We’re publishing a second post about today’s wildly misleading claim by the CEO of NHS England that the number of patients being admitted to hospital with COVID-19 is currently 14 times greater than it was this time last year, this one by the Daily Sceptic’s in-house doctor. He is a hardened former NHS consultant and it takes a lot to shock him – but even he was taken aback but just how inaccurate this statement was.
Earlier today, Amanda Pritchard, the CEO of the NHS, made a statement to the effect that there were currently 14 times as many patients being admitted to English hospitals with COVID compared to this time last year. The purpose of this article is not to point out that this statement is factually incorrect – it’s so obviously incorrect that there have already been plenty of other commentators running fact checks.
Rather, I aim to quantify how incorrect that statement was and consider why the person running the NHS could have made such an egregious error of fact. So far, I have not seen a formal retraction or explanation from Ms Pritchard.
Firstly, the figures as we see them on the official NHS dashboard. In graph 1 I have plotted the number of patients admitted to hospital each day and the number of diagnoses of Covid made in hospital from April to November. The brown line is 2020 and the blue line 2021. It can clearly be seen that currently there are fewer patients being admitted and diagnosed in hospital with Covid than at this time last year. The only point at which one could possibly stand up an argument that there were 14 times as many patients being admitted in 2021 compared to 2020 would be the middle of August. In mid-August 2020 there were roughly 40 patients per day being admitted to English hospitals with Covid. In mid-August 2021 there were about 650 a day – this is approximately 14 times the 2020 figure.
My guess is that someone panicking in NHS England looked at Graph 1 (which they clearly have access to) and trotted out the line that Pritchard was referring to the numbers in August, giving the pathetically mendacious excuse that “these are the latest data we have”.
For clarity, and to illustrate the degree to which the ’14 times’ statement is so deliberately misleading, Graph 2 shows the latest data relating to COVID admissions from the community. COVID admissions to English hospitals from the community have been falling day on day for the last week, mirroring the decline in community testing numbers.
Graph 3 shows the total number of Covid inpatients in English hospitals. Is that what Ms Pritchard was referring to, rather than daily admissions? If so, that doesn’t help her. There are just under 7,000 patients in English hospitals testing positive for Covid – slightly lower than this time last week. This time last year there were over 11,000. Further, it should be borne in mind that the ‘Primary diagnosis data’ published when Sajid Javid took over as Health Secretary clearly shows that the NHS has been deliberately conflating the number of patients testing positive for Covid in hospital with the number of patients in hospital suffering from acute Covid by approximately 25%. The number given as patients in hospital with acute Covid was 5,369 on November 2nd, approximately half the number of patients in hospital with Covid time last year – not 14 times as many.
I invite readers to consider the counterfactual. What would the official NHS reaction have been, had the Daily Sceptic published a piece claiming that there were currently 14 times fewer patients being admitted to hospital than at this time last year? How might the BBC have reported such a clearly false statement?
And yet, here is the link to the BBC daily Coronavirus page – five things you need to know about the coronavirus pandemic this Monday evening.
No mention on the BBC of Ms Pritchard’s interview, nor the subsequent commentary exposing the misleading nature of her assertion. From Amanda Pritchard herself there hasn’t even been a Clintonesque ‘sorry, I misspoke’ moment.
I have commented before about the misleading use of figures by the NHS and the corrosive effect such behaviour has on public trust in institutions and broadcasters. Today marks a new low.
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I think it’s easy to fall into the same echo chambers of doom and gloom. I’ve been down and dire many a times about “the current events”, whatever they were over the last 4 years…
I think in reality we’re just going through the same motions. Go outside and sit in the pub, go to the local park, chat with people living their lives. The overwhelming majority of non-internet folk really just gets on with it (and each other) perfectly fine.
Sure London is a shit hole, but the rest of us will be totally fine.
In an age where all interactions with authorities and many with companies are basically online only, it’s a safe assumption that the hypothetical majority of non-internet folk has long since ceased to exist.
That complacency is exactly how wars – it will never happen here – start.
Had you gone down the pub, the local park, and chatted with people in the late 40s and 50s and opined that within 30 years the coal mines would be closed, the UK would have no aircraft industry, or car industry, its textile and consumer electric industry would be gone, shipbuilding gone, they would call you doom and gloom merchant.
Sure. But living in a fever pitched state constantly only for the worse to happen regardless can’t end well either. History repeats itself and one can only focus on the here and now; community, family and trying to be happy is all we can do.
No ordinary Brit is “living in a fever pitched state constantly”!
Ok
The way to ensure the next generation enjoys what we enjoyed is to be ever vigilant and to remove those from power that seek to destroy the West as we know it.
Eh? Something had to be done otherwise you, and everyone else will be Dhimmis in a Muhammadan dominated state. The cowardice of us is apalling.
I think you are ignoring the issues which are real. I can understand why people do that. It is much less distressing andtakes up less time and effort.
Yes.
For ninety percent of the population everything is tickety boo but if they ever wake from the Great Denial there will be a hell of a lot of wailing and recriminations.
I get it. I’ve been close to violently enraged since Convid.
But I’m tired, boss…
Maybe.
Yes London Is a shithole .
But even elswhere things are going Downhill fast.
How? How do I get on with muhammadans who want to convert me, and my fellow countrymen into Muhammadan idiots, like them. And to lock up our women and introduce cruel punishments for medieval crimes?
We are being invaded and cannot, yet, fight back properly. Normie mindsets are why we are in such a crappy state.
It’s not just London which is a shit hole though, is it. So are Birmingham, Leicester and many other northern cities and towns …. and it’s spreading.
I live down in rural Dorset where formerly genteel Bournemouth is rapidly turning into a shit hole … and the enrichment is spreading out of the Bournemouth/Poole conurbation.
Our criminally demented rulers have replaced our formerly safe, orderly, low-crime, high-social trust society with its opposite. They did this deliberately – because the leftists hate the white working class, and the globalists (including many “Tories”) want to turn us all into interchangeable producer-consumer units who have no group loyalties. Hence, for example, the insanities of The Great Replacement, and the mass rape of our children at the hands of our rulers’ beloved population imports.
The question now is what do we do about it. My own belief is that nationalist revolution is the only way to save our people and our country.
But that’s exactly why the Communist lawyer illegally occupying the post of PM cracked down so brutally on the Patriot Protests last summer…because it was the ONLY TIME that ordinary Britons had risen up to vent their RIGHTEOUS WRATH against the deliberate destruction of their country and the murderous gang rape of their children by hostile, parasitic aliens forced upon them by successive treasonous governments.
It was the ONLY TIME, and though the Working Class Patriots were UNARMED, they were brutally crushed by the government, attacked by roving gangs of MUSLIMS ARMED WITH MACHETES, and denounced by Middle & Upper Class Britons everywhere.
Police have seized the legally-owned guns of the farmer Rupert Lowe, because of the false accusations of a Muslim with hearing problems (Rupert had said to him “I’ll cut this short” at the end of their political argument, which the Muslim with hearing problems and a penchant for Taqiyya, shrieked to police was “I’ll cut your throat” or some such nonsense.
How many MACHETES have been seized by police from the MOSQUES where an actual Muslim police officer told the Muslims to stash them? ZERO.
And how many times did police question the Imam at Southport Mosque where the Southport Stabber attended? ZERO.
The Irish government did the same thing to Irish Patriots when they held angry protests against the same Muslim Aliens murdering Irish children: the government cracked down brutally on the Patriots, while mollycoddling the Aliens, and all the protests died down.
That’s why I doubt very much that there will be a “nationalist revolution”, because the Communist/Liberal/Globalist Propaganda has been too successful in lulling the population to sleep, draining away their will to resist.
Farage is a dhimi as the article mentions.
None of the ‘parties’ represent me, and I am 70% of the population – white, normal, heterosexual, Catholic (whilst many others are professing atheists, ‘rationalists’ etc etc), worker, Father, and proud of my race, culture and heritage.
Of course there is going to be civil strife.
Interestingly, the Rona fascism is never mentioned. Medical Nazism over a non-existent bat virus, the LDs, the Stabs, the murders, the complete destruction of the ‘magna carta’ and my rights, apparently never happened.
The Rona coup only accelerated the inevitable slide into civil violence.
May I point out that British citizens identifying as Catholics are only 8.3% of the population. Those who were raised as Catholics comprise 13.7%.
The 1689 Bill of Rights gave PROTESTANTS THE RIGHT TO BEAR ARMS for self-defence, after the Armed Catholic Massacres of Unarmed Protestants.
The Protestant Church of England is the Established Church of This Land, with all the rights and privileges thereof.
According to the Law of This Land, no Catholic, Jewish, or by extension Muslim, Hindu, Buddhist, Maori Cannibal or anyone other than a
PROTESTANT may hold the posts of
MONARCH or MONARCH’S PRIME MINISTER.
This means that Catholic Truss, Hindu Sunak, and Jewish Starmer have all held the post of Prime Minister ILLEGALLY.
I haven’t checked your facts and figures, I don’t feel that I need to either, but I will say that that’s a very interesting point.
Most people just get offended, so thanks for taking it seriously.
Many also bring up Jewish Disraeli, Catholic Boris and Blair, but Disraeli converted to the Protestant faith in order to advance in Christian society, Boris converted at university after discovering he would be ineligible for PM as a baptised Catholic, and Tony Blair had to wait until leaving office before openly converting to his wife’s Catholicism. That’s also why PM Boris declined to join ex-US President Biden and his wife when they attended Catholic mass during their state visit to the UK.
Catholic Rees-Mogg is one of the few who knows and respects the law, and that’s why he has never put himself forward as a PM hopeful.
To his credit, Michael Gove pointed out the law when Teresa May took office as PM, saying that as a Closet Catholic, May had no right to occupy No. 10.
Catholic Robert Jenrick and Olukemi Adegoke Badenoch are similarly ineligible.
Even Labour has turned on the Sentencing Council, which, for all its faults, was trying to fix a genuine racial disparity (it’s black people who tend to get longer sentences than whites, not the other way around).
Implied assumption: It simply cannot be that people are sent to jail because they committed crimes! It must be racism!
It should be extremely easy to prove this: Compile a statistic of criminal punishment by skin-colour which shows that black people are consistently sentenced harder for the same crimes than white people. So, why isn’t the Diversitygraph doing this instead of pumping out essentially fact-free opinion pieces? This would certainly be a journalistic scoop if it were possible.
About 80% of prison inmates are male – it must be sexism.
We need to start sending more women to gaol and fewer men, therefore.
It’s 96% of prisoners, as of last year, that are men. Must be something or other to do with them being less likely to obey the law;
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/women-and-the-criminal-justice-system-2023/statistics-on-women-and-the-criminal-justice-system-2023-html
Mogs yes Indeed blokes make the law and break the law, and ladies help out by having babies.
Law of nature, love.
Having said that, there have been extraordinary women, whose significance must never be denied boudicca, Joan of arc, Maggie to name but 3.
And Florence Nightingale.
I like your clear reasoning.
Makes sense to me. Fair’s fair, after all, and Equality is Equality.
Black on black knife crime has been no secret.
There is never a “lurch” into war, wars always start years beforehand, and there is a slow slide that speeds up until the first shots are fired – then everyone is astonished that they hadn’t seen it coming, irrespective of how many warnings there had been.
Every war in history has been a clash of cultures, one trying to dominate another, or one trying to escape domination by another, or jealousy, fear,
So my view is there will be a culture war because it’s like a chemical reaction which has to happen when the mix and catalyst is right, and not just because of the foreign cultural influx but also the internal debauched woke culture.
May I just point out, from that excellent photograph above, to all those Leftists & Liberals & Mainstream Media & Middle & Upper Class People who Denounced those Patriot Protesters for “Trying to Burn Migrants Alive”, that
CONCRETE DOESN’T BURN.
And if the Patriots were trying to burn down the hotel, they wouldn’t have tried to burn a CONCRETE WALL with a couple of WHEELIE BINS in broad daylight in front of the world’s media.
In all these protests, no Muslims were harmed, no Third World Fake Refugees were harmed, ONLY WHITE PEOPLE WERE HARMED, and that includes white police officers.
A civil war requires two sets of elites who are opposed to each other. There is only one set in the UK.
Farage, like Cromwell, is effectively a member of the establishment. If Cromwell hadn’t acted like a king, the Puritan revolution may have been more enduring.
The system of governance known as diversity is operated by many at all levels of society. It shows no indication of cascade failure. The liberals become illiberal in operating it, but that is effective. Given the demographic vandalism, and the deracination, there’s no other arrangement. Rayner isn’t wasting her time. It’s the only thing left to her.
If anything, what is occurring is the Lebanonisation of the country. As in that country, people’s involvement in politics ends when they exit their front door. Their concern is with their own immediate family.
Starmer may announce the end of globalism, but the software of globalism has ossified into hardware, at least in the UK.
His announcement would really be an attempt to appease Trump. Globalism was created by the USA when they last reorganised their empire in the early 1970s. Now it no longer serves their interests, it is being replaced by something else by Trump’s team. Only von der Leyen hasn’t caught up yet.
That’s right all wars are basically between political élites, with the peasantry serving as expendables.
That Is why I really don’t want to even joke about It.
Its a serious business.
Yours is a great quote to remember:
“All wars are basically between political elites, with the peasantry serving as expendables.”
Here’s to civil peace in a civilised society…
…All citizens treated equally under rule of civil and criminal law
…Government and civil service put the interests of citizens above personal and party interest
…Nation that pioneered Magna Carta, Habeas Corpus and the Bill of Rights, acts accordingly
That’ll do to be going on with – cease not from mental fight.
The Great Repeal Act
Beautiful post.
“hence some in the security forces clearly regard white Britons as the emergent threat.”
They could take the can’t beat them join them stance, after all, that is what Farage has done. Also, the armed forces sometimes side with their citizens.
Hopefully.
Well I sincerely hope not, war Is a hideous thing and civil war even more so, but large scale and occasionali violento civil disobedience seemed to be only language 2TK understands, so yes being it on.
Lets hit the streets in our hundreds of thousands and give the bastard something to think about.
Human relations are mostly governed by the rule of Tit for Tat. If Tom buys Harry a pint, Harry will probably return the favour. This rule does not apply to muslims. If Tom and Harry provide Mohammed with a free hotel room and a free mobile phone, Mohammed still has a religious duty to kill them or make them second-class citizens in an islamic state.
At long last, someone gets it! Well said.
Any country that brings in wholly different cultures, many of which are completely incompatible, and does not insist on integration, is heading for oblivion. Initially, when the percentages are low it seems fine and each new minority group can grumble that the majority seems not to accommodate them but, as the percentages rise, squabbles start between the growing minority groups and issues in the wider world are replicated within the country’s society. This process grows in amplitude and, if unchecked, leads to societal instabilities and unrest, with a real possibility of civil war. Look around the world and societies consisting of wholly different cultures tend not to be stable. The present trajectory of Britain can only be described as plain insane and the manner in which it has occurred as a tragedy for the nation.
Some form of Civil breakdown is perfectly understandable given the widespread anger and feeling of hopelessness amongst ordinary, native Brits. Demands for change can be achieved in ways other than street fighting.
Widespread withholding of government funds (eg Council Tax) is one way but it must be done as a populist movement not by an identifiable group set up to co-ordinate such non payments or Starmer’s army will come knocking.
Tim Stanley might not “see race” but non-British races do: see Laurie Wastell’s article above.
So the answer is, yes?
The fetid, over privileged scumbags of JSO, and other groups that pretend to protect the environment and illegal, unassimilable alien invaders (migrants), do not realise who they are angering. When the civil breakup starts, the angered ones will descend on the privileged bien peasant classes and take sweet revenge.it won’t be pretty.
Yes.