Remember that time an alien spacecraft destroyed a Lincolnshire wind-turbine back in 2009? No? Well, that’s because it didn’t really happen, despite highly misleading tabloid media front pages of the day like this:
The ruined Eco-Tricity turbine in question suffered a severe failure overnight, losing one blade and with another left damaged during a time-period when one Lincolnshire local claimed to have witnessed “a round, white light that seemed to be hovering” nearby. Disappointingly, the “massive balls of light with tentacles going right down to the ground” reported by other observers would appear to have actually been a misinterpretation of mundane birthday fireworks being set off nearby, not a sensational assault from any hovering fossil fuel-powered alien spacecraft.
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There was an interesting link on the previous thread about delays in death reporting leading to a statistical artefact that makes the vaccines look like they work even if they are placebos
In summary – if you compare deaths today against vaccinated population today you are underestimating the mortality rate of the vaccinated cohort. It should be deaths today divided by the number in the vaccinated cohort 2-4 weeks ago when they contracted it. With an increasing vaccinated cohort you will always overestimate vaccine efficacy.
The attached shows the apparent mortality rate of a placebo vaccine where deaths today are divided by the size of the vaccine cohort today but the deaths are delayed by 4 weeks from contracting covid.
weeks since vaccine rollout along bottom
https://probabilityandlaw.blogspot.com/2021/11/is-vaccine-efficacy-statistical-illusion.html
This link was in the previous article as well and is well worth repeatingFrom July 2020 Coronavirus lockdown could cause ‘200,000 extra deaths’
https://metro.co.uk/2020/07/20/coronavirus-lockdown-cause-200000-extra-deaths-13014848/
Saving the NHS sure does seem to massacre a lot of people.
it was a fascinating article that assumed
1 – a vaccine rollout that was a placebo
2 – deaths from all causes being constant across both groups
3 – a 1 week delay in death reporting
4 – calculating mortality in vacced and unvacced groups by dividing all cause deaths today by size of cohort today
I repeated the analysis but assumed there was a virus going round , it infects equally among vaccinated and unvaccinated cohort and leads to death 4 weeks later. Apparent mortality from the virus is deaths today/size of cohort today (but it should be size of cohort a month ago)
And finally….
After 18 months of blaming covid, finally the bbc does an article with context. The nhs was never overrun as per the data, its always been about its efficiency, effectiveness and economy.
Staffing and social care (bed blockers) being the real issues. I should know, I worked in the system. Covid was and is just a side show.
However, still the bbc don’t get it. Its not about increased spending, its about performance / outcomes.
Privatise (at least in part) the nhs and save us all!
NHS grinding to halt and why it’s getting worse – BBC News
De-extorting NHS funding is key!
I knew that would be by Nick Triggle before I even clicked. He’s one of the last remaining voices of reason and evidence in that accursed institution.
That throwing more and more money at the NHS never works is without question. That it should be the eternal solution is insane.
It’s the structure. No bureaucracy of 1.4 million people can ever be remotely functional. As a senior nurse at the RHU in Bath told me a while back, when I asked her about the cult of management in the NHS – “Management? Dickheads with clipboards who stop us working”
Amen to that. Not to mention that the NHS has now been turned into a holy cult, and medics a priestly caste. **** that
Isn’t it funny (in a not-funny way) that these supposedly independent news outlets run almost exactly the same stories as one another? I saw a very similar article to the one you link to above on the guardian.
Most ridiculous is the ‘Independent’ newspaper. Who are they trying to kid? They bend over backwards to push government policy.
I get the impression the NHS has already been flogged off – seems like all their work is now ‘outsourced’ and done by for-profit private companies.
I’m seeing people posting on SM (one iSage member in particular) claiming it’s all caused by government mismanagement of the pandemic.
Dare I say it was people like them who were screaming that all resources be used up trying to eradicate a virus (billions of pounds spent) and are now trying to say the NHS has been underfunded.
Perhaps a more balanced approach on distributing resources may have led to a better outcome?
It was policy – consistent with planned population cull.
‘Voluntary’ sector bought by World’s government some time ago; they’re in ‘lock-step’. Hence zero out-cry against policy when instituted end March/early April 20.
Out-cry now to maintain fear of death to get more ‘funding’ and increase tax
NHS staff are being told that they no longer need to self-declare whether they’ve had the jab or not… because their medical details will be shared by the central medical database.
Around a year ago, we were told we can object to this from happening and we just needed to complete a form and send it to our local GP and ‘opt-out’ online of our details being passed around. I wonder where those in the NHS who ‘opted-out’ stand?
And everyone else who ‘opted-out’
Yes absolutely. This is undoubtedly the introduction to the vaxport for all of us, whether we’re in England, Scotland or Wales.
The State has presumably opted not to honour our mere expressions of opinion.
Just Google ‘my medical files’ and Google will share them with you.
I think in the PHE vaccine surveillance reports there was a column for individuals whose NHS numbers were unavailable to link to NIMS. My initial interpretation of that is that this might be or include those who have opted out of having their data used.
I wonder to what extent the following would also be true:
“Record Number of People Waiting for Vital Heart Scans Due to COVID vaccine injury”
I know no one who has died or been made seriously ill due to COVID, but I know two young, fit men who have had heart “anomalies” requiring hospital treatment following vaccination.
Similar experience, nobody I know has had or even suspected they had symptomatic Covid, but… one dead, two strokes, two MIs all post vaccine, one clotting issues. And, of course, all (Despite Bradford-Hill criteria) nothing to do with the vaccines.
Before winter 2020, the last time I lost a friend/family member was my grandmother over 20 years ago. Since winter 2020, I’ve lost 6 close family friends. Two suicides, one a stroke, two from heart-attacks and I know for certain one died less than 2 weeks after getting the jab.
Still no one I know has died because of covid.
they seem very keen on everyone who is vaccinated getting boosters
but less keen on giving the first doses to the unvaccinated – they haven’t contacted me for 8 months after an initial flurry of phone calls and texts
I had a blue envelope through the door last week, which I put, unopened, on top of the unopened one from the springtime.
Perhaps because I have never made any contact with the Regime for the past two years they have me down as a “contact details unknown” person.
If it’s addressed to “The Occupant”, just returned, noting “Not known here…” TVLA get one of those from us regularly…
The paper quality isn’t too bad, so anything which smacks of “NHS” goes straight into the shredder. There, it is admixed with shredded cardboard boxes, which form the “brown” compost element, and thence into the compost bins.
The most recent blue missive was about the flu jab; at least mine was. I had a blue envelope last year, around March-April about the jab, and nothing at all since, no letter, no email, no text, no phone call. They did – apparently – have door-knockers in our ward of low jab uptake, but no-one knocked at mine, more’s the pity.
Same here. Each step seems to be producing diminishing returns for them.
They must be disappointed in the vaccines.
Doesn’t stop you getting it or passing it on. Wanes over several months.
If you do the calculations of benefit vs health you might come up with some policy to vaccinate people. That calculation looks very different if you have to vaccinate them every 6 months for life.
I’ll stick with my natural immunity until someone can make a strong case otherwise (which I can’t foresee).
But you can’t stick to “natural immunity” if you want to keep a job or eat at a restaurant or go to a play or a sporting event, or attend college, etc.
The world-wide trend is now obvious: “Freedom” only for those who are fully vaccinated and fully vaccinated now means getting a booster jab every six months.
I think they have looked at the real figures that show that around 5-6 months after vaccination the negative effect kicks in and as many people are coming up to that point we could see a large number of double vaccinated infections unless they go for the boosters.
my prediction is that the boosters will wane even quicker. why would an immune system wait until its 3rd 4th or 5th exposure to have a long lasting response?
Virus (vaccine) Interference and Original Antigenic Sin are real, but vaccine manufacturers are ignoring the dangerous effects.
I made it clear to my GP way back, with supporting medical papers, that I would not have the jab. Get NHS texts occasionally, but none from my local practice.
It’s NHS England which are the problem – they absolutely refuse to allow any opt-out from their letters and texts.
It’s clear from the language used in press-conferences and govt statements that they have already, tacitly at least, relegated the unjabbed to being “non-persons”. Together with Johnson’s carefully worded statement relating to “booster” making life easier, it implicitly demonstrates that they will introduce a system of jab-related permissions to travel, work, socialise. They want to concentrate their efforts to ensure that those who have been double-jabbed will keep up with the programme. Otherwise they lose an awful number of taxpayers.
“There were no incidents in Slovenia on the first day of tighter epidemiological restrictions, with some dissatisfaction among unvaccinated citizens, mostly drivers who were unable to refuel their cars without a COVID-19 certificate.”
https://hr.n1info.com/english/news/slovenia-drivers-must-present-covid-certificate-in-order-to-refuel-cars/
I’ve not heard from them for a while either – long may it continue. If I receive any more blue envelopes I shall probably cross through the address, write ‘Unsolicited junkmail – return to sender’ on it and stick it back in the post!
The experimental gene therapy ‘vaccines’ bring on heart problems and the need for heart scans.
Protect and save the NHS – don’t get jabbed
Our friends, who most of the time live in Spain but maintain an apartment here in the U.K. (and pay taxes here) , have come over for medical treatment. He has had his cancer scan postponed this morning while they were in the taxi on the way to the hospital. He is due a heart scan next week also.
They flew over last week and today also received a call from T and T to say they had been a contact of someone with a positive “test” on 8th November (on the flight over?) so now have to isolate for 2 days. They have both been triple jabbed but their Pfizer vaccines are not acceptable in the U.K. as they were administered in Spain. Naturally they are bemused that they have been able to go about their normal lives for 8 days up until today.
As my friend says, they have done everything by the book and are being punished for it. They should have tried the rubber dinghy method!
Then they should tell Test and Trace of all the people they have been in contact with during the past 8 days, including everyone at the Police station, everyone at the local council offices, Mark Drakeford, Nicola Sturgeon, and, of course, the 16 Tesco stores they visited.
These and other issues (vaccine deaths including from initially sub-clinical damage) are showing in the all cause death data
Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional out today
In the week ending 5 November 2021 (Week 44), 11,550 deaths were registered in England and Wales; this was 563 more deaths than the previous week (Week 43) and 16.8% above the five-year average (1,659 more deaths).
It looks bad in all adult age groups. Here is the chart for the 65-74 age group. A zoomed in version of the Florence Nightingale chart appears in the reply. Appears to be worsening in the older age groups again. Boosters?
And here’s the zoomed in chart (it’s per million in age group at mid-year)
By the way thanks for the suggestions on improving the charts. Some of the good ideas I haven’t incorporated yet because they aren’t straightforward to do.
still better than 2008 though (as was 2020)
The weekly age banded data only goes back to 2010. But the monthly age standardised mortality (ASM) goes back to 2001.
You can just about see from that (see attached for England) that in terms of ASM, which typically reflects mortality in the older groups, because death numbers are massively higher in those age groups, has been on an improving trend since 2001 until 2019.
So what I can only put down to lack of access to healthcare and vaccine adverse reactions (numbers say its not deaths from covid) has pushed us back to about 2008-2010 mortality levels it seems if we judge by current mortality levels.
One way to look at it is all the harm from the damaging pandemic responses and dangerous experimental vaccines only pushes us back to 2008 mortality. Another way to look at it is as significant unnecessary death caused by the pandemic response and potentially the vaccines. It may be unreasonable to expect the mortality improvements to have continued, but it’s another thing for mortality to regress to 2008-2010 levels. So I favour the latter viewpoint of unnecessary death albeit we need to put it in context.
What are your thoughts? How do you view it?
this is an important table
https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus/transparencyandgovernance/freedomofinformationfoi/deathsintheukfrom1990to2020
improvements year on year, a slight tick up in 2020 back to 2008 levels – probably dry tinder
not really spanish flu
all cause mortality a little above 5 years average but that could be due to lockdown and missed appointments, stress etc
I still think 95% of covid deaths were old age and that if we count them as covid then 200,000 people die of colds every year
You seem to be talking mainly about the effect of covid (as in the disease not the positive test) and what happened in say Spring 2020. And arguing that the effect of genuine covid was minimal because of the dry tinder affect and it affecting those at end of life already. All reasonable, and I wouldn’t disagree.
But I’m talking about a completely different thing which is the higher mortality now (November 2021) when there is essentially no covid about (the disease not the positive test). Should we not be pointing out and trying to ascertain the cause of the current higher mortality? (even if it is only pushing us back to 2008).
there is higher mortality now compared to the last 5 years, a period of exceptionally low mortality. we have a panicked population, vaccines, boosters, old people having things shoved up their nose by people in hazmat suits, a failed NHS that only cares about something that is benign, missed cancer diagnosis, lockdown induced suicide, depression, obesity and alcoholism etc. very hard to disentangle
if we had never had any covid but told people there was and locked down and everything else – I would expect a higher death rate now – that it is higher than the last 5 years but low by historic standards is a blessing
I vote for this statement: “Another way to look at it is as significant unnecessary death caused by the pandemic response and potentially the vaccines.”
Bottom line: The pandemic response made “public health” worse and the vaccines may have done the same (especially in the under 65 cohorts).
This backlog helps conceal vaccine adverse effects. This has all been planned deliberately.
Was the young man’s heart inflammation a result of the vaccine? No no no says the Good Doctor, it was because he had to wait six weeks for a scan, so sorry.
It’s clear it’s a cover up for the effects of the vaxxine unfortunately most people are in denial.
Next year they’ll probably stop reporting/somehow alter all cause mortality data to hide the obvious.
as the disease is endemic the whole ‘with’ or ‘from’ argument becomes more important
I might die within 28 days of having athlete’s foot but certainly not from it
or Strep A. It does kill quite a few (with immune damage), but if you tested you’d have another casedemic
in my age band about 89% of people who die ‘with’ covid are double vaccinated
85% in that age group are double vaccinated
it just doesn’t look like an amazing vaccine to me
certainly after recovering from a mild dose, why would I sign up to a boosters for life programme?
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1032859/Vaccine_surveillance_report_-_week_45.pdf
Why? To maintain your social credit score.
Will soon be the honest answer.
Home heating, transport and mobility, healthcare: the future is looking a lot like the past, isn’t it?
does anyone have a link to a good explanation of the maths behind
Test Negative Case Control?
Off topic
You may have heard by now that the NSW government opted to extend its SOE powers until March of 2023. You may also have heard that the NSW government did a hard 180 on the extension of the SOE powers. As far as I can tell, both of these things are real.
This, from Reignite Democracy Australia, might explain the first thing.
About 57,000 people in NSW did not come back for a second COVID-19 vaccine, prompting health authorities to stress it is not too late to complete the course…
More than 40,600 people in the state received their first Pfizer vaccine more than six weeks ago but have not had a second, according to the Australian Immunisation Register. An additional 16,100 are past 12 weeks since their first AstraZeneca shot. About 500 people have waited longer than six weeks without getting a second Moderna vaccine.
A new demographic is emerging: the booster resistant.
maybe they have realised there is a difference between vaccine, booster and life-long 6-monthly injections
“Sarah Woolnough, the Chief Executive of the British Lung Foundation, said the growing number of undiagnosed patients was a “ticking timebomb” for the NHS.”
Not to mention all those young people with Myocarditis or Pericarditis from the jabs…
As one who has ARVC, a serious heart condition, I must say I’ve seen none of this.
Care has been superb from both the Oxford Radcliffe and Northampton General, as well as my brilliant GP.
Well, you know what they say, it’s the exceptions …..
just another tory scam :
So the NHS has had an above-inflation rise in spending every year since 1949?
“Sarah Woolnough, the Chief Executive of the British Lung Foundation, said the growing number of undiagnosed patients was a “ticking timebomb” for the NHS.”
Not that great for the patients either!!
Covid Vaccines are Epic Failure: Does not protect, kills more
https://hannenabintuherland.com/?mailpoet_router&endpoint=track&action=click&data=WzEzODI2LCI2ZDQ5NjcxYTRlMGE2Y2U3MjNhNjlhNGE2YmQ2NWE0NSIsIjIwOSIsImNlZmM4NzMwNzFjMSIsZmFsc2Vd
Ouch!
This is why :
Not sure if this has been posted before. If so, apologies for the duplication.
Natural Immunity beats “vaccine” by 27 timesIsraeli study: Comparing SARS-CoV-2 natural immunity to vaccine-induced immunity: reinfections versus breakthrough infections.
https://drtrozzi.org/2021/11/16/natural-immunity-beats-vaccine-by-27-times/
Incidentally, if the “mass sacking of NHS staff who refuse to be vaccinated” does happen, has anyone whispered in Saint Boris’s ear “er… Mr Johnson… sir… has it not occurred to you that if we lay them all off at once, we will then be deafened by whistleblowing?” Those who are digging their heels in have time to find alternative careers, and lawyers to protect them.
I suppose it’s too much to hope for that Saint Boris and his merry men are merely bluffing, playing for time, and they are hoping that by then, the plandemic (which they might or might not have created) will have gone away enough for them to say “actually… we don’t need them all jabbed after all”.
Joe Rogan said his doctor, Pierre Kory, is part of a group that has used Ivermectin to quietly treat 200 Members of U.S. Congress for COVID19. Dr Simone Gold, from America’s Frontline Doctors, told that she has prescribed treatments for Congress. She still believes in her oath, but she is vocal saying she has been contacted by many in DC. Can you believe these demons? Healing for them are OK but not for us. Get your Ivermectin while you still can! https://ivmpharmacy.com