Much of the alarmist climate science literature promoting the collectivist Net Zero political project, along with many doomsday scenarios highlighted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), are corrupted with implausible data that almost nobody believes. This astonishing conclusion can reasonably be drawn from recent extensive research from the Clintel Foundation. This work identified the widespread use of data predicting unrealistic temperature rises of 4-5°C in less than 80 years.
Clintel found that the IPCC makes extensive use of two pathways (scenarios of projected socioeconomic global changes up to the year 2100) that are “completely out of touch with reality” and that the UN-funded body then sprays the results all over its reports. The pathways called SSP5-8.5 and SSP3-7.0 make improbable claims of massive temperature rises that even the IPCC says are of “low likelihood”. As we noted last Saturday, this caveat is buried deep in the recent IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6), and is not even mentioned in the widely-distributed Summary for Policy Makers (SPM). In addition, Clintel notes that “week after week” new publications appear using these extreme scenarios to create screaming headlines.
Bloomberg recently looked at how frequently each scenario appears in publications discoverable on Google Scholar. As shown in the graph above, the most extreme pathway is the most popular in the literature. In this sense, says Clintel, one might have concluded that the IPCC is simply doing its job and assessing and reporting the literature. It can also be suggested that the IPCC picks its lead authors and ignores science that runs contrary to the ‘correct’ political narrative. That is, it marks its own homework.
One result is that much of the climate panic that appears in mainstream media is tainted by the inappropriate use of these pathways. For example, last March the BBC ran a story claiming that Antarctic Ocean currents were heading for collapse. To drive home the scare, there was even a reference to the 2004 climate disaster film The Day After Tomorrow. The article was based on the work of scientists who claimed rapidly melting ice was causing a dramatic slowdown in deep ocean currents. In reality, the overall Antarctica ice sheet has seen little change for at least 70 years. Unsurprisingly, the scientists’ claims were based on computer models fed with RCP8.5 data – a fact missing from the BBC’s ridiculous story.
This captures how the system perpetuates itself. “If prominent leaders keep using this scenario and funding agencies keep funding research based on it, the use of this exaggerated scenario will continue for many years to come,” says the Clintel report.
How was it possible for such an extreme scenario to become so dominant in the literature and the IPCC reports? Professors Justin Ritchie and Roger Pielke Jr. provide some insights in their piece in Issues in Science and Technology titled ‘How the Climate Scenarios Lost Touch With Reality‘. They argue that a “failure of self-correction in science has compromised climate science’s ability to provide plausible views of our collective future”.
Their damning conclusion: “The continuing misuse of scenarios in climate research has become pervasive and consequential – so much so that we view it as one of the most significant failures of scientific integrity in the 21st Century thus far. We need a course correction.”
Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.
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Michie (it’s much easier to say and spell “Stalin’s Granny”) does not, and probably never will, understand the basic priciples of immunity. I might be mistaken, of course, but idealogically she would not gain credibility by admitting to it.
Communism means never having to admit failure or say you are sorry.
Any appearance of failure is mistaken because it is the direct result of not enough done, not done for long enough, not enough spent. The solution is do more of it, do it for longer, spend more.
Just look at the CCP…
Stalin granny might be a nice alternative to that. 🙂
She is in the luxurious position that no-one appears to want to question what she says to test whether it has any relationship with any truth you care to consider. Neither is she held responsible for the catastrophe of people altering their behaviour because of her words and ideas. It is the unholy mess. No accountability, no responsibility, but she gets her voice broadcast widely as an expert.
The key here is her apparent ability to grab a headline as a “SAGE Advisor”. SAGE stopped meeting in March 2022, at the same time as the UK Government withdrew funding for many Covid-related studies. A cynic might suggest she’s desperate to regain the limelight, and the funding that went with it.
I doubt funding will be an issue. If she’s not on Billy’s payroll I’m not a Sceptic.
“The number of people with long Covid will increase significantly beyond the current two million and the country will be continuously disrupted with some sectors in danger of grinding to a standstill in the Autumn’, this is actually happening now because of ‘covid testing’. If people can get time off work with a ‘positive test result’, they will, I know teachers, civil servants and NHS workers who are already doing it. None of them had symptoms, the teacher was told as she had a positive test, not to come in.
There is no such disease as ‘Long CoVid’.
There is well known Post Viral Fatigue Syndrome which can be the result of any viral infection.
There is also serial CoVid infections which afflict jab-junkies because the mRNA juju is causing antigen imprinting which means the immune system is so fixed on the peptide section of the original CoV 2 protein, whenever it sees anything like it it pumps out immune agents designed for it which have no effect on evolved viral mutations.
These fools think another jab’ll do y’a – but of course it is just reinforcing failure.
I had post viral syndrome after a really nasty respiratory bug some years ago. As I was self employed I kept working, despite feeling really ill from time to time. I needed the money! When the summer came I made sure to get as much sunshine and fresh air as poss and it resolved in about 3 months. Time is a great healer for many things.
Thank you I’ve been bleating on about post viral fatigue syndrome for over a year now and the majority still spouts on about ‘long covid’.
I have no doubt that post viral fatigue syndrome exists but I think for many covidians it is nothing more more than a skivers charter.
Never having tested for covid I don’t know how these things work, but if you just phoned up your boss and said you had tested positive, how do you prove it to them? Would they just take your word for it? Ask for a photo? Anyway, can’t you make a test positive by dipping it in coke?
Tell you one thing – there will be a great many ‘positive tests’ this week as the weather is set fair. Watch those numbers of ‘sick/not sick’ rise!
If ever there was a candidate for dunking in the nearest duck pond, she is it.
I’ve been able to meet my parents again for the first time in three years for the sole reason that this crooked witch doesn’t anymore wield the power to sacrifice the lifes of other people as she sees fit to pursue her political delusions. I decidedly don’t think it’s time that she retires. At the very least, she should be stripped of all her meaningless titles and forced to spend a few years in solitary confinement.
”More than 2.7 million Britons were infected with Covid last week…”
So where are all the sick people? Nowhere! Just like for the rest of the last two years.
It’s a fake pandemic. Pandemics by nature have tens of millions of sick people, most not needing hospital, not dying but nevertheless sick enough to be incapacitated by their illness and noticeable in the community.
And why are idiots still getting tested?
I seem to be surrounded right now by people who tell me that they have ‘got covid’; I can’t put this down to increased testing so it would appear that there is more of something going around. Seems to be affecting jabbed people more but still only amounts to non-remarkable flu-like symptoms. The fact that none of them feel short-changed by their alleged inoculation is of course very odd. It’s an open question whether covid is currently being brought back by the criminal shysters or brought back by the lunatics testing themselves. Top down or bottom up; can’t tell, but it amounts to the same thing – more f***ing mass formation!
‘Cos they have been brainwashed by Michie et al.
Just what is the procedure for monitoring performance of management at Quangos and NGOs and tax payer funded charities. Is there any oversight other than from their peers. Do Ministers receive copies of the appraisals, targets and performance indicators.
If not why not – it appears not.
If sdo, why do Ministers not insist on improvements within three months then one month then dismissal, as in many private sector jobs. OK top management might get longer for general performance issues but the serious failures we have seen at PHE and the rest would not be tolerated.
Either an insider, a Chinese cutout, or a useful idiot – we can determine this at her warcrime trial.
Michie is on record for praising the so-called Chinese pandemic response as that of a much more rationally organized society than ours. She also wants mandatory face masking for everyone forever for general public health reasons because she was very impressed with the idea when encountering facemasks for the first time in Japan. Hence, there’s little doubt which kind she is and where to our journey ought to go insofar she is concerned.
A very dangerous old hag with a commie rap sheet that Stalin would have been proud of 😤
Her qualifications are in Mind Games
Anyone who admires the Chinese Communist Party is by definition evil.
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Part of the recovery process. These lockdown fanatics need to come out calling for more lockdowns and be ignored so they can know they have been defeated and the population can see that just because some nutjob with a platform wants to boss everyone around and disrupt their lives it doesn’t have to happen.
This particular set of demands has been repeated since at least March (UKHSA was first) and always with the same urgency. Ample real-world proof that it’s all just nonsense.
The extremists are now turning on each other accusing those who are not extreme enough of being “minimisers”.
It reminds me of the things we used to hear about ISIS making their followers do.
If you’re not prepared to shoot your own mother in the head for not having enough faith you can’t be in the club. Once you’ve done it there’s no leaving.
Marxists, communists, and their ilk would be horrified to learn that their supposed idol, Karl Marx himself, was apparently a “let it rip” kind of guy when it came to disease. These clowns really can’t see the irony in their own beliefs, lol.
Whilst you were distracted by Boris resigning, the UK Gov. quietly published a report confirming the Vaccinated account for 94% of all COVID-19 Deaths since April, 90% of which were Triple/Quadruple Jabbed.
July 11th Expose, substack article.
Is that article accessible to people without a substack account?
Does Susan not know that the ongoing vaxxing is causing new variants.(vaxxing with a nonsterilising “vaccine” will force the virus to mutate). How is it possible for her not to know this? High school science students know more than she does. The covid vaxx, causing severe adverse events and deaths (CDC VAERS) must be stopped. All draconian measures such as lockdowns, masks, school and business closures, work from home, social distancing, track and trace, PCR, lateral flow testing MUST STOP! Believe me, if you or I caused had caused this much death and destruction in our job, we would have been given the sack, or put in jail.
“virus cases are set to hit 350,000 every day next week.” Crikes has she had an amorous visit by pantsdown!