27 March 2021  /  Updated 17 July 2021
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This will speed up herd immunity

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Splatt
Posts: 1609
(@splatt)
Joined: 1 year ago

still claiming the vaccines induce immunity

to be clear: The only potential way left in a lockdown to build up immunity is a vaccine. There is no other way. It's either a vaccine, which may work (we do not know) or never.

Not really, immunity will happen one way or another. Lockdown massively delays natural immunity but cannot prevent.

We're dealing with a seasonal endemic virus. It'll reach equivilbrium.

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fon
Posts: 1356
 fon
Topic starter
(@fon)
Joined: 12 months ago

Not really

I think that's your favorite remark, Splatt..

immunity will happen one way or another. Lockdown massively delays natural immunity but cannot prevent.

of course, but I don't care about that since in the long run we're all dead! I want immunity or equilibrium sooner than that please!
We're dealing with a seasonal endemic virus. It'll reach equilibrium.

Where equilibrium kills more than a hundred a day, which I estimate at least that many or far more sometimes with the current state of affairs.

I think that is too high a price for many people hence the present political bind which you may or may nor agree with (even though we get it with flu), we need an equilibrium balanced much closer to ""quite safe to go out".

I think public opinion could stand. say, 100 true covid19 deaths a week, that's looking at a bit higher than road traffic accident numbers at that rate. I don't think you could draw a line under it and let it go until deaths are 10 a day, say versus 100 at present at least.

With that you could get away with hey WTF! More than that seems heartless. I think a vaccine for the foggies can take us to fewer than 100 deaths a week, with mild, sensible social distancing, I see a political route out of this mess based on vaccines.

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miahoneybee
Posts: 1541
(@miahoneybee)
Joined: 1 year ago

And you believe the dodgy numbers?they have already admitted they lied with the numbers of deaths. Dodgy data . The numbers fo according to how they want them to go. No challenges no opposition to talk of..and your way out of this rests on a vaccine.. ...enough said. No point adding anymore..I rest my case .

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fon
Posts: 1356
 fon
Topic starter
(@fon)
Joined: 12 months ago

And you believe the dodgy numbers?

Of course since the general public provide them. here:
https://covid.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time
I use this, present cases, reported by public showing symptoms:461k.

use factor 1.2 to account for 20% asymptomatic, estimate of cases is 550k,

For deaths, assume cycle of disease is two weeks, at IFR=0.23%, deaths each two weeks is 1,300 call it 100 people per day at present. cannot do better.

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Marta
Posts: 94
(@marta)
Joined: 1 year ago
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