The supposed economic case for mass immigration has finally collapsed, writes Sam Ashworth-Hayes in the Telegraph, as a new report from the Institute for Fiscal Studies confirms what many have been saying for decades: bringing in millions of low-pay workers and their families can never make a country richer. Here’s an excerpt.
It was a delightful theory. Opening Britain’s borders would bring an influx of human capital that would leave the country richer, the tax burden lower, public services stronger and our culture enriched. And, as a theory, it had the great benefit of being all but impossible to falsify unless someone was daft enough to actually try it in practice.
Unfortunately, thanks to the Conservatives, this has now happened. And the resulting confrontation with reality has demolished a truly beautiful idea. Report after report, dataset after dataset, is hammering home a simple message: mass migration is not making Britain better off.
The latest entry in the list has taken a sledgehammer to the argument that immigration is desperately needed to prop up our crumbling public services.
As the Institute for Fiscal Studies argues, the “fiscal headroom” generated by immigration is largely illusory. Rather than the result of carefully selecting for high income, low-cost arrivals, it has rather more to do with the way the Office for Budget Responsibility comes up with its figures – plugging in spending plans that don’t account for the greater demands of a larger population. Once this is factored in, the migration dividend dissipates.
This shouldn’t be surprising. Even before the Conservatives reshaped the immigration system to bring in huge numbers of care workers and “students”, study after study showed that non-EU migrants were a significant fiscal drain.
This is as much about the generosity of the British state as it is anything else; the average U.K. citizen receives more in public services than they pay in taxes. But it does mean that in order for migrants to pay their way, they need to earn very high wages or leave after their working years. Unsurprisingly, many don’t.
The problems don’t end there. Adding more people to an economy will almost always make it larger, but that doesn’t mean it makes the people already here better off. Britain has a serious shortage of housing, congested infrastructure, and increasing conflict between communities with radically different visions of what the country should be. Adding in large numbers of people from around the world does very little to improve any of this, and makes much of it actively worse.
Let me get this straight. When the Office for Budget Responsibility told us that immigration makes us better off, it failed to account for the public spending on the migrants and their families. That’s a weird kind of budget responsibility. Funnily enough, I’ve found that getting a new Ferrari would make me better off, if you just ignore what I’d spend on it. You can’t make this stuff up.
Worth reading in full.
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“Finally”? Anyone who would say it has “finally” collapsed has been paying zero attention. There has never been an economic case for mass migration. There is nothing to collapse.
Pretending otherwise is just folly. Lies is all there was, because economic proliferation was never the goal. It was just the nicely wrapped lie that the true goal was wrapped in, so gullible people would eat it up. This has always been about the destabilization of Western society.
Yes “The Great Replacement” is going very well , Baron Kudenhove would be well chuffed to see his plans carried out !!
Look at these corrupt, lying barstewards dissing Tommy Robinson. Just a ”right-wing thug” that’s been right the whole time and had the bollocks to stand up and say the truth, despite him coming off worse for it. One of the only few that listened to those abused girls and took them seriously. Tommy who’s now in Sweden to interview that poor Salwan guy who’s about to be deported back to Iraq and certain death. Just what ”thugs” do though, isn’t it? These slimy, duplicitous buggers in suits make me sick. I really hope they get all they deserve from these Islamist extremists and their treacherous buddies;
https://twitter.com/DaveAtherton20/status/1762830478913024012
Right of reply goes to Tommy. I won’t copy it all because it’s a long one;
”Labour leader @Keir_Starmer
takes to the stand and calls me a ‘right wing thug’.
Like I care about the opinion of a man (and I use that term very loosely indeed) who led the CPS at the time Jimmy Saville child noncing revelations came out, what did he do about it?
Nothing.
He didn’t prosecute the child raping face of the BBC, instead he passed the blame onto the police and a low level prosecutor in the CPS, the ‘man’ will never take responsibility for his personal failings, his departments failings, or his party’s failings, even though he’s a miserable, incompetent failure himself.
Keir Starmer also FAILED child victims of Muslim child rape gangs during his time leading the CPS.
Starmer was director of public prosecutions from 2008 to 2013, in which time the scale of sexual abuse of children in areas such as Rotherham and Rochdale became widely known.
Starmer later admitted that the guidelines his department used when dealing with child victims of Muslim rape gangs was ‘the wrong approach’.
What was the ‘wrong approach’ you ask?
Well the approach was to ignore the cries of vulnerable British girls trapped in a life of drug abuse, criminality, and sexual exploitation, because they just weren’t reliable enough to be concerned with, they were ‘damaged goods’ as far as the CPS were concerned.
Leaving those poor children to the animals, the parasites, the scumbags who controlled and exploited them through fear and intimidation.
Yes that’s the ‘man’ Keir Starmer, a useless career politician and and even worse enforcer of British laws…….”
https://twitter.com/TRobinsonNewEra/status/1762830429013356870
“Page does not exist” Mogs.
Ooh how weird. Works for me…OK then, here you go. 🙂
”….As for the non elected numpty prime minister that is @RishiSunak
, the man still defending the safe and effective ‘vaccine’, the man who kicked out @SuellaBraverman
because he could not deal with political heat – admitting ‘grooming gangs’ are majority Muslim and Pakistani.
The ‘man’ who can’t and wont deal with illegal boat invaders, because hes still subject to ECHR laws which allows the illegal invasion to continue uninterrupted, the very same laws that stop us from deporting filthy child raping scumbags that still walk British streets.
When these two failures of ‘manhood’ label me as a ‘far right thug’, I wear that as a badge of pride, because neither of these useless wankers have ever done anything good for our people, our country ,or for the rule of law.
We are sick of uniparty virtue signalling, you’re both full of shit, both of you are a disgrace, both of you are an impediment to the potential greatness of our nation.
Both of you are invertebrate, yellow bellied, politically correct, silver spoon fed, out of touch morons who do not speak to the concerns of the working class, you only speak and act on the concerns of globalist elites, you’re both sellouts and should be absolutely ashamed at your pathetic track records.
Resign immediately, both of you, you incompetent , corrupt, rotten festering polyps on the anus of humanity.
Meanwhile, I will continue to shine a light on subjects you run a mile from, because unlike you cowards, I do have a backbone, I do care about my people, and I do love my country.”
Dude deserves a standing ovation for that, in my opinion. LOL
Here’s the whole 1min HoC clip for more context;
https://twitter.com/BBCPolitics/status/1762813133184196943
Thanks for that Mogs. I wholeheartedly agree with Tommy.
Thanks for the post.
Noticeable that Fishy trots out this in response to Kneel…
“Thank you Mr Speaker. I don’t think there is one single member of this House that backs Tommy Robinson.”
Abd there in a nutshell lies our problem 😒
Tommy’s address to the Oxford Union several years ago was a powerful and honest appraisal of the extent to which radical islam has ruined his home town.
He’s been unfairly turned into the boogeyman. He’s just a normal bloke with a right to feel angry.
We all need to read “Beyond Terror” by Anne Marie Waters
Actually I think the link won’t work for you because Tommy started a new Twitter channel with more security and only people with Twitter accounts can access it. So those without accounts won’t be able to see the stuff linked. Think he’s got a Rumble channel though for interviews and stuff, and the interview with Salwan in Sweden will be well worth a watch I think. I did always wonder why he would go to the extent of burning Korans and endangering himself as a result of his actions, I’ve also never heard the guy talk before so that’ll be interesting. I sincerely hope he has a good lawyer though to fight this deportation. Christ, rapists seem to be successful at fighting deportation, because ”human rights”! All of the scummy crims and gangsters they’ve got in Sweden and this guy hasn’t harmed anyone and isn’t a danger to the public. I’m concerned for him. 🙁
“Actually I think the link won’t work for you because Tommy started a new Twitter channel with more security and only people with Twitter accounts can access it.”
I am pretty sure you are right on this Mogs. Thanks.
How is it our criminal illegals, the rapists, murderers and paedophiles can avoid deportations on the grounds that there lives will be at risk if they are sent back but Salwan, who has harmed no-one, is already a dead man walking even though he has harmed nobody?
Somebody in Sweden should swing for the way they are treating this man.
Tommy Robinson is a hero, a warrior who has risked everything to defend British children.
”right-wing thug”
I’m sure most of my metro “liberal” colleagues and ex acquaintances think all white working class people are basically uncouth, thick, racist thugs.
A pack of black thugs assaulted a white man in Lisbon.
African immigrants in Portugal have mastered the art of travelling in groups and preying on the unsuspecting Europeans. Perhaps it’s precisely these skills that make them so sought after in Europe.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1739785591540035741
Problem solved! 🙂
Many a true word spoken in jest 😳🤦🏼♂️
A factor in some industries is to reduce the wages via immigration, rather than paying more to encourage the locals.
Correct & less H&S etc
That is correct and there is no incentive to increase (labour) productivity, which has many benefits.
It has always been so.
The neoliberals manipulate data and misrepresent studies in favour of immigration.
It is funny how millions of people including many on this website could have told the last few governments this. In actual fact vast amounts of people did tell them but were ignored and branded as “racists” and “bigots”. ———In the eyes of the world government in waiting at the UN and WEF national identities need to be destroyed because they are a threat to global governance, and what better way to do that than fill countries up with people from all corners of the globe so they no longer Feel French British German Dutch etc e and instead simply feel like citizens of the world. —Global citizens governed by a global government. With global treaties imposed under false pretences eg “the climate crisis”
The ‘Fudge and bury’ mob will be working overtime on this little bomb shell.
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/scandal-of-the-social-care-migrants-who-break-the-rules/
The “social care” workers scam as reported two days ago in TCW. I did post this at the time so some may have already read this. A perfect partner to this article.
“The social care visa route was introduced two years ago to help plug chronic labour shortages in the industry. David Neal’s report exposes jaw-dropping details: the Home Office issued 275 visas to a care home that didn’t even exist. Another 1,234 visas were granted to a company that claimed to have only four workers when it got its licence to recruit care workers from overseas. That’s more than 1,500 migrants who’ve slipped through the cracks, pretending to be care workers. We suspect this is only the tip of the iceberg.”
Thanks for reposting, I missed it the first time.
The Home Office ‘finest’ engaging in corrupt practices again, to the detriment of the UK.
I am pleased you read it ellie.😀👍
Exactly the same in the rest of Europe that’s suffered uncontrolled immigration for years, of course. That’s why this former civil servant and chief of Frontex in France has now joined Marine Le Pen’s party. Like he got told from the horse’s mouth; immigration in the EU is being overseen as a project, not a problem;
”What could make a former Frontex director decide to run in the European elections, and to do so with Marine Le Pen’s National Rally?
As you know, I was director of Frontex, the European Border and Coast Guard Agency, for over seven years. I was at the heart of the European machinery for managing external borders and immigration, and thus of the fight against illegal immigration.
As a result, I am a witness and a key player who has realized that urgent action is needed to counteract the European Commission’s negative action on migration. I came to realize that the European Commission didn’t see illegal immigration as a problem but as a project.
I became particularly aware of the seriousness of this fact with the arrival of the von der Leyen Commission at the end of 2019 and in particular, within this von der Leyen Commission, of European Commissioner for Home Affairs Ylva Johansson.
Johansson told me right away, at the end of October 2019, when I first saw her: “But with this European corps, why do you need weapons and uniforms? Migrants come out of love, and your job is to welcome them. Europe is an aging continent, and whether you like it or not, you have to welcome them.”
https://rmx.news/european-union/exclusive-former-frontex-chief-tells-remix-news-the-inside-story-behind-the-eu-commissions-push-for-mass-immigration-and-open-borders/
Yep Deliberate ——“Stop the Boats” is about as genuine as Wildebeest saying they love Lions.
The Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan in action.
The case never existed
“… it failed to account for the public spending on the migrants and their families.”
It also failed to account for decreased labour productivity that an oversupply of labour would bring, and the effect that would have on wages – driving them down.
Benefits of increased labour productivity: better use of resources in increasing output; reduced prices to consumers and raised quality; increases wages and thus living standards; reduces overheads, increasing profits for reinvestment; increases per capita GDP and economic growth. (This is all standard stuff known by every economist.)
So the reverse of these benefits applies when labour productivity is reduced, which of course explains why influx of immigrants doesn’t produce the gains the nitwits in Government claimed.
The UK has the lowest labour productivity in Europe and USA.
Well done chaps!
We have had a steady cohort of traitorous WEF politicians nominally running the country at least since Bliar in ’97 and I do not accept that any of them was not aware, with the exception of Liz Truss, that what they were doing was undermining this country.
Bliar, Brown, Cameron, Bozo, May, Fishy – have I missed any – all knew they were in place to effectively wreck this country. All of them understood that massive immigration was the key to unravelling Great Britain (empathis on Great) and all played their part. It is naive to condemn these bastards as “dimwit.” I accept that none of the above are particularly bright but they had access to brighter minds and if they bothered to look and listen would have seen the damage that rampant immigration was causing and that the damage would only get worse.
We have been sold down the river for a few pieces of silver.
Apart from physical migrants, some firms make use of this technology (whic we are using) to move certain types of work globally for financial reasons. E.g. a decade or so ago I worked for a US based firm, with it’s shares on the New York market (here in England), and within it I had access to a huge email address list (the server was based in Florida), and awful lot of employees were evidently based in India. I guess a lot of it was acquired via buying whatever the local firms were.
The firm itself got taken over by https://aecom.com/ No doubt it’s the same trick, as they go along.
I have thought of scientific theories and mathematical theorems as sometimes beautiiful and you could argue the same about some economics theories. But to describe the idea or proposal of unlimited immigration as beautiful is not a correct way of putting it. The idea of mass immigration was not really about the economic results but, according to a Labour Minister, it was about rubbing the noses of the middle class it it.
That was not really a sensible proposition because the upper middle class at least have benefitted hugely from mass, cheap immigration. Not only can they do virtue signalling by welcoming it but they don’t suffer the disadvantages (except extra tax, which they have not so far associated with it) but they get huge benefits: cheap plumbers, builders, gardeners, cleaners etc.
Those who have suffered have been the poorer in society.
In short mass imigration was meant to be good for us all because of the unqualitifiable benefits of multi-culturalism. Just think of all your friends who live in calm neighbourhoods who rave about the new Turkish restaurant or the dishy Lithuanian waiter (or waitress). That was about the level of their analysis. They never experienced the run-down, over crowded near slums in which many of the ghettos are situated.
No theory could possibly claim a net benefit from mass immigration of people with low skills, expecting low incomes and with limited English or knowledge of British cultural norms. Most of the newcomers cannot even afford to live here without subsidy (housing, NHI, schools, trains, etc) let alone contribute towards the use of the infrastructure acquired over centuries.
It has been estimated that the per capita cost of roads, hospitals, schools, the justice system (sic) and all the rest of social paraphenalia we all share would be about £250k. Clearly a Bangladeshi or Nigerian on minimu wage and in receipt of social housing and in-work benefits could never in their lifetime make any contribution to infrastructure.
So what has happened. To a small degree the rest of us have funded, through taxes or our responsibility for government debt, the modest expansion of the capacity of all the above. But the main cost to all the pre-existing population has been sharing the resources so we have to queue or we just don’t get the use of them: NHS, schools, roads etc etc.
And yet, the Conservative are as committed to continuing mass immigration just as much as Labour, LibDems and SNP. It is clear from what all of them say and how their policies are constructed, they have complete contempt for the established population. They do not think we are worthy and the sooner they can replace us the better for them.
There has been a proliferation of chicken / fast food shops with literally sickening poor food hygiene scores over the years. Looking at the scores and how long they are allowed to remain in business is horrifying. All in the name of cultural enrichment, I suppose.
It’s called “Contamination Jihad”.
There was an article yesterday somewhere about the latest plan to “diversify the concept of Cockneys”, to include all the Third World Invaders, particularly Muslim Bangladeshis, who drove the English Cockneys from their homes and livelihoods, turning their pubs into mosques, their markets into alien bazaars, and erecting sculptures of hijabs as street ornaments.
All this happened after Sir Winston Churchill promised the Cockneys, who had suffered so much during WW2, that they would have “broad, sunlit uplands” after the war.
I remember a real “Cockney Sparrow” who said that, when he and his mates were continuing the charity-collecting traditions of the Pearly Kings & Queens, even the poorest Cockney would donate as much as he could, but the only people who refused to give a penny were from the Indian Subcontinent.
The Office for Budget Responsibility should be scrapped. It is a quango that was expressly set up to check up on and control our elected government.
It is part of the current trend away from democracy and towards government by unelected bureaucrats.
And to top it all, its forecasting record is risible.
Excellent article by Will Jones.
Does anyone have a link to the IFS report? The Telegraph article is behind a paywall but I doubt it has a link – mainstream media rarely do. All I kind find on the IFS web site is an interview from June last year.