Death rates from Covid are lower than ever, according to an analysis by Professor Carl Heneghan and Dr Jason Oke carried out for the Mail on Sunday. The IFR is now ~0.0333%, similar to seasonal influenza.
Experts say there is little need to fear a recent surge in cases as fewer than one in 3,000 infected people now dies from coronavirus – with the rate even lower for the vaccinated.
The analysis of official data by Oxford University shows the ‘infection fatality rate’ has dropped about 30-fold since the pandemic began due to a combination of vaccine protection and naturally acquired infection.
Professor Carl Heneghan of Oxford’s Centre for Evidence Based Medicine, who carried out the analysis with statistician Jason Oke, said: “There have been an astonishing number of Covid infections so far this year, but deaths have come down.
“Now we are looking at an infection fatality rate for Covid of around one in 3,000 which is comparable with seasonal influenza. That’s why the Government is right not to be concerned and has come to the conclusion that there is no need for restrictions.”
Worth reading in full.
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“France make “covid jab” mandatory for sports stars”. (MailOnline)
This one in 20,000 to 30,000 risk of death from taking these experimental “vaccines” – is this per dose, or is it the same risk however many you have, or does it go from one in 20,000 to one in 10,000 etc. for a second dose, or does the risk accumulate with each dose, but less than a doubling of the total risk for a doubling of the doses? It occurs to me that if the risk is one in 20,000 per shot, your total risk of death at the French rate (one dose/3 months) would, after ten years, be something like one in 500 – quite a serious cause of concern, especially for young people at low risk who haven’t the slightest chance of dying from a virus – or sportsmen who have to take this medication..
I wonder if the French government will look rather silly if a number of their sportsmen die from this in the coming years (unless they elect a more sensible president next year)?
With four doses each year you’d be lucky to be still alive after a dozen spikes. There’s no way the increase in risk from mRNA spikings that cause healthy cells to go viral would be merely additive like that. Cf. being kicked in the stomach.
So is that “UK population of 25 million in 2025” prediction possibly plausible then?
My mind struggles to accept the possibility that such a thing could happen, but I suppose that doesn’t mean it’s not a true possibility.
Where is the 25m figure from?
I have the Deagel figures predicting a British population of 14m in 2025 (Spain 48m, Belgium 11m, USA 99m, France 39m, Germany 28m, Ireland 1.3m). Not sure whether these are updated figures. Perhaps they said 25m before? I’ve been meaning to do an analysis to get a better handle on which parts of the world they are saying will get especially badly whacked.
For more oomph they should publish confidence intervals
There was another post about it yesterday. I may be wrong about the 25 million figure.
But yes it was referring to Deagel.
That was probably me and those were the last figures I have seen – within the last couple of weeks but I’m blowed if I know where I saw them.
No, it isn’t plausible.
The professional athletes are just the latest in a forthcoming long line of occupations where the stabs will be madatory. Evil comes in small steps.
Yes, there was a theory that they are being affected particularly as they put their hearts under greater stress – the “canary in the coalmine”
If their hearts really do get progressively and remorselessly further damaged with each dose, then the French government’s latest wheeze (ahem) is a huge concern.
We’re already seeing a crazy number of athletes having heart problems. If they start forcing all of them to have regular boosters it’s going to be a little hard to brush the problem under the carpet as “mere coincidence”.
If they all have it where’s the comparison?
Hence the compulsion.
Just like the coercion to get the clot shots.
I believe all sports people should ask themselves do I want to risk getting a flu like illness or suffering a career ending heart attack. Most sports people won’t suffer any health problems just like most mothers never had a deformed baby after taking the drug thalidomide. But do sports people really want to take the risk of vaccination when it could end your career or even life.
“.. and that space in the Olympics opening parade is where the French athletes would be if they hadn’t moved…”
“Politicians are out of the depth all over Europe, sticking to a failed vaccination strategy to fight the pandemic”
https://twitter.com/thelucyjohnston/status/1473378510291021830
– Watch an extract from Toby’s two-part interview for Sketch Notes on a Pandemic
We should continue to get out there and wake people up.
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Silly?
Murderous.
I feel the most sorry for Christian Eriksson….after probably (likely) having the first jabs and having an adverse reaction, he won’t now dare to be “fully vaccinated”, so he can continue to play football (amazing player), but his choices will include only playing home matches in Florida or South Dakota.
Could be worse though….could be dead.
One 2yr old, One NYT virtue signaller and Four footballers all made the kill list over the weekend.
Links?
One per post pls.
You could always do your own work.
Wait till we get the next fully subscribed Great North Run or London Marathon….60,000 people, mostly jabbed presumably, not all what you could be described as top level athletes, all putting their hearts under enormous pressure.
One of the years i ran the GNR, (maybe 2004 or 2005??), 5 people died of cardiac issues and there was a massive outcry about “safety issues”…..can’t see as few as that next time given the rate that super fit footballers etc are having difficulties.
“Covidianism not a religion” (Times muppets).
I sometimes wonder…
If it isn’t a religion it’s certainly a cult. Religion with all the good bits taken out.
Closest to Moloch worship it seems to me!
It’s definitely a cult – and like most cults it encourages the ‘true believers’ to ostracise those who don’t follow the cult’s rituals (face nappies, spikings, testing every five minutes, etc).
I wonder how Sarah Knapton, “science editor” at the Torygraph, feels about the comms team at the Department of Health writing such shite and putting her name on it.
She appears as though she doesn’t know what Covid means, believing it’s a virus. I’ve given up reading such crap. I might catch something from it.
Then again, maybe she doesn’t know what Covid means. She was the Chief District Reporter at the Newcastle Evening Chronicle. What did she get her degree in, assuming she got one?
The Telegraph started as a liberal paper, though the Morning Post who they merged with in the 1930’s were more conservative (but only Bill Deedes I think stayed on from them).
They do have some genuinely conservative writers today, but also more liberal people like Boris Johnson.
I’ve been informed that this dystopian monstrosity is from Liverpool today.
This is a living nightmare.
The Liverpool Echo describes the monitors as “hi-tech backpack screens”.
Who is employing these units? Isn’t much of Liverpool city centre owned by the Grosvenor Group, the vehicle for the Duke of Westminster?
The writing is almost illegible, in small white type partly on a yellow background. But the image is striking, as is the fact that these guys are walking up and down with such equipment. I wonder whether there’s sound.
Thanks for confirming. I don’t know about ‘hi-tech’ (it’s just a screen attached to something that looks vaguely like a toddler car seat).
I’d bet a ten pound note that it has speakers/sound. The authoritarian bastards wouldn’t be able to resist barking orders at the public.
The images are very 1984’ish.
Your tax money at work.
Quiet serf, you exist solely to be extorted from.
Know your place, get jabbed!
Is it the film set (complete with dystopian mask) for a remake of this?
Nineteen Eighty-Four (1954) – video Dailymotion
Dear God.
Is it too much to ask the Nudge Unit if they can stop pushing the paranoid and pessimistic, and start nudging us to positivity and contentment.?
The “you will own nothing, but be happy” contentment? Coming soon!
“Did we say ‘be happy’? Oops. Mistake.” – Klaus Overlord Corp, Inc. (2031)
What we meant was “be happy that you’re not in prison/reeducation camp yet”.
If you can coerce jabs you can coerce anti-depressants.
What he meant was “you will own nothing and we will be happy”.
Is there a site that publishes numbers for how many current infections with SARSCoV2 there are likely to have been each day, using at least some kind of semi-reasonable basis for estimation?
Or is that more than any “science journalist’s” job is worth?
“Case” figures on their own are worth almost nothing. Variables affecting that ridiculous statistic include
They should at the very least report the number of positive tests per thousand.
I seem to remember there was a big change in positive tests numbers relating to the school terms.
By the power of division,(cases/tests) I have calculated that 1:15, to 1:20 tests are positive, or we might say 14:15, or 19:20 are negative. Why are we still doing this outside hospital.? Isn’t it plain that a lot of people are testing ‘just because’ and costing us a bloody fortune to find out they don’t have a cold.
The Spectator Covid Tracker | The Spectator has the % of tests which are positive listed with a couple of days lag. Most detailed easily accessible information.
I believe every phone in the UK got a ‘Get YOUR BOOSTER NOW’ text from our beloved Govt.
If you got one you can forward it to OFCOM’s unsolicited spam compliaints number on 7726 !!!
They’ll even send you a thank you message back for your trouble.
What do they do about people who don’t have phones? I know someone who has neither mobile nor landline – he must have a peaceful life.
Letters in blue envelopes, probbaly! I got some of them earlier in the year in addition to the regular test messages.
They don’t bother ringing landlines.
I didn’t get one
Me neither.
We must be special.
I haven’t received one.
Blocked and reported to 3 via the handset, didn’t know about ofcom at the time, good spot.
Not quite. At least one – I never received one, even though I have a mobile account with the same number for 25 years or more. Selective about which organisations I supply it to, though. Not only that, it’s only used for emergency outgoing calls, in the main. Haven’t received related emails either – although they could have been quarantined on the server and wiped out after a few days; who knows.
It’s a sick world.
I am going through the process of ‘self-isolating’ despite my contempt for this disgusting law, as some other family members think it is a good idea, although I am pleased to say less and less each day.
My teenage son is furious that he also has to, and quite rightly so. He’s being asked to give up the last few days of his holiday when he is going into GCSEs in the coming year and a half.
The middle class, middle/ high income, typically males (my demographic) in control of the country hold the young in contempt – 24 million under 30s have had to waste 2 years of their lives to satisfy the lazy and nasty pronouncements of Whitty, Vallance and Ferguson – time they will never get back – whilst these individuals compete amongst themselves to pronounce ever more extreme scenarios with no empirical evidence and no sense checking. Their intellectual laziness has condemned tens of millions to a 2 year imprisonment and, until we fight back, this could continue. The governments sick marketing campaign led one of my 9 year old’s son’s friends to ask if he was going to die when he got COVID. The answer is of course no, he is around 25 times as likely to be killed by a car, and even that’s a negligible (1 in 40,000) risk.
We have a virus that kills the old, and even then not in huge numbers – in 2020 162 of every thousand over 80s died, in 2018 it was 149. Yet because of this we have trampled on the lives of the coming generation. Pretty much anyone under 50 is safe and there is a minute risk up to 70, but that hasn’t stopped a total lack of proportion in the response from these people.
Even worse, these restrictions haven’t even achieved the goals they set out to – Sweden where there were relatively few restrictions, and Florida in the US, performed no worse in terms of excess deaths than many comparable countries. In fact the darling of the lockdown enthusiasts, Peru, has done far worse than any other country through this pandemic.
And there are the arrogant doctors on twitter, probably good doctors but poor statisticians, who remove you from their list when you point out real facts and real numbers, ones produced by the ONS or the Institute of Actuaries for example.
As I go through this shambolic process of self – isolation, more appropriate for a disease rare and highly dangerous than one widespread and with an IFR around 0.1%, I was watching Papillon with my teenage son – his comments were that this was a highly appropriate film to watch during our imprisonment.
The time has come to fight back.
Mass testing and self isolation for a mild, highly transmissible virus threatens to cripple the country. This is insanity and should stop immediately (but won’t). I myself have never once self isolated, I guess I’m one of the lucky ones.
That Mail article some weeks back by Stick At Nought Hancock (inaugural Union Jackass of the Year) was one of the most ignorant, malicious things I have ever read.
Don’t forget about Belarus, which on its own demolishes the case for lockdowns. Peru at one point recalculated the way they counted “covid” deaths, leading to an approximate doubling of their figures. I never did get to the bottom of that. I suspect the number who actually died of “covid” will be considerably lower. Then again, the same could be said of a lot of places.
Well start by ending your self-isolation.
‘I am going through the process of ‘self-isolating’ despite my contempt for this disgusting law, as some other family members think it is a good idea…’
‘My teenage son is furious that he also has to, and quite rightly so. He’s being asked to give up the last few days of his holiday when he is going into GCSEs in the coming year and a half.’
‘As I go through this shambolic process of self – isolation, more appropriate for a disease rare and highly dangerous than one widespread and with an IFR around 0.1%, I was watching Papillon with my teenage son – his comments were that this was a highly appropriate film to watch during our imprisonment.’
‘The time has come to fight back.’
I’m baffled. In the rest of your post you make many good points, but the above seems bizarre.
‘The time has come to fight back.’
Well, unless I’m missing something, to repeat what ‘huxleypiggles’ says above, you can start by taking you and your son out of the draconian and dystopian ‘self-isolation’. It is not merely absurd and tyrannical but it is unlawful.
Problem is Laurence, you could have written this 18 months ago but nothing has changed since.
When our very large 6th Form College first went back after lockdown one last year it was perfectly plain that older teenagers had absolutely no respect for either Covid or lockdown regulations and I was hoping they would lead us out of this given the abject failure of their elders to do so.
But for one reason or another they soon buckled down and complied just like everyone else.
I have not had a positive test, because I have not had a test. Ergo, I have no need to isolate. See how that works..?
Why are you isolating yourself?
There have been:
Yet, Dr June Raine of the UK’s Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency says:
In relation to the 1,822 vaccine deaths, the UK’s Medicines & Healthcare products Regulatory Agency have refused a FOI request from UKColumn News. Through this request, UKColumn News were seeking to identify specifics about the people that died as a result of the adverse reactions.
The reason the MHRA gave for their refusal was that the FOI request would cost them over £600 to fulfil and therefore was too expensive.
Boris Johnson claims:
Figures from the UK Health Security Agency show the number of people in England alone that remain unvaccinated is 12 million.
Well blow me down, another apparent liar.
What I do know is that no healthy person aged 15-17 has died of “covid”. And that there have been adverse reactions and apparently even deaths from these experimental “vaccines” among teenagers
Correct me if I’m wrong, but didn’t I hear somewhere that the number of vaccine deaths may be under reported by a factor of five, maybe even as much as a factor of ten?
Previous studies on under-reporting had shown it was at least by a factor of 10, but most recent calculations by someone ( professional statistician and scientific? ) quoted by Steve Hirsch (?) said deaths and adverse events probably being under reported by a factor of 41 ….
( not a typo ) 41!
Add to that the mirage of relative effectiveness of the jabs…
On an absolute basis the jabs have failed! As fewer died in the placebo group (then they were hastily jabbed after!)
Posting this link again because it’s such a worryingly explicit sign of the increasing push to scapegoat and exclude and “other” the unvaccinated, the sort of attitude that renders us “less than”, that eventually/rapidly justifies inhumane measures/treatment of a group. And which uses outright falsehoods to support its argument; the wrong/inflated figures for unvaxxed hospitalisations, and equally “boosted” figures for the number of vaxxed, making us look like a tiny minority ( less than 10% ) rather than a significant chunk ( 20% or more ) of the population.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/28/unvaccinated-uk-covid-dilemma-vaccine-refusers
Quite right in reposting this. It is an absolutely abhorrent and disgusting piece of reporting. I won’t call it journalism because it damn well isn’t.
The current editor of The Groan – I can’t be arsed to look up this oxygen thief’s name, along with the writer, need to be added to the condemned list.
Are these objects really part of humanity?
FFS.
Yes, just as we the unvaxxed are.
“The current editor of The Groan – I can’t be arsed to look up this oxygen thief’s name, along with the writer, need to be added to the condemned list.”
I think they join a vast long array of people haters who previously revealed the evil behind progressive-authoritarianism.
What more would you expect from the UK’s version of Pravda?
Not occurred to them to ask us, then?
The reason is quite clear in the majority of cases – most of of us who refuse do so because we don’t consider that the virus poses any great risk to us, and do not see that it justifies accepting an experimental gene-therapy injection with known and serious potential short-term side effects, and unknown long-term ones. And which also doesn’t prevent anyone from catching and spreading the virus.
But of course this isn’t given as one of the possible reasons in the quote above, naturally. They’ve got to paint us as unreasonable / ignorant / lazy in order to push their apartheid agenda.
ITEM: “South Australia brings back tough new Covid restrictions just days before New Year ” – “South Australia has recorded another spike in Covid cases as the state introduces a raft of new restrictions to combat the latest outbreak,” reports the Mail.
Just when you thought it was safe to go down to the shops again ….
Our insipid ‘Liberal’ Premier, Steven (Marshmallow) Marshall, has determined that the populace of his state are becoming too complacent about the bug, especially it’s mild-mannered Omicron variant which is not exactly living up to the SARS-CoV-2 reputation as the destroyer of worlds.
Fortunately, having recently reopened our state borders (to the double-jabbed only, naturally) with a requirement that they take numerous PCR tests after getting here (can’t be too confident in the ‘vaccines’ doing what it says on the tin, then), the queues at the testing centres have roared back into life and, guess what, they are finding more positives (either false, or non-indicative of any actual sickness or stuff like that). No one has died, needless to say.
But its enough to trigger a raft of kneejerk restrictions because of the rise in ‘cases’ and patients in hospital ‘with’ (of course, just ‘with’) Covid as Marshall and the media blather on about ‘surges’ and hospitals being ‘overwhelmed’. ‘We’ve got to swing into action to save lives’, said Marshall (‘we’ve got to be seen to be doing something that pretends to save lives because there is an election due in March next year’ being the cynical translation).
I’d like to say that all this has gone down like a bucket of cold sick with the great South Aussie public but the Covid trance is still hegemonic. There are, however, growing numbers of those who are utterly tired of the farce, which will make the state election interesting. Team Marshmallow leads the Labor ‘Opposition’ only 51% to 49% (the ‘two-party-preferred’ vote under Australia’s compulsory preferential voting system), with the 12% rooting for Independents/Other (which includes some spicy anti-lockdown/anti-mandate parties) as their first prefefence holding a strategic hand. A smart, pincipled Labor party would pounce on lockdown tiredness and cut a path to victory through the marginal electorates but ‘smart’ and ‘principled’ don’t come to mind when thinking of SA’s Labor party. Hence, Marshall’s finely calibrated tilt towards more restrictions to appease the perpetually-terrified but without going full stay-at-home lockdown which would upset his electoral base, including hospitality and other small buisness.
I have been thankful that South Aus is not Victoria but we are making a good bid to be the current title-holder for Most Covid Stupid State in Australia with Marshmallow’s latest tired old nonsense.
Phil
Your fed-up South Australian correspondent
It’s not much better on the western side either, Phil. Masky Mark went to Defcon 1 over a single case of whatever variant it was. Big Christmas/NY events killed like a bug under the heel.
Roger Cook has departed the Health portfolio for Tourism. Whether he jumped or was pushed is not known. Considering that ambulance ramping is now worse than it was when Labor took power in 2017 – and they beat the Liberals hard over it in the campaign – I wouldn’t be surprised if Cook wanted a job somewhat less stressful. Or even a whole lot less stressful. It’s not like we have tourism in WA any more.
Cook has been replaced by Amber Jade Sanderson and her CV inspires no confidence at all. Studied in the UK, her first job in Perth was media advisor to Carmen Lawrence. From there AJS moved to the United Voice union, reaching assistant state secretary before landing a seat in state parliament. Prior to becoming Health Minister she held the Climate Action portfolio.
In short, little if any real world experience. Health will be a rude awakening for her!
Thanks for the bulletin, most noble Phil.
Are your Fascist liars like ours, viz. do they report hospital admissions but not discharges, illness but not recoveries?
I think this lying-by-implication has worked very well to convince the zombies that Covid always means instant death – without ever explicitly saying so.
Hiya, Annie
No, it’s wall-to-wall ‘cases’, ‘hospitalisations’ and ‘ICUs’ down here, too. There’s no Narrative-bolstering drama in the numbers of the discharged, the recovered and those who had only ever had a mild illness anyhow. So, like Pavlov’s dogs, the mere mention of ‘case’ triggers a conditioned panic response, and Covid means near certain death. Lies of omission can be as effective as lies of commission.
Phil
Dunno if this has been posted here. More proof that this is social credit in through the back door
To Freddy Grey: The Americans opposing the vaccines are not just the “radical right-wing,” but vast numbers who have resisted the incessant propaganda, held on to common sense, drawn logical conclusions from observable experience, sought out legitimate experts’ opinions and explanations, exercised an innate urge for independence, freedom and self-preservation, and worried not about conforming. Or is this what you meant by “radical right-wing?”
Remember when mainstream journalism investigated? Went digging? Unearthed something a lot of people would rather remain forgotten?
No, me neither.
From Caldron Pool:
An article published by the Sydney Morning Herald on April 27, 2003, titled, Farce mask: It’s safe for only 20 minutes, cited then NSW Fair Trading Minister Reba Meagher who warned that distributors and traders could be prosecuted for suggesting masks offer unrealistic levels of protection from the disease.
Do we have a statement, retracement or apology from this tosser yet in light of the French case number explosion?
Taking to Twitter, Andrew Neil said: “France has had vaccine passports for some time now. It has 600,000+ Covid cases. UK has 1m+. Which part of vaccine passports don’t you get. They also encourage younger folks to be vaxxed, where UK is lagging. And, as you say, vax works.”
A. Neil has been going to the dark side for years. Now he has arrived: no loss for GB News!!
Wait, did I read that right? New Zealand has approved euthanasia for covid patients who doctors think are unlikely to survive?
What the actual fuck?
So, if this is correct, does that mean they won’t attempt to save them by further medical interventions, e.g, they turn the life support machine off; or do they put a pillow over their face, or inject them with something to “put them down”?
What a splendid way to get rid of troublesome people, eh? You’ve been speaking out about the covid con, refusing to have the magic jab, and generally bein a pain in the backside to our rulers; oh dear, you’ve got covid now, we’ve decided that you won’t survive, so it’s euthanasia for you!
Does anyone else think this is downright creepy….and criminal? Especially when the ones making the decision about survivability are the ones who were administering the treatment? Good way to cover up medical mistakes as well!
Mad. These people are mad.
These people are more than just mad. They are downright evil.
Similar crimes have been going on here with the midazolam and morphine. Just in NZ they pretend that the murder was consented. Similar thing has been going on for decades murdering HIV positive people (not AIDS) with AZT, the side-effects of which are indistinguishable from AIDS. One positive from this corona-con is that it has opened my eyes to all their other previous cons.
After 60 hospital admission for Covid is a death sentence. Get your hydroxichlorimide , ivermectin, vitamin D, and zinc and stay at home
A shiv will make the perfect belated Christmas gift for elderly Kiwis.
Get them before they get you.
Yesterday I was castigated for daring to question the terminology used by Dr Bhakdi. This was appealing to authority, why is that different to those who use Whitty or van Tamm as authority?
There are viruses that persist in parts of the body such as Ebola, these are “active” but are kept under control by the immune system. Influenza may also be present sub clinically. Measles likewise ( I still have measles antibodies some 50+ years post acute infection, therefore the virus must be present in my bloodstream).
Then there are viruses that are really latent, they change their shape in the cells they have infected, herpes viruses are the obvious example. These viruses have genes that produce proteins that mimic proteins produced by the body’s cells, thus evading the immune system.
In some people the have an inherited condition called Chromosomally integrated HHV-6, where the virus is in the telomere of every chromosome in their body, affecting approximately 0.8% of the population IIRC.
The mechanism by which they become active is not clear according to the literature of a few years ago. Herpes Simplex and Zoster are the most well known for reactivating. However Epstein Barr, which takes residence in T cells and B cells, can reactivate and is recognised by the WHO as a cancer causing virus. Cytomegalovirus is known to reactivate in patients who are mechanically ventilated in ITU for more than 5-7 days. Human herpes virus 6 & 7 causes roseola in both adults and children.
Following vaccination with the Pfizer/Moderna mRNA versions, shingles and roseola have been reported, these are genuine reactivations.
Twitter from Dec 28 2021 watch the video.
https://twitter.com/ForTheGreater13/status/1475795962006286336
When did he say this?
Pro-lockdown experts? Pro-lockdown Piltdown Man hoaxers, more like.
Just seen the following post and video describing how the UK regime is funnelling money to YouTube influencers to attack people critical of covid restrictions. Textbook stuff from Event 201, it’s been obvious since day one they have been throwing huge amounts of money at celebrities, why is none of this reported on? –
“Imagine my Shock! 6-figure a month millionaire “Marxists” whose foreign policy talking points parrot the State Department and vaccine talking points that parrot the WHO are actually funded by the establishment? Their channels algorithmically (massively) boosted while anyone that disagrees with the Deep State is silenced? Shocking!
Because BreadTube as always been brain-numbingly conformist to the establishment, it makes sense that they tolerated slime like Vaush and his defense of child porn and stated sexual fetish of admiring horse genitalia, as he spouts Neocon talking points and calls everyone tired of wars a Nazi. Makes sense they get paid by that same establishment.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GC-81f-Penc