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LABOUR LANDSLIDE: Majority of 170 for Starmer on 410 Seats, Tories Slump to Just 131, Reform on 13, Lib Dems on 61 – Exit Poll

by Will Jones
4 July 2024 10:03 PM

The exit poll has been published showing the widely expected Labour landslide with Keir Starmer’s party winning 410 seats and a majority of 170. Here are the poll results from the BBC:

Labour is set to win a General Election landslide with a majority of 170, according to an exit poll for the BBC, ITV and Sky.

If the forecast is accurate, it means Sir Keir Starmer will become prime minister with 410 Labour MPs – just short of Tony Blair’s 1997 total.

The Conservatives are predicted to slump to 131 MPs, their lowest number in post-war history.

The Liberal Democrats are projected to come third with 61 MPs.

The Scottish National Party will see its number of MPs fall to 10 and Reform U.K. is forecast to get 13 MPs, according to the exit poll.

The Green Party of England and Wales is predicted to double its number of MPs to two and Plaid Cymru is set to get four MPs. Others are forecast to get 19 seats.

The exit poll, overseen by Sir John Curtice and a team of statisticians, is based on data from voters at about 130 polling stations in England, Scotland and Wales. The poll does not cover Northern Ireland.

At the past five General Elections, the exit poll has been accurate to within a range of 1.5 and 7.5 seats.

Not as huge a majority as many were predicting, and slightly less than Blair’s 1997 haul of 418 seats and majority of 178, but still ample to do whatever the party wants. Tories not the near-total wipeout that some polls suggested, but 131 is still a terrible result – their lowest ever. Reform in the middle of its predictions on 13, but way below some of the more hopeful ones – though Sir John Curtice, who led the exit poll, comments: “How many seats Reform will win is highly uncertain – our model suggests there are many places where they have some – but a relatively low – chance of winning.” SNP plummets from 48 to 10, a fitting reward for its woeful record in Scotland and on woke issues. Lib Dems get their best result for a century (or ever; 100 years ago they were still the old Liberal Party). At least the Conservatives are still the Official Opposition – a Left-wing opposition to Labour would have been truly soul-dissolving. It’s going to be a long five years.

Electoral Calculus estimates published by GB News suggest that Labour could win its landslide on a vote share of just 36.1% – less than Jeremy Corbyn’s 40% when he lost in 2017 – with the Tories on 25.8%, Reform on 17.2% and the Lib Dems on 9.4%. If that’s right, it shows how broken the First Past the Post voting system is.

Former Scottish Tory leader Ruth Davidson gave Sky News a pithy summary of why it all went wrong for Sunak, saying he has run “one of the worst election campaigns in living memory”:

We upset pensioners by making the cut to National Insurance over income tax, we upset mortgage payers because of the Liz Truss year… we upset young people with the idea of National Service which we then dropped halfway through the campaign. 

We upset Remainers by being the party of Brexit in 2019. We upset Brexiteers this time around because we promised immigration would go down and it went up.

How do you cobble together a group of people who are going to vote for a party if you don’t have a coherent narrative of what the last 14 years is like if you’ve broken your promises, if you run probably one of the worst election campaigns in living memory, and if you have also lost your reputation for competency in Government?

The actual results will be released during the night as counts are completed around the country. It is expected that around two thirds of the results will be published between 3am and 5am.

A new Labour era dawns. God help us all.

Tags: Conservative PartyDemocracyExit pollGeneral Election 2024Keir StarmerLabour PartyLeft-wingNigel FarageReform UKRishi Sunak

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31 Comments
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James.M
James.M
1 year ago

Cheer up Will, Labour will create such a hash of things that there will be a constitutional crisis necessitating a government of national unity. Things can only get better!

65
-4
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
1 year ago
Reply to  James.M

I bet you a box of smarties that Labour will have at least two full terms in government

20
-37
James.M
James.M
1 year ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

Done! Haha, that brought a smile to my face. When your tribal, Trilateral Commission leader would rather kowtow to Davos and all the other supranational elitist organisations that rule the world, than to the sovereign people of this nation you know in time he and his ilk will be fully exposed for the morally questionable and power hungry individuals they truly are. I can’t predict when this will happen but I’m certain it will. Whatever the final result of this election is, it is clear under the current system, we do not have TRUE representative democracy, whoever is in power. Whether it is the Tories or Labour that govern us they are basically two cheeks of the same backside. It makes not one jot of difference and I’ve thought this since I was old enough to vote. I sincerely hope you prove me wrong and Labour turn out to be the saviour of the nation but I’m not optimistic. I’ll buy a box of Smarties just in case.

19
-1
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
1 year ago
Reply to  James.M

I think you may have misinterpreted what I wrote. Perhaps it wasn’t clear. I’m not endorsing Labour, just predicting that it’s quite possible they will get two full terms. Coming back from a huge defeat usually takes a while for an ousted governing party.

As for true representative democracy, I disagree. There were some smaller parties standing in various places that presented quite a different set of policies – none of them got more than a handful of votes. There was a major party standing almost everywhere – Reform – that presented a conservative platform of the kind that the Tories ought to have done, and yet 6million people still voted Tory. We had our chance, and blew it.

21
0
varmint
varmint
1 year ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

You might not be far off the mark because by the time the wind turbines and heat pumps get rolling an unsuspecting public might take 5 years to realise what is happening. I suggest we all keep an eye on those energy bills because they are only going to go UP ——Whatever happened to all the Free Wind?

22
-1
James.M
James.M
1 year ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

Understood. We’re basically on the same page. It’s tribal politics that is the downfall of representative democracy. How we change this is open for debate – or should be, but until the people realise nothing will change to their advantage until there is fundamental reform to the electoral parliamentary system it will be difficult to convince those in power to change something that basically maintains the status quo. They’re in a club and we’re not in it.

0
0
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
1 year ago
Reply to  James.M

I think it’s worse than that. People have got used to the state being involved in ever more aspects of life and they seem happy with that. While that’s the case, things will get worse.

2
-1
varmint
varmint
1 year ago
Reply to  James.M

Yep, or as someone once pointed out “if voting changed anything it would be banned”. Voting simply gives the illusion of choice.

19
0
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
1 year ago
Reply to  varmint

I think if you look through electoral history, majorities like that rarely get eradicated in a single term.

7
0
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
1 year ago

How utterly depressing

How can so many people have voted Tory – bloody idiots

The fact that the Tories will be the official opposition and have not been completely destroyed is a much bigger disaster dor
the country than the Labour victory, in the long term

84
-7
Free Lemming
Free Lemming
1 year ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

Proof that people are absolutely thick as a plank. Still, ‘democracy’ will live on thanks to our elites present of giving the idiotic peasants their four-yearly bit of fun and much needed theatrical power trip. How they must laugh as the peasants passionately squabble over who gets to gang-rape them next.

24
-4
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
1 year ago
Reply to  Free Lemming

We had our chance and blew it. It’s very sad.

7
-1
soundofreason
soundofreason
1 year ago

At least the Conservatives are still the Official Opposition – a Left-wing opposition to Labour would have been truly soul-dissolving.

But that’s exactly what we have been complaining about. The Conservative Party are left-wing. It’s why they’ve taken a beating. A shame the traitors were not fully humiliated to the extent that they have to start again – perhaps with a re-brand. Oh well, maybe next time.

Also, it’s just the exit poll – maybe the real results will be different.

Last edited 1 year ago by soundofreason
47
-2
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
1 year ago
Reply to  soundofreason

Indeed
The ideal scenario was for the Tories to get zero votes and zero seats

32
-2
sskinner
sskinner
1 year ago
Reply to  soundofreason

Labour and Conservative have both been fronts for the Civil Service.

54
0
JXB
JXB
1 year ago
Reply to  soundofreason

“The Conservative Party are left-wing.”.

It’s a puzzle how so many still don’t see that.

3
-1
sskinner
sskinner
1 year ago

God help us.

55
0
Heretic
Heretic
1 year ago

But according to British law, Jewish convert Keir Starmer cannot legally hold the post of UK Prime Minister.

Google “Keir Starmer religion” and you will get the answer “Judaism”.

Zoom prayers and Jewish kids: UK Labour leader Keir Starmer opens up about his Jewish family – Jewish Telegraphic Agency (jta.org)

“Starmer, 58, and his [Polish Jewish] wife, attorney Victoria Alexander, have two children, whom they are “bringing up to recognize the faith of part of their grandfather’s family, and it’s very important,” he said. “Just carving out that tradition, that bit of faith on Friday is incredibly important, because we get together and we do Zoom prayers now.”

“The family belong to London’s Liberal Jewish Synagogue, which is situated in the St. John’s Wood neighbourhood and belongs to the Liberal movement, the more progressive of British Jewry’s two liberal strains, which includes Reform. Starmer has hinted before that Alexander’s family comes over for Friday night [“Shabbat” worship of the Shekhina Goddess] dinners at their London house.”

The Law of This Land clearly states that No Catholic, Jewish, and by extension Hindu, Sikh, Muslim, Buddhist or anyone but a PROTESTANT can legally hold the post of MONARCH or MONARCH’S PRIME MINISTER.

Last edited 1 year ago by Heretic
26
-16
Heretic
Heretic
1 year ago
Reply to  Heretic

The Law of This Land clearly states that No Catholic, Jewish, and by extension Hindu, Sikh, Muslim, Buddhist or anyone but a PROTESTANT can legally hold the post of MONARCH or MONARCH’S PRIME MINISTER.

That is The Law of This Land, whether you like it or not.

26
-6
Epi
Epi
1 year ago
Reply to  Heretic

And er Disraeli?

10
-3
Heretic
Heretic
1 year ago
Reply to  Epi

Sigh. As I’ve explained umpteen times before, Jewish Disraeli CONVERTED TO THE PROTESTANT CHURCH OF ENGLAND to further his career and his goal of becoming Prime Minister, because he knew The Law of This Land, as did Boris Johnson, who converted at university, and Tony Blair, who had to wait until leaving office as PM before openly converting to Catholicism.

0
0
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
1 year ago

“Former Scottish Tory leader Ruth Davidson gave Sky News a pithy summary of why it all went wrong for Sunak, saying he has run “one of the worst election campaigns in living memory”:”

Not his campaign you stupid cow, get a grip. His record in office, and the record of more than a decade of treacherous fake conservative pisstaking.

66
-2
sskinner
sskinner
1 year ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

The Conservatives had one job and that was Brexit.

27
-1
Free Lemming
Free Lemming
1 year ago

Good. Let the games begin.

9
-6
varmint
varmint
1 year ago

Yes well we knew what was coming. ——–Labour are now the Government and we are going to get “CHANGE”. ——The people cannot wait. All over the country people have been saying to each other that the only thing that is important to them is “CHANGE”. Do they want cheaper energy? No they want “Change”. Do they want lower immigration? No they only want “Change”. ———–Well no one actually knows what that means but they voted for it anyway and we are about to find out exactly what that means and it is not going be very pretty. We in the UK are about to become World Champions of pretending to save the planet, and there will be no room to swing a cat for all the turbines. I suggest you all take a note on a bit of paper of what you are paying for your energy bills and watch this space, because they are only going to head in one direction —UP UP UP UP. —And since standard of living is tied directly to the cost of energy your standard of living can only go in the opposite direction —DOWN DOWN DOWN DOWN.

34
0
Epi
Epi
1 year ago
Reply to  varmint

TAX TAX TAX AND SPEND SPEND SPEND is all they know. As a friend of mine always says if things don’t change they remain the same.

Last edited 1 year ago by Epi
4
0
JXB
JXB
1 year ago
Reply to  Epi

Followed by: BUST BUST BUST

1
0
Marcus Aurelius knew
Marcus Aurelius knew
1 year ago

Grab some popcorn and take a comfy seat.

Care for those you love. Nothing changes, my friends.

There are two things you can control:

1. Your emotions.
2. Your expenses.

Last edited 1 year ago by Marcus Aurelius knew
27
0
Westfieldmike
Westfieldmike
1 year ago

Democracy is an illusion. The blob has won, again. More net zero, more tyranny, nothing will change.

7
-2
VAX FREE IanC
VAX FREE IanC
1 year ago

3 cheeks of the same arse? 3cheeks? that must mean 2 bum holes…hmm I suppose that that might appeal to a disproportionately noisy and influential minority.

Seriously though…I am officially afraid. Very very afraid! It was always going to be a toughie, for sure.
The ‘Globalist’ plan appears to be slithering quietly into place.
One more general election between now and 2030 and everything appears to be going to schedule for the devotees of stakeholder capitalism and the oddly Bond Villain facsimile chairman of WEF.
We live in very scary times!

the-whole-litter
7
-1
wryobserver
wryobserver
1 year ago

Labour’s share of the vote hardly changed (most of the increase was from Scotland) while the Conservative vote plummeted thanks to a pincer movement between the Lib Dems and the Reform party – which won more votes than the Lib Dems, but claimed far less seats. In a counterfactual universe I wonder what would have happened had Labour been in power during the Covid thing. Lockdown would have been harder and longer and there would not have been bailouts, furlough arrangements or eat out to help out initiatives, all of which saved jobs. In other words, it would have been a lot worse. But that’s no excuse for the Conservative meltdown based on stupid parties, a crazy Truss budget and failures of promises such as stopping the boats (which anyway can only happen if the French spend our £430 million on so doing). Also, had they heeded the pandemic management advice of some of the sceptics like me, there would never have been a lockdown at all, and Boris would still be PM.

But in the words of the Beatles – O Bla Di, O Bla Da, life goes on. At least Truss lost her seat, and the Conservative rump has 5 years to get itself in order and be properly conservative again. By which time most of Europe will have drifted to the right and we can be swept along by that current. Unless Labour can really produce the goods and make everyone wealthier – which seems unlikely given its crazy commitment to Net Zero.

3
0

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