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Is Newham ‘More Trans’ Than Brighton? Only If You Trust the Wonky Census Data

by Ian Macleod
9 April 2023 3:00 PM

Michael Biggs, an associate professor in the Department of Sociology at Oxford, has written an illuminating piece in the Spectator criticising the effort in the recent census to determine how many transgender people there are in England and Wales. As he points out, the way some questions were posed renders the findings unreliable – such as the bizarre stat that there are more trans people in the London boroughs of Brent and Newham than there are in Brighton.

Here is an extract:

The problem began with the question itself. The ONS did not ask a plain question like: “Are you transgender?” Instead, it chose a convoluted formulation: “Is the gender you identify with the same as your sex registered at birth?”

Those who answered “no” could then write in their gender identity. This question assumes that everyone has a gender identity. It also assumes that everyone was registered at birth. As the human rights campaigner Maya Forstater has emphasised, some immigrants were not registered at birth. The question could have puzzled many respondents outside the professional and managerial classes. How many of them mistakenly answered in the negative?

Anomalies appear when we look at the distribution of the transgender population by local authority. Newham and Brent top the list, with 1.5% and 1.3% respectively. Brighton and Hove, with 1%, ranks only 20th. Yet Brighton is the LGBTQ capital of Britain, home to the country’s longest-running Trans Pride celebration. It is also the site of two universities, including the University of Sussex where some transgender activists and their allies effectively ousted philosopher Kathleen Stock for writing about sex. Could Brighton really have a less salubrious climate for trans people than Newham? It seems unlikely.

This data is also hard to tally with that gathered from a petition to reform the Gender Recognition Act, launched by trans activists in 2021, which attracted 118,000 signatories from England and Wales. By comparing the distribution of signatures to the distribution of the transgender population according to the census, we see that the correlation between the two distributions across all 331 local authorities is close to zero. Brighton and Hove, for example, had more signatories, relative to adult population, than anywhere else except the City of London. Newham and Brent, by contrast, had relatively few signatories, ranking 303rd and 304th respectively.

If places like Newham and Brent had so few inhabitants willing to sign a pro-transgender petition, what accounts for their prominence in the census transgender figures? What these boroughs have are many immigrants for whom English is a second language, and who are therefore liable to be confused by a convoluted question on gender identity. The strongest predictor of the transgender population across 331 local authorities, as measured by the census, is the proportion of people whose main language is not English.

Worth reading in full.

Stop Press: Noah Carl has done his own analysis of the recent census Much of what he unearths corroborates Biggs’s findings. Carl focusses on the unusually high proportion of non-responses to the gender questions and explains how that tarnishes the results.

Tags: Gender IdentityGender IdeologyMichael BiggsONSTransTransgenderism

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8 Comments
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Mogwai
Mogwai
2 years ago

Loving this woman’s 5 minute speech. You go girl!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QsBSt5SuYOk&ab_channel=Kellie-JayKeen

16
0
Mogwai
Mogwai
2 years ago
Reply to  Mogwai

Just so as I’m not accused of being biased or one-sided ( or a militant, narcissistic feminist…. Oops, too late! ), I also like Miss Whitty’s intelligent and well-reasoned take on the matter;

https://twitter.com/IrishProtector/status/1644419124439707653

8
0
RW
RW
2 years ago
Reply to  Mogwai

Nice, rallying speech. But I’m still wondering in what kind of strange universe these people live. My grandma fled from Königsberg before the Russians conquered it. She took her two small children, the boy being 6 and his sister 4 or 5 with her, she then then raised alone in postwar Germany as she never saw her husband alive again. Her son became a teacher and her daughter a customs offifical. The daughter developed MS in her late thirties or early fourties and became progessively worse until she had lost almost all power of directed movement. She continued to live with her mother who cared for her for as long as she physically could (eventuallly succumbed to dementia in her nineties). I very much doubt that anybody ever thought of questioning whether or not she knew her own mind while she was still capable of running the show.

Maybe that’s an issue of different cultures.

8
0
Smotters
Smotters
2 years ago
Reply to  Mogwai

Posie has been a pioneer in taking on the trans activists since at least 2018. You should watch her first (of three) Triggernometry interviews where she lays down her cards (it is the most viewed of all their videos to date!). Love her. A real stand out woman of class and courage 💪

13
0
LaptopMaestro
LaptopMaestro
2 years ago

Trusting “governmant data” is a mug’s game

30
0
EppingBlogger
EppingBlogger
2 years ago

What a joke.

Newham is heavily Bangladeshi Muslim. There is no way any of their children would go home to say they were other than straight.

we k ow the practices of certain countries which are Muslim but that is with boys and it is not permitted to follow non straight preferences.

16
0
7941MHKB
7941MHKB
2 years ago

Unfortunately the recent census was obviously the very worst ever conducted. It was most likely designed to be so.
Just compare the total population figures with NHS registration figures.

I remember being a bit skint in 1971 and signing up for assisting with the actual census operation. Quite a lot of planning, preparation and on the actual day everywhere that anyone might be dossing down (garages, outbuildings, old caravans) checked for any stray inhabitant. Failing to complete the form properly? See you in Court!

The latest one, people openly stating that they would NEVER complete the form! Were there any prosecutions?
None reported that I am aware of.

You think our Beloved Leaders really wanted documentation of how many illegal invaders were in the Country?

Draw your own conclusions.

10
0
FerdIII
FerdIII
2 years ago

Muslim areas are tranny? Propaganda and nonsense. Brighton is 50% retard, the gay capital of Europe it calls itself (we live not far), the trans capital of England. A good place to use for RAF practice. Soon everyone will be tranny, with the ‘science’ saying 110% of the pop self identify as a flower, cat, or transexual Hindu Muslim. Lots of money in the drugs and therapy and apparently a need to destroy the family and hetero-normalcy.

9
0

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