27 March 2021  /  Updated 17 July 2021
Whitty - What does ...
 
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Whitty - What does he know?

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leicestersq
Posts: 35
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Joined: 1 year ago

During summer 2020, when Covid had all but disappeared from the UK and things were getting back to normal, all of the MSM were going on and on about a second wave. Odd that, given how pandemics like a fire tend to burn themselves out. And yet a second wave appeared, strangely enough on the back of mass testing.

Now Whitty is going on about the inevitability of a third wave. What does he know exactly? He wont be making a call like that without good reason, because he is preparing the ground for a third wave.

We know that because of the huge number of 'cases' that large portions of the population have already had the virus and will be immune. Those people will block the transmission.

We know too that huge numbers of people have been vaccinated. If the vaccine works, something I am not so sure about but hey, if the vaccine works, then that will block transmission as well.

And also we were told that the summer stopped to virus before things started up again, and it wasnt mass PCR testing at all. But the spring is on its way and seasonality should therefore reduce transmission even further.

So what does Whitty know that overrides all of these good reasons why a third wave wont happen?

The only thing I can think of is with all of those millions of kids being tested 3 times per week, you could 'create' a huge number of cases if you knew what you were doing. My guess is that is where we will see the third wave. We will be told that it isnt the test that is finding false positives, but the spread happening amongst school kids who arent obeying the rules. It wont matter one jot that kids dont get ill mostly nor that getting infected whilst young is the best vaccination there is. Instead we will see huge pressure to get kids vaccinated, despite the fact that the medical risk balance says that kids shouldnt go anywhere near a needle.

So that is my take on the kids going back to school. They slipped in mass testing as part of the deal, and they will use that to manufacture cases and manufacture consent for mass vaccination of our children,

That is my prediction, let us see what happens.

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Splatt
Posts: 1609
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Joined: 1 year ago

Why wouldn't there be another wave?

We're dealing with a seasonal respiratory virus. All other HCoVs exhibit strong seasonality.

Last year showed a drop off a cliff in May before a return in the autumn. No reason to suggest this year won't do the same.

We have vaccines to prevent serious illness. That's fine. Problem solved.
BUT the government has moved the goalposts to focus on cases now. As most people are going to have the AZ vaccine this will have a minimal effect on transmission and therefore cases so they'll rise again.

...add that to potentially a brutal Flu season.

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StPiosCafe
Posts: 262
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Joined: 10 months ago

Odd that, given how pandemics like a fire tend to burn themselves out. And yet a second wave appeared, strangely enough on the back of mass testing.

They burn themselves once everybody's dead, but we did not allow that for obvious reasons.

Of course it came after the testing. They were testing right through! If it came it had to come after the testing.

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Splatt
Posts: 1609
(@splatt)
Joined: 1 year ago

They burn themselves once everybody's dead, but we did not allow that for obvious reasons.

Really? What pandemics have left everybody dead?

How would a virus with an IFR of 0.2% or so leave everybody dead even assuming no existing cross immunity or growing population immunity?

Most of our seasonal viruses started out as pandemics just like this one. OC43 HCoV is a pretty good example.
Spoiler:- It didnt leave everyone dead.

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StPiosCafe
Posts: 262
(@stpioscafe)
Joined: 10 months ago

Really? What pandemics have left everybody dead?

OK, "hands up", you caught me out, I meant when everybody's immune by either having it or dead. We did not let that happen because it was killing too many old folk instead we chose (btw: by democracy) another option. We delayed it to when everybody's immune either by vaccination, or by having it and (recovered or dead), and then it'll be burnt out we thought. That was the logic. Point being we did not let it rip first time! We stored some of the dry tinder up until we could give it vaccine to make it fireproof. I think you get the point. But by choosing that route (and I know it's been v. frustrating to you) we left plenty of fuel for ongoing waves, and that's the pickle we've been in.

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