When the BBC passes on a climate change agitprop story doing the rounds of mainstream media, you might rightly suspect that the credibility bar is extremely low. But the notion that global ‘heating’ is behind a recent rise in U.S. Major League baseball (MLB) home runs had many fans in the legacy bleachers, including, needless to say, the Guardian.
The climate crisis is reported to be causing more home runs in baseball, noted the newspaper, citing recent research from a group of geographers at Dartmouth College in New Hampshire. The newspaper reported that global ’heating’ had led to an extra 58 home runs a year in the nine years up to 2019. In 77 years, by the end of the century, heating could lead to 10% more balls being hit out of the park.
Alas for the hypothesis, such crowd-pleasing moments only seem to apply to baseball in the major leagues. In the two AAA minor leagues and the NCAA college league, along with senior play in Japan, there are no rising trends. Across the board, home runs have declined in recent decades.
But the Guardian is never one to allow such inconvenient details to get in the way of the ‘settled’ climate narrative. Lead author Christopher Callahan is quoted as saying that at a certain point over the next two decades, it’s going to be unsafe to play baseball games in very high temperatures. Since temperatures across America have shown barely any warming since 2005, according to the U.S. weather service NOAA’s own specialist records, this scare seems somewhat alarmist. The Guardian helpfully tops up the doomsday factor by noting that baseball stadiums near water including Florida, California and New York “are vulnerable to risks such as rising sea levels and more intense hurricanes”.
Oddly, the Dartmouth paper claimed that “human-caused climate change decreased home runs between 1962 and 1995 and increased them thereafter”. But then, what would a modern climate scare story be without its hockey stick? In fact 77 years ago there were 1,215 home runs in MLB, with 16 teams each playing 154 games. Last year there were 4,000 more runs making 5,215 among 30 teams playing 162 games. In 2019, there were no less than 6,776 home runs recorded. Whatever the cause – climate change, global heating/cooling/pausing, take your pick – the recent totals amount to more than a 100% increase in home runs.
Of course, this story has some grounding in physics in that objects fly quicker through warmer, thinner air. The stretch occurs in applying this notion to some baseball grounds but not others. The economics professor and science writer Roger Pielke suggested that a more accurate reading of the paper’s conclusion is that “climate change is a tiny, even insignificant, factor in MLB home run trends, easily swamped by everything else that can effect home runs”. He noted that isolating a statistical relationship of temperature and home runs “does not allow for meaningful predictions or projections of future home runs”.
He added that climate research was “rife” with such studies and reporting. They confuse single-variable sensitivity analysis with meaningful projections – the effects of climate on crop yields is a textbook example of this, he noted. Pielke goes on to note that “no matter how you slice it”, even using the most extreme scenario, and taking the paper’s conclusions at face value, climate change is just not a big deal for home runs in baseball. In a memo that should be sent to the Guardian, he concludes: “And that should be O.K., as not everything has to be reduced to climate.”
For Pielke, the lesson of the baseball story is that we have created strong incentives in science, in the promotion of science and in journalism to reduce everything to climate. “If you are on the climate beat, you are certainly not going to be discussing steroids in baseball, seam size, humidor practices, or any of the other myriad factors related to home run production. The climate beat needs climate stories,” he observed. These incentives, he continued, help us to understand what gets published, promoted and clicked. They are “incredibly distorting” to both journalism and, increasingly, to research. “Baseball and climate might seem like a silly topic, but these dynamics can be found on far more important issues involving climate,” he added.
Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.
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Someone please tell that Extinction Rebellion abseiler that his/her rope is made from oil.
Spoilsport. Good morning, MAk (though it might not quite be morning, where you are).
Only just. Good morning! Where’s Huxley?
He may be getting coffee?
Alcohol actually.
Cheers chaps.
Or cracking a bottle of Nigerian Guinness.
Cheers Alto.
I see the Guinness is kicking in – Alto it is! That’s even better than GregoryNo6’s Alt.
Apologies AE. Well that Nigerian Guiness at 7.2% after 7 pints of bitter saw me off.
Marcus, I cannot explain how much that has chuffed me up.
Truly, many thanks
.
Their hypocrisy is irrelevant, it is their nihilism, openly declared, that is important.
They openly advocate genocide.
US neocons and their Euro/UK assets and dupes: “we must fight the Russians to the last Ukrainian, and we must sanction the Russians to the last Euro.”
In response:
Ukrainian regime: “Kill the Russian untermenschen”
European regimes: “Yes! Our own peoples’ welfare counts for nothing next to pleasing our neocon overlords!”
Russians: [Shrugging, turning away] “OK, who’s up for some decent, civilised trade and relations?”
China, India, Pakistan, BRICS and most of the world: [Hands shoot up]
Comical to see Franklin naively assuming that the current neocon warmonger domination of our media and politics will survive the coming economic crunch.
Here’s one view of what the situation is now as a result of the preexisting accumulation of debt and inflationary pressures from years of maladministration followed by covid insanity: basically the US Fed faces a choice between hiking interest rates and crashing the stockmarket (and economy), or not doing so and letting inflation rip, crashing society.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/david-stockman-coming-stock-market-crash-biblical-proportions
Now consider the potential consequences of the attempt to use dollar dominance as a weapon to achieve regime change in Russia, coming on top of that situation:
:”De-dollarization means inflation
Between sharply falling imports into Russia, inability of foreign entities (or their subsidiaries) with Russian operations or investments to sell Russian assets or to repatriate Russian revenue or dividends, inability of rich Russians to get their money out, and severely reduced travel by Russians abroad, per Russian analysts the local demand for dollars and euros has been reduced by at least (in dollar terms) $250 billion annualized.
A potentially equal effect is in the works with the de-dollarization of trade between China/India and Russia (which has already happened or is now happening with respect to oil and other commodities), and as regards Saudi Arabian oil sales to China as well as other commodities exporters and China.
That is, I assume there’s more we’re not seeing. China has observed what happened to Russia, sees that “it’s next”, and is likely moving to pay its African friends in its own currency for their exports. Might as well get them used to it now, before the hammer comes down!
When demand for dollars is reduced overseas, the sequestration effect whereby our credit expansion (in terms of deficit spending and low rates) does not lead to domestic price inflation as the money finds itself “locked up” overseas, is thrown into reverse.
It’s not just about the raw sums I’ve mentioned above, it’s also that the 50-year-old sequestration process simply doesn’t—and won’t—work anymore, and the trend is in the wrong direction for the U.S. and Europe.
This is hugely inflationary, and if I see it, the U.S. Federal Reserve also sees it, and thus, part of the reason they’re panicking and they want to raise rates sharply (which will kill off everything), is the war in the Ukraine, and how the U.S. and Europe have responded to it.
Yes, you read me correctly. Our mortgage rates, car loan rates, etc. will go up—and bring down the roof, until or unless the Fed walks it back—in part because of how “they” froze Russia’s dollar and euro assets, and tried to lock it out of global finance.
And if the Fed walks it back, we’ll have much more price inflation, and over a longer period—years and years.
There is no way out. ”
https://thedreizinreport.com/2022/04/08/the-real-and-the-fake-part-2/
And with that, we are already pressuring Germany to make large parts of its industry uncompetitive by hiking energy costs and/or cutting fuel, and at the same time to build a huge military.
Not sure if the vibe is more 1920s or 1930s. With nuclear weapons.
Not sure if the vibe is more 1920s or 1930s. With nuclear weapons.
1929-33.
Here’s the first domino that might fall (and we’ve hardly seen the consequences of sanctions yet):
Mahyar Tousi
@MahyarTousi
Latest DataPraxis French election poll:
Le Pen supported by most young and middle aged voters
18-24: Macron 44%, Le Pen 56%
25-34: Macron 47%, Le Pen 53%
35-44: Macron 47%, Le Pen 53%
45-54: Macron 49%, Le Pen 51%
https://twitter.com/MahyarTousi/status/1512512920613265408
Reportedly a large majority of those aged 65+ are intending to vote Macron though. The question is why. It doesn’t sound at all like the right-wing Daily Mail, Daily Express, or Torygraph-reading nasty, spiteful, “dog in the manger” British thing of “I’m all right, Jack, in my house worth such-and-such a figure, and the young’uns don’t know how easy they have it nowadays”. Most who think that way wouldn’t be keen on Macron, surely. They’d prefer Le Pen or Zemmour. It sounds more like “Thanks, Macron, for keeping us alive, you lovely man – we are so grateful.”
Generally I have respect for older people but sometimes the old saying holds: “There’s no fool like an old fool”.
My hunch is that the middle of the period between the two rounds in France will be a time of great shock.
There is big-time momentum towards Le Pen. In 2017 she played on the sea and the waves and maritime imagery. Subliminally that connects with Saintes-Maries-de-la-Mer and the myth of France. This time she is going all out with love, playing on the way that her initial “M” sounds like “Aime”, as in “J’aime” (I love). One of her campaign slogans is “M La France”. Her campaign website is at mlafrance.fr. Once again it’s “elemental”, but this time it’s simpler and it will take her further. There’s also ammo for firing at Macron that hasn’t even been used yet, and she is getting more help from the media than she was last time… so the conclusion is that he seems to be in trouble.
Le Pen hasn’t used the “Virgo” sign yet, but her campaign has directed a lot of attention at winning votes from women – far more than say Hillary Clinton’s did.
I think the older French voters are probably more likely to be influenced by her father’s image and less by her own re-imaging.
The Empire of Lies (TM) has plenty of shots in its locker yet, I suspect.
But if Macron does manage to weasel his way back into office, it will have been fortunate timing, I think, for him. Another six months and incumbents all over Europe are likely going to be very unpopular.
So she’ll get through to the second round on April 24. Things could be very interesting by then.
Very interesting, indeed. An April poll just out shows Le Pen edging Macron in a run-off, 50.5% to 49.5%
https://thegoodcitizen.substack.com/p/the-smell-of-cheese?s=r
Does look that way:
French presidential election: Polls show Le Pen closing on Macron as election begins on Sunday
On the last day of campaigning before voters go to the ballot boxes, a poll had Marine Le Pen just two points behind Emmanuel Macron.
I watched the last presidential debates and thought that Le Pen was doing well, until she made a personal attack on Macron implying corruption.
She immediately realised her mistake, and I suspect will not make that kind of an error again. Le Pen is not stupid and she is not her father.
Manny said he wanted to ‘piss off’ the unvaccinated. Surely it’s time they, and the belatedly awake vaccinated, did the proper thing and returned the compliment.
In the early days of the scamdemic, political incumbency was an electoral asset (‘see how we’ve saved you all, now vote for us!’) but after two years of harsh restrictions and mandates, incumbency is an electoral liability.
Macron toppled Le Pen 66% to 34% back in 2017, now it’s too close to call. In Oz, Morrison’s federal government is down at least 10 percentage points just a month or two out from the election whilst, in my humble state of South Australia, the Marshall Liberal government was unceremoniously dumped just recently with a 7.6% swing.
The really pee’d off whose businesses, jobs and livelihoods have been ruined, or who have been jabbed against their will, are prepared to vote for whoever is not the incumbent even if their political labelling is one that the voters may well have instinctively eschewed previously..
Saviours, sooner or later, have to deliver.
And even if people don’t see through lying bullshit, they eventually get tired of the smell.
If the federal election delivers a parliament that is fractured left and right, to all four points of the compass, I’ll be happy. Any result that renders both Lib and Lab impotent is fine by me.
Bring on the FFMPs!
For those US commentators who hailed Biden as “the adult in the room”: China, India, Pakistan, Brazil, South Africa (and most of the world) are the adults. Germany might be classified as a reluctant adolescent (in this situation).
Alt, please PLEASE tell me you are employing hyperbole.
I can’t believe that even Dr Jill would describe Foggy Groper as ‘the adult in the room’. Not even if he was alone in the room. And calling for toilet paper.
No need for hyperbole. One pre-election Op-Ed in the Scientific American called Biden “our blessed hope”. Seriously.
Tucker Carlson showed a succession of people describing Biden thus, obviously to script. I watched it twice to be sure that I wasn’t hallucinating.
Congratulations on attributing imaginary views to Russia, especially to their socialist dictator Putin.
“their socialist dictator Putin“
You really are fixated on this nonsense. As I’ve pointed out to you several times now, Putin is far less of a “socialist” than either Johnson or Biden.
Don’t just sling empty, inaccurate terms of abuse around, like a student leftist calling anyone to the right of Jeremy Corbyn a “fascist”. Find honest and meaningful criticisms to use.
Here’s some homework reading for you:
Russia as an international conservative power: the rise of the right-wing populists and their affinity towards Russia
Russian Conservatism: Managing Change under Permanent Revolution
It wasn’t me.
Three of my top posters go 1. 2. 3.
Well done all
Kudos to Germany for: (A) watering down EU sanctions and (B) voting down jab mandates.
I admit I’m not paying much attention to the rampant propaganda about this war, but one thing I have noticed is the insatiable desire to utterly cripple the Russian economy. Sanctions cause mass starvation and kill countless people. They cause genocide which history tries to erase.
I’ve also noticed a blackout of reporting on the effects of the sanctions on the people of Russia, instead just hourly mockery and hatred poured on Putin while the poof on the other side is lavished with faux love and admiration.
If Germany are pulling back from these sanctions – for whatever reason – it can only be a good thing and I hope others follow.
I don’t think the sanctions have bitten much on most ordinary Russians yet – mostly on the oligarchs, which gave Putin the opportunity to finally tell them to “f*** off and go live with their mansions” (or words to that effect).
But I think they have (along with the wave of anti-Russian hatred and propaganda, and the Ukrainian atrocities that those sticking to US sphere media are mostly shielded from but the Russians and neutrals are very aware of) caused the Russians to turn emphatically away from the US sphere and Europe, rally behind the war, and behind Putin.
Glenn Diesen (Professor, University of South-Eastern Norway):
“We keep going back to this assumption that Russia somehow just wants to learn to live with these sanctions until they are let back into Europe, but this greater Eurasian partnership that they keep talking about, this is not just some temporary issue to get around the sanctions. For many in Russia they see this as being a correction to a 300 year long mistake, which has been since Peter the Great, this western-centric foreign policy. That they always had to look towards the West for modernisation, but now they have the rise of the East, for the first time in a century, and they don’t have to rely so much on the West any more, so I think the economic consequences will be immense”
“We” seem to have finally resolved this longstanding debate in Russian society.
In the future, as the US sphere’s confrontation with its real rival, China, becomes ever more vital, people will write international relations articles asking: “Who lost Russia?” And the answer is: the neocons, NATO warmongers and anti-Russian fanatics, and all their dupes, who thought the only way to win Russia over was to crush them into submission.
In previous wars that we have been manipulated into by the US sphere neocons et al, the price has mostly been paid by foreigners in far off countries (Yugoslavia, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Afghanistan etc). This time, the price for letting these scum manipulate our governments and our opinions will be greater than ever and born much closer to home.
Negotiations in Turkey, more fog of war (with Glenn Diesen)
And, by the way, those who have bought into the systematic “Putin Dr Evil” brainwashing should bear in mind the other points made about him, that he is a moderate in Russian politics, not a hardliner, and that he was originally sympathetic to the pro-West camp, before years of having to deal with US aggression and dishonesty made him turn away.
Thank you for all of your excellent posts, links, analysis, quotes, etc on this topic. Hugely appreciated.
Cheers, Amtrup, you’re very welcome.
Just as in the early days of the covid hysteria, or the BLM hysteria, there are relatively few of us who see through it and fewer who are willing to speak out.
But the truth does have advantages in the longer run.
Invaluable posts, Mark. I’m very grateful.
I watched the events of 2013-14 with horror, and wondered what madness would result. It’s been compounded by the general insanity and the abysmal quality of so much western “leadership”.
Finding your way through that quagmire is no easy task!
Very welcome, AE, I’ve found your posts very interesting as well..
I second this – massively appreciated.
Cheers, SallyM. Likewise, welcome.
Russia is very good at inflicting starvation and genocide
I’m sure you’ll be delighted to know that in your support of the Ukrainian nazis you’re standing side by side with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad:
“Ahmadinejad’s views obtained some currency in some circles but are regarded as fringe by a great majority of the public here. I think it would be useful to translate at least parts of his statements in order to have a more well-rounded understanding of various perspectives inside Iran.
In a videotaped statement he released about the events (see here), he declared (I transcribe and translate):
I do not intent to translate the entire 13-minute statement. In the last couple of minutes of his script-reading speech, he finishes with the following pronouncements:
http://thesaker.is/deconstructing-the-islamic-republic-of-irans-position-regarding-russia-ukraine-crisis/
You must be so proud!
Reading that UnHerd piece on Shanghai, I can easily imagine feeling a need in the near future to scrawl “DON’T GET TESTED” on walls.
Certainly don’t get tested if you “feel a bit unwell” or you have a cold or even flu. Don’t even consider it.
The latest stage of the criminal saga of extending the scope of water fluoridation has arrived.
Plainly HMG regards the population as a toxic, undifferentiated biomass to be involuntarily and needlessly medicated to no safe or meaningful effect, all the while having the taxpayer purse filched presumably to the benefit of some component of the private sector.
https://www.gov.uk/government/consultations/water-fluoridation-seeking-views-on-future-consultation-process
For earlier coverage see
https://dailysceptic.org/2022/04/01/how-the-medical-establishment-covers-up-the-harms-of-adding-fluoride-to-drinking-water/
My earlier comments containing links etc:
https://dailysceptic.org/2022/03/10/news-round-up-365/#comment-751510
https://dailysceptic.org/2022/03/10/news-round-up-365/#comment-764708
– in the latter I set out my MP’s reply as follows:
I don’t care what PHE’s opinion in the matter might happen to be, because if I have learned anything over the last two years, it is that HMG has shown itself able and willing to deceive the population in a most grievous and unjustifiable manner.
The following, also posted previously, contains interesting remarks on earlier statistical ‘justification’ for mass medicating the population for the dubious benefit of a tiny minority without regard to pollution of the environment and risk of injurious “side effects”:
https://www.checktheevidence.com/wordpress/2021/10/11/the-case-against-water-fluoridation/
Presentation to Wakefield Council’s Overview and Scrutiny Committee: The Case against Water Fluoridation. January 2016Author: Joy Warren, BSc. (Hons) Env. Sci., Coordinator, UK Alliance Opposed to Water Fluoridation
Thailand pays out B1.7bn for adverse jab effects.
Some 9,938 people have each received up to 100,000 baht for milder reactions, while 426 got 100,000 to 240,000 baht each for more permanent conditions that could have been caused by the vaccine, such as losing functions of their limbs or becoming temporarily disabled.
Compensation up to 400,000 baht has been awarded to the 3,670 families of people who died as their deaths were attributed to the vaccines, said Mr Jadet.
https://www.bangkokpost.com/thailand/general/2292514/b1-7bn-for-adverse-jab-effects
Doctors say ‘No’, politicians say ‘Go’. Stop the 5-to-11s ‘offer’
https://www.crowdjustice.com/case/no-benefit-all-risk-for-5-to-/
by Children’s Covid Vaccines Advisory Council (CCVAC)
Stand for freedom with our Yellow Boards By The Road next events
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There is no Bagshot Lane in Bracknell.
There is a Bagshot Rd. though.
https://www.google.com/maps/place/Hampden+Cres,+Bracknell+RG12+9NW/@51.4093572,-0.7486701,17z/data=!3m1!4b1!4m5!3m4!1s0x48767e18eaa752b1:0x95e446249b4a4b5b!8m2!3d51.4092226!4d-0.7464573
It can’t be said that the LD’s primary candidate for the Senate, Kate Fantinel, doesn’t have a sense of humour.
This was celebrated on GB News the other night as “proof the UK isn’t racist”. Dan Wootton and his guests failed to recognise (most likely deliberately) that the UK regime is emphatically racist against white people.
The attack focuses mainly on white men because they’re traditionally the protector of the family unit and the hunter gatherer. On all advertising, for example; black men have entirely replaced white men – especially those dating white women. It’s part of the psyops to destroy us as a people.
I don’t need to see studies and stats to know what is happening around me. It was the same with the covid scam. But hats off to Toby Young for sticking his neck out and saying it as it is, especially when even GB News applauds the deliberate damage being dealt upon white people.
“On all advertising, for example; black men have entirely replaced white men”
Not yet on plenty of advertising for outdoor clothing and equipment.
Too implausible, perhaps.
Good news at last – a shortage of the industrial seed oil (aka vegetable oil) sunflower oil from the Ukraine. Hopefully this will present an opportunity for people to really improve their health by switching to lard, or coconut oil or avocado oil – take your pick.
What’s wrong with olive oil?
Nowt, I love the stuff. Add it to the list.
Sunflower oil isn’t the healthiest option to cook with either because of its low smoking point. I stopped using it a long time ago. Rapeseed oil, otherwise known as bog-standard vegetable oil is better for cooking with, is high in Omega 6, and grown here. And it’s cheaper. The cold pressed version is very nice, btw.
Neither sunflower oil nor rapeseed are healthy. Seed oils in general are toxic waste and sunflower oil seems to be implicated in macular degeneration. If you were to ask me what three food items you could cut to greatly improve your health I would say sugar, industrial seed oils (they’re not really vegetable oils, which is a marketing term) and bread (aka slow cake).
Faddish suggestions: bread especially (other than white) is extremely good for one.
Not faddish at all, a high fat low carb diet is ideal for good metabolic health. Just because the bread you eat isn’t white, doesn’t mean it’s doing you any good.
Have a look at Cummins/Gerber: Eat Rich Live Long – just one of several books going back around 20 years explaining the role of insulin and leptin resistance in all manner of disease (MIRS/cardiovascular/cancer/bone attenuation) and what the main dietary causes are.
Of course to a limited extent anyway, one man’s meat is another man’s poison – at least, some can tolerate a particular food more than another may.
Here’s a useful link you might like to check out:
https://chriskresser.com/how-industrial-seed-oils-are-making-us-sick/
NB Being high in Omega 6 is not good. Ideally the ratio of Omega 6 to Omega 3 should be 1:1.
I have just bought a couple of blocks of lard (and I will get some more) as a hedge against future shortages of coking oils/fats. I have only recently discovered that seed oils aren’t as healthy as we thought. Block lard is extremely cheap, has a long date stamp and can also be frozen. I was brought up on the stuff!
I see that Dr Malone is suing the NYT for libel. If anyone is in contact with him, tell him it might be an idea to sue in the English courts, where proving libel is fairly easy and the burden of proof is on the defendant (yes, really). The USA is possibly the most difficult country to pursue such cases, due to its (wise) first amendment.
He blocks comments on his Substack except from (paid) subscribers.
Lots of people in the UK read the NYT online nowadays; it carries considerable influence. So it should be possible to bring a case in London.
Or in the Republic of Ireland, where the burden of proof for libel is even lower still.
Reliable & Affordable Electricity Means Unscrambling Subsidised Wind & Solar Debacle
https://stopthesethings.com/2022/04/09/reliable-affordable-electricity-means-unscrambling-subsidised-wind-solar-debacle/
by stopthesethings
Stand for freedom with our Yellow Boards By The Road next events
Saturday 9th April 2pm to 3pm TODAY SATURDAY
Yellow Boards
Loddon Bridge, A329 Reading Rd,
Winnersh (Outside Showcase)
Wokingham RG41 5HG
Tuesday 12th April 5.30pm to 6.30pm
Yellow Boards By the Road
Junction Broad Lane/
A3095 Bagshot Lane
Bracknell RG12 9NW
Stand in the Park Sundays from 10am – make friends & keep sane
Wokingham Howard Palmer Gardens
(Cockpit Path car park free on Sunday)
Sturges Rd RG40 2HD
Bracknell
South Hill Park, Rear Lawn, RG12 7PA
Telegram http://t.me/astandintheparkbracknell
Mrs FP came across a proper total maskateer this morning: a close to 6ft Amazon masked to the max had the misfortune to cross paths when my wife had the audacity to “SNEEZE”: said Amazon tutted loudly so everybody would hear and of course almost ran into the middle of the road.
As my late mother used to say, “They’re afraid of the wind blowing on em”
PATHETIC!!!
@ Toby, Noah and Will. Four seriously interesting articles today (9 April) all supplying well researched new fact. So much more informative than today’s “news” that Boris met Volod, Melenchon is up in the polls, President Biden said something etc etc. Keep it up!