Glad I’m not the only one that thinks this.
I’ve totally re trained and changed direction explicitly to get access to government supported work which I think will continue but most people are fucked and they don’t know it yet.
My toys are heading for the ground. 😉
A compromise isn't enough, we need a u-turn. The damage being done is phenomenal, it just hasn't hit us yet. It's like falling off a skyscraper, painless until you reach the ground. We're likely to hit the ground in 2021 and trust me when that happens no one will give a stuff about vaccines and 100K excess deaths p.a. from COVID.
If it were a negotiation like Brexit, what is the minimum lockdown sceptics would accept to adraw line under heavy lockdowns.Obviously, we would all want to quit with the lockdowns and move on with our lives, being sensible obviously, Sceptics are by and large sensible people with a social conscience.That would be an ideal endpoint, but it's not going to happen soon.
But to get there, we may need to accept a bit less, moving in the right direction, so I'm thinking about hybrid Barrington. The target of hybrid Barrington would be to tolerate current intervention, (since we have no choice) which comprise heavy lockdown and vaccine (again, it's inevitable) our expectation is that before Spring these measures will change the status quo in our favour.
The status quo, with current interventions, indicates perhaps 500,000 ongoing active cases through winter with (at IFR 0.3%) about 700 deaths per week , a hundred a day. I think some sceptics and all non-sceptics would not consider 100 deaths a week as OK, even though we give special dispensation to the flu, for historical reasons. The public expects us to do something about Covid-19, and do not regard it as the flu. That's how it is, I'm afraid.
So the idea is a hybrid Barrington ; could we accept or even support the voluntary vaccination of those who most need it, could we accept or even support milder forms of social distancing somewhat short of lockdown, even masks. No kissing and cuddling in public; I'm fed up with that sort of thing anyway.
I can already hear all the toys being hurled from your prams, but think about it first, is there a hybrid Barrington, short of lockdown that delays the virus spread, we need to do something to get deaths down to under 100 a week. Once it's done, we're out of this mess.
My toys are heading for the ground. 😉
I know how you feel.
The damage being done is phenomenal, it just hasn't hit us yet.
I'm putting in a plot to show the effect of the financial crash of 2008 compared to the damage done by France to us 200 years ago.
But think about it first, is there a hybrid Barrington, short of lockdown , something like Max Barrington with Min Lockdown, I think there is a deal in there if only a politician could translate it into words.
OK, so what does Min lockdown look like. Something they might give, I'd say this:
Solid end date for release, until then:
no PCR unless on low Cycle Threshold.
yes Masks(life's too short to give a hoot), yes Pubs, yes restaurants, no clubs, no museums,
no art galleries,yes Schools ,yes universities,
yes Public transport open + half loading carriages
no Parties,no Fashion shows,no rock concerts,no driving tests
no nonessential goods in large shop,yes small shops
no indoor shows but Shakesperian theatre actors have to eat,
No superspreader events, yes small funerals, yes weddings
yes Outdoor sports ,yes Flights open + test result and 10 days isolation
yes Hotels ,I don't know what else, if rates start to climb precipitously shut down more incrementally until the trend changes.
So that's min Lockdown to me. Max Barrington is
all care home workers vaccinated
all foggies vaccinated
no care home transfer without tests
Money set aside to fund above (whatever it take to save the foggies etc.)
We need more Barrington to offset lockdown wins
why do I need good luck?
If you do not know that then you have good luck already.
The Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse Whitty, Vallence, Fergusson and Hancock for sure.
I agree about Mr. Hancock. I'm certain he cried on the GMB morning show from relief that the vaccine was going in to William Shakespeare's arm, yes he is dying for this to end, he is right on the very edge. There is a job ad out to recruit a replacement for Dr Witty, I think he has run his course and really wants out, I've even heard rumours that Boris is finishing up, but what do I know.
sorry just saw this:
'How it is' is an obfuscation of data regarding so-called 'cases' and so-called 'covid deaths'. Misrepresentation of statistics by the government neglect to consider false positives and non-infectious virus fragments in the 'case' count and the 'death' count.
I'm working hard not to obfuscate. The figures are not tainted by government Pillar data nor by PCR false +ves. I would not use that data except to suggest trends, direction of travel since direction trends are, to some extent, immune from false +ve readouts.
I have not had time to look at ZOE stuff yet. I do intend to, but the government is using only its own data. If we are able to interpret and present their data in a truthful and meaningful way, that would be most successful. It would be like a martial arts move, efficiently manipulating the opponent's energy to defeat them.







