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Reform Tops National Poll for First Time

by Will Jones
25 January 2025 5:00 PM

Reform UK has topped a national opinion poll for the first time in the wake of the sentencing of the Southport killer as Nigel Farage’s party declares: “No pacts, no deals. Reform is headed for Government.” The Telegraph has more.

Nigel Farage’s party, which has accused Sir Keir Starmer of being part of a “cover-up” of the truth about the attacks, now leads Labour and the Tories, according to a survey by Find Out Now.

Axel Rudakubana was sentenced to a minimum of 52 years in prison on Thursday after pleading guilty to the murders of three young girls and 10 attempted murders in Southport. He also pleaded guilty possessing al-Qaeda literature and producing the poison ricin.

After the murders, Mr Farage questioned whether they were terror-related, with his remarks then criticised by Angela Rayner, the Deputy Prime Minister.

Earlier this week, Sir Keir said he was informed of details of Rudakubana’s terror links as they emerged, but insisted that revealing these to the public would have prejudiced a potential trial.

The poll, conducted on Wednesday, gave Reform 26% of the vote, up by one point on the previous week. The Conservatives placed second on 23%, down two points, with Labour third on 22%, also down by two points.

Sir Keir’s party has endured a torrid first six months in Downing Street, amid a backlash to several key economic policies and a number of sleaze scandals.

Mr Farage told the Telegraph: “Reform has all the momentum in British politics. Our positive attitude for solving the desperate problems that face our country is getting results.

“We look forward to county council elections on May 1st, unless of course they are cancelled.” …

Of the poll lead, Zia Yusuf, the Reform Chairman, added: “The first poll to show Reform with a decisive lead – three points ahead of the Tories, four points ahead of Labour.

“No pacts, no deals. Reform is headed for Government.” …

On Friday, Lord Frost, the Tory peer, said his party must be open to forming a pact with Reform in order to oust Labour at the next General Election.

Speaking to Chopper’s Political Podcast on GB News, he said: “I think it’s possible that one or other party could come out on top and get a decisive lead, and then politics has to accommodate that.

“If it doesn’t happen, then there’s got to be some sort of arrangement or whatever, because we can’t allow Labour to win again on a third of the vote.”

Labour won a landslide victory and picked up 411 seats – the equivalent to 63% – despite only winning around 34% of the popular vote.

The Tories won around 24% of the vote and secured 121 MPs, while Reform won 14% but only returned five MPs under the first-past-the-post system.

Worth reading in full.

Tags: Conservative PartyDemocracyLabourNigel FarageOpinion PollsReform UKSouthport Attack

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26 Comments
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EppingBlogger
EppingBlogger
3 months ago

Go Reform, go!

13
0
Covid-1984
Covid-1984
3 months ago
Reply to  EppingBlogger

If it’s anything like their declared membership. Ignore it.

-3
-6
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
3 months ago

23% intend to vote Tory. Why?

It’s not clear whether the %s include those who don’t know/don’t intend to vote, but even so there is still a majority that intend to vote for woke socialist globalist “green” parties. How depressing.

13
0
Monro
Monro
3 months ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

Some of them will previously have intended to vote Reform until the leader of that party stood by his expressed opinion that he admired Putin.

-2
-18
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
3 months ago
Reply to  Monro

Yeah, which gave us possibly the worst government in British history and left us with the Fake conservatives as Her Majesty’s Opposition. Great result.

9
0
Monro
Monro
3 months ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

You cannot seriously believe that Reform could ever have won the last election. Even they admitted that was never going to happen.

A labour victory was written in stone as soon as the lamentable Mr Johnson caved (quite possibly to Mrs Johnson) regarding lockdowns.

Mr Musk knows a thing or two. Mr Farage has many qualities but he is not and never will be Prime Ministerial material.

The only question in town is whether Mrs Badenoch is of the requisite calibre.

We will not know the answer to that for a while yet.

Last edited 3 months ago by Monro
0
-16
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
3 months ago
Reply to  Monro

I didn’t “believe” Reform were going to win the election because I saw the opinion polls and I am aware that we have drifted into being a country full of people who think the “government” can/should/will solve all their problems. But why shouldn’t Reform win the election? Why the hell would any conservative vote Tory after 14 years of being lied to and let down?

I don’t get your logic about lockdowns. Labour wanted more of them.

Badenoch is less of a weasel and more conservative than Sunak or Johnson, and she has bigger balls than both of them put together (not hard) but she is an unrepentant covidian and her party is still full of wets so they can go and do one as far as I am concerned.

If you are waiting for a political leader who is “prime ministerial material” who represents a major party, I hope you are a lot younger than I am and live a lot longer.

We are screwed and will remain so until things get a lot worse or maybe never.

15
0
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
3 months ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

Yes.

5
0
Monro
Monro
3 months ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

If you didn’t believe Reform were going to win, who else could have won except the egregious labour party?

The voters put in the labour party based on them not being the conservative party and for no other reason.

Few outside of here had got the hang of the futility of lockdowns or, indeed, vaccines.

Mr Farage nor his Chairman convinces.

Lee Anderson and Rupert Lowe both have something about them but, for the time being, Reform represent a decent protest vote, nothing more.

As for Mrs Badenoch, easy to condemn but silly.

We have not yet been given a clear view of the cut of her jib, nor will we for a couple of years.

Mr Farage looks like a one trick pony.

Mrs Badenoch may very well be better than that, but the jury is still out….

Last edited 3 months ago by Monro
0
-10
Tyrbiter
Tyrbiter
3 months ago
Reply to  Monro

Mrs Doubtfire meets Rab C Nesbitt.

0
0
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
3 months ago
Reply to  Monro

Silly? If you still think the Fake conservative party deserves power, good luck!

None of them “convince” me. Of the mainstream parties and politicians, Reform are the closest to my views and don’t cross any red lines.

4
0
klf
klf
3 months ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

Entirely correct.

2
0
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
3 months ago
Reply to  Monro

Badenoch? You are having a laugh.

11
0
Mogwai
Mogwai
3 months ago
Reply to  huxleypiggles

I thought Scotland might be the only place where men can get away with wearing a skirt and not look like they’re cross-dressing because they still manage to look masculine. That’s not going to cut it in these Woke times, according to Starmer;

https://x.com/beverleyturner/status/1883229905997136073

7
0
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
3 months ago
Reply to  Mogwai

Bloody hell !

3
0
Mogwai
Mogwai
3 months ago
Reply to  huxleypiggles

It’s like if Hattie Jacques and Christopher Biggins had a lovechild….🧐🤭

4
0
NeilParkin
NeilParkin
3 months ago
Reply to  Mogwai

We are all just stooges in a big comedy sketch…

3
0
NeilParkin
NeilParkin
3 months ago
Reply to  Monro

Putin has many admirable qualities. Hard to imagine anyone surviving for 25 years as the President of a Mafia run state unless he did. Of course some of his qualities are much less admirable, and you don’t have to like him on a personal level, far from it. I think that was what Nigel was saying, but the subtlety and nuance is lost in the MSM. Its a bit like saying Gary Lineker was a fine football striker. It is true, but not a complete summation of him and his character.

7
0
Covid-1984
Covid-1984
3 months ago
Reply to  NeilParkin

Kennedy didn’t want missiles on his border in 1961 as Putin didnt want NATO missiles on his border. Yet Kennedy was lauded as a hero. Go figure.

6
-2
Mogwai
Mogwai
3 months ago

What the heck is an “open-book test”? And who gets to take an exam paper home?? 🤨 So basically ‘cheating’ then? I can’t imagine Reform tolerating this;

“Yet again, racial minorities are being patronised by the authorities at Oxford and Cambridge.

More racist policies in the name of “progress”…

https://x.com/andrewdoyle_com/status/1883213109277733126

Last edited 3 months ago by Mogwai
12
0
Gezza England
Gezza England
3 months ago

Nice to see the Telegraph omit that just 20% of the electorate voted Labour.

The problem Reform have – other than Farage as leader – is that in trying to grow quick enough to be able to contest the May elections they are recruiting Tories with questionable views. Think RINOs in the US. We need a fresh party not a rehashed Tory one.

6
-1
DontPanic
DontPanic
3 months ago

Our County Council Norfolk has cancelled our democracy and elections. The senior staff are rubbing their hands in glee at the thought of a bigger authority meaning higher salaries for them.

5
0
Pilla
Pilla
3 months ago

Reform and Farage may seem the best option but we are being manipulated into voting for them at a future GE. Like at the GE last year, at this rate I will again have to spoil my ballot paper. There is no one fit for purpose (ie true to God and our country) for whom I can currently vote (except perhaps for David Kurten).

3
-1
FerdIII
FerdIII
3 months ago
Reply to  Pilla

Farage and Tice fully supported the Rona Fascism.
They have nothing to say about the Muslimification of this country or its destruction from ‘legal’ invasion. Focusing on the small boats which are 1-10% of the total problem.

4
-2
Pilla
Pilla
3 months ago
Reply to  FerdIII

Absolutely!

3
-2
JXB
JXB
3 months ago

And 45% would still vote for the collection of psychopaths who have brought our formerly great Britain to its present ruinous state.

Then add in the idiots who would vote Lib Dem and Green and the answer to: are we screwed? becomes apparent.

3
0

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