Lady Hallett, Chair of the U.K. COVID-19 Inquiry has not had a good week. Lord Frost, Professor Heneghan, Dr. Jefferson and Fraser Nelson are among the commentators and witnesses who, to borrow a phrase much loved by Angela McLean, the Government’s Chief Scientific Officer, have effectively accused her of being something of a f***wit. Not a phrase, you understand, that I’d use myself.
One could well imagine that had Lady Hallett been chairing the 1912 Titanic disaster Inquiry, she would have focused all efforts on the decisions pertaining to the alignment or otherwise of deckchairs, before, during and after the sinking. Can anyone watching any part of the inquiry’s proceedings think they’ve learnt anything at all about the pandemic? A masterclass in obfuscation it may be, illuminating it certainly isn’t.
Spare a thought then for Lord Brailsford, the almost forgotten Chairman of the Scottish COVID-19 Inquiry, who, by the end of September, what with room bookings, the hefty fees of Edinburgh lawyers, plus his own, not inconsiderable remuneration, has managed to rack up £8,945,000 of spend (at the current rate of burn they’ll be well north of £10 million as I write) looking into the many aspects of the Covid pandemic in Scotland.
Of course, the reason pandemics are noteworthy at all is because they lead to an unfortunate level of excess deaths. In the absence of excess deaths, who would care? We don’t remember the annual outbreak of the common cold every winter because it doesn’t much kill anyone. We do remember the flu outbreak of 1919 and the Black Death because they killed so many.
Figure 1 is a chart I’ve copied from National Records of Scotland analysis of winter deaths. I’ve indicated in red some of the more notable pandemics that have occurred during the 70 or so years covered. The Asian flu pandemic in 1957-8, the memorable Hong Kong flu of 1968-9. In 1999-2000 there was a widespread flu outbreak; along with many of my colleagues I caught it myself, it was a nasty bug.
Who can forget the BBC minor news story published on November 30th 2018 concerning the flu outbreak of the prior winter that the authorities retrospectively discovered had killed over 50,000 people, relative to summer mortality levels? Not dissimilar to the number who officially died in the Covid waves of 2020. Yet in 2017-18 no one really noticed, because it wasn’t on the BBC every night.
Looking at Figure 1, following each pandemic deaths reverted to the mean the following year. But not this time. Despite Covid carrying off the vulnerable elderly, deaths have continued to increase.
The slightly awkward fact for Lord Brailsford and the SNP Government in Scotland is that as the current inquiry grinds ever on, deaths in 2023 are even higher than at the height of the Covid shenanigans.
The Scottish Inquiry is looking at the ‘pandemic’ period from January 1st 2020 to December 31st 2022. In setting up this time-limited period it was, we assume, presumed that deaths would have fallen back to their pre-pandemic level when the inquiry got under way, but not a bit of it.
Figure 3 is taken from the U.K. Government’s Coronavirus Dashboard. Towards the left hand side it shows the April 2020 and December-January 2020-21 peak Covid deaths in Scotland.
Recent data released by National Records Scotland include all-cause deaths in four-month periods: December-March, April-July and August-November.
Prior to April 2020 there were 297 registered Covid deaths in Scotland. During the period April-July there were 3,916 Covid deaths. This figure was exceeded by deaths during the December-March period of 2020/21 when 4,186 Covid deaths were registered. Figure 4 lays out the total Covid deaths in Scotland in each four-month period.
Surely, these pandemic Covid deaths must have pushed up the ‘all-cause’ deaths in Scotland? Who can forget the daily news-conferences when the daily toll would be read out as we seemingly headed towards Armageddon?
Well, figure 5 shows the Covid deaths (the blue line near the bottom of the chart), and the all-cause deaths (the red line at the top of the chart) totalled for each four month period.
And, what a surprise it is. Deaths during the December-March period of 2022-23, a period when Covid had all but disappeared, during one of the mildest winters on record, a winter with no significant flu outbreaks, there were more deaths than in any of the ‘pandemic’ periods.
Why is the Scottish Government spending millions of pounds to find out why more deaths weren’t averted during the pandemic period when they aren’t addressing the subject of excess deaths now when deaths are even higher?
Perhaps if you’re interested in the answer to this question you could ask your MSP. I’m sure Lord Brailsford and his chums would be delighted to follow up the current inquiry with yet another looking at “what actions, if any, taken during the pandemic period on Jan 1st 2020 to Dec 31st 2022 had any consequence on excess deaths in 2023?”
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Never…not enough people are aware of the situation because, unlike the scam, it isn’t being reported on every day by the magic box in the corner of the room…
I’m still listening to people talking about getting Convid and flu jabs on the same day!! … in some States in America they are still trying to add the quacksines to the childhood vaccination list…!
So many people are still utterly ignorant of any problems.
Even if there was an argument that the vaccines have not caused what is happening (I don’t believe that, but let’s say we give them the benefit of the doubt)..then there is still enough evidence to stop the treatments..even if it’s based only on the fact that no one can talk about long-term adverse events with any certainty…?
…..until the Government, and the NHS admit the problem, and stop the vaccines…it will continue…and I don’t think they are going to do that anytime soon..it’s a world wide scam, and no one wants to break cover first….
Correct, not a chance, not yet! all involved need to be given time to retire or spend time with their families first so they can escape all culpability!
Our government is complicit Mrs Gums and you know it. There will be no big reveal from HMG.
That’s the problem – people aren’t aware. The ladies at one of my exercise classes were all complaining because they were having trouble booking their joint covid and flu jabs at our local surgery. Not one ounce of hesitation about the advisability of it. Nearly everyone I know who has had these jabs has subsequently been ill, but, you know, that just means it’s working, they claim. I have given up saying anything as I just get a side eye and the subject is changed.
Same with my excercise group where they keep catching ‘Covid’ even though they must have had 6 plus jabs if you count the flu jabs and still it is that group that are unwell.
I did remind one group that these were still experimental and not to risk their children & grandchildren as their risk from the jabs was greater than their risk from Covid. Yet I am the one who is treated as mad.
In my workplace, already there have been quite a few “I had my Covid vaccine yesterday and now I’m unwell” type emails to teams. And these are very fit, healthy and well-paid professionals. The question on why they are still partaking in this farce, is the question I can never ask.
Covid jab take up may be falling away with health workers. This is encouraging if somewhat rather belated. UK Column were discussing this after a viewer of the podcast produced an official Welsh Health Authority letter from a top honcho addressed to all line managers stating that the authority were dismayed at the insufficient percentage of their employees failing to be jabbed and the line managers need to address the matter.
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/a-tale-of-two-professors/
Dr Ros Jones over at TCW ripping apart the Hallett pantomime.
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/bidens-usa-economic-and-geopolitical-collapse-islamic-enemy-at-us-border/
The United States in terminal decline.
I saw Steve Kirsch’s post yesterday on X, stating that Pfizer hid 79% of the deaths during its “vaccine” trial with BioNTech in order to meet the criteria to be granted Emergency Use Authorisation.
There is no depth to which the charlatans will not stoop to push their poison; there is no punishment too harsh once they eventually end up in the dock.
The traducement and gaslighting of Maddie de Garay cannot be an isolated event. Volunteered, jabbed, became violently ill, now fairly immobile with colostomy. Consent form made clear that any medical issues would be dealt with but she was dropped like a tonne of hot bricks by Pfisser (or Moderna, I forget)
Last week I visited with my niece, an actuary with a firm that provides term life insurance and some executive life insurance policies. I asked about excessive deaths. She said the excess was definitely an issue and immediately opened to a page on her laptop depicting her firm’s stats. All age groups her firm covered had increases in excess deaths, the highest being over 200%. She said cancer deaths were up, “probably from lack of screening during the pandemic,” but then she listed especially high increases in types such as brain cancer, for which there is no screening. I asked if her firm was worried financially, and she said that they have plenty of reserves (why if the pandemic was so deadly?). The firm can’t raise rates because of high competition in the industry. Hers, however, will start to be more choosy with policy renewals or new customers, such as by rejecting someone with two car accidents, whereas now two is acceptable, and by insisting on more health screenings. I pointed out that with many cancers, such as colon, screenings don’t improve life expectancy; patients just know they have cancer for longer. Also, I pointed out that their customers should be in peak health, with good jobs and access to good healthcare, so these excess deaths are very odd. I really would have liked a few minutes to analyze her stats, but I could only look over her shoulder. She’s a new mother who took at least one booster during her pregnancy, so I was not going to bring up the vaccines, though I wonder if insurance firms have discussed the issue and will be including vaccination in their cause for policy rejection. Ed Dowd recently pointed out that many insurance firms mandated the jab for their workers, so they’re caught between bankruptcy and lawsuits from their workers if they themselves bring up vaccination as a cause of these excess deaths.
The other side of the coin is that pension schemes use actuary figures re life expectancy to assess their long term liability, thus the level of contributions required by the current workers enrolled in the scheme. In recent years, some of them have been concerned about rising life expectancy – I wonder if they’ll be more relaxed about it now?
Not only are excess deaths significant but so are increases in disabilities that have been noted worldwide, including the UK. In the UK, are pension schemes related to the disability payment system? In the US, private pensions have become rare and mainly unionized or government workers are in pension systems now. Workers rely on Social Security, which pays out to retirees (but not to their families upon death) and to the disabled. So, it’s a “win” for the Government if someone dies at age 65, only claiming benefits for a short time or maybe not at all if he was waiting to collect a higher benefit. If someone is disabled and unable to work, Social Security not only not gets contributions but has to pay out to him for the rest of his life. I’m not sure if the increase in deaths will counteract the increase in disabilities, but I’m sure the Government will increase contributions, decrease payments, or increase retirement age in its hunger for more money. Yes, the US is in terminal decline as pointed out in the comments today. Interestingly, “scheme” in the US is used perjoratively as unlawful or dodgy (a word Americans don’t use but should).
There are still two main private sector scheme types in the UK (https://www.gov.uk/pension-types ), but I think traditional final salary ones (like the one that pays me) are relatively rare c.f. years ago. At present, the Treasury is still steadily raising the state pension age, because they have been concerned about increasing life expectancy.
The Treasury must be content about falling life expectancy, although they don’t mention it in the annual budget etc!
So Scotland has the same a***-covering, irrelevant pantomime.
Interesting data NIck, many thanks for collating them. One thing that struck me, that you didn’t comment upon, was the fact that there were at least 11 instances between 1950-2000 when Dec-Mar all cause deaths (Figure 1) were above those during this once in a lifetime pandemic (Figure 5).
We certainly are in a post-modern world where inconvenient facts can be ignored !
From my MP t’other day
“Dear Stuart,
Thank you for contacting me about the rise in excess deaths and a debate held in Parliament on 20 October 2023.
Turning to the substance of the debate held, you note, excess deaths…have increased in the last year. There are several reasons for this such as high flu prevalence, the ongoing challenges of COVID-19, a strep A outbreak, and conditions such as heart disease, diabetes and cancer.
Extensive independent research shows that COVID-19 vaccines are extremely successful at preventing deaths. Each COVID-19 vaccine was assessed by teams of scientists and clinicians and all potential vaccines must meet the robust standards of quality, safety and efficacy set by the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) before they are approved for use. Vaccines save lives and have allowed us to reclaim the liberties that we were forced to forfeit over the course of the pandemic.
Serious side effects are rare, however, given the hundreds of millions of doses administered across the UK. Infection from COVID-19 without vaccine protection remains more dangerous than getting the vaccine itself.”
…this is what we’re up against.
Love to all
What a useless Next Tuesday.
Yep. Usual government hand-out.
I’m wondering whether I can face composing another email about the WHO treaty and amendments to health regs. It’ll do no good but at least I will have tried.