COVID-19 infections in the U.K. have dropped to their lowest level for nearly a year, according to the latest data from the Office for National Statistics Infection Survey. Prevalence in England appears to be flattening out, but it is rising in Scotland, according to ONS data up to September 5th. ITV News has more.
Some 881,200 people in private households are estimated to have had coronavirus in the week to September 5th, according to the Office for National Statistics.
That’s down 7% on the previous week and is the lowest U.K.-wide total since the week to September 25th 2021, when the number stood at 837,800.
It’s possible the U.K. is starting to see the affect of fresh booster vaccines, which have been offered to vulnerable people.
Recently, Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the chief of the World Health Organisation, said the end of the pandemic was “almost” in sight.
However, the downward trend in some parts of the country is uncertain, with increased numbers in Scotland.
It’s unclear why the trend would be due to the spring boosters in over-75s, since it is not restricted to that age group.
However, more up-to-date data from the ZOE Covid symptom study show that in the past two weeks infections in Scotland have already begun falling again, while in England and Wales they are now rising. The ZOE data also show that infections have risen in the over-75s at least as much as among other adults, casting doubt on ITV News‘s suggestion that the boosters are responsible for reducing infections.
The rise at the moment is concentrated largely in children, which is little surprise at the start of the school term.
Scottish children returned to school on August 17th, which presumably explains that country’s recent rise. The fact that infections in Scotland already seem to be falling again suggests that the outbreak may be short-lived, possibly owing to the high levels of natural immunity now present in the population and especially in schoolchildren. The UKHSA doesn’t provide data on antibodies-from-infection in under-17s, but the data for other age groups show that over 80% of 17-29 year olds in England have natural immunity, a percentage that is likely to be higher still in under-17s.
If Covid can’t get going again this autumn, will we see the return of flu as the dominant winter virus? Or is this just a hiatus before the next surge?
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Apart from a very short period in spring 2020, which would probably have been detected and reported on, I can’t see much evidence of anything unusual of significance happening. If “covid” had not had such a large advertising budget, no-one outside specialists in the field would have talked about it beyond the odd report/remark about a bad flu season.
Quite. One would assume that all other respiratory viruses that we’ve co-existed with forever had ceased to exist. Also, don’t ask me why but I happened upon this. Perhaps I’m being dim but where is the mention of Coronavirus here?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/respiratory-virus-circulation-england-and-wales/six-major-respiratory-viruses-reported-from-phe-and-nhs-laboratories-sgss-in-england-and-wales-between-week-1-2009-and-week-23-2019
Indeed. Not only Covid, but all of the other coronaviruses (i.e. common cold coronaviruses) are also missing from the chart as well. That could not have been just an oversight.
I wonder what the graphs looked like when we just had ‘a cold’…
Or had they ran those PCR samples at a more appropriate cycle threshold, which I believe was in the vicinity of 25 Cts, as opposed to 40+ Cts.
https://swprs.org/the-trouble-with-pcr-tests/
I can recall many times where a cold was ‘going around’ and many people we were in contact with would catch it, deal with it and think nothing much about it. It was literally just ‘going around’. We had no idea if 10 people had it or 10,000 people, and it mattered little. Lemsip at night, two Paracetamol and off to work in the morning. Why do we have teams of statisticians churning out graphs for us to see. I don’t need a graph. Stop it..!
Well-said. Especially for kids and young people, this virus is really just a little pest for the most part now.
Correct. I too fail to see the need to even be talking about this all it does is help keep the frenzy alive and of course the experimental clot shots going. Madness pure madness.
So true. PCR testing at such high cycle numbers is blatantly misleading, if not utterly fraudulent.
Indeed, these graphs are precisely what one would see for the common cold this time of year (beginning of school year). That is, if cold viruses were ever tested for with anywhere near the same zeal as they do for Covid (which, much like the old coronaviruses that came before it, has basically become the new common cold these days, especially for kids).
Here’s something on the effect of boosters and jabs in general in the 65+ year olds. I compare weekly deaths working age 20-65 and retired age 65+. On the chart, I have added some jab milestones. (Note that the last point is for a week with a bank holiday and needs to be considered in conjunction with the next week or two).
You can keep reports on covid ‘testing’. The only testing that does is to test my patience with adherence to this bogus indicator.
These ONS number are still meaningless bullshit. They’re meaningless because Sars-CoV2 RNA fragments detected is not a medical diagnosis of anything. And they’re bullshit because Sars-CoV2 RNA fragments aren’t randomly distributed among the population, hence, testing a random subset of it bears no inherent relation to the actual distribution of Sars-CoV2 RNA fragments among the population. As they’re also not statically distributed among the population, the ONS numbers would even be bullshit even if the original property was randomly distributed.
Isn’t about time for another article on how melting sea ice doesn’t reliably correlate with the number of children born in Cardiff or some other plainly unrelated issues like Vaccination doesn’t preven infection!?
“Covid infections”! Oh dear, Will Jones using the terminology of the enemy again. Using the fraudulent term “vaccines” is bad enough when talking about these novel Covid jabs. Now do I really have to run around the interweb ( actually, no need. It’s probably all on here! ) citing studies which show that a positive PCR is hardly evidence of ‘infection’? That many hypochondriacs who have zero symptoms but test positive using a hyper-sensitive tool which could find any insignificant fragments when amplified high enough and that was never intended for use in diagnostics is proof that somebody has an infection or is infectious? You might have at least said “positive test results” as opposed to “infections”, Will. Disappointing.
Plus there is some evidence that under UV light, the result of the ‘test’ is predetermined….
Oh really? I haven’t heard of that before. I heard something about them being unable to distinguish Covid from flu but I don’t know if there’s actual truth in that. It would be a handy explanation of what happened to the flu though.
What is COVID?
Is it a life threatening pulmonary disease?
Or is it a mild to moderate cold?
Well it certainly ain’t an emergency, therefore having these bivalent boosters authorized under yet another EUA is really just a massive p*ss-take and milking this cash-cow of a scamdemic for all that it’s worth. Talk about corruption and greed…”emergency” my arse!
As time goes on, it is becoming less and less like the former, and more and more like the latter.
How do they even know the numbers?
I wonder that too. In Scotland most of the figures are a result of modelling. There are allegedly people who are monitored but I’ve never met anyone.
I’m amazed at the number of people who are still testing themselves whenever they get sniffles. I imagine they see themselves as virtuous members of society.
>In Scotland most of the figures are a result of modelling.
Seriously? I thought we’d put the accuracy of modelling well and truly to bed?
Accuracy is not what is wanted, it seems.
A little bump in the beginning of the school year, that burns out within a couple of weeks, basically.
Children acting as a hub of infections at the start of the school year? Quelle surprise – not!
I suppose there will be a massive surge of alleged ‘infections’ over the coming weeks due to all those people attending the events associated with the death of Queen Elizabeth.
The ‘poor’ corrupted NHS will beseech for the mandates / restrictions to be reintroduced to help it cope – badly, as usual – with the
predictableannual ‘winter crisis’…The return of our old frenemy, the flu, has already happened in Australia. So the USA and UK (and the entire northern hemisphere) should be next as the seasons change.
conversation about so-called ‘covid’ is often much like arguing about how many angels might fit on the head of a pin. such conversation is often semantically ludicrous, because ‘covid’ cannot be diagnosed clinically – there are no pathognomonic features; and because the ‘covid’ test commonly used for diagnosis, the PCR, is usually fraudulently upcycled to a point where most ‘positives’ are false; and even genuine PCR ‘positives’ cannot distinguish between actual infectious viral illness, and random nucleic acid sequences originating from any old goat or papaya (RIP John Magufuli, Hero Of The Resistance). when conversation about ‘covid’ refers to covid data with no reference to these issues, these fundamental frauds degrade the probity of all such conversation, in accordance with Lord Denning’s 1956 judgement that fraud vitiates everything it touches.
“…but the data for other age groups show that over 80% of 17-29 year olds in England have natural immunity…” (My emphasis)
Do they really mean natural immunity as in having had Covid and having produced antibodies without any recourse to vaccination? If so why are we still being encouraged to have the vaccines?