There’s a fairly reliable maxim that to any news headline that ends in a question mark, the answer is “No”.
There have been a lot of such headlines this weekend over the tragic Jeju Air crash in Muan. “Was it a bird strike that…” “Is it significant that there have been four crashes over the Christmas…” “Was the deteriorating weather…”
No. At least, not simply any of the above as a stand alone cause. Causal, yes, but it’s always much, much more complicated than that. Before I go on I ought to declare an interest. I write under a pseudonym. Not because I’m flying kites I’m ashamed of, but because for several years now I’ve been a media spokesman for a national aviation organisation. Whenever I’m quoted, or whenever I appear on the electric wireless or new-fangled television, it’s not my views I represent but those of the organisation. If I’m anywhere under my own banner, right or wrong, I have to avoid using the same name otherwise people will muddy my views with the organisation’s.
I write here as James Leary. James is real enough, but is in no position to argue. He died in 1896. He is my Great Great (possibly Great) grandfather. His is the earliest photographic record we have of any family member. He watches down on me. I often wonder what he would have thought of a descendant of his writing about aviation on an iPhone. He was a lowly farm worker in rural Lincolnshire in the middle of the 19th Century, and a Methodist in the county of Charles and John Wesley, so I’m guessing I would be the spawn of the devil. There are a few others who think that to this day.
I digress. I’ve had a lot to do in the course of my ‘official’ work with the media handling of aircraft accidents, and incidents. Almost always doom-laden. And quite often over Christmas. It’s that time of year, isn’t it? A sort of mini silly season. Often the ‘B’ team are in charge of reporting, and the constant sweet of saccharine festive stories has to be balanced with a bit of sour, to show they’ve still got a grip on how terrible the world really is. Air crashes fall neatly into that slot. Grâce à Dieu, so did the Far East Tsunami 20 years ago. A friend of mine died in that so I kept a closer eye on the reporting than maybe I would normally. The speculation was spectacular. It was while the climate religion was still in the manger, but I’m absolutely certain some ‘expert’ or other would today have been wheeled before a microphone at the regulation 10 inches from the speaker, and let loose with whatever barmy ‘climate change is to blame’ theory was passing between their ears at the time. And they would have been listened to solemnly. As an ‘expert’.
The thing with reporters is that they all have political views, world views, or whatever masquerades as religious beliefs these days, and you can guarantee that they would find it very difficult not to interject their own views into the discussion. This is much less so if they wheel in a pilot to talk about aviation. They are in your office, rather than the other way around, and they behave more circumspectly. I was once on the show of a prominent BBC lady whom I have seen giving Nigel Farage a very hard time of late. Hardly a word in edgewise. She was interviewing me on the subject of laser interference with aircraft trying to land or take off. I’ve had it happen to me so I was speaking hard facts, and the said lady, let’s call her Victoria, was totally out of her depth, but asked relatively intelligent questions as a good reporter should. They broadcast the interview uncut, so it must have met with their requirements.
On another occasion, I was phoned on a Sunday by a minion from the BBC World Service to record a short interview on the same subject to be aired on the main WS midday news programme. As it happened I was actually in London at the time and at a loose end so offered to come in to New Broadcasting House and do the interview there. This wasn’t what they had expected so they said they’d call me back. Which they did shortly after. Somebody higher up the food chain. After a few minutes it became obvious that I was being interviewed for the interview, before they invited me over. Anyway, they did and I was taken up to the gods where WS live, and met the producer. There then followed a further interview to see if I knew the subject. I did my usual ‘ranging widely’ through my history and knowledge of aviation and after a bit the headmistress (spitting image of one) producer decided I passed muster and became herself quite interested in the subject. I watched as she junked the programme timelines on her computer to the horror of her acolytes who would have to pick up the pieces, and proposed I go on live. I was still talking after seven minute into a two minute interview. Jamie, doing the interview, was also hooked on a world totally foreign to the average reporters’ experience. I have a recording of that interview. It was spoiled by me inadvertently coughing during the intro.
This is all to illustrate that the media can get it right if they want to, but by god, 24 hour news cycles drives some of them to invite on any ‘expert’ in aviation that cares to call himself one.
Was the Korean accident caused by a bird-strike? I was asked this morning. No. A bird strike can be nothing or something. I’ve had several. Mostly they are a nuisance and cause delays whist foul smelling bits of half cooked bird are pulled out of the fan of the engine. They can also be fairly catastrophic – ask Capt Sully, as he rowed away from his machine floating in the Hudson River. Not to speculate (haha) but this 737 kept flying for some time after so it’s unlikely to have been that alone. The landing gear didn’t/wouldn’t come down, likewise the flaps, all hydraulically driven. Everything on a plane derives its energy from the engines as do the hydraulic pumps. On a 747 which I know best there are four different systems and a couple of back-up systems to those, so total hydraulic loss is highly unlikely. We wouldn’t go flying, any of us, if anything like what happened in Korea was even approaching ’likely’.
There’s another analogy in aviation safety (and other risk managements) called ‘the Swiss Cheese’. It’s got holes in it – the cheese not the analogy. Everything we do in aviation is to stop all the holes in the cheese lining up so you can see straight through it. Engineering and crew procedures are designed to stop this ever happening. If just one safeguard out of a dozen works, then we have succeeded.
However if a chain of events can happen, it will happen sometime, somehow.
What will happen now is that the two flight recorders, the voice recorder of what went on in the cockpit, what was said, how it was said, what language it was said in and even the strain in the voices of the pilots will be examined along the same timeline as the thousands of parameters of aircraft systems and performance are analysed. This will be done by a competent Korean authority backed up by contingents from Boeing, and CFM, the engine manufacturer. These guys are real experts. I barely understand how they operate. There are groups of them all round the world who are on permanent standby, with grab-bags by their front doors. Their Christmases will have been rudely interrupted too.
I will wait for them to do their jobs. It won’t necessarily take long. If they even suspect a fatigued part, or a faulty crew procedure has played a part they will issue an ‘interim bulletin’ which will be in the hands of all operators and interested parties within the week. Or if it’s a labyrinthine aligning of the holes in the Swiss cheese an in-depth report and recommendations will follow in due course.
So the next time you hear an ‘expert’ pontificating a few hours after an accident, hang in there. It’s in hand, he’s guessing. Unless it’s me, of course.
The below is an extract from the statement of the International Federation of Airline Pilots Associations, and it was issued today. It sums it up.
Our thoughts are with the friends and families of the reported 181 passengers and crew
members that were onboard the aircraft.The Federation is working closely with its local Member Association, ALPA-K, who have
recently signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Ministry of Land,
Infrastructure and Transport (MOLIT) of the Republic of Korea, with four IFALPA-accredited
Accident Investigators from ALPA-K appointed as Official Advisors to MOLIT. Through this
MoU, IFALPA will keep its accident investigation resources at the disposal of MOLIT to help
gather facts and any other information which may be pertinent to the investigation.The Federation urges caution against speculation in media and social media surrounding
the accident. IFALPA stresses the need to avoid any conjectures or suppositions as to what
happened in this event. The investigation into the circumstances of the accident should
strictly follow the provisions laid out in ICAO Annex 13 with conclusions and safety
recommendations identified by the appropriate investigative bodies.
James Leary is the pseudonym of a retired passenger jet captain.
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More gaslighting.
I really don`t care what happens with the NHS and will not comply to anything that these shysters come up with.
I have fake documents/id if needed. F.. you commies.
I agree with the sentiment, but have to note a couple of things.
How do you do that? The self certifying bit?
It’s in the legislation & can be read on the .gov site
The NHS app/vax passport was reported to have a self certify feature, but that they were looking to close that ‘loop hole’ and require medical proof in future. Don’t give an inch, this is their tactic. Now they have cemented passports as an option in the public consciousness when they are brought in it will be accepted unless we refuse to play into their game.
No all cause mortality data for “vaccinated” compared to “unvaccinated” equals no free and informed consent, therefore one cannot be legally “vaccinated”.
I’m not sure about the specifics, as I don’t have a vaxxport and am a Scotch anyway. But see https://www.gov.uk/guidance/nhs-covid-pass and
Exemptions for domestic use
If you have a medical reason which means you cannot be vaccinated or tested, you may be asked to self-declare this medical exemption.
I’d like some of those!
The use of made up none contextualised figures provided by the ONS and PHE and of course at little modelling from Prof Ferguson.
What do muzzle mandates, social credit score apps, and mass criminalisation of normal human activity have to do with health, or the Ministry of Health?
What could trigger plan B is the Government saying ‘we are triggering plan B.’
Don’t look for reasons, health, ‘science’, logic. It’s all part of the Agenda. All planned. All in place.
And “the Government” doesn’t mean Westminter, Downing Street, or even the Whitehall Mandarins. It means the Beijing Mandarins, and the Davos oligarchs who issue Grosse Leader Johnson his orders.
Spot on. Via the Faucist pseudo scientists like Whitty, Vallance, Mengele … oh, sorry, he was last time.
Are you sure Mengele isn’t still around?
He’d be struggling to keep up if he were.
If 60 million Brits died of the lockdowns and suicide and death from the jabs, Javid’s mate Xi Jinping will just move 60 million Chinese into Britain. I expect the British Muslims won’t like that, but they’ll get used to making soft toys and iPhones in the concentration camps.
Meaning like everything else they have no plan, no criteria and just going to wing it.
The same as the traffic light system and all previous lockdowns.
They arent organised enough to even have a basic set of criteria to use for any policy.
You’d only need a plan if you were actually interested in making a difference to public health
As it’s all political, they will absolutely want to wing it so they keep their options open
Why provide details from which you can be later attacked and ridiculed when the media is unwilling to turn against you?
Note : There is no plan to meet a minor increase in demand – just more alibi concoction for throttling provision.
You have to be pretty dim not to see through the contradiction.
Any ideas as to how to rid ourselves of this rotten idiotcracy?.. Though I have a feeling they are just a front for the puppet masters..Question asked anyway..
No strong leader for our side has yet emerged. We are at the basics, the grassroots business of refusing to comply ourselves and trying to open others’ minds. The fact that most people now know someone jabbed who got the virus quite markedly has undermined their narrative.
Garden forks and rope still on sale in B&Q and Homebase.
Plenty of lampposts and trees still available.
Were these the same modellers who told us to expect hundreds of thousands of cases a day from the delta outbreak?
Not forgetting the 500k deaths and mass graves. Can somebody direct me to one of them so I can pay my respect to all those great grand mothers and great grand fathers who died untimely deaths.
Neil Ferguson had millions of animals killed during the Foot & Mouth outbreak, even kids’ pet ponies slaughtered in front of their eyes. What a sick and twisted individual he is. And he still has the cheek to show his face, and not just shagging another man’s wife but having her travel across London to his pad during a lockdown when Neil himself said that everyone had to stay at home!
And no face masks for the Conservatives in Parliament needed because “they know each other” – they are laughing in your faces. There is no virus.
2020 may have been the year of hyperbole as well as deceit but will 2021-22 be unrecognisably more severe?
There were these which may or may not be COVID19-related:
https://www.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk/search/show/search_view.aspx?ID=MAY415504
https://bidstats.uk/tenders/2021/W23/752550337
(temporary body storage facilities); and
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/4aed5711-c38a-447d-bf8d-40c87c3a7788
NHS Framework Agreement for the supply of Direct Oral Anticoagulants – check the contract value.
There appear to be two reasons *at the very least least* for fearing potentially more casualties:
— the experimental “vaccination/s” have not only brought serious side effects in a short period of time but also induced resistant virus strains:
https://www.americaoutloud.com/covid-q-a-with-dr-peter-mccullough-part-2/
https://media.blubrry.com/voiceofanation/b/ins.blubrry.com/voiceofanation/COVID_Q_A_with_Dr_Peter_McCullough_Part_2.mp3
@56’24 [citing new addition at cdc.gov in the variants section as of (3) September] “…we are now at 99% delta in the United States… so it’s THE FIRST TIME WE’VE HAD A SUPER-DOMINANT STRAIN AND THE REASON BEING IS THE MASS VACCINATION HAS PROMOTED THE SUPER-DOMINANT DELTA…” [my emphasis]
— the apparat’s denial of stay-well kits utilising HCQ, Ivermectin etc and preventive medicine generally – Dr McCullough is a leading light on the treatments btw. These have been deployed in the developing world, but sidelined in the first world in favour of experimental gene therapy.
And the same ones that predicted 4000 deaths per day last October. No one remembers or cares.
Ooh, ooh, I know!
It comes in for any month which has the letter “r” in its name!
Easy!
19th July 2021 = ‘Freedom Day’ because so many have been jabbed.
15th September 2021 = Claw-back Freedoms Day because…….eerrr……..because eeerrr?
When all you have to do for your career is to appear to be better than Matt Hancock, and you can’t even manage that.
Let’s hope they are both good at oakum picking, because that’s all the career prospects they have.
Hiding behind the NHS… Reminds me of how our wartime “leaders” in the US hid behind “support the troops.” Different country, same tactic.
javid has been well schooled by the cretins in control
WTF has Starmer and his crew of inadequate s been doing. Open goal on the deliberate lack of investment in increasing NHS capacity in the last 18 months and reduction of capacity in the last 10 years. What do we get. Nothing.
Same question to the MSM. Nothing.
it’s not about health or the virus.
Fk the nhs !!
I don’t read most of these parrot styled articles anymore, I just look at the comments lol.
Anything reporting what some goon from the Dictatorship says is pointless since they’ll just say something different tomorrow.
Parliament will debate petition on Monday to”outlaw discrimination against those who do not get a covid 19 vaccination”. so please contact your Mp to attend and support this petition
The ‘Health’ Secretary is quoted in the DM as saying that ‘they don’t have to wear masks in the House because they aren’t strangers’…… Seriously, he apparently said it with a straight face.
And because they’ve been eating Scotch eggs.
Ok, then, let all the un-napped just say “we’re not strangers!” Actually, I’m getting to actually know a lot of the un-napped in my town…!
Plan A: have an elephant fart repeatedly in the face of Kim Jong Johnson.
Plan B: have a hippo belch in the face of Kim Jong Johnson.
What will trigger Plan B?
Cooler temperatures.
Yep, winter and low vitamin D people too scared to go out or covered up with face diapers.
Ah yes:
… as experts warned hospital admissions could reach 7,000 a day.
And if they don’t? Then no harm done, eh? Just a little scare mongering and panic stirring. All in a days’ work.
“You can just self-certify…”
So, the whole thing is again revealed as a monumental sham. ‘Self certifying’ yourself exempt from an apocalyptic plague certificate is a logical non starter. It’s equivalent to ‘self certifying’ yourself exempt from the mandatory security-theater-screening at the airport. Total nonsense.
Yep, same with the face covering nonsense. If it worked and was really necessary to prevent infection does anyone seriously think the rules would be so loose? Any old bit of cloth, borrow ’em or lend ’em, toss ’em in the bin or just on the road- must be worn while ordering food but not required while you sit and eat said food a few feet away- it all works people!
Their plan B is of course actually plan A.
They know that introducing the boosters and vaccines for 12-15 will result in a new wave of cases and illnesses and death – they have seen it already in Israel.
This will give them justification for more lockdowns, more control, push again for vax passports, and press on with the next stage of their plan.
If ‘Plan B’ is contingent on a scenario where the NHS is overwhelmed, it is a safe bet that we will be fully signed up to Klaus & Bill’s digital ‘papers please’ global totalitarianism by Christmas.
How long till we get into the “Save Christmas” stage again?
Wakey wakey
they should dig out the pandemic response plan that they threw in the bin last year. it would make more sense then this ‘making it up on the hoof’ bollocks
The reason why he can’t put a numer on that is because the expretzels haven’t stopped demanding that mask mandates, social distancing, generally browbeating the hospitality industry etc must immediately be reintroduced to avert a certain future disaster ever since they failed to stop them being abolished in July.
Before they were abolished, they literally claimed this would create the conditions for a global disaster because of careless Britain. Then, they predicted 100,000 – 200,000 case per day, supposed to happen in the first weeks of August unless …, then came the “schools reopened COVID tsunami”, meanwhile, it’s “7000 hospitalizations per day inevitable unless …” and should the government stick to its guns until 2050, they’ll probably still be demanding mask mandates now lest the world goes under in a fortnight.
Ideally, these people would be removed from all public offices and prosecuted. But we’re not there yet.
It’s hard to tell whose hand is up whose arse, but SAGE et all are employed by the govt and can be sacked if the govt decide they don’t like the messages being sent out. I think we have to assume SAGE are kept around because the govt find them useful.
Prosecuted for what? I don’t think that even utter wrongness or delusion is actually against any law. Keep it real.
The thing is – nobody has to listen to the SAGE types as the epidemiological gospel. But this government wilfully chooses to do so, and The SAGE types happily feed them what they want.
But it’s clear who is the prime mover.
Plan B being part of Plan A.
I’m really sick to death of this government and the Plandemic. I’d put a different meaning on Build Back Better by getting rid of the whole damned lot of them including the Civil Service!
That’s been my position for 30+ years, apart from the pandemic of course but there’s always been something to get the hand wringers running around screaming. Eggs? Beef? Asbestos? Aids? Lead in petrol? New Ice Age? Not forgetting of course global warming or whatever they’re calling it at this moment.
What WILL trigger “plan B”?
Klaus Schwab
Here’s a thought. Plan B will be triggered when we go from October to November; and plan C when November becomes December. And then the people of Britain will finally waken up. Sorry, that last sentence was completely made up and has no basis in reality.
And your headline should be “Health Secretary makes sure he doesn’t say what could trigger Plan B this winter”.
Scotland. Deaths within 28 days of COVID jab.
Sajid Hancock.
Savage Rabid Jabbit.
Fauci Trapped “No Firm Answer” On Why People Who’ve Had COVID Should Get The Vaccine by Ron Paul
https://www.bitchute.com/video/eCkTLj3ZKDom/
Interesting to see what happens when a real question gets asked of these miscreants
Plan C it is then.
There are lots of people on this site who keep asking where can they find information about vaxxport self-certification etc etc.. My site has all this information.
There are others.. naming no names.. who seem to spend their whole time dismissing others’ efforts to fight this. I have personally financed and spent (lots of) time setting up and realising this new website.
It’s simply a HUB with access to many sites in one place to save having to search endlessly around an already compromised web. Luckily, no one is in charge of my salary, my opinions or my life. I am my own person. This is the hill I die on.
STOP JABBING CHILDREN!
I am now ready to go fully live including FREE subscriptions and information (make up your own minds).… if you think you know better then flock off and troll someone else. You have choices to make. Time is of the essence. If I sound angry.. it’s because I am.
https://www.LCAHub.org/
Vaxx passports in full swing here in Germany. Today the law makers in Berlin discovered to their shock that they have thus “accidentally” excluded all kids below 12 years old from entering any of the “participating” restaurants.
Talk about the circles of Hell.
Because kids suffered so much during the pandemic, now it’s time to treat them like vermin.
Germans do seem to like rules…
He even said staffing problems in the nhs will also play apart, well if the nhs staff are so hard to come by then why threaten them with the sack if they don’t want a jab? How many have quit the nhs over this bullshit? Thousands have already quit care homes.
How about Plan Z – Do nothing
Best plan yet, by a million miles.
Those black masks are becoming trendy with senior politicians internationally, wonder whose idea that was?
Lies, lies and more damn lies based on…..? Oh that would be nothing and project Fear rolls on. F E A R… false evidence appearing real
The NHS is going to collapse anyway, under the weight of its own institutional bureaucracy and incompetence, covid or no covid…. this messaging is just to soften us up for the inevitable, and shows that the govt have no plan to resolve the problems with the NHS that have built up over the last 73 years ….
SAGE make Boris panic, and we get masks first, then covid passports, and finally lockdowns. Enjoy Easter!
The shortest distance between A and B is a straight line, so at least that would be difficult for Boris
ie They need/want maximum flexibility to do whatever they want, whenever they want to.
I’m ignoring them as much as possible and just getting on with my (unjabbed) life as close to normal as I can.
A friend who works in the judicial system already told us. The number is 200 deaths a day and we are all back in lockdown.
But who decides how that number is calculated?