The evidence that the Gaza casualty numbers provided by the Hamas-run Health Ministry (now over 32,000) are wildly inflated continues to mount. Today in the Telegraph, Mark Zlochin looks at what the proportions of male and female UNRWA workers tell us.
The UNRWA data provided to the Telegraph covers the period between October 7th and January 4th and documents the deaths of 150 UNRWA workers in Gaza. As previously reported, it shows that half of those deaths occurred in the three weeks immediately following the October 7th massacre and before the Israeli land incursion into Gaza started.
But perhaps the most notable feature of UNRWA casualties dataset is that men account for 62% of the deaths, despite representing only 41% of the UNRWA staff in Gaza.
In other words, male UNRWA workers appear much more likely to be killed than female workers. For women, one in every 132 workers have been killed, while for men the chances of being killed are more than twice as high – one in every 57.
This pattern is not replicated in the death data reported by the Gazan hospitals. According to that data, men in Gaza do face a higher risk of death than women, but by nothing like the extent found in URWA’s data.
What could explain this difference? Why are male UNRWA workers apparently being killed at a significantly faster rate than Gazan men in general? There are several possibilities …
However, if the analysis is limited to female workers, the discrepancy between the two datasets falls away. There is a nearly perfect match between the number of female UNRWA casualties and the total death count based on hospital records alone.
This is particularly interesting in light of the growing gap between the death toll documented by hospital records and the total claimed number of deaths.
We have also compared the geographical distribution of UNRWA female staff deaths with the detailed information collected by the Palestinian NGO ‘Shireen Observatory’ and found a very close match between the two.
This appears to further strengthen the case for using the UNRWA female staff deaths numbers, and the closely matching numbers from hospital records, as a proxy for the actual mortality numbers in Gaza. If we did this, it would suggest that around 18,000 (not 32,414) had died in Gaza since October 7th.
This new analysis complements the earlier one by Prof. Abraham Wyner and comes to broadly the same conclusion: the death numbers are significantly inflated and shouldn’t be trusted.
Separate analysis by the Washington Institute agrees that the figures are inaccurate and the proportion of women and children is overstated. It concludes: “The demographic composition of these fatalities is certainly far different than what the [Ministry of Health] claims”. However, its researchers argue that the overall death toll is more likely to be understated due to male combatants being routinely omitted.
It’s clear that politicians should stop relying on these very ropey Hamas figures to formulate and defend their responses to the conflict.
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Good expose.
Can you imagine WW2, Josep Goebbels rings up the Times of London with the casualty figures for last night’s air raid on Bremen? The next morning the Times’ leader pans Churchill for civilian deaths. Further down, it also criticises him for only delivering 300 trucks of aid a day to the Nazis.
Lord HawHaw opines that day the Nazis aren’t happy there’s no sauerkraut or bratwurst in the rations either.
Antisemitism is when you apply one standard to the rest of the world, and another to Israel, the collective Jew. That, precisely, is what Biden, the EU, Cameron et al are doing right now.
Sickening.
The Daily Sceptic sinks to new depths.
Perhaps Will Jones and the rest of the genocide apologists can tell us what number of Palestinian deaths they find acceptable?
I’ve been well read on the subject for over 40 years and have a number of reliable sources.
So what number of Palestinian deaths do you find acceptable?
I don’t recall anyone giving even an approximate figure..
Although several here have expressed opinions that all Hamas should be killed.
Sailing close to a complicity in genocide I’d say.
I totally agree that all Hamas fighters should be killed. Hamas is a political/armed group not a religious or ethnic group so wiping out all the barbaric baby butchering bastards wouldn’t be genocide.
If I might ask a question. The Hamas view of what they want for Israel and Israelis is 100% death of its citizens, is it not.?. Sailing close to a complicity in genocide I’d say.
You’ve previously made comments that support “imprisoned people fighting back against their captors” or words to that effect. This can only mean you support the barbaric 7 October attacks. You’ve previously made comments about Israeli being an oppressive occupying power that deserves everything thing it gets from your murderous friends in Hamas. Cut out the hypocrisy and BS and tell us what you actually believe. Did 1,400 civilian deserve to die because they were illegally occupying someone else’s land? Does Israel have the right to exist? If not, what do you think should happen to the 4 million Jews that live there?
All comments I have made have been factual.
Imprisoned people ARE fighting back against their captors.
Israel ARE an oppressive occupying power.
NO. 1,400 hundred Israeli civilians did not die.
Israel admitted the OVERALL death figure was 1,200.
Many of these were armed IDF, police and security guards.
782 unarmed Israeli civilians died some of which were killed due to the IDF Hannibal Directive.
Of these 36 were children.
Israel deliberately invented horror stories which the main stream media and politicians around the world repeated without any SCEPTICISM and many ignorant people in the public believed them.
I have NEVER stated that I support the killing of civilians or the taking of hostages.
I have acknowledged them as crimes.
I have understood WHY the Palestinians did what they did after 75 years of subjugation and death.
These are all FACTS.
My opinions are that different peoples should peacefully coexist side by side through equality.
ISRAEL HAVE BEEN A BRUTAL APARTHEID STATE FOR 75 YEARS WHO WILL NOT NEGOTIATE AN EQUITABLE SETTLEMENT. PALESTINIANS HAVE BEEN FORCED TO TAKE DRASTIC ACTION.
Before the Balfour Declaration of 1917 the number of Jews in Palestine between 1914-15 was 38,754 (it is unclear how many of these were European Jews). This compares with 683,389 non-Jewish Palestinians. Since then there has been an influx of European Jews particularly after WW2.
There are now an equal number of Jews and Arabs (around 6 million each).
IT IS JEWS WHO HAVE STOLEN THE LANDS OF THE INDIGENOUS PALESTINIANS.
Dr. Ralph Wilde, lawyer and advocate for Palestine, at the ICJ on 26 February 2024 completely destroys the legality of Israel and of Israel’s existence.
Therefore, there is an argument that Israel is an illegal state.
Regardless of whether or not Israel is an illegal state we are where we are in history.
My opinion is that the international community should force Israel to create an equal framework where Jews and Arabs can peacefully coexist side by side.
PERHAPS YOU OR SOMEONE ELSE CAN NOW SAY WHAT NUMBER OF DEAD PALESTINIAN WOMEN AND CHILDREN IT WILL TAKE TO QUENCH YOUR BLOOD LUST?
Worry not. DS censors alive and well.
Majority of comments critical of you know who from yesterday are gone.
Your comment will disappear in 5-4–3-2-1.
Mogwai
1 year ago
Terrorist organizations lie, and UNRWA has been proven to be just that, so how is this a revelation? The lies don’t magically morph into truth just because they get parroted by corrupt MSM news outlets and equally corrupt politicians. Meanwhile, it doesn’t look as if the Palestinian psycho jihadis are interested in ceasefiring any time soon. As well as daily rocket bombardments from Gaza and Lebanon, this would-be child-killer is still on the loose after this attack today. If Israel lay down their arms it results in certain death, simple as that;
”Palestinian terrorist attacks packed Children’s School Bus in Israel, riddling it with bullets in an attempt to kill dozens of Israeli children.
3 people are injured, with a 13-year-old boy suffering after being hit in the face by shards of broken glass.
The bus was bulletproof, and deflected most of the bullet rounds.”
Jewish people appeared to have been murdered in cold blood on October 7th last year. I don’t know, I wasn’t there.
Since then many Gazan people appear to have died; I don’t know, I wasn’t there.
I am totally reliant on news sources who may or may not have an axe to grind, or are following a particular agenda, and it is almost impossible to reach a reasoned conclusion because I am not there.
Almost anything anyone says about the situation in Gaza is based solely upon what they have gleaned from the MSM who have not covered themselves in glory when it comes to previous conflicts. So I will reserve judgement for the time being if I may.
Mogwai
1 year ago
A very good article and example of how the ‘traitors and haters’ in our midst readily lap up all the propaganda and lies, showing their true terrorist-loving, Jew-hating treacherous colours time and again;
”This week, we got a grim insight into this unholiest of hook-ups between our own bourgeois anti-fascists and Gaza’s religious fascists. A story emerged about members of the Israel Defence Forces raping women in al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City. It sounded hellish. Women were brutalised in front of male family members. Some women were summarily executed. One of the rape victims was five months pregnant. Al Jazeera splashed with the horror story and it spread with staggering speed through activist circles online. It was signal-boosted by some in the mainstream media too, including the Guardian’s Owen Jones.
There was only one problem: there wasn’t so much as a sliver of proof these atrocities took place. The terrible tale came from an interview with one woman. It now seems she made the whole thing up, in the hope that her ‘incorrect talk’ might ‘arouse the nation’s fervour’ – that is, drum up yet more hate for Israel. Al Jazeera has taken down its report about the hell in the hospital and a former director of the channel, Yasser Abuhilalah, has flat-out said it was fake. It was ‘fabricated’, he says.
It is a testament to the intensity of activists’ Israelophobia, their increasingly unhinged loathing for the Jewish State, that many were quick to believe the IDF had behaved in the most monstrous fashion imaginable. The problem here wasn’t just naivety – it was bigotry. It wasn’t just a dearth of critical thinking that enticed some to gulp down with glee what was clearly a tall tale – it was an overabundance of prejudicial thinking, specifically Israelophobic thinking. Drunk on the anti-Israel ideology, ensnared by the warped belief that Israel is a uniquely barbarous nation, woke activists have made themselves into wide-open receptacles for Hamas bullshit.”
What is the point of this article? Does anybody want to go there and count?
During Wednesday’s UK Column News, they showed drone video footage of four Palestinians collecting bodies on a horse-drawn cart and their subsequent destruction by an explosive incendiary missile, with the comment from the drone operator, “Shame about the horse”. So good luck for anybody wanting to collect such statistics.
How about zero dead, would that be an acceptable figure? Does that make anyone feel better?
At the ICJ hearings on 11th January, South Africa reported that “In the first three weeks alone following 7 October, Israel deployed 6,000 bombs per week. At least 200 times, it has deployed two-thousand-pound bombs in southern areas of Palestine designated as “safe”. These bombs have also decimated the north, including refugee camps. Two-thousand-pound bombs are some of the biggest and most destructive bombs available”. But maybe nobody was hurt?
During a House Armed Services Hearing a few weeks ago, Ro Khanna questioned US Secretary of Defense, Lloyd Austin, and revealed that USA had already sent 21,000 precision guided munitions to Israel: maybe they all missed?
The last report I read maintained that only one hospital was left open in the Gaza strip but surely all the patients of the other hospitals walked out unharmed? And the stories of children having limbs amputated without anaesthetics …
And Israeli citizens are supposedly blocking hundreds of lorries from delivering humanitarian aid and food to the million or two occupants of Gaza …
And the US arms deliveries to Israel continue …
So maybe the point of the article was to suggest that the number of victims is indeed not tens of thousands but hundreds of thousands, which would definitely be far more likely.
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Good expose.
Can you imagine WW2, Josep Goebbels rings up the Times of London with the casualty figures for last night’s air raid on Bremen? The next morning the Times’ leader pans Churchill for civilian deaths. Further down, it also criticises him for only delivering 300 trucks of aid a day to the Nazis.
Lord HawHaw opines that day the Nazis aren’t happy there’s no sauerkraut or bratwurst in the rations either.
Antisemitism is when you apply one standard to the rest of the world, and another to Israel, the collective Jew. That, precisely, is what Biden, the EU, Cameron et al are doing right now.
Sickening.
Excellent post, the jew haters won’t be happy
Three of them, so far. Keep it up.
Because 18000 deaths makes it acceptable.
Whether a Hamas source or a pro-Israel think tank, neither inspires confidence.
The Daily Sceptic sinks to new depths.
Perhaps Will Jones and the rest of the genocide apologists can tell us what number of Palestinian deaths they find acceptable?
I’ve been well read on the subject for over 40 years and have a number of reliable sources.
So what number of Palestinian deaths do you find acceptable?
I don’t recall anyone giving even an approximate figure..
Although several here have expressed opinions that all Hamas should be killed.
Sailing close to a complicity in genocide I’d say.
And just to make myself even more popular I’ll throw this one in the mix –
https://nader.org/2024/03/05/stop-the-worsening-undercount-of-palestinian-casualties-in-gaza/
I totally agree that all Hamas fighters should be killed. Hamas is a political/armed group not a religious or ethnic group so wiping out all the barbaric baby butchering bastards wouldn’t be genocide.
If I might ask a question. The Hamas view of what they want for Israel and Israelis is 100% death of its citizens, is it not.?. Sailing close to a complicity in genocide I’d say.
What number of Jewish civilian deaths do you find acceptable?
None.
You’ve previously made comments that support “imprisoned people fighting back against their captors” or words to that effect. This can only mean you support the barbaric 7 October attacks. You’ve previously made comments about Israeli being an oppressive occupying power that deserves everything thing it gets from your murderous friends in Hamas. Cut out the hypocrisy and BS and tell us what you actually believe. Did 1,400 civilian deserve to die because they were illegally occupying someone else’s land? Does Israel have the right to exist? If not, what do you think should happen to the 4 million Jews that live there?
All comments I have made have been factual.
Imprisoned people ARE fighting back against their captors.
Israel ARE an oppressive occupying power.
NO. 1,400 hundred Israeli civilians did not die.
Israel admitted the OVERALL death figure was 1,200.
Many of these were armed IDF, police and security guards.
782 unarmed Israeli civilians died some of which were killed due to the IDF Hannibal Directive.
Of these 36 were children.
Israel deliberately invented horror stories which the main stream media and politicians around the world repeated without any SCEPTICISM and many ignorant people in the public believed them.
I have NEVER stated that I support the killing of civilians or the taking of hostages.
I have acknowledged them as crimes.
I have understood WHY the Palestinians did what they did after 75 years of subjugation and death.
These are all FACTS.
My opinions are that different peoples should peacefully coexist side by side through equality.
ISRAEL HAVE BEEN A BRUTAL APARTHEID STATE FOR 75 YEARS WHO WILL NOT NEGOTIATE AN EQUITABLE SETTLEMENT. PALESTINIANS HAVE BEEN FORCED TO TAKE DRASTIC ACTION.
Before the Balfour Declaration of 1917 the number of Jews in Palestine between 1914-15 was 38,754 (it is unclear how many of these were European Jews). This compares with 683,389 non-Jewish Palestinians. Since then there has been an influx of European Jews particularly after WW2.
There are now an equal number of Jews and Arabs (around 6 million each).
IT IS JEWS WHO HAVE STOLEN THE LANDS OF THE INDIGENOUS PALESTINIANS.
Dr. Ralph Wilde, lawyer and advocate for Palestine, at the ICJ on 26 February 2024 completely destroys the legality of Israel and of Israel’s existence.
Therefore, there is an argument that Israel is an illegal state.
Regardless of whether or not Israel is an illegal state we are where we are in history.
My opinion is that the international community should force Israel to create an equal framework where Jews and Arabs can peacefully coexist side by side.
PERHAPS YOU OR SOMEONE ELSE CAN NOW SAY WHAT NUMBER OF DEAD PALESTINIAN WOMEN AND CHILDREN IT WILL TAKE TO QUENCH YOUR BLOOD LUST?
Worry not. DS censors alive and well.
Majority of comments critical of you know who from yesterday are gone.
Your comment will disappear in 5-4–3-2-1.
Terrorist organizations lie, and UNRWA has been proven to be just that, so how is this a revelation? The lies don’t magically morph into truth just because they get parroted by corrupt MSM news outlets and equally corrupt politicians. Meanwhile, it doesn’t look as if the Palestinian psycho jihadis are interested in ceasefiring any time soon. As well as daily rocket bombardments from Gaza and Lebanon, this would-be child-killer is still on the loose after this attack today. If Israel lay down their arms it results in certain death, simple as that;
”Palestinian terrorist attacks packed Children’s School Bus in Israel, riddling it with bullets in an attempt to kill dozens of Israeli children.
3 people are injured, with a 13-year-old boy suffering after being hit in the face by shards of broken glass.
The bus was bulletproof, and deflected most of the bullet rounds.”
https://twitter.com/ImtiazMadmood/status/1773405954278662287
Absolute minefield here.
Jewish people appeared to have been murdered in cold blood on October 7th last year. I don’t know, I wasn’t there.
Since then many Gazan people appear to have died; I don’t know, I wasn’t there.
I am totally reliant on news sources who may or may not have an axe to grind, or are following a particular agenda, and it is almost impossible to reach a reasoned conclusion because I am not there.
Almost anything anyone says about the situation in Gaza is based solely upon what they have gleaned from the MSM who have not covered themselves in glory when it comes to previous conflicts. So I will reserve judgement for the time being if I may.
A very good article and example of how the ‘traitors and haters’ in our midst readily lap up all the propaganda and lies, showing their true terrorist-loving, Jew-hating treacherous colours time and again;
”This week, we got a grim insight into this unholiest of hook-ups between our own bourgeois anti-fascists and Gaza’s religious fascists. A story emerged about members of the Israel Defence Forces raping women in al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City. It sounded hellish. Women were brutalised in front of male family members. Some women were summarily executed. One of the rape victims was five months pregnant. Al Jazeera splashed with the horror story and it spread with staggering speed through activist circles online. It was signal-boosted by some in the mainstream media too, including the Guardian’s Owen Jones.
There was only one problem: there wasn’t so much as a sliver of proof these atrocities took place. The terrible tale came from an interview with one woman.
It now seems she made the whole thing up, in the hope that her ‘incorrect talk’ might ‘arouse the nation’s fervour’ – that is, drum up yet more hate for Israel. Al Jazeera has taken down its report about the hell in the hospital and a former director of the channel, Yasser Abuhilalah, has flat-out said it was fake. It was ‘fabricated’, he says.
It is a testament to the intensity of activists’ Israelophobia, their increasingly unhinged loathing for the Jewish State, that many were quick to believe the IDF had behaved in the most monstrous fashion imaginable. The problem here wasn’t just naivety – it was bigotry. It wasn’t just a dearth of critical thinking that enticed some to gulp down with glee what was clearly a tall tale – it was an overabundance of prejudicial thinking, specifically Israelophobic thinking. Drunk on the anti-Israel ideology, ensnared by the warped belief that Israel is a uniquely barbarous nation, woke activists have made themselves into wide-open receptacles for Hamas bullshit.”
https://www.spiked-online.com/2024/03/27/the-lord-haw-haws-of-hamas/
I thought that the DS valued free speech?
So, why has the thread regarding this been removed- as if i couldn’t guess.
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2024/03/ralph-nader-real-gaza-death-toll-at-least-200000.html
What is the point of this article? Does anybody want to go there and count?
During Wednesday’s UK Column News, they showed drone video footage of four Palestinians collecting bodies on a horse-drawn cart and their subsequent destruction by an explosive incendiary missile, with the comment from the drone operator, “Shame about the horse”. So good luck for anybody wanting to collect such statistics.
How about zero dead, would that be an acceptable figure? Does that make anyone feel better?
At the ICJ hearings on 11th January, South Africa reported that “In the first three weeks alone following 7 October, Israel deployed 6,000 bombs per week. At least 200 times, it has deployed two-thousand-pound bombs in southern areas of Palestine designated as “safe”. These bombs have also decimated the north, including refugee camps. Two-thousand-pound bombs are some of the biggest and most destructive bombs available”. But maybe nobody was hurt?
During a House Armed Services Hearing a few weeks ago, Ro Khanna questioned US Secretary of Defense, Lloyd Austin, and revealed that USA had already sent 21,000 precision guided munitions to Israel: maybe they all missed?
The last report I read maintained that only one hospital was left open in the Gaza strip but surely all the patients of the other hospitals walked out unharmed? And the stories of children having limbs amputated without anaesthetics …
And Israeli citizens are supposedly blocking hundreds of lorries from delivering humanitarian aid and food to the million or two occupants of Gaza …
And the US arms deliveries to Israel continue …
So maybe the point of the article was to suggest that the number of victims is indeed not tens of thousands but hundreds of thousands, which would definitely be far more likely.