source of water was a large puddle with a rotting corpse in it. The guy with the gas and the coffee powder than started cooking bowls of coffee from this water so that they could safely drink it. But this probably wasn’t quite what you had in mind.
I would say that those with agrarian skills, of which there were still plenty in the mid 20th century, were pretty self sufficient.
Manual workers, of which there were many only 30 years ago, had plenty of confidence to do things with their own two hands.
As far as I can see, the physical skills of most young people these days are limited to their two thumbs.
That’s more what I was referring to.
People who engage regularly with the physical world are much less likely to be fooled or intimidated by our state bureaucracies and their invented or highly exaggerated dangers.
You seem to be living in a somewhat strange world. Neither farming nor manual labour of craftsmen have gone away. At the moment, there are 331 apprenticeships advertised in the small, rural German town (about 7700 inhabitants) my parents are living in. About 60% of these are certainly for jobs which don’t involve computer work.
I’m not sure if people without an account can see Twitter posts yet. Anyway, whoever put together this 7min montage of the usual UK criminals has done a great job. Just mind-blowing how it was all 100% blatant lies and there can be no justification from their perspective for the harms and tragedies which subsequently followed as a result of their flagrant deceit.
https://twitter.com/FunctionGain/status/1675247367899979777
We are still locked out Mogs.
I don’t know how long this is going to go on for. Musk says ”temporary”, but just how temporary is that? It’s a nuisance, everyone’s complaining about it because the number of tweets you view is is also limited.
Perhaps it is an underhanded way of pushing up subscriber numbers.
Ve vant names…
Remember this from 2022? The Human Rights Attorney Leigh Dundas talking at a Special Meeting of Board Supervisors of Orange County, California..the woman is on fire!
But she talks about ‘locking down for RSV’…and in the USA she says it has a death rate for children of 0.000004714.. or four one millionths of a percent….
….but if it saves just one life!!!!
https://rumble.com/v1ug65q-human-right-attorney-leigh-dundas-and-others-declare-never-again-to-orange-.html
I had a conversation the other day about the defibrillators that seem to have appeared in greater and great number. I was trying to discuss. 1. How many cardiac arrests happen close to one. 2.Would there be there anyone who can or is willing to have a go reviving a dead person 3. What happens when these things inevitably need servicing and or replacing, Is there some kind of benefit analysis, all of which was countered by ‘well if it saves one life, its worth it’. Well, how much are we prepared to spend.? Give everyone a defib in a backpack and a trained paramedic to accompany them about their daily business.? When compassion comes in the door, common-sense seems to go out the window.
Do you know which company makes them? If it is a UK one are we to become a “world leader” in this product? Very important to become a “world leader” where ever possible to our politicians, they think the electorate is impressed by “world leadership”.
Dr Mike Yeadon had a very good piece on this on his Telegram channel a few days ago – I haven’t really sussed the mechanics of Telegram yet – and he explained that to a large extent vaccination is a double edged sword and certainly where RSV’s are concerned, of which there are thousands, it is wholly the wrong way to treat and natural immunity is nigh on essential.
As I understand it the vaccination procedure basically undermines the body’s ability to fight and particularly so with RSV’s. Effectively, shoving vaccines in to children to protect against RSV’s is completely undermining their immune systems and they suffer more infections.
Funnily enough this is extremely profitable for Pharma. No…ooo I can hear you shouting. More bloody conspiracy theory.
Dead infants don;t take long to replace
Towards the end of 2021 I viewed a video clip from Ireland AM on One-Live TV based in Dublin. It showed a group of women eagerly demonstrating the application of face-coverings, these were home-made, to a doll. The aim was to practise getting “a nice tight fit” on a baby’s face and to “normalize and demystify” covering the face from childhood onwards. Viewers were encouraged to get their own small children to help and join in this exercise in interfering with the airways of babies. Viewers were also shown how to take nasal swabs of babies and make a habit of this risky business. I watched in disbelief and complained (in vain, of course) to my MP, even though masks were also mandated in Britain’s and NI’s schools around that time. There is an ‘ID with a mask’ setting on the I Phone and everyone knows how loathe to part with these gags the NHS still is. This article is chilling, because the first place it will lead is to covering the faces of our young, as night follows day. The vile and sinister practice of covering the human face is not going away.