A fascinating article published on November 6th 2023 in the Daily Sceptic by the ‘In-house doctor’ included a link to an email thread between Neil Ferguson, Patrick Vallance and Chris Whitty. The emails were written on March 15th 2020. Figure 1 reproduces a part of one of these emails, with Ferguson forecasting that up to 469,896 people would be hospitalised, of which 182,749 would need ICU beds.
In the event, having emptied 60-70% of all hospital in-patients, the first lockdown saw our hospitals recording the lowest bed occupancy rates ever recorded, freeing up plenty of time for TikTok dance rehearsals.
It would appear that it was Ferguson’s alarmist predictions along with pressure from Dominic Cummings that resulted in Vallance and Whitty doing a reverse ferret, abandoning the orthodox, consensus position of mitigation and protection of the vulnerable on the way to herd immunity, and, instead opting for the radical, untested, Chinese Communist Party-inspired lockdown.
The rich irony, and a point seemingly glossed over by the Hallett Inquiry, is that quite possibly the very day that these emails were written may well have been the high water mark of transmission and infection in the U.K.’s first wave.
Of course, one consequence of this is that any action adopted by Johnson, Hancock, Whitty, Vallance and Co would have appeared to have been the right one. They were riding the down-wave. Infections were falling regardless of any Government action.
Professor Simon Wood produced a paper setting out in detail that the infection peak pre-dated lockdown. Prior to publication he’d spoken to Fraser Nelson (Editor of the Spectator) who followed up their conversation with an article in the Spectator on June 5th 2020 in which Nelson notes that the Norwegians had also noticed infections falling prior to lockdown some time earlier. The following month, Chris Whitty himself told MPs that the R rate went “below one well before, or to some extent before, March 23rd”.
Figure 2 reproduces the Government’s Coronavirus Dashboard chart for daily deaths in England for the period March 15th to April 18th 2020.
An ONS paper that looked at the mean time from COVID-19 infection to symptom onset, hospitalisations and death states:
- The time between COVID-19 infection and symptom onset varies between one and 14 days, with an average of five to six days.
- The median delay (lag) between symptom onset and hospital admission varies between one and 6.7 days depending on age and whether the patient lives in a nursing home.
- Time between symptom onset and death from COVID-19 ranges from two to eight weeks, with reported median times of 16 or 19 days.
Using these time lags and counting backwards from the ‘peak deaths day’ of April 8th we can see that the ‘onset of symptoms’ must have peaked about 16-19 days earlier, around March 20th to 23rd (remember lockdown one started March 23rd). However, the onset of symptoms was pre-dated by infection, one to six days earlier – some time around March 15th to 20th.
Hindsight is a wonderful thing. Ferguson, Vallance, Whitty et al. didn’t have access to these data back in March 2020, but it didn’t take long before they did. It was blindingly obvious by mid-April that infections hadn’t followed Ferguson’s curve and that, if they’d counted back, they could have seen that lockdowns hadn’t led to the down-wave but rather they’d ridden the pre-existing down-wave.
It should always be remembered that lockdowns were the unorthodox, the novel, the untested. While I suppose panic may account for the adoption of this policy in March 2020 it looks nothing short of criminal to have opted for lockdown again in November 2020 and January 2021, and still to be defending it now.
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Best wishes and Merry Christmas to all at the DS team. Thank you.
I hope and wish our membership grows over the next few months and that DS becomes rightfully stronger, a light in the darkness.
To all DS members, especially the vets
, thanks for being here, thanks for hanging on and I hope you have a great couple of days.
There are truly great people posting on here and many thanks to you all.
Have a great Christmas.
Seconded. Lots of progress in bringing the truth to the world, but a long way to go. Rest and enjoy before the mission continues. Cheers to all.!
Thanks Neil.
Lovely post hux, and a merry Xmas to you and all of the respectful people who keep the comments sections alive.
I do actually celebrate Xmas but got up obscenely early and now the cat is having her fun with all the torn wrapping paper. Coffee!! lol
Thank you Mogs.
Well said, HP – I second that emotion.
Thanks Michael.
Cheers Hux. Stay the way you are, there aren’t enough like you.
Thank you very much Marcus.
You are much appreciated on here Aethelred
Thanks.
The story about the UK and Moderna partnership is worrying confirmation that this mRNA crud is never going away and they will for sure be manufacturing further plandemics in order to create demand. And isn’t the WHO meant to have planned for 10 years of pandemics? But I’m sure that’s another coincidence..
”Developing vaccines on UK shores means it will be able to scale up production rapidly in the event of a health emergency, significantly boosting our ability to respond to future pandemics.”
What I’m wondering though is how many suckers will eagerly roll up at the next whiff of a scamdemic next time around. You can fool people once, but time and again? Doubtful.
It is indeed shocking that mRNA vaccines are the technology they have latched on to in order to move to a digital computerised health system and they are determined that nothing is going to derail this sinister ideological plan.
If they can make this digital mRNA health approach work it will mean continual injections for all and shed loads of money for them. The prize is so huge they are not going to give up easily.
Here’s John Campbell’s thoughts on the whole thing. It’s what you say and obviously profit but I maintain the depopulation theory cannot be dismissed. If studies are now showing the genetic code can be reverse transcribed into human cells, and we’ve seen from biodistribution data that the LNPs concentrate in ovaries, just what assurance is there that this won’t have an affect on the reproductive potential of the next generation? And that’s before we mention all of the worrying data on women’s reproductive issues post-vax, low sperm counts/mobility, low birth rates, increased stillbirths and miscarriages. It’s the experts in these related fields, such as Dr Thorpe, who are sounding the alarm as they’re seeing it first-hand, but are being studiously ignored, much like the adverse event reporting systems’ data. Criminal and malicious. So any further mRNA ”vaccines” will hardly be expected to perform any differently will they? More of the same.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hDLx1IAITTg&ab_channel=Dr.JohnCampbell
Billy ran his table-top for his next “pandemic,” in October 2022 with predominantly African nations. The next one is called SEERS-25. Due to be released in…2025, which will probably be just after the Plandemic Preparedness Treaty gets the nod.
SEERS-25 is based on the polio virus and this time it will target our youth.
Nice.
Yes potentially we are in great peril !!
Maybe they are just going to go for it now , based on The WHO getting their global treaty in place when it comes back on the table ! Things will get very messy indeed !
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-cements-10-year-partnership-with-moderna-in-major-boost-for-vaccines-and-research
More public money wasted to create a homegrown cesspool of disease-inducing pharmaceutical slurry. The gift that never stops giving to those who partake…
As it is the season of goodwill, best wishes – to those who have and those who did not.
The Baby Alex story is beyond awful. Totally heartbreaking.
Yes I’ve read it also. Nothing short of murder. A dreadful story.
“Harry and Meghan say the Sun’s apology for Jeremy Clarkson column ‘nothing more than a PR stunt’
A good example of why in general it’s pointless apologising to the offended woke. Worse than pointless, what happens is that having been given an inch they will want a mile.
It’s the one area where one should double down.
There are very few public figures who speak their minds, and fewer still who refuse to back down when a furore ensues. I can’t think of many who have done this.
Crumbs! Eat your heart out Tomorrow’s World.
If this is a glimpse into the future of medicine delivery methods then that’s even more incentive to stay healthy and the hell away from pharma products. Gelbots and transformer bots anyone?? Creepy;
https://bailiwicknews.substack.com/p/gel-bots-and-rubbery-clots
Full Guardian Xmas joy….
It’s every version of Scrooge in 2022.
Why is Clarkson being crucified for telling Sun readers how he feels about certain hangers-on to the Royal family. Most of us share his antipathy.
From what I have seen reported Clarkson’s language might be considered a bit robust but the left are able to do that without any comment save admiration from their fellows.
the Sun is being wet in its withdrawal of support from Clarkson and I suspect it’s readers side with the columnist, not the Editor.
The removal of the old-fashioned Page 3 seemed to be a sad moment in the history of The Sun. Marked a turning point. But then perhaps I am nostalgic, remembering back to the hour or two three times a week hauling a bag of papers around the neighborhood, before traipsing unwillingly – and usually late – to school.
I am sure this excellent piece will appear on here shortly but have a read…
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/the-damascene-conversion-of-andrew-bridgen/
Goodnight kids , well done whoever posted the Film , “They Live” we all watched it tonight , so prophetic !!