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Revisionism from the Institution of Mathematics & its Applications

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(@zebedee)
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Joined: 4 years ago

Report from the P&SC Mathematical Modelling and Algorithms Webinar which included one member of self-important SAGE and another of SPI-M amongst others.

On Neil Ferguson: "In fact, given that we have had at least 150 000 deaths even with lockdown, the model prediction was very much in the right ball park, and certainly of the right order of magnitude."

On lockdowns: "Many lives would had been saved if we had gone into lock down earlier both at the start of the pandemic and also at the start of the second wave."

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6 Replies
(@stop-believing-start-thinking)
Joined: 2 years ago

Posts: 202
Posted by: @zebedee

Report from the P&SC Mathematical Modelling and Algorithms Webinar which included one member of self-important SAGE and another of SPI-M amongst others.

On Neil Ferguson: "In fact, given that we have had at least 150 000 deaths even with lockdown, the model prediction was very much in the right ball park, and certainly of the right order of magnitude."

On lockdowns: "Many lives would had been saved if we had gone into lock down earlier both at the start of the pandemic and also at the start of the second wave."

Yep.

Also late action in first and second wave not only cost lives, but it made the lockdowns last longer.

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(@zebedee)
Joined: 4 years ago

Trusted Member
Posts: 49

@rational

You, and they, are assuming lockdowns work and dismissing any deaths caused by lockdowns. There have been plenty of posts on this site disputing that lockdowns work and the evidence out of comparable US states is clear that they don't.

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(@stop-believing-start-thinking)
Joined: 2 years ago

Posts: 202

@zebedee 

You mean you can find some examples that suit your argument and then reject the rest of the information.

Kindly, it is called cherry picking.  

Perhaps you didn't do this personally and just copied the argument from somewhere else, without realising it is dodgy.

 

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lordsnooty
(@lordsnooty)
Joined: 3 years ago

Posts: 636
Posted by: @rational

 

Yep.

 action in first and second wave  cost lives, 

that bit is correct.

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(@stop-believing-start-thinking)
Joined: 2 years ago

Posts: 202

@lordsnooty 

Some dishonesty in your editing... is your name Boris?

Correct statement is

"Also late action in first and second wave not only cost lives, but it made the lockdowns last longer."

 

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lordsnooty
(@lordsnooty)
Joined: 3 years ago

Posts: 636

@rational that is categorically wrong, lockdowns were a political choice, as  Sweden demonstrates , and with as many with things I tell you , That's just the way it is, and you'll have to suck that up.

 The difference between you and me is that I tell the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth , you should try it. How are you getting on with your ebike, mine's fine, panels gave out in nov, needed a new 'inverter'.

 

1643229072-bike.png
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Posts: 115
(@johnk)
Estimable Member
Joined: 3 years ago

And who believes in that, in the real world?

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