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Energy Geopolitics in a Putin-Trump World

by Tilak Doshi
24 February 2025 7:00 AM

It can only be described as a geopolitical earthquake, a pivotal moment in global affairs. High-ranking US and Russian officials met in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday to discuss normalisation of relations, economic cooperation and a range of other issues including possible solutions to the Ukraine war and a potential summit between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin. The US and Russia represent the world’s largest and third largest oil producers and the largest two gas producers respectively. 

A successful rapprochement between the two countries will bring about a seismic shift in global energy trends, one which promises to further move Europe and the UK into geopolitical irrelevance while advancing the interests of the rest of the world. 


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Tags: Donald TrumpEnergy CostsFossil fuelsGeopoliticsVladimir Putin

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25 Comments
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Art Simtotic
Art Simtotic
2 months ago

Right on, Secretary of State Wright.

Meanwhile that graph showing UK top of the league table of industrial-energy prices in 2023 tells us all we need to know about betrayal of British industry (and citizenry) by a succession of febrile governments, led by feeble-minded politicians all the way back to the 2008 Climate Claptrap Act.

Act for repealing ASAP, Messrs Farage, Tice and Leader-in-waiting Lowe. No pulling punches, please.

Last edited 2 months ago by Art Simtotic
27
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stewart
stewart
2 months ago

The globalist faction let by the European establishment and the left + neocon factions of the American establishment have been leading the world in the last couple of decades and have failed spectacularly.

Starting with the disastrous Iraq war, the climate agenda, the ultra-liberal social agenda, the attempted totalitarian COVID take over. Everything these people have done has been a total catastrophe.

Thankfully, finally they are being kicked to the curb side, at least in the US. Let’s hope Trump can get the job done and what follows is a more reality based, more sensible, less confrontational world.

And lets hope that in Europe (including here in the UK), enough of the population wake up in time to throw out the bureaucrat, totalitarian bums that are ruining our existence, before it’s too late.

18
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transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
2 months ago
Reply to  stewart

Not much hope coming from Germany – see the election results.

6
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Sforzesca
Sforzesca
2 months ago
Reply to  transmissionofflame

It’s very interesting though that as I understand it, in the whole of what was East Germany, AFD was the majority party.
So, they’re either all Putin lovers or, far more likely, know what it is to live under a totalitarian regime. The latter view is further supported by the fact that those in East Germany were the least vaccinated.. The same is true of most East European countries – who also tend to be in favour of not wasting lives and money in trying to defeat Russia.

6
0
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
2 months ago
Reply to  Sforzesca

Yes there do seem to be correlations like that. Prosperity combined with an excess of “do-gooding” tendencies corrupt. Arguably the excessive (often quite fake) “niceness” is enabled by/emerges with increased material prosperity.

7
0
Marcus Aurelius knew
Marcus Aurelius knew
2 months ago
Reply to  Sforzesca

And in other countries, even France, there is a thriving black market.

Doing business with those around you using your own currencies, i.e. not their fiat sh*te.

I don’t trust any official statistics, certainly not official statistics about the strength of the economy. The official statistics do not capture real life, they never have, how could they?

Do the government-approved statisticians capture the number of people using wood for almost all of their energy needs? Of course not. No more than they knew really how many people succumbed to their jabs.

Last edited 2 months ago by Marcus Aurelius knew
10
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soundofreason
soundofreason
2 months ago
Reply to  Marcus Aurelius knew

A friend lives in a very rural village fairly near Poitiers. He used to do weekend commuting to work in London and was a fan of the TGV and Channel Tunnel.
When he first moved there he tried to buy wood for his heating and cooking range but he found that he couldn’t. Locals didn’t want his Euros – they wanted reciprocal favours. A neighbour delivered a cord of wood with no agreement in place and simply said ‘we’ll work something out’ (only in French). He’s now been there 15 years. He loves the place.

10
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klf
klf
2 months ago
Reply to  soundofreason

Very interesting. I can see bartering playing a part in everyday life here eventually.

4
0
Hardliner
Hardliner
2 months ago
Reply to  klf

It already does in the countryside…………..

4
0
soundofreason
soundofreason
2 months ago
Reply to  Hardliner

I just spoke to him this morning. He says the deal was eventually a 5-cornered deal with the local hotellier, the owner of the woods, the neighbour who did the hauling and another neighbour.

Owner of the woods contributed game shooting rights
The already mentioned neighbour cut and hauled wood
My freind contributed an upgraded track and permission to use it.
Other neighbour also contributed access across his land and labour linked to track
Hotellier brought in yuppies for weekend shooting parties and served them game dinners which they thought they’d hunted (you don’t serve game the same day it’s shot).

All thrashed out over quite a few glasses of pineau. Everyone happy, almost no money spent within the village – just money coming in.

7
0
Purpleone
Purpleone
2 months ago
Reply to  soundofreason

Brilliant – a circular economy old school style. The countryside is the last refuge of this as you say, because people tend to have real things of value… vs things they think are valuable

4
0
Purpleone
Purpleone
2 months ago
Reply to  klf

Bartering has never really gone away, we’ve just moved a step or two away from it, and use tokens that governments clip the edges off routinely to enable ‘growth’ (and to extract cash of course). Another example is in trying to remove cash – if I don’t have to bank cash, the value can remain 100%, however if I bank it, I lose a small percentage each time I do so, until it’s worth nothing. Same with debit and credit card charges – chip, chip, chip a small bit of value each time – say it’s for ‘convenience’ to sell concept to the masses, most of whom don’t understand the model or inflation etc…

Last edited 2 months ago by Purpleone
3
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RTSC
RTSC
2 months ago
Reply to  Sforzesca

The former Eastern Germany is already much poorer than the former West Germany. When West German living standards become more like those already in the east, west Germans will also start voting AfD. They’re not poor enough yet …. but it’s coming.

6
0
Gezza England
Gezza England
2 months ago
Reply to  Sforzesca

Yes, there is a map on Gateway Pundit showing the west CDU and the east bar fascist Berlin AfD. Only a few places were Green or SDP – less than 5. Time for unreunification. And the CDU are as Conservative as our Uniparty Tories are. I wonder how long the bickering to form a coalition will take, not to mention electing a Chancellor as Merz does not get the job automatically.

3
0
klf
klf
2 months ago
Reply to  stewart

lets hope that in Europe (including here in the UK), enough of the population wake up in time to throw out the bureaucrat, totalitarian bums that are ruining our existence, before it’s too late

I second that. I am perplexed that huge numbers of people, are willing to accept immiseration.

7
0
Monro
Monro
2 months ago

Looking forward to reviewing this article in 12 months time.

President Trump has picked his moment well….for the United States….but high level negotiations with Russia rarely survive transitioning to lower level detail.

‘Russia will likely face a number of materiel, manpower, and economic issues in 12 to 18 months if Ukrainian forces continue to inflict damage on Russian forces on the battlefield at the current rate.

Russia’s defense industrial base (DIB) cannot sustain Russia’s current armoured vehicle, artillery system, and ammunition burn rates in the medium-term.

Russia’s recruitment efforts appear to be slowing such that they cannot indefinitely replace Russia’s current casualty rates without an involuntary reserve mobilization, which Russian President Vladimir Putin has shown great reluctance to order.

Putin has mismanaged Russia’s economy, which is suffering from increased and unsustainable war spending, growing inflation, significant labour shortages, and reductions in Russia’s sovereign wealth fund.

These issues will present difficult decision points to Putin in 2026 or 2027

US military aid to Ukraine has let Ukraine drive Russia towards a critical moment when Putin will have to make hard choices.

The United States can accelerate the moment when Putin must grapple with these interlocking problems and can likely coerce Russia into making the concessions on its demands necessary to secure a peace acceptable to the United States, Ukraine, and Europe.’

So let’s have a look at where we stand in February 2026.

Last edited 2 months ago by Monro
2
-2
BillT
BillT
2 months ago
Reply to  Monro

Agreed. It’s not quite as simple as “the Russian economy is booming”. The raw figures suggest it might be, but Putin has shifted to a guns-before-butter attitude (almost literally, as I hear that butter is kept locked up in Russian supermarkets to guard against theft). So, the economy grows, but doesn’t produce things people want. The British Economy was flat out 1939-45, but the population experienced strict rationing of just about everything. Putin also has a severe manpower shortage: not surprising when young and middle aged men are casualties or just run away.

2
-1
Solentviews
Solentviews
2 months ago
Reply to  Monro

If Russia were winning on all fronts, then it wouldn’t consider a ceasefire. It realises that in continuing this war, it is not doing itself any favours. Therefore, if it has a chance of stopping, whilst retaining the captured territory, it will certainly take it. (Especially with the USA stating that NATO membership is off the table for Ukraine).

Putin saves face and can restart his economy. Trump ends the war (saving face) and also saves money. The idea that the war can be fought until the Russians were ‘pushed back across their borders’ was always delusional. Unfortunately, that has been the stance of the Uniparty.

3
-2
Monro
Monro
2 months ago
Reply to  Solentviews

Certainly delusional without buy in from U.S. and Germany.

The U.S., Germany and China had a similar strategy: Russia and Ukraine must not lose, or win.

0
-1
CGW
CGW
2 months ago
Reply to  Monro

And USA is in debt to the sum of $36.5 trillion and counting (https://www.usdebtclock.org/#).

Putin wants peace because he wants the killing of Russians to stop (of course) but also the killing of ‘fellow-Slav’ Ukrainians.

He never wanted the war but was forced to act due to the US and Western desire to destroy Russia or, more accurately, destroy Putin who was too strong (insufficiently subservient) for Europe or the EU.

What country allows its neighbour to install nuclear missiles aimed at its cities directly on its border? Not to mention the recurring slaughter of Donbas citizens since 2014 by the Ukrainian Bandera Nazis.

1
0
RTSC
RTSC
2 months ago

Trump is taking actions which will enrich Americans; end a proxy war with Russia and will benefit emerging economies in the global south.

Two-Tier, Red Ed and the Eco Nutters in the west are busily destroying their nations’ economies and are impoverishing their citizens. And it will make absolutely no difference to the climate.

Whoever they’re working for, it most certainly isn’t us.

12
0
klf
klf
2 months ago
Reply to  RTSC

Nicely summarised.

4
0
klf
klf
2 months ago

Very informative article.

As Europe and the UK cut back on defence expenditures to devote their resources to a bloated welfare state, supporting mass immigration and promoting quixotic Net Zero emission targets, European and British citizens face a cost of living crisis and the world’s most expensive energy and electricity prices.

This is demoralising, but I’m hopeful that these catastrophic policy decisions will now wither on the vine, as the rest of the world takes a different path.

8
0
Lockdown Sceptic
Lockdown Sceptic
2 months ago

Net Zero Destroys Economies

5
0
Gezza England
Gezza England
2 months ago
Reply to  Lockdown Sceptic

Yes, even if it is not the plan, but never underestimate how stupid these people are. Just look at MiliTwat.

2
0

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