It feels as if global warming campaigners are breaking open the champagne and raising a toast to record temperatures, together with that wagging finger: “I told you so!” BBC News has reported that global temperatures breached the 1.5°C threshold for the first time between February 2023 and January 2024. That is to say, average global temperatures were 1.5°C higher in that 12 months than they were in the 1850-1900 period, according to the EU Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). This followed an earlier EU C3S claim of 1.48°C for the calendar year 2023.
We have indeed seen some record temperatures in Europe in the last couple of years. On January 25th, a temperature of 30.7°C was reported at Calles in Spain. And in the U.K., a record maximum value of 40.3°C was measured at Coningsby on July 19th 2022. It’s possible that this peak reading was affected by aircraft movements – as discussed in the Daily Sceptic – but the hourly reported value of 39.6°C at 1400 and 1500 UTC, in a moderate southeasterly wind, was almost a degree above the previous U.K. maximum (38.7°C on July 25th 2019 in Cambridge Botanic Garden). These appear to be real records above the long-term values. But we ought to ask: what might have caused such high values, alongside the claimed record global temperatures in 2022 and 2023? A small part of the rise may be due to the urban heat island effect, or changes to instruments or screens, but that is far from the whole story. Upon closer inspection, much of this additional atmospheric heat is due to changes to oceanic sea surface temperatures (SST), which then warms the lower atmosphere. BBC News shows a rise to 21.05°C in global SST by February 3rd 2024.
El Niño
One major factor is the onset of a strong El Niño event, although this only had an impact in late 2023 as the Pacific Ocean warmed. The Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) rose to 1.6 in the Autumn (August to October 2023) and was 1.9 by the end of the year (October to December). Previous occasions when the ONI has gone above 1.5 in the last 70 years are the events in 2015-16, 2009-10, 1997-98, 1991-92, 1987, 1982-83, 1972-73 and 1965. The later events correspond with spikes in the satellite temperature data of the global lower atmosphere. El Niño events normally last 12 to 18 months – the strongest events occurred in 2015-16 and 1997-98, which peaked at 2.4 and 2.6 respectively.
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
A longer trend in the ocean temperature is the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), with sea surface temperatures varying by a degree or so over many years (as measured between the equator and 70°N). The AMO is itself coupled with changes in the troposphere and stratosphere, while the stratospheric wind regime may also be affected by changes in solar activity. A declining AMO trend in the 1960s and 1970s led to fears of the return of an Ice Age, but with an increase in the 1990s and 2000s there was a recovery in northern hemisphere temperatures. The AMO index has been positive since that time and it varies by about a degree and a half (°C) over these long periods.
It is interesting to compare the AMO index with the UAH V6.0 satellite temperature dataset, which began in 1979, while the AMO index has been reconstructed back to the mid-19th century. The satellite data of the lower atmosphere have the benefit of overcoming changes to such things as the urban heat island effect. When the two datasets are plotted alongside each other, from 1979 to 2022, they show a close correlation – in fact, the trend line is close to one-to-one (see chart below). Of course, correlation doesn’t equal causation, and one would not expect a change in the North Atlantic sea surface temperature to have an equally measurable change upon the global atmospheric temperatures. The close correlation may be due to the way the index is constructed. However, it is not unreasonable to expect that there would be some physical connection between the Atlantic sea surface temperature and the temperature of the lower troposphere, particularly in Europe, which may partly explain the record high European temperatures of recent years.
Cleaner air
Since 2000, good progress has been made in cleaning the global atmosphere of industrial pollutants, first in North America and Europe, but increasingly in Asia. Pollutants include particulate matter, sulphur dioxide and nitrates. Using NASA satellite data, the estimated climatic influence of this pollution is thought to have reduced the global temperature by 0.5°C, while removing the pollution may have brought forward the time when it is forecast to rise 1.5°C above the pre-industrial levels. Pollutants have a direct effect in modulating the amount of energy that enters and leaves the Earth’s system, but there is also a secondary effect through physical changes to clouds. Atmospheric pollutants act as cloud condensation nuclei. So, more numerous particles and sulphur aerosols in the lower atmosphere lead to an increase in the number of cloud droplets, but they are smaller in size. Overall, the cloud liquid water content rises in the presence of such pollution. This makes clouds more reflective to incoming solar energy.
Further regulation that came into force in 2020 through the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) has also led to a decrease in the amount of sulphur that can be released from a ship’s exhaust – down to 0.5% from 3.5%. Overall, with a cleaner atmosphere and less reflection from clouds, there is likely to be a corresponding rise in the amount of solar radiation absorbed in the oceans; hence the ocean temperature may rise. This may partly explain the rise in global ocean sea surface temperature, which feeds into a rise in the lower troposphere temperatures.
Hunga Tonga – Hunga Ha’apai
On January 15th 2022, a massive volcanic eruption in the Pacific Ocean sent a plume of ash, water vapour and other gases into the atmosphere, reaching as high as 55 km – that is through the stratosphere and into mesosphere. It is estimated that 146 mega-tonnes of water vapour were added to the thin stratospheric atmosphere as a result. Pressure shock waves were observed around the world and measured on barometers at ground level. When sulphur dioxide is pumped into the stratosphere it can cool the planet, as occurred with Pinatubo from 1992, but such an excessive amount of water vapour released so high may trap additional heat below. One paper, published in Nature Climate Change, suggested that this could lead to a temporary warming of surface temperatures to 1.5°C above the long-term average within the following decade.
Summary
Many politicians, climate scientists and the mainstream media are pushing the world towards Net Zero carbon emissions because of rises in greenhouse gases and global temperatures. But, as has been widely noted, this is a policy goal that does not fully consider the economic impact upon ordinary people. Closer inspection of recent changes to the global atmosphere and ocean sea surface temperatures suggests that increased greenhouse gases is only one factor in the recent rise in temperatures. Natural variability in terms of the short-lived El Niño event, the longer-term rise in the AMO index, a move towards cleaner air and less pollution, and volcanic activity from the Hunga Tonga – Hunga Ha’apai volcano may all have had a significant impact upon recent rises in global temperatures. Consequently, the long-term climate sensitivity to increases in greenhouse gas emissions, which is somewhat uncertain, may in fact still be at the lower end of expectations, as argued for by Lewis and Curry for example. If that is so, then the rush to meet Net Zero targets is misguided.
Andrew Sibley is a semi-retired Chartered Meteorologist with an MSc in Environmental Decision-Making and an MPhil in Theology.
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Given the remarkably successful campaign against PayPal, I believe that now would be an excellent time to campaign for a Statute of Limitations that would restrict the ways in which Government could control a future Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). The risks of a CBDC are clear and absolutely parallel to those we have seen with PayPal in that it could be used as the vehicle for the introduction of a social credit system, with financial restrictions and penalties being applied for even minor challenges to the official narrative. The principle behind such a Statute would be to limit financial penalties to those currently enforced on criminal activity, therefore putting them under the control of the criminal courts. I believe the FSU is well placed to develop a draft Statute and I would fully support a campaign to get Government to accept it.
Very naiive. The sole purpose of a digital currency is Control. No statute will protect us from the inevitable misuse. And even if it did the law would simply be overriden by a change of government
We must say no to CBDC and CASH must always be an option.
If we give up on using our democratic system to reform things, we surrender all hope. I’d rather be naive than negative.
We are not living in a democracy.
An excellent list of 43 examples of ”Anti-science”, put together by Dr Jay Bhattacharya, which we have had to endure since the whole sh!tshow began;
https://covid-unmasked.net/the-naked-emperor-anti-science-the-infinite-list/
This judicial ruling in a Swiss Court has had no coverage in the media. The reason? It destroys the claim that the mRNA injections are vaccines.
This needs to be publicised widely. Neil Oliver? Mark Steyn? Certainly above the line further detailed reporting is required.
News from
Switzerland
Supreme Court ruling Hardly anyone noticed that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. won the case against all the pharmaceutical lobbyists. Covid vaccines are not vaccines. In the ruling, the Supreme Court confirms that the damage caused by Covid mRNA gene therapies is irreparable. As the Supreme Court is the highest court in the United States, there are no further appeals and the appeals have been exhausted. Robert F. Kennedy emphasised in an initial statement that this was a success that was only possible thanks to the international cooperation of a large number of lawyers and scientists. Of course, this judgment opens up something internationally, especially here in Switzerland, this judgment should make waves, because Switzerland has a special position here with its federal constitution. On the one hand, the Nuremberg Codex in the constitution with Article 118b, and the misuse of genetic engineering in humans is prohibited in Switzerland, according to Article 119 of the Federal Constitution. This is supplemented by Article 230bis of the Criminal Code, … Thus, the perpetrators risk up to 10 years in prison. But this judgment should also make the rest of the world sit up and take notice, because the Nuremberg Code is internationally valid and is also included in Article 7 of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights. In the case of criminal charges, the statement must include a reference to the Contergan scandal in order to give special weight to the importance of this charge. The policy is thus facing a hot autumn.
Source: https://boersenwolf.blogspot.com/2022/08/supreme-court-urteil-bestatigt-covid
No media is talking about it, neither in Switzerland nor in Europe. It’s up to us to spread the word
Sarah Swift
I can’t see anything about a Swiss court judgement, and there is no article at the link you provided. I wonder what Reiner Fuellmich is up to? I thought he was launching similar prosecutions but he seems to have gone very quiet.
It’s been removed & there is nothing on the wayback machine. Censorship is in full swing.
Not sure what Reiner Fuellmich is up to either….
It is confusing because it starts with a Swiss Court ruling the switches to it being the US Supreme Court ruling.
Apparently there has been no such ruling. It looks like it is a fake story.
Link here: https://covid-unmasked.net/us-supreme-court-rules-against-covid-mrna-gene-therapy-robert-kennedy-wins-case/
Wow!
Thanks for this BB.
A piece ATL surely?
This is totally off topic, but I wonder if anyone can help me? I am looking for a video that I viewed via a link from this site about vaccine damage. It was professionally produced and I think around half an hour long. It had many interviews with vaccine damaged people and showed the effect on them (one man could no longer stand up). It was on you tube, but unsurprisingly I can’t find it there, and I have been through the archive here as well but can’t find it. Many thanks in advance if someone can give me a link.
This one?
https://www.oraclefilms.com/safeandeffective
Yes, that’s the one. Very many thanks.
Surprisingly, it’s still on youtube:-
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dIVZ5ssWB-o
Thanks for the link. Here’s what it looked like (with a warning alternative link in it!) recently; note the numbers.
Oh yes, I hadn’t noticed that. I wonder how many click the link to the NHS website? Hopefully, they all watch the film first.
That link turns up on all the YT entries I look at – I never follow them. They look a but ironic on some of them, especially the latest John Campbell ones!
The Oracle Films one is pretty robust, and well put together. The techniques used reminded me of certain old TV programmes, like “Panorama”, “That’s Life”, or :Horizon” etc – a bit long and a bit repetitive to make the point. Perhaps the producer came from that field, one way or another? So far, there do not seem to be any negative comments re the production itself; perhaps that’s no surprise, but there are lot of them, which is quite encouraging.
Yes, I liked the film. Also, I liked their films about the protests in Spring/Summer 21.
Then there is this report which needs to be addressed ATL in which vials seized in a correct procedural process for presentation of evidence in court, were analysed for their contents by an independent laboratory (owned by Dr Tess Lawrie).
Please Will, Toby et al this is important. As we now know that the “vaccines” are gene therapy, that the “vaccines” cause spike protein induced dementia, myocarditis which are permanent damage & will shorten life expectancy by 10-20 years in the young, if they last that long, then the very survival of humanity is at stake.
What’s really in the vaccines??
We now have scientific proof straight from the labs and it’s truly shocking ….independently analysed to make an honest account of the truth the whole truth and nothing but the truth.
Are the police really doing their job when they are turning a blind eye to this evidence.
Download the report yourself and read http://www.ukcitizen2021.org
Or read it directly here: https://ijvtpr.com/index.php/IJVTPR/article/view/52/96
Cristian Terhes MEP
@CristianTerhes
Just facts: in July 2022 the excess mortality rate in the EU was 16% higher compared to the average of 2016-2019 (Eurostat). The most vaccinated countries in the EU have now the highest mortality rate.
Do you think that COVID vaccination caused the excess deaths?
JOSE GEFAELL
@ChGefaell
EuroMoMo cumulated excess deaths week 40. Excess deaths in 2022 continue to grow and remain higher than in 2020 and 2021.
Source: https://euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps
Craig Kelly
@CKellyUAP
·
Sep 30
ABS releases EXCESS DEATHS data – AND IT’S A SHOCKER
We now have 13,524 ‘excess deaths’ across Australia for the first six months of the year
That’s 17.1% above the baseline of what would be expected
Baffling, they say
CRIMINAL INVESTIGATION NEEDED, I say
https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/23028843.covid-scotland-vaccines-ruled-cause-neonatal-deaths-spike/
Helen McArdle Health Corespondent
PUBLIC health experts ruled out any link between spikes in neonatal deaths and the Covid vaccine without checking whether any of the infants’ mothers had received the jag during pregnancy.
Experts stressed that there was no “plausible” link between the unusually high levels of mortality among newborns in September last year and March this year to justify investigating maternal vaccination status. ..….
the rest is behind a paywall..but points for using the word Jag!!
Public health experts or three wise monkeys.
https://data.spectator.co.uk/graph/a-e-12-hour-waits-to-admit
shocking little graph in the spectator..showing A+E 12 hour wait….number of patients waiting > 12 hours from decision to admit, to admission.
With the NHS seemingly ever closer to collapse, how long are people waiting to be treated in A&E? The Spectator looks at the NHS’s data on how many patients are waiting more than 12 hours to be seen.
7.058 In Oct 2021
16.402 in Feb 2022
32.776 in Sept 2022
The Lionel Shriver article is spot on and scary. We are observing since quite a while that younger people in particular are incapable of reading and understanding basic stuff when encountering them in the business world. Most also need and use a calculator when giving change.
As for doctors, it seems completely hopeless.
Our new tenants are medical students at ICL. They are quadruple gene-therapied, don’t know that the definition of vaccine was changed to accommodate for them,
think that they work like regular vaccines and are just in awe of and got enthusiastically jabbed because of this ‘cute story’, namely that an African immigrant (he is actually Turkish) already had the solution ready when the disease occurred.
The only chance us older folks now have to live a long, healthy life is to live more healthy and take vitamins regularly.
We cannot count on the medical profession anymore to get us sorted when we become ill once our GenX doctors retire!
I agree, JB. We have to become our own doctors now. Personally, I haven’t taken any pharmaceutical drugs for ages. If TPTB decide to go ahead and medicate our water with fluoride, the cognitive decline in our young will accelerate. That combined with the effects of stronger and constant EMF, such as 5G and smart meters, the addiction to mobile phones and bluetooth headphones, rubbish nutrition and jabs will all contribute to people getting sicker earlier in life with all sorts of mental, emotional and physical issues.
…and all because he asked for a peaceful resolution…this is music to my ears….
LOL!
Jason Jay Smart@officejjsmart
Elon Musk’s Starlink says it can no longer afford to give Ukraine free service and asks the Pentagon to pay for it. Starlink had been a game changer in the war.
This comes days after Ukrainian Ambassador Melnyk Andrij told Musk to “fuck off.”
Elon Musk
@elonmusk
Replying to @officejjsmart
and @MelnykAndrij
We’re just following his recommendation……
Tulsi Gabbard on Joe Rogan….
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rAfwpfUBw1M
Ukraine and the Military Industrial Complex.
“People are being forced to visit food banks and unable to heat their homes. I have been seriously depressed to see this government add to their suffering while giving tax handouts to the wealthy. Just Stop Oil gives a simple message: no more oil and gas licences. Let’s start creating a world where we care for everyone.'”
My emphases.
You couldn’t make this utter stupidity up!
Apologies. The above is from the report in the Mail about the eco nutters causing mayhem in London, including preventing an ambulance from getting through.
Kwasi SACKED.
Truss seems hopeless. The budget didn’t make much sense (I am all for cutting taxes but you also need to cut spending) and sacking Kwarteng makes no sense either, and Jeremy C**t is tipped as a replacement – the arch covid fascist.
Truss, like May and Johnson was a disaster before she got the top gig. She obviously is not in control and is just a puppet. The worry now is that the evil sod Hunt is being prepared for a quick move next door.
I wonder how much interfering Bliar is up to?
I agree except for the puppet bit – think she’s just weak and is yet another woolly liberal globalist. Bliar’s interference has been immense but again I think it’s not like he is making phone calls to get people sacked, but who knows? I’m approaching retirement, in good health – I wonder if I will ever see an actually conservative leader of the Tory party.
Hunt has the job.
Thanks, seen it. Very dangerous.
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/pfizer-executives-freudian-slip-has-given-the-vaccine-game-away/
“Worth reading in full.”
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/the-wrong-doers-who-are-desperate-to-move-on-from-covid/
A powerful article from Paul Collits over at TCW and he like many here wants revenge.
I am delighted to mention that he has singled out the rapist’s dad in Wales for particular opprobrium.
Hunt as Chancellor. Firkin hell. Thick but dangerous.
He’s a lockdown fanatic.
He certainly was, but in his new job he might learn how much it all cost, with any luck. We certainly live in interesting times. Anyone betting on whether Hunt will stick to Halloween for the budget (the announced date for the next Kwasi one)? What should emerge on 19/10 is September inflation figures – which affect lots of pension scheme payment rises next financial year. We’ll see if CPI was reduced on account of the Royal Funeral, or it could be the other way round, depending on what retail did, e.g.
I guess that the Permanent Sec has already written the script, and they’ll be chewing over whether to wait until after the 19th or to go early – or even announe it on the same day, although traditionally Budgets are Tuesdays; we’ll see.
Well he’s not a conservative and he’s a lockdown fanatic in arguably the second most senior position in govt, well poised to take over as leader in due course. Thought we had seen the last of him. Nasty piece of work.
He could be poised to move next door – but remember what happened to old Gordon, when he made such a move. Even many Labour supporters didn’t like him (I was a Labour activist then, and it was hard work persuading the voters to vote Labour when he became the leader). These days I’m not a member of any party, though.
Looks like we may have seen some clever maneuvering from the left wing of the Tory party to get their man in through the back door
Truss has scrapped the cut in Corporation Tax. So much for growth. Back to same tax and spend, big govt as Labour, LibDems, SNP, Tories since Thatcher.
Which suggests this lot are fully committed to the destruction of the economy as per the Reset.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/paris-about-boost-military-interventionism-eastern-europe/5796255
France is now sabre rattling and plans on invading Romania. Doubtless some of our lads will get dragged in when this inevitably goes tits up.
It’s a good day for arms manufacturers who are reaping a seemingly never-ending harvest. I can’t stand all the theatrics and that clown Zelensky and his clownish messages about the other clown Macron. All little men playing war with other people’s sons and daughters.
https://expose-news.com/2022/10/14/government-reports-suggest-covid-vaccination-is-causing-cancer-at-an-unprecedented-rate/
I’m pleased report that at least one of Bill Gates’ investments is struggling: Beyond Meat
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-63260645
The level of hypocrisy by this executive is mind blowing!
Clearly the man just wasn’t getting enough meat… He looks like a career criminal in that pic.
“Inflation is believed to be an underlying factor exerting pressure on the category as consumers trade down into cheaper forms of protein, including animal meat,”
“animal meat” eh. That’s a novelty.
https://reclaimthenet.org/cfpb-considers-paypal-investigation/
This is strange, a government agency suggesting they might prosecute PayPal.
Arse covering more like.
Given that Robert Kennedy Jnr has won his case against Pharma via SOTUS should that not mean that EUA must terminate immediately? And if so what are the implications for other countries such as the UK?