Last year the mainstream public prints were full of Net Zero-inspired nonsense claiming that the Gulf Stream could collapse by 2025. Classic green fear-mongering of course inspired by the 2004 Hollywood blockbuster The Day After Tomorrow with its harrowing portrayal of weather-related natural disasters. The overturning of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) could plunge the North Atlantic into a new ice age and have dire weather impacts across the globe, according to a new study. The author, Peter Ditlevsen of the University of Copenhagen, told the constantly-alarmed Guardian: “I think we should be very worried.” But this was a scare story too far and even some scientists expressed doubt about it last year. Now, a new study has been published that points out this alarm about the collapsing Gulf Stream was contingent on unreliable climate models and any collapse could occur from now to infinity.
In other words, nobody knows, not least because the uncertainties are too large “to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data”. Pick your data and the AMOC collapses tomorrow or the day after never. The new study is important since it effectively debunks much of the climate ‘tipping point’ alarm that is commonly used to scare humanity to adopt the insane requirements of Net Zero.
The paper is mainly concerned with the AMOC and the Gulf Stream but also refers to the Amazon rainforest and the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets. It will be very difficult to dismiss or get retracted since the four authors are connected to the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, a noted green activist scientific operation. Last year, for instance, when the AMOC scare was raging through mainstream media, Potsdam Professor Stefan Rahmstorf said the Ditlevsen study added to the evidence that the AMOC collapse “is much nearer than we thought”. We can’t even rule out crossing the tipping point in the next decade or two, he added.
The authors warn that “uncertainties” arise from models and mechanistic methods along with historical data. These all need to be taken into account and propagated thoroughly “before attempting to estimate a future tipping time of any potential Earth system”. In plainer language this can be read as a need to check the ‘garbage in’ before notifying the BBC and the Guardian of the ‘garbage out’. The big problem lies in the “multiple levels of uncertainty” inherent in extrapolating from historical data. Referring to the Ditlevsen paper that caused such a stink last year, the authors say they show that the uncertainties, mostly around sea surface temperature data, were too large to predict a tipping point for the AMOC.
Climate tipping points have proven to be the go-to scare for eco-extremists of late. In 2022, the BBC’s chief green activist Justin Rowlatt presented a series of five radio programmes in which he “discovers” how global warming may trigger irreversible changes to our planet. Needless to say, the word ‘may’ did a lot of heavy lifting. Tipping points provide maximum alarm with minimal need for hard evidence. For instance, Rowlatt asked if “Antarctica changes will flood coastal cities for centuries to come”? No mention of course that the entire continent of Antarctica has shown little actual warming over the last 70 years at least. Rowlatt also “discovers” how global warming in the Arctic “may” trigger irreversible changes to our planet. Again no mention that Arctic sea ice has shown a small cyclical recovery over the last decade. Or that the Arctic was much warmer just a few thousand years ago. Rowlatt signs off on a cheery note asking if human society itself “could be on the cusp of its own tipping point”?
King Charles is supposed to be a constitutional monarch above political promotion and decision making in the U.K. But this hereditary monarch is an eco-warrior of long standing and he looks forward to the day when the world rids itself of hydrocarbon use – his own massive footprint being no doubt granted a necessary exception. At last year’s COP meeting in Dubai he flew by private jet to wear his eco Crown and launch into the Net Zero political fight. The world was said to be “dreadfully off track in addressing climate change”, whatever that meant, and he warned that “we are seeing tipping points being reached”. A lifetime of deference and not having to explain himself meant, well, that he didn’t explain himself. No evidence to back up his contentious political messages was provided.
Nearly 40 years ago extreme environmentalists joined force with hard Left collectivists to whip up the mother of all existential scares around natural cyclical variations in temperature. The notion that humans affect the global climate via hydrocarbons is heaven sent to those who seek global social and economic control. Hydrocarbons are an essential component of modern industrial life – it would be easier to list those goods and processes where they are not present. Those who control their use, and those who can mandate markedly inferior replacements, can determine every aspect of human life from diet to personal movement, living conditions and energy. Over the last 40 years the scientific process has been traduced and something called “the Science” declared ‘settled’. As the noted atmospheric scientist Richard Lindzen says, “The climate narrative is absurd, but trillions of dollars says it is not absurd.” All manner of fake weather statistics have been produced, oddballs claim to “attribute” extreme weather events to long-term changes in the climate, and computer models are somehow assumed to produce reasonable forecasts even though nearly all of their predictions have turned out to be wrong.
The sheer horror of Net Zero is becoming more apparent by the day. Removing all hydrocarbon use will cause millions, if not hundreds of millions, of people to die across the planet. The lessons of history teach us that when things get tight, people start to fight. Strong countries predate on the weaker ones, and nothing will weaken an economy more than an energy policy determined by the Mad Miliband in the U.K. or a President Giggles in the U.S. But there are signs that some sanity is being restored in climate science circles. Not least because most of the evidence-free scares are too ludicrous for an intelligent person to keep believing in.
To paraphrase a famous British prime minister: You tip if you want to, we are not for tipping.
Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.
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Morning all , my tech skills are Zilch I’m afraid so I can’t post links !!. If I could I would put IVOR CUMMINS talk he’s just done in Southampton called “How the World is Run” onto here ! I URGE you all to watch it ( Mogs I raised it yesterday ) It’s clear & Concise ! It puts everything into perspective . Let’s have a chat about it later 👍
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y6ooqNaj4rw
Cheers 👍 What do you think of Ivor’s presentation 🤔
He is always very good.
This is a bit too long for me.
I prefer to read rather than listen….
But he is, as usual, on the money.
LOL, I was just about to post something but Monro beat me to it. But I think mine isn’t the one you meant, not watched it either;
https://twitter.com/FatEmperor/status/1765361884641845527
Thanks , this is the same presentation so have a look if you get 5 👍
Hope And Freedom Not Woke Tyranny – latest leaflet to print at home and deliver to neighbours or forward to politicians, including your local Reform candidate, your local vicar, media and friends online.
Too right, but unfortunately ‘conservative’ has become a dirty word even with a small ‘c’.
This is because the Conservative party should be charged with crimes under the Trades Description Act. They have CONSERVED NOTHING: not our country, not our borders, not our heritage, not our culture, not our laws, not our economy, not our freedom of speech, not even our freedom of thought in the woke crapfest that gives more rights to men pretending to be women than real XX women. Woe betide anyone who mentions this publicly.
The Tories have been too busy trying to be faux-socialists, globalists and multiculturalist cowards to conserve anything of what used to be Britain. Instead of cleaning up Bliar’s filthy mess they have compounded it.
That is why they’re heading for a meltdown. Maybe they need a few years in the political wilderness to find themselves again. Or maybe they’re finished altogether.
Putin must now realise he’s been fighting the wrong war
Afghanistan has once more become a base for global terror attacks. Well done (not) President Biden.
No question that the Moscow terrorist attack was ISIS-K
‘Reports in Russia suggested the four main assailants detained by the FSB on Saturday were all from Tajikistan, a central Asian country whose citizens make up a large proportion of the members of Isis-K, according to analysts who monitor the group.’
‘Isis’s media channel Amaq published a gruesome video late on Saturday that was apparently filmed by one of the attackers. In it, a gunman can be seen shooting in the hallway of the auditorium at bodies on the floor, while another attacks people with a knife’
Polina Ivanova
‘Isis-K has planned several attacks in Europe in recent months but they were foiled…..’It’s about the convenience of the target.’……Previously the FSB focused almost entirely on the Islamist terror threat but since 2022, the majority of its statements have related to Ukraine.
Vera Mironova, Davis Center, Harvard University
Isis-K launched a suicide attack against the Russian embassy in Kabul in September 2022…….“Isis-K has even rolled out a Russian-language propaganda wing,”
Lucas Webber, MilitantWire
Many of those members come from Tajikistan, Mironova said — a poor country where large numbers of people travel to Russia as migrant workers. “In the Isis doctrine, Russia is as bad as the US, China and Iran,”
Asfandyar Mir, Institute for Peace.
“Russian foreign policy has been one big red flag for ISIS [ISIL]……..The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, Russian actions in Chechnya, Moscow’s close relationships with the Syrian and Iranian governments, and especially the military campaigns that Russia has waged against ISIS fighters in Syria and — through Wagner Group mercenaries – in parts of Africa.”
Michael Kugelman, Wilson Centre
“Russia’s engagement in the global fight against ISIS and its affiliates, especially through its military operations in Syria and its efforts to establish connections with the Afghan Taliban – ISIS-K’s rival – marks Russia as a key adversary for ISIS/ISIS-K,”
Prof. Amira Jadoon Clemson University
A brand new, comprehensive face-recognition system across Moscow that has been widely used to identify opposition protesters also failed to stop Friday’s attack.
And it took authorities an hour and a half to deploy special forces to the site in the Moscow suburb of Krasnogorsk because of heavy traffic jams.
“Where are the helicopters for speedy deployment to critical sites in the metropolitan conditions of Moscow? Where are the armed vehicles? Where are these pumped-up stern guys from [promotional] videos?” Mitrokhin (Nikolay Mitrokhin, research fellow at Germany’s University of Bremen) asked.
“We know where they are – burned down with their vehicles on the roads of the Kyiv region, sitting in underground holes near Donetsk or patrolling the Luhansk region … not where the real danger is but there the crazy president decided to wage a war,” he said.
Yep, and here are their evil mugs, looking like they’ve walked into a few doors. We all know the IDF would show Hamas scum they’d captured more mercy and better treatment then they’ll receive in Russia. I watched videos of them slicing a man’s throat repeatedly and they methodically just mowed innocent people down, including children, like they were playing Laser Quest. Sick, callous, vile dirtbags that deserve all they get;
”Moscow islamist terrorists appear in court.
One is literally unconscious in a wheelchair and the others are visibly banged up, with one having his ear sliced off and fed to him in a video circulating online.
If this treatment had been dished out by the IDF, there would be global protests, calls for ceasefire, and a case lodged at the ICJ.
137 people were killed, including three children, and more than 150 injured.”
https://twitter.com/MarkWRowley/status/1772138520112673068
The thing about Putin’s Russia (and the country under any of its leaders I suppose) is that they are quite unselfconscious about their brutality to attackers and it gets shown on TV. If those vile killers were on a ‘suicide mission’ I bet they’re now wishing they really were dead. Serves them right.
But how many of the Leftard anti-Semites whining about Israel’s justified retaliation against hamas rapists, kidnappers and killers will be off to Russia to protest about the terrible treatment of the isis scum?
Nah, London is a much nicer, safer venue to dump their manufactured outrage than Moscow. And the Met police are SO co-operative, arresting anyone who dares to protest that hamas is a terrorist group – as defined by the government, not to mention tear-gassing Tommy Robinson just for turning up.
Who performed the atrocity in Moscow is now clear so the question is who organized it. Both the US and UK consulates in Moscow warned their citizens in early March that a terrorist attack on a concert was imminent, apparently without directly informing their Russian colleagues. A concert at the same location (Crocus City Hall) around the time of the warning was heavily policed, so much so that it is postulated the terrorists may have postponed their attack.
Since the terrorists were heading towards the Ukrainian border when their car was stopped, it appears possible that the whole business may have been organized by Ukraine: somebody chose the venue, somebody sought and found the killers, somebody supplied the weapons and transport, somebody provided the cash.
In view of the recent New York Times article explaining that the CIA had a dozen or so secret sites on the Russian/Ukrainian border, training Ukrainians in subversive operations against Russia, one wonders if the CIA was involved in the Crocus City Hall attack. Ex-CIA operatives certainly think it is possible here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2uLiE1NsL1A.
The recently publicized telephone conversation of German Air Force officials discussing the transfer of Taurus missiles to Ukraine, pointed out that German troops were necessary to operate the missile system. Does the same apply to UK’s Storm Shadow missiles? Does that mean that British forces at least assisted in firing a Storm Shadow at the market in Donetsk a few weeks ago? Were the British (MI6) also involved in the Crocus City Hall attack? I certainly hope not.
Was UK among the first countries to offer their condolences to Russia for the terrorist attack? I hope so.
It was a false flag by Putin, to distract the world from the massive election fraud videos of ballot boxes being stuffed in Russia.
Believe what you will, but the ISIS video of the attack makes the idea of Ukrainian involvement look a bit silly.
Also:
‘Meduza, an independent Russian-language site based in Latvia, reported state media employees saying that there had been an order to emphasise “traces” of Ukrainian involvement.’
Oh! ‘State media employees’ no doubt randomly posting nonsense on stilts……..
https://www.express.co.uk/sport/football/1881128/England-kit-Nike-FA-rainbow
FGS – rainbow logos 😡😡😡 sick of the sight – and site – of them.
Rainbows have been downgraded to the ideological and political equivalent of tatty tinsel instead of being a beautiful natural phenomenon.
The Islamisation of the West isn’t multiculturalism. It’s a take over by a single mono culture.
Not that Islam is mono, though. Sunni versus Shia, e.g.
“Mono” is correct, because they both worship KaliAllah the Moon Spider Goddess of Death and her Toyboy Shiva/Satan.
Yeah, the only real hope is that they’ll start an internal war and cancel each other out. Preferably in the 52 or so izlamic countries from which migration to the West aka hijrah* should be banned.
*hijrah = migration of muzlims to spread izlam through numbers. For those who can’t serve izlam as jihadis.
A couple of points:
1. There’s money for Ukraine, there’s money for migrants, there’s money for people who don’t want to work. In fact there’s money for everyone except the taxpayer themselves. The economy is the target of a controlled demolition.
2. Of course women shouldn’t be entitled to more money. Equality isn’t a one-sided ticket. Incidentally, I took a day off last week and found myself in the cafe of a garden centre mid afternoon. I was surprised to find it absolutely packed. Packed full of working-age women who looked to have taken early retirement. Early retirement whilst their partners haven’t. More proof of the traumatic lives created by the horrible patriarchy. Still, nice to eat some cake in the afternoon. Always the cake.
Come off it, Free Lemming, let them eat cake…
I haven’t followed this debate – I’m not old enough for it to have impacted me but I guess the thinking might be that they would have not worked in paid employment and therefore paid into a pension fund? Being a mother isn’t much valued by society in terms of being paid to do it but it is quite an important job nonetheless.
Regarding the last verse of the far right song video, I’ve noticed very recently – last two or three years – that far more people are seeking diagnoses for conditions such as ADHD, autism etc. I’m in two minds about this – why this, why now is always a good question.
Personally, I think the heavy childhood vaccine schedule combined with glyphosate (see Stephanie Seneff’s excellent book on glyphosate before dismissing this) and other environment toxins plus the general change in what childhood actually looks like – for generations up to the 1990s, kids would play outside, climb trees etc without constant adult supervision have all contribued to this gob smacking increase in developmental delays such as autism.
However, I can’t shake the feeling that the mental toll of the last few years has led people who wouldn’t otherwise have sought a diagnosis to seek one? It does seem to me that people I would never have suspected of having autism are telling me they’ve just got a diagnosis. Is this just me or have others noticed this?
Dr. Kulvinder Kaur Gil is the Canadian paediatrician who was ordered to pay $ 300K in legal fees after her trial for tweeting about lockdowns and vaccines.
a crowdfunding platform was started and $197 K was raised. Musk then offered to make up the difference.
I heard Spain has banned Telegram?
They should ban tiktok as well before the younger generations’ brains turn to mush.
“Police Scotland admits that a plan to stop investigating all crimes risks helping criminals”
My suspicions are correct! we have slipped through a portal into another dimension, somewhere even stranger than Alice’s wonderland! The police these days ought to be wearing top hats with 10/6 labels poking out the band instead of helmets!
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/03/23/fujitsu-digital-id-cards-contract-horizon-scandal/
Digital ID by the back door to address a problem that barely exists. The excuses are bullshit.
Fujitsu? Fishy looking after father-in-law. Such a thoughtful little boy.
“Fujitsu to win digital ID cards contract despite Horizon scandal”
“Fujitsu is a partner of Infosys. Infosys is owned by PM Sunak’s wife’s family.
Gillian Keegan’s husband was the CEO of Fujitsu
Tory gov gave £4.9B contracts to Fujitsu post-Horizon scandal, Sunak alone accounted for £3.6B.”
“The overlapping personnel between Fujitsu, Infosys and the upper echelons of the Conservative Party is no coincidence. This is what 40 years of neoliberalism has done to democracy.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13232037/England-flag-looks-like-Nike-Fans-display-giant-St-Georges-Cross-amid-row-woke-kit.html
Pretty much as I predicted. I will take some smug satisfaction in this news item.
“Something tells me that the England games at Euro ’24 will be awash with traditional England shirts and flags with a healthy dose of Union Jack’s on top.”
Posted 22nd March.
“I wonder if Nike would care to provide a full size version of their revised flag just so that the non footballing public can have sight of this monstrosity? And the Football Association should be charged with a hate crime at the very least. Might as well get Govey’s garbage off on the right foot – 😀 … think about it.”
Posted 23rd March.
Nike can’t provide an oversize flag but the fans can. A real flag too.😀
Good stuff, HP. Nike can take a hike. I’m pleased to say I don’t possess one Nike item and if I did I would probably burn it in front of the FA HQ. Phuckers!
Thanks Aethelred 👍
Dan Hannan says “The question of whether women born in the 1950s are “entitled” to extra money is beside the point. We’ve run out of cash, says Dan Hannan in the Telegraph.” yet the government he supports can find large amounts for all the favoured groups in society and those who come here from societies overseas.
Governments mishandled the change in OAP entitlement ages and compensation should be paid. If you really feel a jesture should be made to the difficulty in funding it, take the cash out of the salaries and pensions of DHSS executives and managers who screed up, along with their political masters (sic).
Hannan thinks he’s a radical thinker. The reality is he is a bullshiter ready to hop on the nearest slightly outre topic.
The arrogant tosspot George Osborne bragged how he robbed millions of women of their pensions, saying it was the easiest thing ever done to save money (…so it could be squandered later on scamdemics, lockdowns, and wars and stuff).
https://youtu.be/ATSyOAAYNxc?si=kQgGLo5D8REdLOgc
The main argument from women is the lack of appropriate notice of the changes, the impact and the escalation of the timeframe to implement the changes. The later age change to the state pension then affected men, too. The government expectation is that the plebs work until they drop, preferably dead.
Your last sentence is spot on. In the old days, men passed away before or soon after retirement, leaving the government quids in, pocketing the years of pension contributions without having to pay out.
Now the government are annoyed that the peasants are living longer, usually with plenty of years to actually enjoy the retirement pensions they worked hard for and paid into all their lives. That’s where the clotshots came in handy, so the government could keep all the pension money and spend it on the Imported Muslim Army.
I’ve always thought that men should have the same retirement age as women, especially since women statistically outlive men by many years. Not one feminist shrieking about “equality” ever said that it was unfair that men had to work five years longer than women, for no apparent reason.
“Leo Varadkar vs. the people”
Unfortunately, his replacement Simon Harris had this to say about the Indigenous Irish protesting against the Fake Refugee Men attacking Irish women and children last year:
“Groups gathering in the streets calling for the removal of migrants from the Republic, shouting “Get them out”, were not “protestors” and were more akin to an intimidating mob, Minister for Justice Simon Harris has said.
“It irks when it’s called protest because some of what we’ve seen has been thuggish, mobbish, intimidatory behaviour,” he said. “I don’t think it’s protest in the view of any decent person of sound mind.”
So “The Who” are again proven right:
“Meet the new boss. Same as the old boss. We won’t get fooled again…”
“Everyone, yes everyone, is far right’
Absolutely brilliant video by Dominic Frisby— it really made me laugh.
Well done to Elon Musk for tweeting it to give it a wide audience.
“Fans display giant St. George’s Cross amid row over ‘woke’ kit”
Turns out it was actually a Sikh named Navin Singh who was responsible for approving the destruction of the England flag on that kit, and then he scarpered, failing upward to become Chief Commercial Officer at Six Nations Rugby. Sikhs don’t normally play rugby for fear of their turbans getting knocked off, as they do in any kind of battle, so why he was chosen remains a mystery.