Deaths from heart failure in the 15 weeks from week ending March 24th 2023 to the end of June 2023 were 27% higher than the level expected for the same period in 2020. Why?
The Office for Health Improvement and Disparities has produced the data for England. They show that from week 12 to week 26 of 2020 there were expected to be 16,752 heart failure deaths. Whereas in 2023 from week 12 to week 26 17,825 deaths were expected. For some reason we expect 6% more people to die of heart failure now than we did three years ago, even more of a surprise when you consider that the ‘pandemic’ was supposed to have cut a swathe through the ‘dry tinder’! In the event 21,222 people died from heart failure in England during this period in 2023.
Figure 1 shows weekly deaths from heart failure since week 12 of 2020. You can see, with or without Covid linked deaths, there has been a significant and sustained increase.
An article published in the Telegraph by consultant cardiac surgeon Julian Gaer focuses on the failings of the NHS to provide timely and effective treatment for cardiac patients. It’s an interesting read but, to my mind somewhat partial, though he’s very clear about where the blame lies:
I do blame a system that has allowed us to reach the point of having dangerous shortages of permanent skilled staff and dilapidated facilities habitually operating at 100% of theoretical capacity (something the NHS hierarchy persists in believing demonstrates value-for-money). I blame the fact that the U.K. has fewer hospital beds per capita than all but five of 38 OECD countries (Mexico, Costa Rica, Colombia, Chile, Sweden). France has three times more hospital beds per capita than the U.K. and Germany four times. Germany has 29 intensive care beds per 100,000 population, whereas the U.K. has seven. Little wonder therefore that Germany recorded just over 2,000 Covid deaths per million of the population, for our 3,000-plus.
So, according to Mr. Gaer it’s all about money and resources. But, let’s just see where Mr. Gaer gets his numbers from in relation to Covid deaths in Germany and the U.K.
Figure 2 is taken from Our World in Data and shows cumulative Covid deaths from the beginning of January 2020 to July 12th 2023, the day before Mr. Gaer’s article was published.
You can see that, as Mr. Gaer asserts, Covid deaths in Germany over the past three-and-a-half years are recorded as about 2,000 per million compared to the U.K.’s 3,376 per million. However, this variance is wholly due to the course of the pandemic from March 2020 to March 2021, by which point all the variance we see now had already occurred. Is he claiming that Germany’s relatively low number of deaths during the first year of the pandemic was wholly down to its treatment protocols, higher number of ICU beds and the organisation of its healthcare systems? If that’s the case, why did Germany’s Covid deaths match ours for the subsequent two-and-a-half years? Except for Sweden and Belarus, all European countries followed the same public health policies but with hugely variable outcomes, Finland saw one sixth of the Covid deaths that Germany did. Was this because Finland’s health service was superior to Germany’s? Of course not.
Rather than just looking at Covid deaths let’s look at all-cause excess deaths and compare the U.K. to Germany. Most experts agree that all-cause deaths is a far better measure of how a healthcare system works, rather than just the narrow focus on Covid deaths.
Again, a chart from Our World in Data illustrates perfectly that since the beginning of 2020 cumulative excess deaths in the U.K. stand at about 3,134 per million, whereas in Germany they’re 725 per million lower at 2,409 per million. However, all this difference and more was accounted for in the first Covid wave. By June 14th 2020 cumulative all-cause excess deaths in the U.K. were 1,001 per million higher than in Germany (868 – 133 = 1,001).
Since the U.K.’s March 7th 2021 pandemic peak, all-cause excess deaths in the U.K. have been lower than in Germany. While we’ve recorded 1,433 per million excess deaths the Germans have seen 35% more at 1,932 per million. To what does Mr. Gaer attribute the failure of Germany’s healthcare system over this period?
It doesn’t look like it’s British exceptionalism that accounts for the relative performance of the U.K. or German healthcare systems. In the same way that when you look a little more closely the apparent variance between Germany and the U.K. becomes obscured, so it is with excess heart deaths. Mr. Gaer would appear to attribute the rise in heart failure deaths to NHS failings in treatment and delivery. If this were the case, why don’t we see the same thing with cancer deaths?
Figure 4 reproduces charts from the Office for Health Improvements and Disparities showing excess deaths from heart failure and cancer from week ending March 26th 2021 to the end of June 2023. Cancer deaths are tracking the expected rate while heart failure deaths are dramatically elevated.
Figure 5 compares heart failure deaths with that other big killer, dementia and Alzheimer’s. Surely, if the NHS is letting down heart failure patients it must also be failing these patients?
It would seem not. Over the past two years or so dementia and Alzheimer’s deaths have been well below the expected rate.
Figure 6 illustrates another issue that’s been too much ignored. Since the beginning of the pandemic, with the exception of the two short spikes in April of 2020 and January of 2021, excess deaths in hospitals haven’t been exceptional. However, excess deaths ‘at home’ shot up and have consistently stayed high.
Whatever is causing the alarmingly elevated rate of heart failure deaths, it is not currently causing elevated deaths from cancer or dementia and thus it is hard to see how the primary driver can be the failings of the health service, however acute. For the same reason it is hard to see how the explanation can lie in an ageing population. Something else has seriously impacted on heart health in particular over the past three years.
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$cience. They sacrificed 150.000 to Moloch during and after the main stabbination programs and now 1500 a week in ‘excess’ deaths, including as the article says, a massive spike in heart issues. We know a doctor. Pre Rona fascism he had maybe 2 myocarditis and related issues a month. It is now 2-5 a week. Good articles online explain how the lipids, proteins and corrupted DNA are viewed as poisons by your body and what happens to your cells when they are infilitrated by the same. Some vials contain graphene, every vial has chemcial toxins eg mercury.
The ‘$cience’ is useless as is the medical establishment. Their religion prays to the Vaxx God, the Lord and Saviour, and his Son, Money. Fact is, all the stabs are junk and poisons, including the ‘normal’ stabbinations. Toxic every single one. $cientism, medical tyranny and profits. I hate them all.
The answer is obvious. CO2 has risen from 418 parts / million to 424 from 2020 to 2023 – which is a strong correlation with increasing deaths from heart disease. I think this is called “The Science”.
https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/14.0.0/svg/1f618.svg It’s a new religion, for some – nothing to do with real science, of course.
Do 8
not get irony?
I’m guessing “no”?
Many thanks for the well researched and argued article and the staistics.
I’m sure it’s only a matter of time before the MSM and our joke of a Parliament start asking questions….
I know this has been said before, but one can’t help but notice seeing more and more emergency ambulances on the roads these days?
Only anecdotal, but a few days ago I saw four in a day (and no I wasn’t parked outside A and E).
“I’m sure it’s only a matter of time before the MSM and our joke of a Parliament start asking questions….”
You get the Best Humour of the Week Award.
I’ve noticed that too in the North-West. It’s also noticeable that there are many more private ambulances around that are contracted to the NHS. A quick search shows that the North West spent over £15m on these services last year.
https://www.unison.org.uk/news/press-release/2023/04/nhs-spending-over-1m-a-week-on-private-ambulances-for-999-callouts-says-unison/
As I’ve said before, the government can wait three or four years and say that cardiac deaths are at the five year average, so there’s nothing to see.
Looking at the BI tool, even the comparative data is modelled “expected deaths had the pandemic not occurred” are the answers that bad that they don’t put forward the actual data?
Yes, the author mentions that the ‘expected’ rate of cardiac deaths had increased by 6% compared with the expected rate in 2020. Has the population changed so much? What calculation was made in the background (modelled) to expect this change? Is the expected rate similarly increased for dementia or cancer?
With ‘black box’ models I wonder what assumptions have been built in. For an extreme example: ‘we expect more cardiac deaths because of people’s behaviour change’. I hope that’s not built in to the model.
There is a measurable change in all-cause mortality rates in England and Wales in younger age groups (under 65s) as compared with the extrapolated 8-year trends for each group up to 2018. Sure people can argue why the trend might no longer be relevant – but only if they know that it is the basis for the model.
It’s corrupt nonsense. The ratio effect of increasing the base number measured as a comparison to the increase would be significant.
”The vaccine did it until proven otherwise” Dr Peter McCullough.
Just a ‘FYI’, David Dickson’s site is another great source of info. I think he’s a Brit living in Canada, so he covers both countries. Interesting stuff;
”Then we see a huge spike in 2020 which, as you have seen from the cumulative weekly chart, coincides with restrictions, not deaths from COVID. As there had been an effective cull in 2020 (killing off people early who would normally have died in the coming years), we see a drop in reported deaths for 2021 and 2022 (which is still significantly over the 10-year average).
2021 was the year of the primary vaccine push. We see from the cumulative weekly chart on excess deaths that the deaths coincide with the vaccine rollout and other restrictions. 2022 is largely ‘free’ (no lockdowns outside of Care Homes) with a flatline of vaccine rollout worldwide starting in February 2022. This is something many people are not aware of.
Governments worldwide stopped the aggressive push of vaccines in February 2022 almost in lockstep. Then in July 2022, they all stopped reporting the ‘by vaccine status’ of hospitalizations and deaths. That change wasn’t as simple as just most people being vaccinated but had a nuance of what dose was seeing a rise in hospitalizations and deaths. Due to the continuous aggressive rollout and coercion of vaccines up to February 2022, it looked like the third dose and more was the primary risk for people. However, with the removal of that additional ‘noise’ of booster doses happening en masse, we started to see an alarming increase in all-cause deaths among those with just a first or second dose (many who were six months or more on since their vaccination). Governments appear to have received their answer at this point.
There was NO SAFE DOSE.”
https://dksdata.com/ExcessDeaths.html
My Mum, who had no history of heart trouble before the third Pfizer jab, is being pretty much rushed into hospital for a defibrillator-pacemaker fitting in the next fortnight. She was told there’s an 18 month waiting list…
My friends partner having cardiac issues since the “vaccine” she was told that the local surgery has never seen such high demand for heart monitors
Geerd van den Bossche has an idea and a new prediction and warning out that it’s soon gonna increase even more for some….
https://rumble.com/v2zt5n0-assuming-my-predictions-are-correct-who-will-be-at-risk-and-who-will-not.html
Just watched this. It is bloody scary. Along with all the current sudden deaths from heart disease/strokes it will have a massive impact on all health care systems throghout the highly jabbed world.
I did at one time think the medium term problems would start in about 2025 but from what I am seeing now it’s already started and will only escalate.
The “doctor” thinks anyone who is sceptical is a loon..
He’s obviously learnt absolutely nothing over these past few years…… The irony is astonishing… He’s beyond a loon
https://youtu.be/TfwvU9SgjqI
“The Failings of the NHS Can’t Explain the Dramatic Rise in Heart Failure Deaths”
No, but vaccines can! Just try investigating for once!
Great article but I do wish people would stop using the p-word to describe the period during which we were told that there was a deadly and almost unprecedented pandemic, but in fact it was no such thing.
We must at all costs rid everyone of the notion that anything exceptional was happening – apart from exceptional stupidity, corruption, lies and plain evil.
Yes, I always say ‘lockdowns’.
The degree of evil today in our institutions is just staggering. Eugenics has been around in US since early 1900s. There are many who believe the world is overpopulated and must do something about it. The elites and anointed believe humans should be bred and only the anointed should be allowed to procreate & prosper. The latest revelation that China, US and Russia have been developing bioweapons that are ethnically selective is astounding and shows the level of evil we are capable of when it involves national security.