Interest and concern continues to grow about the numerous retrospective adjustments that the U.K. Met Office has made to its global HadCRUT temperature database. Often the adjustments cool earlier periods going back to the 1930s and add warming in more recent times. The adjustments are of course most convenient in promoting the global warming narrative surrounding Net Zero fantasies. There is particular interest in the 0.15°C cooling inserted in the 1940s and the greater warming added in more recent decades. The scientific blog No Tricks Zone (NTZ) has recently returned to the story noting the state-controlled Met Office has “corrected” the data to “align with their narrative”.
In suggesting a narrative, NTZ traces the adjustments back to the 2009 leak of ‘Climategate’ emails from academic staff at the University of East Anglia working on the HadCRUT project. In one email speculating on ‘correcting’ sea surface temperatures to partly explain the 1940s ‘warming blip’, it is noted that “if we could reduce the ocean blip by, say, 0.15°C, then this would be significant for the global mean”. It would be good to “remove at least part of the 1940s blip”, it is suggested. Just as they have said they would do, comments NTZ, 0.15°C of warmth has gradually been removed from the 1940s HadCRUT global temperature data over the last 15 years.
The block graph above is compiled and published on Professor Ole Humlum’s climate4you site. It shows the net changes made since February 28th 2008 in the global monthly surface air temperature prepared by the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research and the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit. The significant cooling adjustment in the 1930s and 40s is clearly shown in blue, but what really stands out is how much warming has been added in the 21st century.
In the hiatus years of 2000-2014, the third version of HadCRUT recorded just 0.03°C warming per decade. In fact at this time the Met Office published a paper looking into the causes of the ‘pause’, in which it referred to “little further warming” at the time. But the warming, or ‘heating’ as many in the mainstream media now like to call it, was increased to 0.08°C per decade in version 4. The recent HadCRUT5 provides no less than 0.14°C per decade of warming, using what NTZ describes as the “computer model-infilling method”.
As NTZ notes, within the last decade, a 15-year temperature trend has been changed from a pause to a strong warming. “After all, when the observations don’t fit the narrative, it is time to change the observations,” adds NTZ.
Nicola Scafetta is a research scientist at the University of Naples and he is a recognised authority on temperature datasets and climate models. He has compiled the above graph showing the ever increasing retrospectively-applied temperature anomalies from HadCRUT3 through to HadCRUT5.
As regular readers will recall, the Daily Sceptic recently broke the story that nearly 80% of the Met Office’s 380 U.K. temperature measuring stations had internationally recognised ‘uncertainties’ between 2-5°C. Specifically, almost one in three (29.2%) in ‘junk’ Class 5 had ‘uncertainties’ up to 5°C as defined by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO). Nearly half (48.7%) were sited at ‘near junk’ Class 4 sites with ‘uncertainties’ of 2°C. Shockingly, only 52 stations, or just 13.7% of the total, came without any ‘uncertainty’ rating. Class 5 station are prone to pick up all manner of human and natural caused heat corruptions, while class 1 sites simply measure the surrounding air temperature.
These station class classifications, which the Daily Sceptic obtained under a freedom of information (FOI) request, cast substantial doubt on the accuracy of all ‘heat’ records recently claimed. The data might be useful for general local weather forecasting, showing, for instance, that it is warmer in cities than the surrounding countryside. A degree or more either way is not significant, and precision is not an absolute requirement for people deciding what clothing to wear. But the Met Office, a highly politicised state-funded operation devoted to pushing the Net Zero narrative, uses them to make observations down to one hundredth of a degree (0.01°) centigrade. Recently it made great play of its suggestion that last year was just 0.06°C cooler than 2022.
Having finished compiling U.K. temperatures that it can be argued have little overall statistical significance, the dataset is then inserted into the HadCRUT operation where a global temperature is announced. This, of course, is the go-to figure for any alarmist who claims global heating/boiling and the likelihood of climate collapse. It is the bedrock support for climate models claiming all manner of interesting stories such as the Arctic summer sea ice disappearing within a decade and severe air turbulence doubling in short order. Such is the fairy dust it bestows that some activists even claim they can link individual bad weather events to long-term changes in the climate caused by humans. This then percolates down to hysterical halfwits on mainstream media pointing outside the window to the weather and making unchallenged claims that the end is nigh.
Given the pivotal role the Met Office’s local and global figures play in the Net Zero narrative, it is a surprise that it has yet to make a statement, two months after the Daily Sceptic’s U.K. class revelations, explaining and justifying its temperature statistics. Can we deduce from this that its scientists are happy that they are using such poor data to scare populations over minuscule rises in temperature? Would it not be a wise use of public money to expand its class 1 network to provide data that are unadulterated with obvious heat corruptions?
The Met Office does not return the calls of the Daily Sceptic. Mainstream media and politicians ignore the story, hoping that it will go away. The temperature data are at the heart of their Net Zero goals. It appears there is too much to lose by asking a few obvious, and necessary, questions.
Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.
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This is a very important reminder to everyone like myself who’d forgotten about the Debanking Scandal. I thought it was all over, but from this article, it’s still going on quietly in the background.
Likewise, we pulled out of PAYPAL when the news broke at the time, but this is a timely reminder and hopefully more people will abandon them. Likewise Give send go I think it was who froze the truckers accounts in Canada. I don’t use them anymore.
My wife and I immediately dropped Paypal when Toby Young was ‘debanked’ and we persuaded as many family and friends as possible to also leave Paypal. Whether it had any effect, I cannot be sure but I do know that it caused us no inconvenience by doing so.
Yes, I’ve dropped PayPal too.
Forget pandering to IRA murderers, if Sir Two-Tier needs to feed his lawfare fix, then bring in a law criminalising political de-banking and whip all the Right Dishonourable Labour Members to vote for it.
Would keep Attorney General Lord Hermeutic out of mischief doing something honourable for a change.
Don’t hold your breath.
I can’t imagine this shower of shite ever doing anything honourable, they don’t have the capability.
Wonder what would happen if everyone who is sickened by this contacted PayPal and demanded for them to disclose any information PayPal had on them? Easy to do, costs nothing and perfectly legal under the Freedom of Information Act. And I mean if hundreds of thousands contacted them, nay millions – all at the same time. And I’m sure you can do it even if you are a past customer. Think I’ll try to send them a letter forthwith. Was it this lot that debanked Farage too. No matter, it’s the thought that counts. Reform have rather a lot of members now, don’t they?
Used to use PayPal, have not used them since they suspended TY’s account.
Same here tof.
Nor I.
My PayPal account was lapsed, but not closed. So I went to the effort of reinstating my login just so I could delete my account and leave a snotty comment.
Closed mine, told them why too.
The state in most countries is an opponent of tge people. We are back in the days of totalitarian monarchs.
We should be glad that Reform is a party that works within the democratic system and it is led by a a man who is libertarian inclined.
If the elites succeed in retaining office within Uniparty I fear the next challenger will not be at all pleasant. The outcome of that would be to take us back to unexplained disappearances from the Tower.
We have all the money and the voting power. Never forget that.
But not the will of the majority to do anything with it sadly. We are but few.
I read somewhere that it takes about 20% of a country to turn the tide against despots. I’m sure we have that but the 20% aren’t stirred enough by these despots maybe?
They are. They just need to realise that they have the power. There is a sense of hopelessness but once again, we have the power, and the taxes they appropriate to fund their horror-show, is ultimately our money.
Stop Debanking Opinions
My personal fair use policy resulted in me banning PayPal (after 20 years of use, thousands of transactions) when it banned Lord Toby.
They’ll never see another penny of my cash.
Same here.
And what punishment did Paypal receive? Nothing I presume. They should have been forced to pay the account holders a fine equal to what sum they had in their account at the time.
At the time I made a donation to the Canadian truck driver protest. That was returned. Not sure if they were debanked or their dictator led government had a hand in it.
Does Elon Musk still Run PayPal ?
ESG——Agenda Driven Government and their “Stakeholders” in big business deciding commie style who can participate in society. —This must be STOPPED
PayPal ….. is not your Pal.
Pals don’t punish you for disagreeing with them; they don’t go out of their way to make your life difficult; they don’t seek to control your speech or your actions.
There’s nothing “friendly” about PayPunish.
I closed my account when they debanked Toby/The Daily Sceptic and I won’t be re-opening it.
It’s a DEMOCRACY! Because of this, you are entitled to your own opinions! And we are entitled to punish you for that with whatever means happen to be at our disposal!
The liberal progressive democracy in nutshell. It’s going to be hard to find a historic political system were people weren’t entitled to their own opinions provided they didn’t mind getting punished for that. Methods of punishment in the 2020s differ from those of the 1940s. But that’s just because our rulers believe their methods to be more effective, not because they’re nowadays more friendly disposed towards those of their subjects who ‘need’ to get punished.
Molly, if you’re reading this, thank you for the work UFT undertook during the pandemic, especially the Scottish team. They kept me sane during a horrific period when most around me were captivated by the BBC.