We’re publishing a second post about today’s wildly misleading claim by the CEO of NHS England that the number of patients being admitted to hospital with COVID-19 is currently 14 times greater than it was this time last year, this one by the Daily Sceptic’s in-house doctor. He is a hardened former NHS consultant and it takes a lot to shock him – but even he was taken aback but just how inaccurate this statement was.
Earlier today, Amanda Pritchard, the CEO of the NHS, made a statement to the effect that there were currently 14 times as many patients being admitted to English hospitals with COVID compared to this time last year. The purpose of this article is not to point out that this statement is factually incorrect – it’s so obviously incorrect that there have already been plenty of other commentators running fact checks.
Rather, I aim to quantify how incorrect that statement was and consider why the person running the NHS could have made such an egregious error of fact. So far, I have not seen a formal retraction or explanation from Ms Pritchard.
Firstly, the figures as we see them on the official NHS dashboard. In graph 1 I have plotted the number of patients admitted to hospital each day and the number of diagnoses of Covid made in hospital from April to November. The brown line is 2020 and the blue line 2021. It can clearly be seen that currently there are fewer patients being admitted and diagnosed in hospital with Covid than at this time last year. The only point at which one could possibly stand up an argument that there were 14 times as many patients being admitted in 2021 compared to 2020 would be the middle of August. In mid-August 2020 there were roughly 40 patients per day being admitted to English hospitals with Covid. In mid-August 2021 there were about 650 a day – this is approximately 14 times the 2020 figure.
My guess is that someone panicking in NHS England looked at Graph 1 (which they clearly have access to) and trotted out the line that Pritchard was referring to the numbers in August, giving the pathetically mendacious excuse that “these are the latest data we have”.
For clarity, and to illustrate the degree to which the ’14 times’ statement is so deliberately misleading, Graph 2 shows the latest data relating to COVID admissions from the community. COVID admissions to English hospitals from the community have been falling day on day for the last week, mirroring the decline in community testing numbers.
Graph 3 shows the total number of Covid inpatients in English hospitals. Is that what Ms Pritchard was referring to, rather than daily admissions? If so, that doesn’t help her. There are just under 7,000 patients in English hospitals testing positive for Covid – slightly lower than this time last week. This time last year there were over 11,000. Further, it should be borne in mind that the ‘Primary diagnosis data’ published when Sajid Javid took over as Health Secretary clearly shows that the NHS has been deliberately conflating the number of patients testing positive for Covid in hospital with the number of patients in hospital suffering from acute Covid by approximately 25%. The number given as patients in hospital with acute Covid was 5,369 on November 2nd, approximately half the number of patients in hospital with Covid time last year – not 14 times as many.
I invite readers to consider the counterfactual. What would the official NHS reaction have been, had the Daily Sceptic published a piece claiming that there were currently 14 times fewer patients being admitted to hospital than at this time last year? How might the BBC have reported such a clearly false statement?
And yet, here is the link to the BBC daily Coronavirus page – five things you need to know about the coronavirus pandemic this Monday evening.
No mention on the BBC of Ms Pritchard’s interview, nor the subsequent commentary exposing the misleading nature of her assertion. From Amanda Pritchard herself there hasn’t even been a Clintonesque ‘sorry, I misspoke’ moment.
I have commented before about the misleading use of figures by the NHS and the corrosive effect such behaviour has on public trust in institutions and broadcasters. Today marks a new low.
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how do you do that then
OK well perhaps one of 6 downvoters can explain because I genuinely don’t know. Surely it’s got nothing to do with PCR tests. Do you look at the tissue with an electron microscope?
‘..there has been a concern…’
Not ‘concern’, speculation to fan the flames of ‘killer virus’ loose – submit, submit, comply, comply.
…”the ‘explosion of fatal myocarditis’…must have another explanation than SARS-CoV-2 infection…“The only new proven cause of heart damage in human populations is COVID-19 vaccination.”
What a surprise. Quite a few other sources on this issue, which have been presented on this site, unfortunately. As for autopsies, there must have been large numbers of deaths for which none have been done.
An (officially) non-related cause might also be worth a bit of scrutiny. Today, from around 23:44 into the PMQs, by Sir Bob Neill, was to do with strokes. No mention of any cause and effect link to do with the unmentioned product, of course. According to Raab, enhanced treatment for such problems is on the NHS “balance sheet”; we’ll see.
I’m bored of this now. We already have far better evidence than this “negative” relationship provides. Large scale German pathology reports and autopsies conducted by the University of Hambugh have shown that for over 80% of sudden deaths in Germany the vaccine was a factor in causation. There they are actually testing for the spike protein and have been conducting tests which differentiate spike protein from the vaccine from spike protein from the virus.
The fact our authorities (and the US authorities), are NOT conducting this level of affirmative testing, despite knowing the vaccine is experimental, tells you everything you need to know.
All I’m interested in now is actual progress with the political class, or details if any of them are trying to downplay it, so I can be sure they get extra special attention when the time comes they are held to account.
Interestingly the Hamburg pathologist who did the early studies was specifically discouraged from doing this.
Being an ethical doctor he did them anyway.
We have our own data, as described in Andrew Bridgen’s speech in an empty parliament.. Only those politicians interested in the health of their constituents were there. I think of those not obliged to be there, that made 2. Not a single one of the others deserves a vote from anybody. It seems that all those politicians are despicable morons.
Not only were they not there. They even all made a point of walking out seemingly in protest, as if there had been an underground agreement to boycott his speech. Never seen anything like this in my life. It is one thing to walk out in protest, having heard at least some of the content of a speech that you find abjectly reprehensible, it is quite another walk out when 1, it is your job to debate this in parliament, and 2, the guy’s said nothing yet.
Just criticism of vaccines has become taboo in politics, no matter who gives it! This is most odd behaviour, and hints at some kind of cross-party pact to blank out Mr Bridgen because he’s announcing too much damning information about products that they all approved without much, if any, scrutiny at the time of their rushed dissemination.
Since the early days of the pandemic
there has been a concern that SARS-CoV-2 infection in humans couldthey knew the the Covid jabs would cause heart inflammation and thus cardiac injury and death.Thursday 30th March 11am to 12pm
Yellow Boards
Junction A321 Marshall Road &
Raeburn Way College Town
Sandhurst GU47 0FL
Ed Dowd’s latest update on his V-Damage Project, looking at the human cost to the American workforce since the jab roll-out;
http://www.phinancetechnologies.com/HumanityProjects/The%20VDamage%20Project%20-%20Human%20%20Cost.htm
A good friend of our family died today. Last September, he collapsed with heart trouble on the way home from Spain and spent a fortnight in hospital. He had no history of heart trouble. He’d been jabbed, of course, to go on holiday. He was told to see a heart specialist as soon as he got back. He got to see an NHS one finally in January after waiting months and pressing them for an appointment. He was pretty much dismissed out of hand and told he was ‘fine’.
Three weeks ago, he collapsed. When they opened him up, his heart was clogged with blood clots. He rallied a bit, but never really recovered consciousness and died this afternoon. His wife is all alone and lives too far away for us to get up to her and we’re looking after my Dad who just had surgery himself. My Mum’s crying. My Dad’s crying. I’m trying not to because I have an elderly man to look after. It sucks. And I know our friend has died before his time.
Condolences. I’m really sorry to hear that and I hope there may be someone you can talk to about it all without being told it was nothing to do with the vaccine.
Thanks. The saddest thing is that this man was a ray of sunshine. Everyone loved him and he made everyone laugh. If you put him in a sitcom, commissioners would say his banter was unbelievable. It’s when people who make you smile die that it hurts the most. I just can’t believe he’s gone.
I’m so sorry to read this. Sending a hug.
Thanks. I’ll pass it on to his wife though. She deserves it more than anyone right now. Lovely lady and her husband was a lovely man.
Behold, the smoking gun.
As Dr John Campell said the other day regarding his intentions to take up basketball
slam dunk.